Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Maja Chwalinska v Taylor Townsend

Coup d’envoi : 2026-08-31 18:03 UTC

Score final : Maja Chwalinska 0–2 Taylor Townsend

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

58 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Maja Chwalinska (Local)

Prévision 33.78%2.96cote équitable
EV +0.658%
Avantage +0.221%
Kelly +0.333%
Croissance +0.002%

avec la cote maximale 2.98

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
32.56%33.80%33.81%36.23%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.602.782.802.9838.46%35.93%35.71%33.56%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Taylor Townsend (Visiteur)

Prévision 66.22%1.51cote équitable
EV -0.667%
Avantage -0.445%
Kelly -1.33%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
63.77%66.20%66.19%67.44%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.401.441.441.5071.43%69.59%69.44%66.67%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Maja Chwalinska (Local) : 33.78% ; Taylor Townsend (Visiteur) : 66.22%. Pour Maja Chwalinska (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 2.96. 1 opérateur proposait une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 2.98, soit une espérance positive de +0.658%.

Cotes des opérateurs (58 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle🎯2.98I 33.56%NM 32.58%EV +0.658%E +0.221%K +0.333%G +0.002%1.44I 69.44%NM 67.42%EV -4.64%E -3.22%K -10.55%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-31 17:35
Betclic (FR)🎯2.92I 34.25%NM 32.87%EV -1.37%E -0.469%K -0.713%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 67.13%EV -5.30%E -3.71%K -12.33%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-31 17:44
888sport🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -2.04%E -0.705%K -1.08%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -7.29%E -5.21%K -18.22%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-31 15:40
888sport (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -2.04%E -0.705%K -1.08%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -7.29%E -5.21%K -18.22%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-31 15:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -2.04%E -0.705%K -1.08%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -7.29%E -5.21%K -18.22%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-31 15:40
William Hill🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -2.04%E -0.705%K -1.08%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -7.29%E -5.21%K -18.22%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-31 16:10
LowVig.ag🎯2.89I 34.60%NM 33.56%EV -2.38%E -0.824%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 66.44%EV -3.32%E -2.27%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-31 17:55
BetOnline.ag🎯2.89I 34.60%NM 33.56%EV -2.38%E -0.824%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 66.44%EV -3.32%E -2.27%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-31 17:55
BoyleSports🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 33.33%EV -2.72%E -0.944%K -1.45%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.67%EV -4.64%E -3.22%K -10.55%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-29 08:11
betfred_uk🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -2.72%E -0.944%K -1.45%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -7.29%E -5.21%K -18.22%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-31 16:20
Winamax (DE)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.87%EV -3.73%E -1.31%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 66.13%EV -3.32%E -2.27%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-31 15:40
ReBet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.72%EV -3.73%E -1.31%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 66.28%EV -3.98%E -2.74%K -8.84%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-31 15:40
Bovada🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -3.73%E -1.31%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.64%E -3.22%K -10.55%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-31 18:00
BetAnything🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -3.73%E -1.31%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.64%E -3.22%K -10.55%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-31 18:00
Bet Right🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -3.73%E -1.31%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.30%E -3.71%K -12.33%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-31 17:55
PlayUp🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -3.73%E -1.31%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -5.96%E -4.20%K -14.20%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-31 16:10
FanDuel🎯2.84I 35.21%NM 33.64%EV -4.07%E -1.43%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.36%EV -4.64%E -3.22%K -10.55%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-31 04:55
DraftKings🎯2.83I 35.34%NM 33.41%EV -4.41%E -1.56%K -2.41%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.59%EV -5.96%E -4.20%K -14.20%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-31 10:05
SportsBet🎯2.82I 35.46%NM 33.80%EV -4.75%E -1.68%K -2.61%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.20%EV -4.64%E -3.22%K -10.55%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-31 04:55
NetBet (FR)🎯2.82I 35.46%NM 33.18%EV -4.75%E -1.68%K -2.61%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.82%EV -7.29%E -5.21%K -18.22%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-31 16:40
MyBookie.ag🎯2.81I 35.59%NM 33.88%EV -5.08%E -1.81%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.12%EV -4.64%E -3.22%K -10.55%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-31 15:43
Winamax (FR)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -5.42%E -1.94%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -3.98%E -2.74%K -8.84%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-31 15:40
Unibet (UK)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -5.42%E -1.94%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.64%E -3.22%K -10.55%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-31 15:40
Paddy Power🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -5.42%E -1.94%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.64%E -3.22%K -10.55%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-31 04:50
betano_uk🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -5.42%E -1.94%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.64%E -3.22%K -10.55%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-31 15:40
theScore Bet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -5.42%E -1.94%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.30%E -3.71%K -12.33%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-31 15:40
BetMGM🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -5.42%E -1.94%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.30%E -3.71%K -12.33%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-31 15:40
