Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Marta Kostyuk v Sloane Stephens

Inizio: 2026-09-02 17:35 UTC

Finale: Marta Kostyuk 2–0 Sloane Stephens

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

65 bookmaker (20 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Marta Kostyuk (Casa)

Previsione 85.54%1.17quota equa
EV -2.48%
Vantaggio -2.18%
Kelly -17.71%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.14

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
82.83%85.64%85.53%87.21%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.081.111.111.1492.59%89.80%90.09%87.72%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Sloane Stephens (Trasferta)

Previsione 14.46%6.92quota equa
EV +8.42%
Vantaggio +1.12%
Kelly +1.30%
Crescita +0.109%

ipotizzando la quota massima 7.50

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
12.79%14.36%14.47%17.17%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
5.506.436.507.5018.18%15.56%15.38%13.33%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Marta Kostyuk (Casa): 85.54%; Sloane Stephens (Trasferta): 14.46%. Per Sloane Stephens (Trasferta), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 6.92. 10 bookmaker offrivano quote di chiusura superiori a tale livello; la migliore era 7.50, corrispondente a un valore atteso positivo del +8.42%.

Quote dei bookmaker (65 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼MargineAggiornamento
BoyleSports🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -5.90%E -5.37%K -59.02%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV +8.42%E +1.12%K +1.30%G +0.109%4.2%2026-09-02 17:35
Coolbet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 86.62%EV -4.19%E -3.74%K -34.92%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 13.38%EV +4.81%E +0.663%K +0.769%G +0.037%3.1%2026-09-02 17:15
Winamax (DE)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 86.72%EV -5.05%E -4.55%K -45.88%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 13.28%EV +4.81%E +0.663%K +0.769%G +0.037%3.9%2026-09-02 05:59
DraftKings🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 86.85%EV -6.76%E -6.20%K -75.08%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.15%EV +4.08%E +0.567%K +0.659%G +0.027%5.6%2026-09-02 17:35
Tipico (DE)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 86.96%EV -7.61%E -7.05%K -95.16%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.04%EV +4.08%E +0.567%K +0.659%G +0.027%6.5%2026-09-02 07:10
MyBookie.ag🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.59%EV -5.90%E -5.37%K -59.02%G +0.000%7.10I 14.08%NM 13.41%EV +2.64%E +0.372%K +0.433%G +0.011%5.0%2026-09-02 14:46
1xBet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.47%EV -5.90%E -5.37%K -59.02%G +0.000%7.03I 14.22%NM 13.53%EV +1.63%E +0.231%K +0.270%G +0.004%5.1%2026-09-02 17:35
ReBet🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -5.05%E -4.55%K -45.88%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV +1.19%E +0.170%K +0.199%G +0.002%4.4%2026-09-02 14:40
Winamax (FR)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -5.05%E -4.55%K -45.88%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV +1.19%E +0.170%K +0.199%G +0.002%4.4%2026-09-02 06:00
Betway🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.90%E -5.37%K -59.02%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +1.19%E +0.170%K +0.199%G +0.002%5.2%2026-09-02 17:15
Betclic (FR)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.77%EV -4.19%E -3.74%K -34.92%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.23%EV -2.42%E -0.359%K -0.421%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-02 17:05
Bovada🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -5.05%E -4.55%K -45.88%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -2.42%E -0.359%K -0.421%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-02 17:34
Fanatics🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.79%EV -5.05%E -4.55%K -45.88%G +0.000%6.70I 14.93%NM 14.21%EV -3.14%E -0.469%K -0.552%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-02 17:35
Unibet (FR)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.79%EV -5.05%E -4.55%K -45.88%G +0.000%6.70I 14.93%NM 14.21%EV -3.14%E -0.469%K -0.552%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-02 12:25
GTbets🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 85.29%EV -2.48%E -2.18%K -17.71%G +0.000%6.61I 15.13%NM 14.71%EV -4.45%E -0.672%K -0.792%G +0.000%2.8%2026-09-02 12:40
BetUS🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.58%EV -5.05%E -4.55%K -45.88%G +0.000%6.59I 15.17%NM 14.42%EV -4.73%E -0.718%K -0.847%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-02 16:55
NordicBet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.68%EV -5.90%E -5.37%K -59.02%G +0.000%6.58I 15.20%NM 14.32%EV -4.88%E -0.741%K -0.874%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-02 06:00
Betsson🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.68%EV -5.90%E -5.37%K -59.02%G +0.000%6.58I 15.20%NM 14.32%EV -4.88%E -0.741%K -0.874%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-02 06:00
BetOnline.ag🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 85.19%EV -3.34%E -2.95%K -25.66%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.81%EV -6.04%E -0.929%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-02 10:05
