Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Marta Kostyuk v Sloane Stephens

Coup d’envoi : 2026-09-02 17:35 UTC

Score final : Marta Kostyuk 2–0 Sloane Stephens

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

65 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Marta Kostyuk (Local)

Prévision 85.54%1.17cote équitable
EV -2.48%
Avantage -2.18%
Kelly -17.71%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.14

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
82.83%85.64%85.53%87.21%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.081.111.111.1492.59%89.80%90.09%87.72%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Sloane Stephens (Visiteur)

Prévision 14.46%6.92cote équitable
EV +8.42%
Avantage +1.12%
Kelly +1.30%
Croissance +0.109%

avec la cote maximale 7.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
12.79%14.36%14.47%17.17%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
5.506.436.507.5018.18%15.56%15.38%13.33%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Marta Kostyuk (Local) : 85.54% ; Sloane Stephens (Visiteur) : 14.46%. Pour Sloane Stephens (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 6.92. 10 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 7.50, soit une espérance positive de +8.42%.

Cotes des opérateurs (65 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
BoyleSports🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -5.90%E -5.37%K -59.02%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV +8.42%E +1.12%K +1.30%G +0.109%4.2%2026-09-02 17:35
Coolbet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 86.62%EV -4.19%E -3.74%K -34.92%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 13.38%EV +4.81%E +0.663%K +0.769%G +0.037%3.1%2026-09-02 17:15
Winamax (DE)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 86.72%EV -5.05%E -4.55%K -45.88%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 13.28%EV +4.81%E +0.663%K +0.769%G +0.037%3.9%2026-09-02 05:59
DraftKings🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 86.85%EV -6.76%E -6.20%K -75.08%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.15%EV +4.08%E +0.567%K +0.659%G +0.027%5.6%2026-09-02 17:35
Tipico (DE)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 86.96%EV -7.61%E -7.05%K -95.16%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.04%EV +4.08%E +0.567%K +0.659%G +0.027%6.5%2026-09-02 07:10
MyBookie.ag🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.59%EV -5.90%E -5.37%K -59.02%G +0.000%7.10I 14.08%NM 13.41%EV +2.64%E +0.372%K +0.433%G +0.011%5.0%2026-09-02 14:46
1xBet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.47%EV -5.90%E -5.37%K -59.02%G +0.000%7.03I 14.22%NM 13.53%EV +1.63%E +0.231%K +0.270%G +0.004%5.1%2026-09-02 17:35
ReBet🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -5.05%E -4.55%K -45.88%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV +1.19%E +0.170%K +0.199%G +0.002%4.4%2026-09-02 14:40
Winamax (FR)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -5.05%E -4.55%K -45.88%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV +1.19%E +0.170%K +0.199%G +0.002%4.4%2026-09-02 06:00
Betway🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.90%E -5.37%K -59.02%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +1.19%E +0.170%K +0.199%G +0.002%5.2%2026-09-02 17:15
Betclic (FR)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.77%EV -4.19%E -3.74%K -34.92%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.23%EV -2.42%E -0.359%K -0.421%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-02 17:05
Bovada🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -5.05%E -4.55%K -45.88%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -2.42%E -0.359%K -0.421%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-02 17:34
Fanatics🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.79%EV -5.05%E -4.55%K -45.88%G +0.000%6.70I 14.93%NM 14.21%EV -3.14%E -0.469%K -0.552%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-02 17:35
Unibet (FR)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.79%EV -5.05%E -4.55%K -45.88%G +0.000%6.70I 14.93%NM 14.21%EV -3.14%E -0.469%K -0.552%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-02 12:25
GTbets🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 85.29%EV -2.48%E -2.18%K -17.71%G +0.000%6.61I 15.13%NM 14.71%EV -4.45%E -0.672%K -0.792%G +0.000%2.8%2026-09-02 12:40
BetUS🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.58%EV -5.05%E -4.55%K -45.88%G +0.000%6.59I 15.17%NM 14.42%EV -4.73%E -0.718%K -0.847%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-02 16:55
NordicBet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.68%EV -5.90%E -5.37%K -59.02%G +0.000%6.58I 15.20%NM 14.32%EV -4.88%E -0.741%K -0.874%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-02 06:00
Betsson🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.68%EV -5.90%E -5.37%K -59.02%G +0.000%6.58I 15.20%NM 14.32%EV -4.88%E -0.741%K -0.874%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-02 06:00
BetOnline.ag🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 85.19%EV -3.34%E -2.95%K -25.66%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.81%EV -6.04%E -0.929%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-02 10:05
LowVig.ag🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 85.19%EV -3.34%E -2.95%K -25.66%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.81%EV -6.04%E -0.929%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-02 10:05
Bet Right🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.05%E -4.55%K -45.88%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -6.04%E -0.929%K -1.10%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-02 17:05
William Hill🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.05%E -4.55%K -45.88%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -6.04%E -0.929%K -1.10%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-02 16:55
888sport🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.05%E -4.55%K -45.88%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -6.04%E -0.929%K -1.10%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-02 16:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.05%E -4.55%K -45.88%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -6.04%E -0.929%K -1.10%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-02 12:35
Coral🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.05%E -4.55%K -45.88%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -6.04%E -0.929%K -1.10%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-02 12:35
888sport (SE)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.05%E -4.55%K -45.88%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -6.04%E -0.929%K -1.10%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-02 16:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.05%E -4.55%K -45.88%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -6.04%E -0.929%K -1.10%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-02 16:55
Betr (AU)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.90%E -5.37%K -59.02%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -6.04%E -0.929%K -1.10%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-02 17:05
betfred_uk🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.90%E -5.37%K -59.02%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -6.04%E -0.929%K -1.10%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-02 09:20
Unibet (UK)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.90%E -5.37%K -59.02%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -6.04%E -0.929%K -1.10%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-02 05:54
LeoVegas🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.90%E -5.37%K -59.02%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -6.04%E -0.929%K -1.10%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-02 16:55
Caesars🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.90%E -5.37%K -59.02%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -6.04%E -0.929%K -1.10%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-02 07:37
