StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Marta Kostyuk v Sloane Stephens

Matchstart: 2026-09-02 17:35 UTC

Slutresultat: Marta Kostyuk 2–0 Sloane Stephens

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

65 spelbolag (20 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Marta Kostyuk (Hemma)

Prognos 85.54%1.17rättvist odds
EV -2.48%
Fördel -2.18%
Kelly -17.71%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.14

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
82.83%85.64%85.53%87.21%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.081.111.111.1492.59%89.80%90.09%87.72%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Sloane Stephens (Borta)

Prognos 14.46%6.92rättvist odds
EV +8.42%
Fördel +1.12%
Kelly +1.30%
Tillväxt +0.109%

med antagandet om högsta odds 7.50

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
12.79%14.36%14.47%17.17%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
5.506.436.507.5018.18%15.56%15.38%13.33%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Marta Kostyuk (Hemma): 85.54%; Sloane Stephens (Borta): 14.46%. För Sloane Stephens (Borta) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 6.92. 10 spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån; bästa odds var 7.50, motsvarande ett positivt väntevärde på +8.42%.

Spelbolagsodds (65 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemmaBorta ▼MarginalUppdaterat
BoyleSports🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -5.90%E -5.37%K -59.02%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV +8.42%E +1.12%K +1.30%G +0.109%4.2%2026-09-02 17:35
Coolbet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 86.62%EV -4.19%E -3.74%K -34.92%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 13.38%EV +4.81%E +0.663%K +0.769%G +0.037%3.1%2026-09-02 17:15
Winamax (DE)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 86.72%EV -5.05%E -4.55%K -45.88%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 13.28%EV +4.81%E +0.663%K +0.769%G +0.037%3.9%2026-09-02 05:59
DraftKings🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 86.85%EV -6.76%E -6.20%K -75.08%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.15%EV +4.08%E +0.567%K +0.659%G +0.027%5.6%2026-09-02 17:35
Tipico (DE)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 86.96%EV -7.61%E -7.05%K -95.16%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.04%EV +4.08%E +0.567%K +0.659%G +0.027%6.5%2026-09-02 07:10
MyBookie.ag🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.59%EV -5.90%E -5.37%K -59.02%G +0.000%7.10I 14.08%NM 13.41%EV +2.64%E +0.372%K +0.433%G +0.011%5.0%2026-09-02 14:46
1xBet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.47%EV -5.90%E -5.37%K -59.02%G +0.000%7.03I 14.22%NM 13.53%EV +1.63%E +0.231%K +0.270%G +0.004%5.1%2026-09-02 17:35
ReBet🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -5.05%E -4.55%K -45.88%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV +1.19%E +0.170%K +0.199%G +0.002%4.4%2026-09-02 14:40
Winamax (FR)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -5.05%E -4.55%K -45.88%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV +1.19%E +0.170%K +0.199%G +0.002%4.4%2026-09-02 06:00
Betway🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.90%E -5.37%K -59.02%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +1.19%E +0.170%K +0.199%G +0.002%5.2%2026-09-02 17:15
Betclic (FR)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.77%EV -4.19%E -3.74%K -34.92%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.23%EV -2.42%E -0.359%K -0.421%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-02 17:05
Bovada🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -5.05%E -4.55%K -45.88%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -2.42%E -0.359%K -0.421%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-02 17:34
Fanatics🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.79%EV -5.05%E -4.55%K -45.88%G +0.000%6.70I 14.93%NM 14.21%EV -3.14%E -0.469%K -0.552%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-02 17:35
Unibet (FR)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.79%EV -5.05%E -4.55%K -45.88%G +0.000%6.70I 14.93%NM 14.21%EV -3.14%E -0.469%K -0.552%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-02 12:25
GTbets🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 85.29%EV -2.48%E -2.18%K -17.71%G +0.000%6.61I 15.13%NM 14.71%EV -4.45%E -0.672%K -0.792%G +0.000%2.8%2026-09-02 12:40
BetUS🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.58%EV -5.05%E -4.55%K -45.88%G +0.000%6.59I 15.17%NM 14.42%EV -4.73%E -0.718%K -0.847%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-02 16:55
NordicBet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.68%EV -5.90%E -5.37%K -59.02%G +0.000%6.58I 15.20%NM 14.32%EV -4.88%E -0.741%K -0.874%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-02 06:00
Betsson🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.68%EV -5.90%E -5.37%K -59.02%G +0.000%6.58I 15.20%NM 14.32%EV -4.88%E -0.741%K -0.874%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-02 06:00
BetOnline.ag🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 85.19%EV -3.34%E -2.95%K -25.66%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.81%EV -6.04%E -0.929%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-02 10:05
