Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Marta Kostyuk v Ekaterina Alexandrova

Início: 2026-09-04 15:00 UTC

Final: Marta Kostyuk 2–0 Ekaterina Alexandrova

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

65 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Marta Kostyuk (Local)

Previsão 74.21%1.35odd justa
EV -1.30%
Vantagem -0.978%
Kelly -3.94%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.33

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
69.28%73.81%74.45%76.05%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.251.291.291.3380.00%77.53%77.52%75.19%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Ekaterina Alexandrova (Visitante)

Previsão 25.79%3.88odd justa
EV +3.16%
Vantagem +0.790%
Kelly +1.05%
Crescimento +0.033%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.00

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
23.95%26.19%25.55%30.72%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.003.613.604.0033.33%27.72%27.78%25.00%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Marta Kostyuk (Local): 74.21%; Ekaterina Alexandrova (Visitante): 25.79%. Para Ekaterina Alexandrova (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 3.88. 4 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 4.00, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +3.16%.

Odds das casas de apostas (65 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
LowVig.ag🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 76.05%EV -6.50%E -5.16%K -24.98%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV +3.16%E +0.790%K +1.05%G +0.033%4.4%2026-09-04 11:30
BetOnline.ag🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 76.05%EV -6.50%E -5.16%K -24.98%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV +3.16%E +0.790%K +1.05%G +0.033%4.4%2026-09-04 11:25
Pinnacle🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 75.05%EV -3.53%E -2.71%K -11.76%G +0.000%3.91I 25.58%NM 24.95%EV +0.839%E +0.215%K +0.288%G +0.002%2.5%2026-09-04 14:20
Winamax (DE)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 75.29%EV -5.01%E -3.91%K -17.90%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.71%EV +0.581%E +0.149%K +0.200%G +0.001%3.8%2026-09-04 13:00
Winamax (FR)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -5.75%E -4.53%K -21.31%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -0.709%E -0.184%K -0.249%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-04 13:00
BetAnything🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -5.75%E -4.53%K -21.31%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -0.709%E -0.184%K -0.249%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-04 14:20
Coolbet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 74.51%EV -3.53%E -2.71%K -11.76%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.49%EV -2.00%E -0.526%K -0.714%G +0.000%3.2%2026-09-04 09:49
Betway🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -4.27%E -3.31%K -14.72%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -2.00%E -0.526%K -0.714%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-04 09:50
Unibet (UK)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -4.27%E -3.31%K -14.72%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -2.00%E -0.526%K -0.714%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-04 10:15
ReBet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -4.27%E -3.31%K -14.72%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -2.00%E -0.526%K -0.714%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-04 13:05
Betclic (FR)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -4.27%E -3.31%K -14.72%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -2.00%E -0.526%K -0.714%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-04 08:34
TAB🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -7.24%E -5.79%K -28.95%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -2.00%E -0.526%K -0.714%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-04 11:25
Sky Bet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 74.26%EV -3.53%E -2.71%K -11.76%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.74%EV -3.29%E -0.877%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.6%2026-09-04 14:10
Bovada🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -4.27%E -3.31%K -14.72%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -3.29%E -0.877%K -1.20%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-04 09:46
SportsBet🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.40%EV -5.01%E -3.91%K -17.90%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 25.60%EV -4.06%E -1.09%K -1.49%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-04 14:10
MyBookie.ag🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -4.27%E -3.31%K -14.72%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -4.58%E -1.24%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-04 08:40
Bet Right🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -5.01%E -3.91%K -17.90%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -4.58%E -1.24%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-04 12:45
Unibet (FR)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -5.01%E -3.91%K -17.90%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -4.58%E -1.24%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-04 08:35
theScore Bet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -5.75%E -4.53%K -21.31%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -4.58%E -1.24%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-04 08:35
Tipico (DE)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -5.75%E -4.53%K -21.31%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -4.58%E -1.24%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-04 02:50
NetBet (FR)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 74.60%EV -6.50%E -5.16%K -24.98%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -4.58%E -1.24%K -1.70%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-04 09:50
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -7.24%E -5.79%K -28.95%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -4.58%E -1.24%K -1.70%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-04 09:50
FanDuel🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.74%EV -3.53%E -2.71%K -11.76%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.26%EV -5.87%E -1.61%K -2.21%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-04 14:10
Fanatics🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -4.27%E -3.31%K -14.72%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -5.87%E -1.61%K -2.21%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-04 08:35
PlayUp🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -5.01%E -3.91%K -17.90%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -5.87%E -1.61%K -2.21%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-04 13:09
Betsson🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.13%EV -5.75%E -4.53%K -21.31%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 25.87%EV -6.12%E -1.68%K -2.32%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-04 08:35
NordicBet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.13%EV -5.75%E -4.53%K -21.31%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 25.87%EV -6.12%E -1.68%K -2.32%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-04 08:35
1xBet🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -2.78%E -2.13%K -8.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -7.16%E -1.99%K -2.75%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-04 14:15
Paddy Power🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.27%E -3.31%K -14.72%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -7.16%E -1.99%K -2.75%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-04 14:10
888sport🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.27%E -3.31%K -14.72%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -7.16%E -1.99%K -2.75%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-04 13:25
BetMGM🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.27%E -3.31%K -14.72%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -7.16%E -1.99%K -2.75%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-04 09:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.27%E -3.31%K -14.72%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -7.16%E -1.99%K -2.75%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-04 13:25
