Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Marta Kostyuk v Ekaterina Alexandrova

2026-09-04 15:00 UTC — WTA US Open

Résultat du match

47 opérateurs (16 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Marta Kostyuk (Local)

Prévision 68.51%1.46cote équitable
EV -3.39%
Avantage -2.41%
Kelly -8.28%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.41

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
67.06%68.54%68.60%70.80%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.321.381.391.4175.76%72.31%71.94%70.92%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Ekaterina Alexandrova (Visiteur)

Prévision 31.49%3.18cote équitable
EV +0.753%
Avantage +0.235%
Kelly +0.342%
Croissance +0.003%

avec la cote maximale 3.20

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
29.20%31.46%31.40%32.94%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.752.963.003.2036.36%33.75%33.33%31.25%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Pour Résultat du match, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estime les probabilités suivantes : Marta Kostyuk (Local) : 68.51% ; Ekaterina Alexandrova (Visiteur) : 31.49%. Pour Ekaterina Alexandrova (Visiteur), cette estimation équivaut à une cote décimale juste de 3.18. 2 opérateurs proposent une cote supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure cote disponible est 3.20, pour une espérance positive de +0.753%.

Cotes des opérateurs (47 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -7.51%E -5.56%K -21.44%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV +0.753%E +0.235%K +0.342%G +0.003%5.3%2026-09-03 05:35
SportsBet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -9.56%E -7.24%K -29.88%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV +0.753%E +0.235%K +0.342%G +0.003%7.0%2026-09-03 02:30
Coolbet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 69.23%EV -4.08%E -2.91%K -10.20%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.77%EV -0.821%E -0.261%K -0.382%G +0.000%3.2%2026-09-03 06:55
FanDuel🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -5.45%E -3.95%K -14.34%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -0.821%E -0.261%K -0.382%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-03 02:30
Paddy Power🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.82%E -5.01%K -18.94%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -2.40%E -0.773%K -1.14%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-03 02:30
Tipico (DE)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -7.51%E -5.56%K -21.44%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -2.40%E -0.773%K -1.14%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-03 02:30
1xBet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.61%EV -4.08%E -2.91%K -10.20%G +0.000%3.06I 32.68%NM 31.39%EV -3.65%E -1.19%K -1.77%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-03 07:45
GTbets🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 68.55%EV -4.76%E -3.43%K -12.22%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 31.45%EV -4.60%E -1.52%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-03 01:51
Marathon Bet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.64%EV -5.45%E -3.95%K -14.34%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 31.36%EV -4.91%E -1.63%K -2.43%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-03 07:40
DraftKings🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.56%EV -5.45%E -3.95%K -14.34%G +0.000%3.01I 33.22%NM 31.44%EV -5.23%E -1.74%K -2.60%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-03 05:15
Betway🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.08%E -2.91%K -10.20%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -5.54%E -1.85%K -2.77%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-03 05:34
Bovada🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.08%E -2.91%K -10.20%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -5.54%E -1.85%K -2.77%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-03 07:40
BoyleSports🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.08%E -2.91%K -10.20%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -5.54%E -1.85%K -2.77%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-03 03:55
Bet Right🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 68.34%EV -4.76%E -3.43%K -12.22%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.66%EV -5.54%E -1.85%K -2.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-03 07:35
Betr (AU)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.45%E -3.95%K -14.34%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.54%E -1.85%K -2.77%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-03 07:35
MyBookie.ag🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.45%E -3.95%K -14.34%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.54%E -1.85%K -2.77%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-03 01:40
PlayUp🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.45%E -3.95%K -14.34%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.54%E -1.85%K -2.77%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-03 02:30
Winamax (DE)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.45%E -3.95%K -14.34%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.54%E -1.85%K -2.77%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-03 02:30
Fanatics🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -6.14%E -4.48%K -16.58%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -5.54%E -1.85%K -2.77%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-03 01:30
betfred_uk🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.82%E -5.01%K -18.94%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -5.54%E -1.85%K -2.77%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-03 01:36
theScore Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.82%E -5.01%K -18.94%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -5.54%E -1.85%K -2.77%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-03 01:30
Sky Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.82%E -5.01%K -18.94%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -5.54%E -1.85%K -2.77%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-03 02:30