LowVig.ag🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 85.19%EV -3.34%E -2.95%K -25.66%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.81%EV -6.04%E -0.929%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-02 10:05
Bet Right🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.05%E -4.55%K -45.88%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -6.04%E -0.929%K -1.10%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-02 17:05
William Hill🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.05%E -4.55%K -45.88%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -6.04%E -0.929%K -1.10%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-02 16:55
888sport🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.05%E -4.55%K -45.88%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -6.04%E -0.929%K -1.10%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-02 16:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.05%E -4.55%K -45.88%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -6.04%E -0.929%K -1.10%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-02 12:35
Coral🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.05%E -4.55%K -45.88%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -6.04%E -0.929%K -1.10%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-02 12:35
888sport (SE)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.05%E -4.55%K -45.88%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -6.04%E -0.929%K -1.10%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-02 16:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.05%E -4.55%K -45.88%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -6.04%E -0.929%K -1.10%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-02 16:55
Betr (AU)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.90%E -5.37%K -59.02%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -6.04%E -0.929%K -1.10%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-02 17:05
betfred_uk🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.90%E -5.37%K -59.02%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -6.04%E -0.929%K -1.10%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-02 09:20
Unibet (UK)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.90%E -5.37%K -59.02%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -6.04%E -0.929%K -1.10%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-02 05:54
LeoVegas🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.90%E -5.37%K -59.02%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -6.04%E -0.929%K -1.10%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-02 16:55
Caesars🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.90%E -5.37%K -59.02%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -6.04%E -0.929%K -1.10%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-02 07:37
Fliff🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.90%E -5.37%K -59.02%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -6.04%E -0.929%K -1.10%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-02 17:35
theScore Bet🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.32%EV -5.05%E -4.55%K -45.88%G +0.000%6.45I 15.50%NM 14.68%EV -6.76%E -1.05%K -1.24%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-02 05:55
FanDuel🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.79%EV -3.34%E -2.95%K -25.66%G +0.000%6.30I 15.87%NM 15.21%EV -8.93%E -1.42%K -1.68%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-02 11:25
Neds🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.19%E -3.74%K -34.92%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -9.65%E -1.54%K -1.84%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-02 12:35
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.19%E -3.74%K -34.92%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -9.65%E -1.54%K -1.84%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-02 12:35
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.92%EV -5.05%E -4.55%K -45.88%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.08%EV -9.65%E -1.54%K -1.84%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-02 17:05
BetMGM🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.92%EV -5.05%E -4.55%K -45.88%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.08%EV -9.65%E -1.54%K -1.84%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-02 12:35
TAB🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.03%EV -5.90%E -5.37%K -59.02%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.97%EV -9.65%E -1.54%K -1.84%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-02 12:40
BetAnything🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.70%EV -4.19%E -3.74%K -34.92%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.30%EV -10.37%E -1.67%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-02 17:34
Marathon Bet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.59%EV -4.19%E -3.74%K -34.92%G +0.000%6.15I 16.26%NM 15.41%EV -11.09%E -1.80%K -2.15%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-02 17:34
Casumo🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.49%EV -4.19%E -3.74%K -34.92%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV -11.82%E -1.94%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-02 07:05
LiveScore Bet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.49%EV -4.19%E -3.74%K -34.92%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV -11.82%E -1.94%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-02 07:06