LowVig.ag🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 85.19%EV -3.34%E -2.95%K -25.66%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.81%EV -6.04%E -0.929%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-02 10:05
Bet Right🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.05%E -4.55%K -45.88%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -6.04%E -0.929%K -1.10%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-02 17:05
William Hill🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.05%E -4.55%K -45.88%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -6.04%E -0.929%K -1.10%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-02 16:55
888sport🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.05%E -4.55%K -45.88%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -6.04%E -0.929%K -1.10%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-02 16:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.05%E -4.55%K -45.88%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -6.04%E -0.929%K -1.10%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-02 12:35
Coral🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.05%E -4.55%K -45.88%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -6.04%E -0.929%K -1.10%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-02 12:35
888sport (SE)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.05%E -4.55%K -45.88%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -6.04%E -0.929%K -1.10%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-02 16:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.05%E -4.55%K -45.88%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -6.04%E -0.929%K -1.10%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-02 16:55
Betr (AU)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.90%E -5.37%K -59.02%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -6.04%E -0.929%K -1.10%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-02 17:05
betfred_uk🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.90%E -5.37%K -59.02%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -6.04%E -0.929%K -1.10%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-02 09:20
Unibet (UK)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.90%E -5.37%K -59.02%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -6.04%E -0.929%K -1.10%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-02 05:54
LeoVegas🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.90%E -5.37%K -59.02%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -6.04%E -0.929%K -1.10%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-02 16:55
Caesars🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.90%E -5.37%K -59.02%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -6.04%E -0.929%K -1.10%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-02 07:37
Fliff🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.90%E -5.37%K -59.02%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -6.04%E -0.929%K -1.10%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-02 17:35
theScore Bet🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.32%EV -5.05%E -4.55%K -45.88%G +0.000%6.45I 15.50%NM 14.68%EV -6.76%E -1.05%K -1.24%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-02 05:55
FanDuel🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.79%EV -3.34%E -2.95%K -25.66%G +0.000%6.30I 15.87%NM 15.21%EV -8.93%E -1.42%K -1.68%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-02 11:25
Neds🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.19%E -3.74%K -34.92%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -9.65%E -1.54%K -1.84%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-02 12:35
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.19%E -3.74%K -34.92%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -9.65%E -1.54%K -1.84%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-02 12:35
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.92%EV -5.05%E -4.55%K -45.88%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.08%EV -9.65%E -1.54%K -1.84%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-02 17:05
BetMGM🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.92%EV -5.05%E -4.55%K -45.88%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.08%EV -9.65%E -1.54%K -1.84%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-02 12:35
TAB🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.03%EV -5.90%E -5.37%K -59.02%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.97%EV -9.65%E -1.54%K -1.84%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-02 12:40
BetAnything🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.70%EV -4.19%E -3.74%K -34.92%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.30%EV -10.37%E -1.67%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-02 17:34
Marathon Bet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.59%EV -4.19%E -3.74%K -34.92%G +0.000%6.15I 16.26%NM 15.41%EV -11.09%E -1.80%K -2.15%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-02 17:34
Casumo🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.49%EV -4.19%E -3.74%K -34.92%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV -11.82%E -1.94%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-02 07:05
LiveScore Bet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.49%EV -4.19%E -3.74%K -34.92%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV -11.82%E -1.94%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-02 07:06