Fliff🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.90%E -5.37%K -59.02%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -6.04%E -0.929%K -1.10%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-02 17:35
theScore Bet🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.32%EV -5.05%E -4.55%K -45.88%G +0.000%6.45I 15.50%NM 14.68%EV -6.76%E -1.05%K -1.24%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-02 05:55
FanDuel🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.79%EV -3.34%E -2.95%K -25.66%G +0.000%6.30I 15.87%NM 15.21%EV -8.93%E -1.42%K -1.68%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-02 11:25
Neds🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.19%E -3.74%K -34.92%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -9.65%E -1.54%K -1.84%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-02 12:35
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.19%E -3.74%K -34.92%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -9.65%E -1.54%K -1.84%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-02 12:35
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.92%EV -5.05%E -4.55%K -45.88%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.08%EV -9.65%E -1.54%K -1.84%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-02 17:05
BetMGM🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.92%EV -5.05%E -4.55%K -45.88%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.08%EV -9.65%E -1.54%K -1.84%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-02 12:35
TAB🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.03%EV -5.90%E -5.37%K -59.02%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.97%EV -9.65%E -1.54%K -1.84%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-02 12:40
BetAnything🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.70%EV -4.19%E -3.74%K -34.92%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.30%EV -10.37%E -1.67%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-02 17:34
Marathon Bet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.59%EV -4.19%E -3.74%K -34.92%G +0.000%6.15I 16.26%NM 15.41%EV -11.09%E -1.80%K -2.15%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-02 17:34
Casumo🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.49%EV -4.19%E -3.74%K -34.92%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV -11.82%E -1.94%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-02 07:05
LiveScore Bet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.49%EV -4.19%E -3.74%K -34.92%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV -11.82%E -1.94%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-02 07:06
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.49%EV -4.19%E -3.74%K -34.92%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV -11.82%E -1.94%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-02 07:05
Unibet (NL)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.49%EV -4.19%E -3.74%K -34.92%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV -11.82%E -1.94%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-02 07:06
BetRivers🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.49%EV -4.19%E -3.74%K -34.92%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV -11.82%E -1.94%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-02 07:05
Virgin Bet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.49%EV -4.19%E -3.74%K -34.92%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV -11.82%E -1.94%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-02 07:05
Grosvenor🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.49%EV -4.19%E -3.74%K -34.92%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV -11.82%E -1.94%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-02 07:05
Unibet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.49%EV -4.19%E -3.74%K -34.92%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV -11.82%E -1.94%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-02 07:05
Unibet (SE)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.49%EV -4.19%E -3.74%K -34.92%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV -11.82%E -1.94%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-02 07:05
TABtouch🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.49%EV -4.19%E -3.74%K -34.92%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV -11.82%E -1.94%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-02 07:05
Bally Bet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.49%EV -4.19%E -3.74%K -34.92%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV -11.82%E -1.94%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-02 07:10
Svenska Spel🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.49%EV -4.19%E -3.74%K -34.92%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV -11.82%E -1.94%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-02 07:06
betPARX🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.49%EV -4.19%E -3.74%K -34.92%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV -11.82%E -1.94%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-02 07:05
ATG (SE)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.49%EV -4.19%E -3.74%K -34.92%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV -11.82%E -1.94%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-02 07:06
NetBet (FR)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.60%EV -5.05%E -4.55%K -45.88%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.40%EV -11.82%E -1.94%K -2.32%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-02 17:35
SportsBet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.26%EV -3.34%E -2.95%K -25.66%G +0.000%6.05I 16.53%NM 15.74%EV -12.54%E -2.07%K -2.48%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-02 11:25
Sky Bet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -3.34%E -2.95%K -25.66%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -13.26%E -2.21%K -2.65%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-02 11:25
betano_uk🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.19%E -3.74%K -34.92%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -13.26%E -2.21%K -2.65%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-02 07:59
PlayUp🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.19%E -3.74%K -34.92%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -13.26%E -2.21%K -2.65%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-02 16:00
PMU (FR)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.19%E -3.74%K -34.92%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -13.26%E -2.21%K -2.65%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-02 07:05
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.19%E -3.74%K -34.92%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -13.26%E -2.21%K -2.65%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-02 07:05
Paddy Power🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.19%E -3.74%K -34.92%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -13.26%E -2.21%K -2.65%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-02 11:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -2.48%E -2.18%K -17.71%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -20.49%E -3.73%K -4.55%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-02 11:25
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (8)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.13I 88.50%NM 88.39%8.60I 11.63%NM 11.61%0.1%2026-09-02 17:16
Matchbook◎1.13I 88.50%NM 88.39%8.60I 11.63%NM 11.61%0.1%2026-09-02 17:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.13I 88.50%NM 88.39%8.60I 11.63%NM 11.61%0.1%2026-09-02 17:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.13I 88.50%NM 88.14%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.86%0.4%2026-09-02 17:16
Kalshi◎1.14I 87.72%NM 87.09%7.69I 13.00%NM 12.91%0.7%2026-09-02 16:55
ProphetX◎1.13I 88.50%NM 87.49%7.90I 12.66%NM 12.51%1.2%2026-09-02 17:15
Novig◎1.14I 87.72%NM 86.67%7.41I 13.50%NM 13.33%1.2%2026-09-02 17:15
Smarkets◎1.11I 90.09%NM 88.08%8.20I 12.20%NM 11.92%2.3%2026-09-02 17:10