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.49%EV -4.19%E -3.74%K -34.92%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV -11.82%E -1.94%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-02 07:05
Unibet (NL)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.49%EV -4.19%E -3.74%K -34.92%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV -11.82%E -1.94%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-02 07:06
BetRivers🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.49%EV -4.19%E -3.74%K -34.92%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV -11.82%E -1.94%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-02 07:05
Virgin Bet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.49%EV -4.19%E -3.74%K -34.92%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV -11.82%E -1.94%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-02 07:05
Grosvenor🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.49%EV -4.19%E -3.74%K -34.92%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV -11.82%E -1.94%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-02 07:05
Unibet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.49%EV -4.19%E -3.74%K -34.92%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV -11.82%E -1.94%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-02 07:05
Unibet (SE)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.49%EV -4.19%E -3.74%K -34.92%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV -11.82%E -1.94%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-02 07:05
TABtouch🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.49%EV -4.19%E -3.74%K -34.92%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV -11.82%E -1.94%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-02 07:05
Bally Bet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.49%EV -4.19%E -3.74%K -34.92%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV -11.82%E -1.94%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-02 07:10
Svenska Spel🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.49%EV -4.19%E -3.74%K -34.92%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV -11.82%E -1.94%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-02 07:06
betPARX🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.49%EV -4.19%E -3.74%K -34.92%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV -11.82%E -1.94%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-02 07:05
ATG (SE)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.49%EV -4.19%E -3.74%K -34.92%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV -11.82%E -1.94%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-02 07:06
NetBet (FR)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.60%EV -5.05%E -4.55%K -45.88%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.40%EV -11.82%E -1.94%K -2.32%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-02 17:35
SportsBet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.26%EV -3.34%E -2.95%K -25.66%G +0.000%6.05I 16.53%NM 15.74%EV -12.54%E -2.07%K -2.48%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-02 11:25
Sky Bet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -3.34%E -2.95%K -25.66%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -13.26%E -2.21%K -2.65%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-02 11:25
betano_uk🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.19%E -3.74%K -34.92%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -13.26%E -2.21%K -2.65%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-02 07:59
PlayUp🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.19%E -3.74%K -34.92%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -13.26%E -2.21%K -2.65%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-02 16:00
PMU (FR)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.19%E -3.74%K -34.92%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -13.26%E -2.21%K -2.65%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-02 07:05
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.19%E -3.74%K -34.92%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -13.26%E -2.21%K -2.65%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-02 07:05
Paddy Power🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.19%E -3.74%K -34.92%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -13.26%E -2.21%K -2.65%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-02 11:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -2.48%E -2.18%K -17.71%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -20.49%E -3.73%K -4.55%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-02 11:25
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (8)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.13I 88.50%NM 88.39%8.60I 11.63%NM 11.61%0.1%2026-09-02 17:16
Matchbook◎1.13I 88.50%NM 88.39%8.60I 11.63%NM 11.61%0.1%2026-09-02 17:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.13I 88.50%NM 88.39%8.60I 11.63%NM 11.61%0.1%2026-09-02 17:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.13I 88.50%NM 88.14%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.86%0.4%2026-09-02 17:16
Kalshi◎1.14I 87.72%NM 87.09%7.69I 13.00%NM 12.91%0.7%2026-09-02 16:55
ProphetX◎1.13I 88.50%NM 87.49%7.90I 12.66%NM 12.51%1.2%2026-09-02 17:15
Novig◎1.14I 87.72%NM 86.67%7.41I 13.50%NM 13.33%1.2%2026-09-02 17:15
Smarkets◎1.11I 90.09%NM 88.08%8.20I 12.20%NM 11.92%2.3%2026-09-02 17:10