Idioma:Español
Marta Kostyuk v Ekaterina Alexandrova
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Marta Kostyuk (Local)
Predicción 74.21%1.35momio equitativo
EV -1.30%
Ventaja -0.978%
Kelly -3.94%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.33
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
69.28%73.81%74.45%76.05%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.251.291.291.3380.00%77.53%77.52%75.19%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Ekaterina Alexandrova (Visitante)
Predicción 25.79%3.88momio equitativo
EV +3.16%
Ventaja +0.790%
Kelly +1.05%
Crecimiento +0.033%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.00
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.95%26.19%25.55%30.72%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.003.613.604.0033.33%27.72%27.78%25.00%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Marta Kostyuk (Local): 74.21%; Ekaterina Alexandrova (Visitante): 25.79%. Para Ekaterina Alexandrova (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 3.88. 4 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 4.00, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +3.16%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (65 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.05%EV -6.50%E -5.16%K -24.98%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV +3.16%E +0.790%K +1.05%G +0.033% | 4.4% | 2026-09-04 11:30 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.05%EV -6.50%E -5.16%K -24.98%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV +3.16%E +0.790%K +1.05%G +0.033% | 4.4% | 2026-09-04 11:25 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 75.05%EV -3.53%E -2.71%K -11.76%G +0.000% | 3.91I 25.58%NM 24.95%EV +0.839%E +0.215%K +0.288%G +0.002% | 2.5% | 2026-09-04 14:20 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 75.29%EV -5.01%E -3.91%K -17.90%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.71%EV +0.581%E +0.149%K +0.200%G +0.001% | 3.8% | 2026-09-04 13:00 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -5.75%E -4.53%K -21.31%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -0.709%E -0.184%K -0.249%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-04 13:00 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -5.75%E -4.53%K -21.31%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -0.709%E -0.184%K -0.249%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-04 14:20 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 74.51%EV -3.53%E -2.71%K -11.76%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.49%EV -2.00%E -0.526%K -0.714%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-09-04 09:49 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -4.27%E -3.31%K -14.72%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -2.00%E -0.526%K -0.714%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-04 09:50 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -4.27%E -3.31%K -14.72%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -2.00%E -0.526%K -0.714%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-04 10:15 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -4.27%E -3.31%K -14.72%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -2.00%E -0.526%K -0.714%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-04 13:05 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -4.27%E -3.31%K -14.72%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -2.00%E -0.526%K -0.714%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-04 08:34 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -7.24%E -5.79%K -28.95%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -2.00%E -0.526%K -0.714%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-04 11:25 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 74.26%EV -3.53%E -2.71%K -11.76%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.74%EV -3.29%E -0.877%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-09-04 14:10 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -4.27%E -3.31%K -14.72%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -3.29%E -0.877%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-04 09:46 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.40%EV -5.01%E -3.91%K -17.90%G +0.000% | 3.72I 26.88%NM 25.60%EV -4.06%E -1.09%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-04 14:10 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -4.27%E -3.31%K -14.72%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -4.58%E -1.24%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-04 08:40 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -5.01%E -3.91%K -17.90%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -4.58%E -1.24%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-04 12:45 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -5.01%E -3.91%K -17.90%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -4.58%E -1.24%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-04 08:35 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -5.75%E -4.53%K -21.31%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -4.58%E -1.24%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-04 08:35 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -5.75%E -4.53%K -21.31%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -4.58%E -1.24%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-04 02:50 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.60%EV -6.50%E -5.16%K -24.98%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -4.58%E -1.24%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-04 09:50 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -7.24%E -5.79%K -28.95%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -4.58%E -1.24%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-04 09:50 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.74%EV -3.53%E -2.71%K -11.76%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.26%EV -5.87%E -1.61%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-04 14:10 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -4.27%E -3.31%K -14.72%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -5.87%E -1.61%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-04 08:35 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -5.01%E -3.91%K -17.90%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -5.87%E -1.61%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-04 13:09 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.13%EV -5.75%E -4.53%K -21.31%G +0.000% | 3.64I 27.47%NM 25.87%EV -6.12%E -1.68%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-04 08:35 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.13%EV -5.75%E -4.53%K -21.31%G +0.000% | 3.64I 27.47%NM 25.87%EV -6.12%E -1.68%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-04 08:35 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -2.78%E -2.13%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -7.16%E -1.99%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-04 14:15 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.27%E -3.31%K -14.72%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -7.16%E -1.99%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-04 14:10 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.27%E -3.31%K -14.72%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -7.16%E -1.99%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-04 13:25 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.27%E -3.31%K -14.72%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -7.16%E -1.99%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-04 09:30 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.27%E -3.31%K -14.72%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -7.16%E -1.99%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-04 13:25 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.27%E -3.31%K -14.72%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -7.16%E -1.99%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-04 13:25 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.27%E -3.31%K -14.72%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -7.16%E -1.99%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-04 13:25 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -5.01%E -3.91%K -17.90%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -7.16%E -1.99%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-04 14:05 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -4.27%E -3.31%K -14.72%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -8.45%E -2.38%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-04 14:10 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -4.27%E -3.31%K -14.72%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -8.45%E -2.38%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-04 14:05 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.50%EV -5.01%E -3.91%K -17.90%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.50%EV -8.45%E -2.38%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-04 12:35 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -2.78%E -2.13%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -9.74%E -2.78%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-03 20:40 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -2.78%E -2.13%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -9.74%E -2.78%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-04 06:45 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.53%E -2.71%K -11.76%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -9.74%E -2.78%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-04 08:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.53%E -2.71%K -11.76%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -9.74%E -2.78%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-04 08:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.53%E -2.71%K -11.76%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -9.74%E -2.78%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-04 08:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.53%E -2.71%K -11.76%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -9.74%E -2.78%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-04 08:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.53%E -2.71%K -11.76%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -9.74%E -2.78%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-04 08:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.53%E -2.71%K -11.76%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -9.74%E -2.78%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-04 08:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.53%E -2.71%K -11.76%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -9.74%E -2.78%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-04 08:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.53%E -2.71%K -11.76%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -9.74%E -2.78%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-04 08:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.53%E -2.71%K -11.76%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -9.74%E -2.78%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-04 08:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.53%E -2.71%K -11.76%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -9.74%E -2.78%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-04 07:59 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.53%E -2.71%K -11.76%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -9.74%E -2.78%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-04 08:00 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.53%E -2.71%K -11.76%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -9.74%E -2.78%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-04 08:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.53%E -2.71%K -11.76%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -9.74%E -2.78%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-04 08:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.53%E -2.71%K -11.76%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -9.74%E -2.78%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-04 08:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.53%E -2.71%K -11.76%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -9.74%E -2.78%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-04 09:30 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.53%E -2.71%K -11.76%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -9.74%E -2.78%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-04 09:30 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.27%E -3.31%K -14.72%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -9.74%E -2.78%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-04 09:05 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.27%E -3.31%K -14.72%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -9.74%E -2.78%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-04 08:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -5.01%E -3.91%K -17.90%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -9.74%E -2.78%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-04 09:30 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -5.01%E -3.91%K -17.90%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -9.74%E -2.78%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-04 09:30 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.78%EV -4.27%E -3.31%K -14.72%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.22%EV -11.02%E -3.20%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-04 08:00 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.42%EV -2.78%E -2.13%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 3.44I 29.07%NM 27.58%EV -11.28%E -3.28%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-04 06:55 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -3.53%E -2.71%K -11.76%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -12.31%E -3.62%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-04 14:10 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -1.30%E -0.978%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -20.05%E -6.47%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-03 16:40 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -1.30%E -0.978%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -22.63%E -7.54%K -11.32%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-04 14:05 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (8)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX◎ | 1.31I 76.34%NM 75.79% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.21% | 0.7% | 2026-09-04 13:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.30I 76.92%NM 76.36% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.64% | 0.7% | 2026-09-04 13:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.30I 76.92%NM 76.36% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.64% | 0.7% | 2026-09-04 13:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.30I 76.92%NM 76.36% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.64% | 0.7% | 2026-09-04 13:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.30I 76.92%NM 76.36% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.64% | 0.7% | 2026-09-04 13:50 |
| Novig◎ | 1.32I 75.76%NM 75.19% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81% | 0.8% | 2026-09-04 14:10 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.33I 75.19%NM 74.32% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.68% | 1.2% | 2026-09-03 16:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.29I 77.52%NM 76.07% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.93% | 1.9% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |