Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Maja Chwalinska v Taylor Townsend

Kickoff: 2026-08-31 18:03 UTC

Final: Maja Chwalinska 0–2 Taylor Townsend

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

58 sportsbooks (19 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Maja Chwalinska (Local)

Prediction 33.78%2.96fair odd
EV +0.658%
Edge +0.221%
Kelly +0.333%
Growth +0.002%

assuming max odds 2.98

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
32.56%33.80%33.81%36.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.602.782.802.9838.46%35.93%35.71%33.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Taylor Townsend (Visit)

Prediction 66.22%1.51fair odd
EV -0.667%
Edge -0.445%
Kelly -1.33%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
63.77%66.20%66.19%67.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.401.441.441.5071.43%69.59%69.44%66.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Maja Chwalinska (Local): 33.78%; Taylor Townsend (Visit): 66.22%. For Maja Chwalinska (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.96. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.98, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.658%.

Sportsbook Odds (58 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯2.98I 33.56%NM 32.58%EV +0.658%E +0.221%K +0.333%G +0.002%1.44I 69.44%NM 67.42%EV -4.64%E -3.22%K -10.55%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-31 17:35
Betclic (FR)🎯2.92I 34.25%NM 32.87%EV -1.37%E -0.469%K -0.713%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 67.13%EV -5.30%E -3.71%K -12.33%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-31 17:44
888sport🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -2.04%E -0.705%K -1.08%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -7.29%E -5.21%K -18.22%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-31 15:40
888sport (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -2.04%E -0.705%K -1.08%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -7.29%E -5.21%K -18.22%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-31 15:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -2.04%E -0.705%K -1.08%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -7.29%E -5.21%K -18.22%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-31 15:40
William Hill🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -2.04%E -0.705%K -1.08%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -7.29%E -5.21%K -18.22%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-31 16:10
LowVig.ag🎯2.89I 34.60%NM 33.56%EV -2.38%E -0.824%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 66.44%EV -3.32%E -2.27%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-31 17:55
BetOnline.ag🎯2.89I 34.60%NM 33.56%EV -2.38%E -0.824%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 66.44%EV -3.32%E -2.27%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-31 17:55
BoyleSports🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 33.33%EV -2.72%E -0.944%K -1.45%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.67%EV -4.64%E -3.22%K -10.55%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-29 08:11
betfred_uk🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -2.72%E -0.944%K -1.45%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -7.29%E -5.21%K -18.22%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-31 16:20
Winamax (DE)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.87%EV -3.73%E -1.31%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 66.13%EV -3.32%E -2.27%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-31 15:40
ReBet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.72%EV -3.73%E -1.31%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 66.28%EV -3.98%E -2.74%K -8.84%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-31 15:40
Bovada🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -3.73%E -1.31%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.64%E -3.22%K -10.55%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-31 18:00
BetAnything🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -3.73%E -1.31%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.64%E -3.22%K -10.55%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-31 18:00
Bet Right🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -3.73%E -1.31%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.30%E -3.71%K -12.33%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-31 17:55
PlayUp🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -3.73%E -1.31%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -5.96%E -4.20%K -14.20%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-31 16:10
FanDuel🎯2.84I 35.21%NM 33.64%EV -4.07%E -1.43%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.36%EV -4.64%E -3.22%K -10.55%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-31 04:55
DraftKings🎯2.83I 35.34%NM 33.41%EV -4.41%E -1.56%K -2.41%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.59%EV -5.96%E -4.20%K -14.20%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-31 10:05
SportsBet🎯2.82I 35.46%NM 33.80%EV -4.75%E -1.68%K -2.61%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.20%EV -4.64%E -3.22%K -10.55%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-31 04:55
NetBet (FR)🎯2.82I 35.46%NM 33.18%EV -4.75%E -1.68%K -2.61%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.82%EV -7.29%E -5.21%K -18.22%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-31 16:40
MyBookie.ag🎯2.81I 35.59%NM 33.88%EV -5.08%E -1.81%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.12%EV -4.64%E -3.22%K -10.55%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-31 15:43
Winamax (FR)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -5.42%E -1.94%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -3.98%E -2.74%K -8.84%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-31 15:40
Unibet (UK)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -5.42%E -1.94%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.64%E -3.22%K -10.55%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-31 15:40
Paddy Power🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -5.42%E -1.94%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.64%E -3.22%K -10.55%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-31 04:50
betano_uk🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -5.42%E -1.94%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.64%E -3.22%K -10.55%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-31 15:40
theScore Bet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -5.42%E -1.94%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.30%E -3.71%K -12.33%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-31 15:40
BetMGM🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -5.42%E -1.94%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.30%E -3.71%K -12.33%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-31 15:40
LeoVegas🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -5.42%E -1.94%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -5.96%E -4.20%K -14.20%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-31 15:40
