Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Marta Kostyuk v Ekaterina Alexandrova

2026-09-04 15:00 UTC — WTA US Open

Frente a frente

47 casas de apostas (16 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Marta Kostyuk (Local)

Previsão 68.51%1.46odd justa
EV -3.39%
Vantagem -2.41%
Kelly -8.28%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.41

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
67.06%68.54%68.60%70.80%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.321.381.391.4175.76%72.31%71.94%70.92%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Ekaterina Alexandrova (Visitante)

Previsão 31.49%3.18odd justa
EV +0.753%
Vantagem +0.235%
Kelly +0.342%
Crescimento +0.003%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.20

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
29.20%31.46%31.40%32.94%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.752.963.003.2036.36%33.75%33.33%31.25%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Frente a frente, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Marta Kostyuk (Local): 68.51%; Ekaterina Alexandrova (Visitante): 31.49%. Para Ekaterina Alexandrova (Visitante), essa estimativa equivale a odds decimais justas de 3.18. 2 casas de apostas oferecem odds acima desse nível; as melhores odds disponíveis são 3.20, produzindo um valor esperado positivo de +0.753%.

Odds das casas de apostas (47 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -7.51%E -5.56%K -21.44%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV +0.753%E +0.235%K +0.342%G +0.003%5.3%2026-09-03 05:35
SportsBet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -9.56%E -7.24%K -29.88%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV +0.753%E +0.235%K +0.342%G +0.003%7.0%2026-09-03 02:30
Coolbet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 69.23%EV -4.08%E -2.91%K -10.20%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.77%EV -0.821%E -0.261%K -0.382%G +0.000%3.2%2026-09-03 06:55
FanDuel🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -5.45%E -3.95%K -14.34%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -0.821%E -0.261%K -0.382%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-03 02:30
Paddy Power🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.82%E -5.01%K -18.94%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -2.40%E -0.773%K -1.14%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-03 02:30
Tipico (DE)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -7.51%E -5.56%K -21.44%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -2.40%E -0.773%K -1.14%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-03 02:30
1xBet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.61%EV -4.08%E -2.91%K -10.20%G +0.000%3.06I 32.68%NM 31.39%EV -3.65%E -1.19%K -1.77%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-03 07:45
GTbets🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 68.55%EV -4.76%E -3.43%K -12.22%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 31.45%EV -4.60%E -1.52%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-03 01:51
Marathon Bet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.64%EV -5.45%E -3.95%K -14.34%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 31.36%EV -4.91%E -1.63%K -2.43%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-03 07:40
DraftKings🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.56%EV -5.45%E -3.95%K -14.34%G +0.000%3.01I 33.22%NM 31.44%EV -5.23%E -1.74%K -2.60%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-03 05:15
Betway🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.08%E -2.91%K -10.20%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -5.54%E -1.85%K -2.77%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-03 05:34
Bovada🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.08%E -2.91%K -10.20%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -5.54%E -1.85%K -2.77%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-03 07:40
BoyleSports🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.08%E -2.91%K -10.20%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -5.54%E -1.85%K -2.77%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-03 03:55
Bet Right🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 68.34%EV -4.76%E -3.43%K -12.22%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.66%EV -5.54%E -1.85%K -2.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-03 07:35
Betr (AU)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.45%E -3.95%K -14.34%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.54%E -1.85%K -2.77%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-03 07:35
MyBookie.ag🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.45%E -3.95%K -14.34%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.54%E -1.85%K -2.77%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-03 01:40
PlayUp🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.45%E -3.95%K -14.34%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.54%E -1.85%K -2.77%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-03 02:30
Winamax (DE)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.45%E -3.95%K -14.34%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.54%E -1.85%K -2.77%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-03 02:30
Fanatics🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -6.14%E -4.48%K -16.58%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -5.54%E -1.85%K -2.77%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-03 01:30
betfred_uk🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.82%E -5.01%K -18.94%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -5.54%E -1.85%K -2.77%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-03 01:36
theScore Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.82%E -5.01%K -18.94%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -5.54%E -1.85%K -2.77%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-03 01:30
Sky Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.82%E -5.01%K -18.94%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -5.54%E -1.85%K -2.77%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-03 02:30
TAB🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.82%E -5.01%K -18.94%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -5.54%E -1.85%K -2.77%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-03 02:29