888sport (SE)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.27%E -3.31%K -14.72%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -7.16%E -1.99%K -2.75%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-04 13:25
William Hill🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.27%E -3.31%K -14.72%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -7.16%E -1.99%K -2.75%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-04 13:25
Betr (AU)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -5.01%E -3.91%K -17.90%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -7.16%E -1.99%K -2.75%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-04 14:05
Marathon Bet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -4.27%E -3.31%K -14.72%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -8.45%E -2.38%K -3.31%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-04 14:10
BetUS🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -4.27%E -3.31%K -14.72%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -8.45%E -2.38%K -3.31%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-04 14:05
LeoVegas🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.50%EV -5.01%E -3.91%K -17.90%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.50%EV -8.45%E -2.38%K -3.31%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-04 12:35
GTbets🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -2.78%E -2.13%K -8.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -9.74%E -2.78%K -3.89%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-03 20:40
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -2.78%E -2.13%K -8.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -9.74%E -2.78%K -3.89%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-04 06:45
Unibet (NL)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.53%E -2.71%K -11.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -9.74%E -2.78%K -3.89%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-04 08:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.53%E -2.71%K -11.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -9.74%E -2.78%K -3.89%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-04 08:00
BetRivers🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.53%E -2.71%K -11.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -9.74%E -2.78%K -3.89%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-04 08:00
Unibet (SE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.53%E -2.71%K -11.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -9.74%E -2.78%K -3.89%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-04 08:00
Grosvenor🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.53%E -2.71%K -11.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -9.74%E -2.78%K -3.89%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-04 08:00
Virgin Bet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.53%E -2.71%K -11.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -9.74%E -2.78%K -3.89%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-04 08:00
Unibet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.53%E -2.71%K -11.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -9.74%E -2.78%K -3.89%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-04 08:00
Casumo🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.53%E -2.71%K -11.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -9.74%E -2.78%K -3.89%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-04 08:00
LiveScore Bet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.53%E -2.71%K -11.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -9.74%E -2.78%K -3.89%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-04 08:00
TABtouch🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.53%E -2.71%K -11.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -9.74%E -2.78%K -3.89%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-04 07:59
Svenska Spel🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.53%E -2.71%K -11.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -9.74%E -2.78%K -3.89%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-04 08:00
Bally Bet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.53%E -2.71%K -11.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -9.74%E -2.78%K -3.89%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-04 08:00
ATG (SE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.53%E -2.71%K -11.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -9.74%E -2.78%K -3.89%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-04 08:00
betPARX🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.53%E -2.71%K -11.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -9.74%E -2.78%K -3.89%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-04 08:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.53%E -2.71%K -11.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -9.74%E -2.78%K -3.89%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-04 09:30
Neds🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.53%E -2.71%K -11.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -9.74%E -2.78%K -3.89%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-04 09:30
betfred_uk🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.27%E -3.31%K -14.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -9.74%E -2.78%K -3.89%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-04 09:05
betano_uk🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.27%E -3.31%K -14.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -9.74%E -2.78%K -3.89%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-04 08:15
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -5.01%E -3.91%K -17.90%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -9.74%E -2.78%K -3.89%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-04 09:30
Coral🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -5.01%E -3.91%K -17.90%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -9.74%E -2.78%K -3.89%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-04 09:30
PMU (FR)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.78%EV -4.27%E -3.31%K -14.72%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.22%EV -11.02%E -3.20%K -4.50%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-04 08:00
DraftKings🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 72.42%EV -2.78%E -2.13%K -8.98%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.58%EV -11.28%E -3.28%K -4.62%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-04 06:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -3.53%E -2.71%K -11.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -12.31%E -3.62%K -5.13%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-04 14:10
Caesars🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -1.30%E -0.978%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -20.05%E -6.47%K -9.55%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-03 16:40
BoyleSports🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -1.30%E -0.978%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -22.63%E -7.54%K -11.32%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-04 14:05
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (8)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
ProphetX◎1.31I 76.34%NM 75.79%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.21%0.7%2026-09-04 13:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.30I 76.92%NM 76.36%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.64%0.7%2026-09-04 13:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.30I 76.92%NM 76.36%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.64%0.7%2026-09-04 13:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.30I 76.92%NM 76.36%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.64%0.7%2026-09-04 13:55
Matchbook◎1.30I 76.92%NM 76.36%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.64%0.7%2026-09-04 13:50
Novig◎1.32I 75.76%NM 75.19%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81%0.8%2026-09-04 14:10
Kalshi◎1.33I 75.19%NM 74.32%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.68%1.2%2026-09-03 16:40
Smarkets◎1.29I 77.52%NM 76.07%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.93%1.9%2026-09-04 14:35