Betr (AU)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -5.42%E -1.94%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -5.96%E -4.20%K -14.20%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-31 17:55
Tipico (DE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -5.42%E -1.94%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -5.96%E -4.20%K -14.20%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-31 14:55
TAB🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -5.42%E -1.94%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -5.96%E -4.20%K -14.20%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-31 15:40
Marathon Bet🎯2.76I 36.23%NM 34.29%EV -6.77%E -2.45%K -3.85%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.71%EV -4.64%E -3.22%K -10.55%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-31 18:00
Betway🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.11%E -2.59%K -4.06%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.64%E -3.22%K -10.55%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-31 17:55
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.11%E -2.59%K -4.06%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.64%E -3.22%K -10.55%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-31 15:40
Neds🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.11%E -2.59%K -4.06%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.64%E -3.22%K -10.55%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-31 15:40
Sky Bet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.11%E -2.59%K -4.06%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.64%E -3.22%K -10.55%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-31 04:50
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -7.11%E -2.59%K -4.06%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -5.30%E -3.71%K -12.33%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-31 17:55
Caesars🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -7.11%E -2.59%K -4.06%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -5.96%E -4.20%K -14.20%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-29 16:50
Coral🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -7.11%E -2.59%K -4.06%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.29%E -5.21%K -18.22%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-31 15:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -7.11%E -2.59%K -4.06%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.29%E -5.21%K -18.22%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-31 15:40
Virgin Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -8.80%E -3.26%K -5.18%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -3.32%E -2.27%K -7.21%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-31 06:30
LiveScore Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -8.80%E -3.26%K -5.18%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -3.32%E -2.27%K -7.21%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-31 06:30
Unibet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -8.80%E -3.26%K -5.18%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -3.32%E -2.27%K -7.21%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-31 06:30
BetRivers🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -8.80%E -3.26%K -5.18%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -3.98%E -2.74%K -8.84%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-31 06:29
ATG (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -8.80%E -3.26%K -5.18%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -3.98%E -2.74%K -8.84%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-31 06:30
Svenska Spel🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -8.80%E -3.26%K -5.18%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -3.98%E -2.74%K -8.84%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-31 06:30
Grosvenor🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -8.80%E -3.26%K -5.18%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -3.98%E -2.74%K -8.84%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-31 06:30
Casumo🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -8.80%E -3.26%K -5.18%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -3.98%E -2.74%K -8.84%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-31 06:30
betPARX🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -8.80%E -3.26%K -5.18%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -3.98%E -2.74%K -8.84%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-31 06:30
Bally Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -8.80%E -3.26%K -5.18%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -3.98%E -2.74%K -8.84%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-31 06:30
Unibet (NL)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -8.80%E -3.26%K -5.18%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -3.98%E -2.74%K -8.84%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-31 06:30
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -8.80%E -3.26%K -5.18%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -3.98%E -2.74%K -8.84%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-31 06:29
TABtouch🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -8.80%E -3.26%K -5.18%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -3.98%E -2.74%K -8.84%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-31 06:30
Unibet (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -8.80%E -3.26%K -5.18%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -3.98%E -2.74%K -8.84%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-31 06:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -8.80%E -3.26%K -5.18%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -3.98%E -2.74%K -8.84%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-31 06:30
PMU (FR)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -10.49%E -3.96%K -6.36%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -4.64%E -3.22%K -10.55%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-31 06:30
1xBet🎯2.64I 37.88%NM 36.23%EV -10.83%E -4.10%K -6.60%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.77%EV -0.667%E -0.445%K -1.33%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-31 18:00
Fanatics🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -12.18%E -4.68%K -7.61%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -3.98%E -2.74%K -8.84%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-31 17:55
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (8)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Matchbook3.05I 32.79%NM 32.67%1.48I 67.57%NM 67.33%0.4%2026-08-31 18:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.98I 33.56%NM 33.33%1.49I 67.11%NM 66.67%0.7%2026-08-31 18:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.98I 33.56%NM 33.33%1.49I 67.11%NM 66.67%0.7%2026-08-31 18:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.00I 33.33%NM 33.04%1.48I 67.57%NM 66.96%0.9%2026-08-31 17:40
ProphetX3.00I 33.33%NM 33.04%1.48I 67.57%NM 66.96%0.9%2026-08-31 17:56
Kalshi2.94I 34.01%NM 33.33%1.47I 68.03%NM 66.67%2.0%2026-08-31 18:00
Novig2.94I 34.01%NM 33.18%1.46I 68.49%NM 66.82%2.5%2026-08-31 18:00
Smarkets2.98I 33.56%NM 32.73%1.45I 68.97%NM 67.27%2.5%2026-08-31 18:00