TAB🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.82%E -5.01%K -18.94%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -5.54%E -1.85%K -2.77%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-03 02:29
Caesars🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.82%E -5.01%K -18.94%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -5.54%E -1.85%K -2.77%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-03 04:36
Unibet (UK)🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 68.29%EV -6.14%E -4.48%K -16.58%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -7.12%E -2.41%K -3.65%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-03 01:30
Unibet (NL)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -3.39%E -2.41%K -8.28%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -8.69%E -3.00%K -4.57%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-03 07:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -3.39%E -2.41%K -8.28%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -8.69%E -3.00%K -4.57%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-03 07:40
BetRivers🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -3.39%E -2.41%K -8.28%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -8.69%E -3.00%K -4.57%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-03 07:40
Unibet (SE)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -3.39%E -2.41%K -8.28%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -8.69%E -3.00%K -4.57%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-03 07:39
Grosvenor🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -3.39%E -2.41%K -8.28%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -8.69%E -3.00%K -4.57%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-03 07:39
Virgin Bet🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -3.39%E -2.41%K -8.28%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -8.69%E -3.00%K -4.57%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-03 07:40
Unibet🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -3.39%E -2.41%K -8.28%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -8.69%E -3.00%K -4.57%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-03 07:40
Casumo🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -3.39%E -2.41%K -8.28%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -8.69%E -3.00%K -4.57%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-03 07:40
LiveScore Bet🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -3.39%E -2.41%K -8.28%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -8.69%E -3.00%K -4.57%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-03 07:40
TABtouch🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -3.39%E -2.41%K -8.28%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -8.69%E -3.00%K -4.57%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-03 07:40
Svenska Spel🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -3.39%E -2.41%K -8.28%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -8.69%E -3.00%K -4.57%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-03 07:40
Bally Bet🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -3.39%E -2.41%K -8.28%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -8.69%E -3.00%K -4.57%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-03 07:39
ATG (SE)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -3.39%E -2.41%K -8.28%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -8.69%E -3.00%K -4.57%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-03 07:40
betPARX🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -3.39%E -2.41%K -8.28%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -8.69%E -3.00%K -4.57%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-03 07:39
betano_uk🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.08%E -2.91%K -10.20%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -8.69%E -3.00%K -4.57%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-03 07:40
888sport🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.08%E -2.91%K -10.20%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -8.69%E -3.00%K -4.57%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-03 01:36
LeoVegas🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -6.82%E -5.01%K -18.94%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -8.69%E -3.00%K -4.57%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-03 05:20
PMU (FR)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -4.08%E -2.91%K -10.20%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -10.27%E -3.60%K -5.55%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-03 07:39
ReBet🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 67.79%EV -8.19%E -6.11%K -24.09%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 32.21%EV -11.21%E -3.98%K -6.16%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-03 01:30
Betclic (FR)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 67.63%EV -8.19%E -6.11%K -24.09%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.37%EV -11.84%E -4.23%K -6.58%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-03 01:33
Unibet (FR)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 67.40%EV -8.88%E -6.67%K -26.90%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.60%EV -13.42%E -4.88%K -7.67%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-03 01:30
Winamax (FR)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 67.40%EV -8.88%E -6.67%K -26.90%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.60%EV -13.42%E -4.88%K -7.67%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-03 02:30
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (8)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Novig1.41I 70.92%NM 68.24%3.03I 33.00%NM 31.76%3.9%2026-09-03 05:15
Kalshi1.37I 72.99%NM 69.49%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.51%5.0%2026-09-03 07:30
Smarkets1.32I 75.76%NM 67.33%2.72I 36.76%NM 32.67%12.5%2026-09-03 01:30
Matchbook1.17I 85.47%NM 55.85%1.48I 67.57%NM 44.15%53.0%2026-09-03 06:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.17I 85.47%NM 55.00%1.43I 69.93%NM 45.00%55.4%2026-09-03 06:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.17I 85.47%NM 55.00%1.43I 69.93%NM 45.00%55.4%2026-09-03 06:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.17I 85.47%NM 55.00%1.43I 69.93%NM 45.00%55.4%2026-09-03 06:40
ProphetX1.09I 91.74%NM 51.77%1.17I 85.47%NM 48.23%77.2%2026-09-03 07:35