Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Marta Kostyuk v Sloane Stephens

Início: 2026-09-02 17:35 UTC

Final: Marta Kostyuk 2–0 Sloane Stephens

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

65 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Marta Kostyuk (Local)

Previsão 85.54%1.17odd justa
EV -2.48%
Vantagem -2.18%
Kelly -17.71%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.14

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
82.83%85.64%85.53%87.21%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.081.111.111.1492.59%89.80%90.09%87.72%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Sloane Stephens (Visitante)

Previsão 14.46%6.92odd justa
EV +8.42%
Vantagem +1.12%
Kelly +1.30%
Crescimento +0.109%

pressupondo odds máximas de 7.50

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
12.79%14.36%14.47%17.17%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
5.506.436.507.5018.18%15.56%15.38%13.33%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Marta Kostyuk (Local): 85.54%; Sloane Stephens (Visitante): 14.46%. Para Sloane Stephens (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 6.92. 10 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 7.50, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +8.42%.

Odds das casas de apostas (65 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
BoyleSports🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -5.90%E -5.37%K -59.02%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV +8.42%E +1.12%K +1.30%G +0.109%4.2%2026-09-02 17:35
Coolbet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 86.62%EV -4.19%E -3.74%K -34.92%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 13.38%EV +4.81%E +0.663%K +0.769%G +0.037%3.1%2026-09-02 17:15
Winamax (DE)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 86.72%EV -5.05%E -4.55%K -45.88%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 13.28%EV +4.81%E +0.663%K +0.769%G +0.037%3.9%2026-09-02 05:59
DraftKings🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 86.85%EV -6.76%E -6.20%K -75.08%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.15%EV +4.08%E +0.567%K +0.659%G +0.027%5.6%2026-09-02 17:35
Tipico (DE)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 86.96%EV -7.61%E -7.05%K -95.16%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.04%EV +4.08%E +0.567%K +0.659%G +0.027%6.5%2026-09-02 07:10
MyBookie.ag🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.59%EV -5.90%E -5.37%K -59.02%G +0.000%7.10I 14.08%NM 13.41%EV +2.64%E +0.372%K +0.433%G +0.011%5.0%2026-09-02 14:46
1xBet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.47%EV -5.90%E -5.37%K -59.02%G +0.000%7.03I 14.22%NM 13.53%EV +1.63%E +0.231%K +0.270%G +0.004%5.1%2026-09-02 17:35
ReBet🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -5.05%E -4.55%K -45.88%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV +1.19%E +0.170%K +0.199%G +0.002%4.4%2026-09-02 14:40
Winamax (FR)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -5.05%E -4.55%K -45.88%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV +1.19%E +0.170%K +0.199%G +0.002%4.4%2026-09-02 06:00
Betway🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.90%E -5.37%K -59.02%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +1.19%E +0.170%K +0.199%G +0.002%5.2%2026-09-02 17:15
Betclic (FR)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.77%EV -4.19%E -3.74%K -34.92%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.23%EV -2.42%E -0.359%K -0.421%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-02 17:05
Bovada🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -5.05%E -4.55%K -45.88%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -2.42%E -0.359%K -0.421%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-02 17:34
Fanatics🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.79%EV -5.05%E -4.55%K -45.88%G +0.000%6.70I 14.93%NM 14.21%EV -3.14%E -0.469%K -0.552%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-02 17:35
Unibet (FR)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.79%EV -5.05%E -4.55%K -45.88%G +0.000%6.70I 14.93%NM 14.21%EV -3.14%E -0.469%K -0.552%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-02 12:25
GTbets🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 85.29%EV -2.48%E -2.18%K -17.71%G +0.000%6.61I 15.13%NM 14.71%EV -4.45%E -0.672%K -0.792%G +0.000%2.8%2026-09-02 12:40
BetUS🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.58%EV -5.05%E -4.55%K -45.88%G +0.000%6.59I 15.17%NM 14.42%EV -4.73%E -0.718%K -0.847%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-02 16:55
NordicBet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.68%EV -5.90%E -5.37%K -59.02%G +0.000%6.58I 15.20%NM 14.32%EV -4.88%E -0.741%K -0.874%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-02 06:00
Betsson🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.68%EV -5.90%E -5.37%K -59.02%G +0.000%6.58I 15.20%NM 14.32%EV -4.88%E -0.741%K -0.874%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-02 06:00
BetOnline.ag🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 85.19%EV -3.34%E -2.95%K -25.66%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.81%EV -6.04%E -0.929%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-02 10:05
LowVig.ag🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 85.19%EV -3.34%E -2.95%K -25.66%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.81%EV -6.04%E -0.929%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-02 10:05
Bet Right🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.05%E -4.55%K -45.88%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -6.04%E -0.929%K -1.10%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-02 17:05
William Hill🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.05%E -4.55%K -45.88%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -6.04%E -0.929%K -1.10%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-02 16:55
888sport🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.05%E -4.55%K -45.88%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -6.04%E -0.929%K -1.10%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-02 16:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.05%E -4.55%K -45.88%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -6.04%E -0.929%K -1.10%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-02 12:35
Coral🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.05%E -4.55%K -45.88%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -6.04%E -0.929%K -1.10%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-02 12:35
888sport (SE)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.05%E -4.55%K -45.88%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -6.04%E -0.929%K -1.10%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-02 16:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.05%E -4.55%K -45.88%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -6.04%E -0.929%K -1.10%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-02 16:55
Betr (AU)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.90%E -5.37%K -59.02%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -6.04%E -0.929%K -1.10%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-02 17:05
betfred_uk🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.90%E -5.37%K -59.02%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -6.04%E -0.929%K -1.10%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-02 09:20
Unibet (UK)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.90%E -5.37%K -59.02%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -6.04%E -0.929%K -1.10%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-02 05:54
LeoVegas🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.90%E -5.37%K -59.02%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -6.04%E -0.929%K -1.10%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-02 16:55
Caesars🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.90%E -5.37%K -59.02%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -6.04%E -0.929%K -1.10%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-02 07:37
