StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Marta Kostyuk v Ekaterina Alexandrova

Matchstart: 2026-09-04 15:00 UTC

Slutresultat: Marta Kostyuk 2–0 Ekaterina Alexandrova

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

65 spelbolag (21 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Marta Kostyuk (Hemma)

Prognos 74.21%1.35rättvist odds
EV -1.30%
Fördel -0.978%
Kelly -3.94%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.33

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
69.28%73.81%74.45%76.05%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.251.291.291.3380.00%77.53%77.52%75.19%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Ekaterina Alexandrova (Borta)

Prognos 25.79%3.88rättvist odds
EV +3.16%
Fördel +0.790%
Kelly +1.05%
Tillväxt +0.033%

med antagandet om högsta odds 4.00

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
23.95%26.19%25.55%30.72%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
3.003.613.604.0033.33%27.72%27.78%25.00%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Marta Kostyuk (Hemma): 74.21%; Ekaterina Alexandrova (Borta): 25.79%. För Ekaterina Alexandrova (Borta) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 3.88. 4 spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån; bästa odds var 4.00, motsvarande ett positivt väntevärde på +3.16%.

Spelbolagsodds (65 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemmaBorta ▼MarginalUppdaterat
LowVig.ag🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 76.05%EV -6.50%E -5.16%K -24.98%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV +3.16%E +0.790%K +1.05%G +0.033%4.4%2026-09-04 11:30
BetOnline.ag🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 76.05%EV -6.50%E -5.16%K -24.98%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV +3.16%E +0.790%K +1.05%G +0.033%4.4%2026-09-04 11:25
Pinnacle🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 75.05%EV -3.53%E -2.71%K -11.76%G +0.000%3.91I 25.58%NM 24.95%EV +0.839%E +0.215%K +0.288%G +0.002%2.5%2026-09-04 14:20
Winamax (DE)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 75.29%EV -5.01%E -3.91%K -17.90%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.71%EV +0.581%E +0.149%K +0.200%G +0.001%3.8%2026-09-04 13:00
Winamax (FR)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -5.75%E -4.53%K -21.31%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -0.709%E -0.184%K -0.249%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-04 13:00
BetAnything🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -5.75%E -4.53%K -21.31%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -0.709%E -0.184%K -0.249%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-04 14:20
Coolbet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 74.51%EV -3.53%E -2.71%K -11.76%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.49%EV -2.00%E -0.526%K -0.714%G +0.000%3.2%2026-09-04 09:49
Betway🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -4.27%E -3.31%K -14.72%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -2.00%E -0.526%K -0.714%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-04 09:50
Unibet (UK)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -4.27%E -3.31%K -14.72%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -2.00%E -0.526%K -0.714%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-04 10:15
ReBet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -4.27%E -3.31%K -14.72%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -2.00%E -0.526%K -0.714%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-04 13:05
Betclic (FR)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -4.27%E -3.31%K -14.72%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -2.00%E -0.526%K -0.714%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-04 08:34
TAB🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -7.24%E -5.79%K -28.95%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -2.00%E -0.526%K -0.714%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-04 11:25
Sky Bet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 74.26%EV -3.53%E -2.71%K -11.76%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.74%EV -3.29%E -0.877%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.6%2026-09-04 14:10
Bovada🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -4.27%E -3.31%K -14.72%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -3.29%E -0.877%K -1.20%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-04 09:46
SportsBet🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.40%EV -5.01%E -3.91%K -17.90%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 25.60%EV -4.06%E -1.09%K -1.49%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-04 14:10
MyBookie.ag🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -4.27%E -3.31%K -14.72%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -4.58%E -1.24%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-04 08:40
Bet Right🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -5.01%E -3.91%K -17.90%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -4.58%E -1.24%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-04 12:45
Unibet (FR)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -5.01%E -3.91%K -17.90%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -4.58%E -1.24%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-04 08:35
theScore Bet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -5.75%E -4.53%K -21.31%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -4.58%E -1.24%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-04 08:35
Tipico (DE)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -5.75%E -4.53%K -21.31%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -4.58%E -1.24%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-04 02:50
NetBet (FR)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 74.60%EV -6.50%E -5.16%K -24.98%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -4.58%E -1.24%K -1.70%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-04 09:50
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -7.24%E -5.79%K -28.95%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -4.58%E -1.24%K -1.70%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-04 09:50
FanDuel🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.74%EV -3.53%E -2.71%K -11.76%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.26%EV -5.87%E -1.61%K -2.21%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-04 14:10
Fanatics🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -4.27%E -3.31%K -14.72%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -5.87%E -1.61%K -2.21%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-04 08:35
PlayUp🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -5.01%E -3.91%K -17.90%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -5.87%E -1.61%K -2.21%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-04 13:09
Betsson🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.13%EV -5.75%E -4.53%K -21.31%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 25.87%EV -6.12%E -1.68%K -2.32%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-04 08:35
NordicBet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.13%EV -5.75%E -4.53%K -21.31%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 25.87%EV -6.12%E -1.68%K -2.32%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-04 08:35
1xBet🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -2.78%E -2.13%K -8.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -7.16%E -1.99%K -2.75%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-04 14:15
Paddy Power🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.27%E -3.31%K -14.72%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -7.16%E -1.99%K -2.75%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-04 14:10
888sport🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.27%E -3.31%K -14.72%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -7.16%E -1.99%K -2.75%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-04 13:25
BetMGM🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.27%E -3.31%K -14.72%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -7.16%E -1.99%K -2.75%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-04 09:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.27%E -3.31%K -14.72%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -7.16%E -1.99%K -2.75%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-04 13:25
