默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Maja Chwalinska v Taylor Townsend

开赛时间: 2026-08-31 18:03 UTC

最终结果: Maja Chwalinska 0–2 Taylor Townsend

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

58 家博彩公司 (19 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Maja Chwalinska (主队)

预测 33.78%2.96公平赔率
EV +0.658%
优势 +0.221%
Kelly +0.333%
增长率 +0.002%

假设最高赔率为 2.98

博彩公司预测分布
32.56%33.80%33.81%36.23%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.602.782.802.9838.46%35.93%35.71%33.56%最小值均值中位数最大值

Taylor Townsend (客队)

预测 66.22%1.51公平赔率
EV -0.667%
优势 -0.445%
Kelly -1.33%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.50

博彩公司预测分布
63.77%66.20%66.19%67.44%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.401.441.441.5071.43%69.59%69.44%66.67%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Maja Chwalinska (主队):33.78%;Taylor Townsend (客队):66.22%。 对于“Maja Chwalinska (主队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.96。 当时有1家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率;最佳赔率为2.98,对应+0.658%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (58 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队利润率更新时间
Pinnacle🎯2.98I 33.56%NM 32.58%EV +0.658%E +0.221%K +0.333%G +0.002%1.44I 69.44%NM 67.42%EV -4.64%E -3.22%K -10.55%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-31 17:35
Betclic (FR)🎯2.92I 34.25%NM 32.87%EV -1.37%E -0.469%K -0.713%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 67.13%EV -5.30%E -3.71%K -12.33%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-31 17:44
888sport🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -2.04%E -0.705%K -1.08%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -7.29%E -5.21%K -18.22%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-31 15:40
888sport (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -2.04%E -0.705%K -1.08%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -7.29%E -5.21%K -18.22%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-31 15:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -2.04%E -0.705%K -1.08%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -7.29%E -5.21%K -18.22%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-31 15:40
William Hill🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -2.04%E -0.705%K -1.08%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -7.29%E -5.21%K -18.22%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-31 16:10
LowVig.ag🎯2.89I 34.60%NM 33.56%EV -2.38%E -0.824%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 66.44%EV -3.32%E -2.27%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-31 17:55
BetOnline.ag🎯2.89I 34.60%NM 33.56%EV -2.38%E -0.824%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 66.44%EV -3.32%E -2.27%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-31 17:55
BoyleSports🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 33.33%EV -2.72%E -0.944%K -1.45%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.67%EV -4.64%E -3.22%K -10.55%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-29 08:11
betfred_uk🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -2.72%E -0.944%K -1.45%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -7.29%E -5.21%K -18.22%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-31 16:20
Winamax (DE)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.87%EV -3.73%E -1.31%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 66.13%EV -3.32%E -2.27%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-31 15:40
ReBet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.72%EV -3.73%E -1.31%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 66.28%EV -3.98%E -2.74%K -8.84%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-31 15:40
Bovada🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -3.73%E -1.31%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.64%E -3.22%K -10.55%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-31 18:00
BetAnything🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -3.73%E -1.31%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.64%E -3.22%K -10.55%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-31 18:00
Bet Right🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -3.73%E -1.31%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.30%E -3.71%K -12.33%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-31 17:55
PlayUp🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -3.73%E -1.31%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -5.96%E -4.20%K -14.20%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-31 16:10
FanDuel🎯2.84I 35.21%NM 33.64%EV -4.07%E -1.43%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.36%EV -4.64%E -3.22%K -10.55%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-31 04:55
DraftKings🎯2.83I 35.34%NM 33.41%EV -4.41%E -1.56%K -2.41%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.59%EV -5.96%E -4.20%K -14.20%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-31 10:05
SportsBet🎯2.82I 35.46%NM 33.80%EV -4.75%E -1.68%K -2.61%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.20%EV -4.64%E -3.22%K -10.55%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-31 04:55
NetBet (FR)🎯2.82I 35.46%NM 33.18%EV -4.75%E -1.68%K -2.61%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.82%EV -7.29%E -5.21%K -18.22%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-31 16:40
MyBookie.ag🎯2.81I 35.59%NM 33.88%EV -5.08%E -1.81%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.12%EV -4.64%E -3.22%K -10.55%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-31 15:43
Winamax (FR)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -5.42%E -1.94%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -3.98%E -2.74%K -8.84%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-31 15:40
Unibet (UK)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -5.42%E -1.94%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.64%E -3.22%K -10.55%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-31 15:40
Paddy Power🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -5.42%E -1.94%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.64%E -3.22%K -10.55%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-31 04:50
betano_uk🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -5.42%E -1.94%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.64%E -3.22%K -10.55%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-31 15:40
theScore Bet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -5.42%E -1.94%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.30%E -3.71%K -12.33%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-31 15:40
BetMGM🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -5.42%E -1.94%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.30%E -3.71%K -12.33%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-31 15:40
LeoVegas🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -5.42%E -1.94%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -5.96%E -4.20%K -14.20%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-31 15:40