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.49%EV -4.19%E -3.74%K -34.92%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV -11.82%E -1.94%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-02 07:05
Unibet (NL)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.49%EV -4.19%E -3.74%K -34.92%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV -11.82%E -1.94%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-02 07:06
BetRivers🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.49%EV -4.19%E -3.74%K -34.92%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV -11.82%E -1.94%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-02 07:05
Virgin Bet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.49%EV -4.19%E -3.74%K -34.92%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV -11.82%E -1.94%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-02 07:05
Grosvenor🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.49%EV -4.19%E -3.74%K -34.92%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV -11.82%E -1.94%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-02 07:05
Unibet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.49%EV -4.19%E -3.74%K -34.92%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV -11.82%E -1.94%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-02 07:05
Unibet (SE)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.49%EV -4.19%E -3.74%K -34.92%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV -11.82%E -1.94%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-02 07:05
TABtouch🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.49%EV -4.19%E -3.74%K -34.92%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV -11.82%E -1.94%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-02 07:05
Bally Bet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.49%EV -4.19%E -3.74%K -34.92%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV -11.82%E -1.94%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-02 07:10
Svenska Spel🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.49%EV -4.19%E -3.74%K -34.92%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV -11.82%E -1.94%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-02 07:06
betPARX🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.49%EV -4.19%E -3.74%K -34.92%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV -11.82%E -1.94%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-02 07:05
ATG (SE)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.49%EV -4.19%E -3.74%K -34.92%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV -11.82%E -1.94%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-02 07:06
NetBet (FR)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.60%EV -5.05%E -4.55%K -45.88%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.40%EV -11.82%E -1.94%K -2.32%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-02 17:35
SportsBet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.26%EV -3.34%E -2.95%K -25.66%G +0.000%6.05I 16.53%NM 15.74%EV -12.54%E -2.07%K -2.48%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-02 11:25
Sky Bet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -3.34%E -2.95%K -25.66%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -13.26%E -2.21%K -2.65%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-02 11:25
betano_uk🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.19%E -3.74%K -34.92%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -13.26%E -2.21%K -2.65%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-02 07:59
PlayUp🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.19%E -3.74%K -34.92%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -13.26%E -2.21%K -2.65%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-02 16:00
PMU (FR)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.19%E -3.74%K -34.92%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -13.26%E -2.21%K -2.65%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-02 07:05
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.19%E -3.74%K -34.92%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -13.26%E -2.21%K -2.65%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-02 07:05
Paddy Power🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.19%E -3.74%K -34.92%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -13.26%E -2.21%K -2.65%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-02 11:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -2.48%E -2.18%K -17.71%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -20.49%E -3.73%K -4.55%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-02 11:25
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (8)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.13I 88.50%NM 88.39%8.60I 11.63%NM 11.61%0.1%2026-09-02 17:16
Matchbook◎1.13I 88.50%NM 88.39%8.60I 11.63%NM 11.61%0.1%2026-09-02 17:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.13I 88.50%NM 88.39%8.60I 11.63%NM 11.61%0.1%2026-09-02 17:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.13I 88.50%NM 88.14%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.86%0.4%2026-09-02 17:16
Kalshi◎1.14I 87.72%NM 87.09%7.69I 13.00%NM 12.91%0.7%2026-09-02 16:55
ProphetX◎1.13I 88.50%NM 87.49%7.90I 12.66%NM 12.51%1.2%2026-09-02 17:15
Novig◎1.14I 87.72%NM 86.67%7.41I 13.50%NM 13.33%1.2%2026-09-02 17:15
Smarkets◎1.11I 90.09%NM 88.08%8.20I 12.20%NM 11.92%2.3%2026-09-02 17:10