888sport (SE)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.27%E -3.31%K -14.72%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -7.16%E -1.99%K -2.75%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-04 13:25
William Hill🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.27%E -3.31%K -14.72%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -7.16%E -1.99%K -2.75%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-04 13:25
Betr (AU)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -5.01%E -3.91%K -17.90%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -7.16%E -1.99%K -2.75%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-04 14:05
Marathon Bet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -4.27%E -3.31%K -14.72%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -8.45%E -2.38%K -3.31%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-04 14:10
BetUS🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -4.27%E -3.31%K -14.72%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -8.45%E -2.38%K -3.31%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-04 14:05
LeoVegas🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.50%EV -5.01%E -3.91%K -17.90%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.50%EV -8.45%E -2.38%K -3.31%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-04 12:35
GTbets🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -2.78%E -2.13%K -8.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -9.74%E -2.78%K -3.89%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-03 20:40
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -2.78%E -2.13%K -8.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -9.74%E -2.78%K -3.89%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-04 06:45
Unibet (NL)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.53%E -2.71%K -11.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -9.74%E -2.78%K -3.89%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-04 08:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.53%E -2.71%K -11.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -9.74%E -2.78%K -3.89%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-04 08:00
BetRivers🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.53%E -2.71%K -11.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -9.74%E -2.78%K -3.89%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-04 08:00
Unibet (SE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.53%E -2.71%K -11.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -9.74%E -2.78%K -3.89%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-04 08:00
Grosvenor🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.53%E -2.71%K -11.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -9.74%E -2.78%K -3.89%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-04 08:00
Virgin Bet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.53%E -2.71%K -11.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -9.74%E -2.78%K -3.89%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-04 08:00
Unibet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.53%E -2.71%K -11.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -9.74%E -2.78%K -3.89%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-04 08:00
Casumo🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.53%E -2.71%K -11.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -9.74%E -2.78%K -3.89%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-04 08:00
LiveScore Bet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.53%E -2.71%K -11.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -9.74%E -2.78%K -3.89%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-04 08:00
TABtouch🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.53%E -2.71%K -11.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -9.74%E -2.78%K -3.89%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-04 07:59
Svenska Spel🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.53%E -2.71%K -11.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -9.74%E -2.78%K -3.89%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-04 08:00
Bally Bet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.53%E -2.71%K -11.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -9.74%E -2.78%K -3.89%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-04 08:00
ATG (SE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.53%E -2.71%K -11.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -9.74%E -2.78%K -3.89%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-04 08:00
betPARX🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.53%E -2.71%K -11.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -9.74%E -2.78%K -3.89%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-04 08:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.53%E -2.71%K -11.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -9.74%E -2.78%K -3.89%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-04 09:30
Neds🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.53%E -2.71%K -11.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -9.74%E -2.78%K -3.89%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-04 09:30
betfred_uk🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.27%E -3.31%K -14.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -9.74%E -2.78%K -3.89%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-04 09:05
betano_uk🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.27%E -3.31%K -14.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -9.74%E -2.78%K -3.89%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-04 08:15
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -5.01%E -3.91%K -17.90%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -9.74%E -2.78%K -3.89%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-04 09:30
Coral🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -5.01%E -3.91%K -17.90%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -9.74%E -2.78%K -3.89%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-04 09:30
PMU (FR)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.78%EV -4.27%E -3.31%K -14.72%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.22%EV -11.02%E -3.20%K -4.50%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-04 08:00
DraftKings🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 72.42%EV -2.78%E -2.13%K -8.98%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.58%EV -11.28%E -3.28%K -4.62%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-04 06:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -3.53%E -2.71%K -11.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -12.31%E -3.62%K -5.13%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-04 14:10
Caesars🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -1.30%E -0.978%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -20.05%E -6.47%K -9.55%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-03 16:40
BoyleSports🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -1.30%E -0.978%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -22.63%E -7.54%K -11.32%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-04 14:05
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (8)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
ProphetX◎1.31I 76.34%NM 75.79%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.21%0.7%2026-09-04 13:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.30I 76.92%NM 76.36%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.64%0.7%2026-09-04 13:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.30I 76.92%NM 76.36%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.64%0.7%2026-09-04 13:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.30I 76.92%NM 76.36%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.64%0.7%2026-09-04 13:55
Matchbook◎1.30I 76.92%NM 76.36%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.64%0.7%2026-09-04 13:50
Novig◎1.32I 75.76%NM 75.19%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81%0.8%2026-09-04 14:10
Kalshi◎1.33I 75.19%NM 74.32%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.68%1.2%2026-09-03 16:40
Smarkets◎1.29I 77.52%NM 76.07%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.93%1.9%2026-09-04 14:35