Betr (AU)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -5.42%E -1.94%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -5.96%E -4.20%K -14.20%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-31 17:55
Tipico (DE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -5.42%E -1.94%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -5.96%E -4.20%K -14.20%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-31 14:55
TAB🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -5.42%E -1.94%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -5.96%E -4.20%K -14.20%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-31 15:40
Marathon Bet🎯2.76I 36.23%NM 34.29%EV -6.77%E -2.45%K -3.85%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.71%EV -4.64%E -3.22%K -10.55%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-31 18:00
Betway🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.11%E -2.59%K -4.06%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.64%E -3.22%K -10.55%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-31 17:55
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.11%E -2.59%K -4.06%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.64%E -3.22%K -10.55%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-31 15:40
Neds🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.11%E -2.59%K -4.06%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.64%E -3.22%K -10.55%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-31 15:40
Sky Bet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.11%E -2.59%K -4.06%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.64%E -3.22%K -10.55%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-31 04:50
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -7.11%E -2.59%K -4.06%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -5.30%E -3.71%K -12.33%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-31 17:55
Caesars🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -7.11%E -2.59%K -4.06%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -5.96%E -4.20%K -14.20%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-29 16:50
Coral🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -7.11%E -2.59%K -4.06%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.29%E -5.21%K -18.22%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-31 15:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -7.11%E -2.59%K -4.06%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.29%E -5.21%K -18.22%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-31 15:40
Virgin Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -8.80%E -3.26%K -5.18%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -3.32%E -2.27%K -7.21%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-31 06:30
LiveScore Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -8.80%E -3.26%K -5.18%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -3.32%E -2.27%K -7.21%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-31 06:30
Unibet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -8.80%E -3.26%K -5.18%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -3.32%E -2.27%K -7.21%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-31 06:30
BetRivers🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -8.80%E -3.26%K -5.18%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -3.98%E -2.74%K -8.84%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-31 06:29
ATG (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -8.80%E -3.26%K -5.18%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -3.98%E -2.74%K -8.84%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-31 06:30
Svenska Spel🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -8.80%E -3.26%K -5.18%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -3.98%E -2.74%K -8.84%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-31 06:30
Grosvenor🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -8.80%E -3.26%K -5.18%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -3.98%E -2.74%K -8.84%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-31 06:30
Casumo🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -8.80%E -3.26%K -5.18%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -3.98%E -2.74%K -8.84%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-31 06:30
betPARX🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -8.80%E -3.26%K -5.18%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -3.98%E -2.74%K -8.84%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-31 06:30
Bally Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -8.80%E -3.26%K -5.18%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -3.98%E -2.74%K -8.84%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-31 06:30
Unibet (NL)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -8.80%E -3.26%K -5.18%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -3.98%E -2.74%K -8.84%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-31 06:30
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -8.80%E -3.26%K -5.18%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -3.98%E -2.74%K -8.84%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-31 06:29
TABtouch🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -8.80%E -3.26%K -5.18%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -3.98%E -2.74%K -8.84%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-31 06:30
Unibet (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -8.80%E -3.26%K -5.18%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -3.98%E -2.74%K -8.84%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-31 06:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -8.80%E -3.26%K -5.18%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -3.98%E -2.74%K -8.84%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-31 06:30
PMU (FR)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -10.49%E -3.96%K -6.36%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -4.64%E -3.22%K -10.55%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-31 06:30
1xBet🎯2.64I 37.88%NM 36.23%EV -10.83%E -4.10%K -6.60%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.77%EV -0.667%E -0.445%K -1.33%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-31 18:00
Fanatics🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -12.18%E -4.68%K -7.61%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -3.98%E -2.74%K -8.84%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-31 17:55
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (8)

博彩公司主队客队利润率 ▲更新时间
Matchbook◎3.05I 32.79%NM 32.67%1.48I 67.57%NM 67.33%0.4%2026-08-31 18:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.98I 33.56%NM 33.33%1.49I 67.11%NM 66.67%0.7%2026-08-31 18:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.98I 33.56%NM 33.33%1.49I 67.11%NM 66.67%0.7%2026-08-31 18:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.00I 33.33%NM 33.04%1.48I 67.57%NM 66.96%0.9%2026-08-31 17:40
ProphetX◎3.00I 33.33%NM 33.04%1.48I 67.57%NM 66.96%0.9%2026-08-31 17:56
Kalshi◎2.94I 34.01%NM 33.33%1.47I 68.03%NM 66.67%2.0%2026-08-31 18:00
Novig◎2.94I 34.01%NM 33.18%1.46I 68.49%NM 66.82%2.5%2026-08-31 18:00
Smarkets◎2.98I 33.56%NM 32.73%1.45I 68.97%NM 67.27%2.5%2026-08-31 18:00