Fliff🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.90%E -5.37%K -59.02%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -6.04%E -0.929%K -1.10%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-02 17:35
theScore Bet🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.32%EV -5.05%E -4.55%K -45.88%G +0.000%6.45I 15.50%NM 14.68%EV -6.76%E -1.05%K -1.24%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-02 05:55
FanDuel🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.79%EV -3.34%E -2.95%K -25.66%G +0.000%6.30I 15.87%NM 15.21%EV -8.93%E -1.42%K -1.68%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-02 11:25
Neds🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.19%E -3.74%K -34.92%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -9.65%E -1.54%K -1.84%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-02 12:35
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.19%E -3.74%K -34.92%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -9.65%E -1.54%K -1.84%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-02 12:35
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.92%EV -5.05%E -4.55%K -45.88%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.08%EV -9.65%E -1.54%K -1.84%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-02 17:05
BetMGM🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.92%EV -5.05%E -4.55%K -45.88%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.08%EV -9.65%E -1.54%K -1.84%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-02 12:35
TAB🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.03%EV -5.90%E -5.37%K -59.02%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.97%EV -9.65%E -1.54%K -1.84%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-02 12:40
BetAnything🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.70%EV -4.19%E -3.74%K -34.92%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.30%EV -10.37%E -1.67%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-02 17:34
Marathon Bet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.59%EV -4.19%E -3.74%K -34.92%G +0.000%6.15I 16.26%NM 15.41%EV -11.09%E -1.80%K -2.15%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-02 17:34
Casumo🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.49%EV -4.19%E -3.74%K -34.92%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV -11.82%E -1.94%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-02 07:05
LiveScore Bet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.49%EV -4.19%E -3.74%K -34.92%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV -11.82%E -1.94%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-02 07:06
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.49%EV -4.19%E -3.74%K -34.92%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV -11.82%E -1.94%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-02 07:05
Unibet (NL)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.49%EV -4.19%E -3.74%K -34.92%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV -11.82%E -1.94%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-02 07:06
BetRivers🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.49%EV -4.19%E -3.74%K -34.92%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV -11.82%E -1.94%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-02 07:05
Virgin Bet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.49%EV -4.19%E -3.74%K -34.92%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV -11.82%E -1.94%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-02 07:05
Grosvenor🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.49%EV -4.19%E -3.74%K -34.92%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV -11.82%E -1.94%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-02 07:05
Unibet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.49%EV -4.19%E -3.74%K -34.92%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV -11.82%E -1.94%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-02 07:05
Unibet (SE)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.49%EV -4.19%E -3.74%K -34.92%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV -11.82%E -1.94%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-02 07:05
TABtouch🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.49%EV -4.19%E -3.74%K -34.92%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV -11.82%E -1.94%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-02 07:05
Bally Bet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.49%EV -4.19%E -3.74%K -34.92%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV -11.82%E -1.94%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-02 07:10
Svenska Spel🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.49%EV -4.19%E -3.74%K -34.92%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV -11.82%E -1.94%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-02 07:06
betPARX🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.49%EV -4.19%E -3.74%K -34.92%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV -11.82%E -1.94%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-02 07:05
ATG (SE)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.49%EV -4.19%E -3.74%K -34.92%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV -11.82%E -1.94%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-02 07:06
NetBet (FR)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.60%EV -5.05%E -4.55%K -45.88%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.40%EV -11.82%E -1.94%K -2.32%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-02 17:35
SportsBet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.26%EV -3.34%E -2.95%K -25.66%G +0.000%6.05I 16.53%NM 15.74%EV -12.54%E -2.07%K -2.48%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-02 11:25
Sky Bet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -3.34%E -2.95%K -25.66%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -13.26%E -2.21%K -2.65%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-02 11:25
betano_uk🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.19%E -3.74%K -34.92%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -13.26%E -2.21%K -2.65%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-02 07:59
PlayUp🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.19%E -3.74%K -34.92%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -13.26%E -2.21%K -2.65%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-02 16:00
PMU (FR)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.19%E -3.74%K -34.92%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -13.26%E -2.21%K -2.65%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-02 07:05
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.19%E -3.74%K -34.92%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -13.26%E -2.21%K -2.65%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-02 07:05
Paddy Power🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.19%E -3.74%K -34.92%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -13.26%E -2.21%K -2.65%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-02 11:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -2.48%E -2.18%K -17.71%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -20.49%E -3.73%K -4.55%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-02 11:25
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (8)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.13I 88.50%NM 88.39%8.60I 11.63%NM 11.61%0.1%2026-09-02 17:16
Matchbook◎1.13I 88.50%NM 88.39%8.60I 11.63%NM 11.61%0.1%2026-09-02 17:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.13I 88.50%NM 88.39%8.60I 11.63%NM 11.61%0.1%2026-09-02 17:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.13I 88.50%NM 88.14%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.86%0.4%2026-09-02 17:16
Kalshi◎1.14I 87.72%NM 87.09%7.69I 13.00%NM 12.91%0.7%2026-09-02 16:55
ProphetX◎1.13I 88.50%NM 87.49%7.90I 12.66%NM 12.51%1.2%2026-09-02 17:15
Novig◎1.14I 87.72%NM 86.67%7.41I 13.50%NM 13.33%1.2%2026-09-02 17:15
Smarkets◎1.11I 90.09%NM 88.08%8.20I 12.20%NM 11.92%2.3%2026-09-02 17:10