Caesars🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.82%E -5.01%K -18.94%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -5.54%E -1.85%K -2.77%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-03 04:36
Unibet (UK)🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 68.29%EV -6.14%E -4.48%K -16.58%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -7.12%E -2.41%K -3.65%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-03 01:30
Unibet (NL)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -3.39%E -2.41%K -8.28%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -8.69%E -3.00%K -4.57%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-03 07:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -3.39%E -2.41%K -8.28%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -8.69%E -3.00%K -4.57%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-03 07:40
BetRivers🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -3.39%E -2.41%K -8.28%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -8.69%E -3.00%K -4.57%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-03 07:40
Unibet (SE)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -3.39%E -2.41%K -8.28%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -8.69%E -3.00%K -4.57%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-03 07:39
Grosvenor🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -3.39%E -2.41%K -8.28%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -8.69%E -3.00%K -4.57%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-03 07:39
Virgin Bet🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -3.39%E -2.41%K -8.28%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -8.69%E -3.00%K -4.57%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-03 07:40
Unibet🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -3.39%E -2.41%K -8.28%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -8.69%E -3.00%K -4.57%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-03 07:40
Casumo🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -3.39%E -2.41%K -8.28%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -8.69%E -3.00%K -4.57%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-03 07:40
LiveScore Bet🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -3.39%E -2.41%K -8.28%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -8.69%E -3.00%K -4.57%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-03 07:40
TABtouch🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -3.39%E -2.41%K -8.28%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -8.69%E -3.00%K -4.57%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-03 07:40
Svenska Spel🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -3.39%E -2.41%K -8.28%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -8.69%E -3.00%K -4.57%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-03 07:40
Bally Bet🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -3.39%E -2.41%K -8.28%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -8.69%E -3.00%K -4.57%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-03 07:39
ATG (SE)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -3.39%E -2.41%K -8.28%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -8.69%E -3.00%K -4.57%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-03 07:40
betPARX🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -3.39%E -2.41%K -8.28%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -8.69%E -3.00%K -4.57%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-03 07:39
betano_uk🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.08%E -2.91%K -10.20%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -8.69%E -3.00%K -4.57%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-03 07:40
888sport🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.08%E -2.91%K -10.20%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -8.69%E -3.00%K -4.57%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-03 01:36
LeoVegas🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -6.82%E -5.01%K -18.94%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -8.69%E -3.00%K -4.57%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-03 05:20
PMU (FR)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -4.08%E -2.91%K -10.20%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -10.27%E -3.60%K -5.55%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-03 07:39
ReBet🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 67.79%EV -8.19%E -6.11%K -24.09%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 32.21%EV -11.21%E -3.98%K -6.16%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-03 01:30
Betclic (FR)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 67.63%EV -8.19%E -6.11%K -24.09%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.37%EV -11.84%E -4.23%K -6.58%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-03 01:33
Unibet (FR)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 67.40%EV -8.88%E -6.67%K -26.90%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.60%EV -13.42%E -4.88%K -7.67%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-03 01:30
Winamax (FR)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 67.40%EV -8.88%E -6.67%K -26.90%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.60%EV -13.42%E -4.88%K -7.67%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-03 02:30
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (8)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Novig1.41I 70.92%NM 68.24%3.03I 33.00%NM 31.76%3.9%2026-09-03 05:15
Kalshi1.37I 72.99%NM 69.49%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.51%5.0%2026-09-03 07:30
Smarkets1.32I 75.76%NM 67.33%2.72I 36.76%NM 32.67%12.5%2026-09-03 01:30
Matchbook1.17I 85.47%NM 55.85%1.48I 67.57%NM 44.15%53.0%2026-09-03 06:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.17I 85.47%NM 55.00%1.43I 69.93%NM 45.00%55.4%2026-09-03 06:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.17I 85.47%NM 55.00%1.43I 69.93%NM 45.00%55.4%2026-09-03 06:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.17I 85.47%NM 55.00%1.43I 69.93%NM 45.00%55.4%2026-09-03 06:40
ProphetX1.09I 91.74%NM 51.77%1.17I 85.47%NM 48.23%77.2%2026-09-03 07:35