LeoVegas🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -5.42%E -1.94%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -5.96%E -4.20%K -14.20%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-31 15:40
Betr (AU)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -5.42%E -1.94%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -5.96%E -4.20%K -14.20%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-31 17:55
Tipico (DE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -5.42%E -1.94%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -5.96%E -4.20%K -14.20%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-31 14:55
TAB🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -5.42%E -1.94%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -5.96%E -4.20%K -14.20%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-31 15:40
Marathon Bet🎯2.76I 36.23%NM 34.29%EV -6.77%E -2.45%K -3.85%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.71%EV -4.64%E -3.22%K -10.55%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-31 18:00
Betway🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.11%E -2.59%K -4.06%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.64%E -3.22%K -10.55%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-31 17:55
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.11%E -2.59%K -4.06%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.64%E -3.22%K -10.55%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-31 15:40
Neds🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.11%E -2.59%K -4.06%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.64%E -3.22%K -10.55%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-31 15:40
Sky Bet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.11%E -2.59%K -4.06%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.64%E -3.22%K -10.55%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-31 04:50
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -7.11%E -2.59%K -4.06%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -5.30%E -3.71%K -12.33%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-31 17:55
Caesars🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -7.11%E -2.59%K -4.06%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -5.96%E -4.20%K -14.20%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-29 16:50
Coral🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -7.11%E -2.59%K -4.06%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.29%E -5.21%K -18.22%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-31 15:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -7.11%E -2.59%K -4.06%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.29%E -5.21%K -18.22%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-31 15:40
Virgin Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -8.80%E -3.26%K -5.18%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -3.32%E -2.27%K -7.21%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-31 06:30
LiveScore Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -8.80%E -3.26%K -5.18%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -3.32%E -2.27%K -7.21%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-31 06:30
Unibet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -8.80%E -3.26%K -5.18%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -3.32%E -2.27%K -7.21%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-31 06:30
BetRivers🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -8.80%E -3.26%K -5.18%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -3.98%E -2.74%K -8.84%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-31 06:29
ATG (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -8.80%E -3.26%K -5.18%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -3.98%E -2.74%K -8.84%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-31 06:30
Svenska Spel🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -8.80%E -3.26%K -5.18%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -3.98%E -2.74%K -8.84%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-31 06:30
Grosvenor🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -8.80%E -3.26%K -5.18%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -3.98%E -2.74%K -8.84%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-31 06:30
Casumo🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -8.80%E -3.26%K -5.18%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -3.98%E -2.74%K -8.84%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-31 06:30
betPARX🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -8.80%E -3.26%K -5.18%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -3.98%E -2.74%K -8.84%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-31 06:30
Bally Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -8.80%E -3.26%K -5.18%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -3.98%E -2.74%K -8.84%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-31 06:30
Unibet (NL)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -8.80%E -3.26%K -5.18%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -3.98%E -2.74%K -8.84%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-31 06:30
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -8.80%E -3.26%K -5.18%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -3.98%E -2.74%K -8.84%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-31 06:29
TABtouch🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -8.80%E -3.26%K -5.18%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -3.98%E -2.74%K -8.84%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-31 06:30
Unibet (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -8.80%E -3.26%K -5.18%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -3.98%E -2.74%K -8.84%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-31 06:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -8.80%E -3.26%K -5.18%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -3.98%E -2.74%K -8.84%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-31 06:30
PMU (FR)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -10.49%E -3.96%K -6.36%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -4.64%E -3.22%K -10.55%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-31 06:30
1xBet🎯2.64I 37.88%NM 36.23%EV -10.83%E -4.10%K -6.60%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.77%EV -0.667%E -0.445%K -1.33%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-31 18:00
Fanatics🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -12.18%E -4.68%K -7.61%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -3.98%E -2.74%K -8.84%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-31 17:55
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (8)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook◎3.05I 32.79%NM 32.67%1.48I 67.57%NM 67.33%0.4%2026-08-31 18:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.98I 33.56%NM 33.33%1.49I 67.11%NM 66.67%0.7%2026-08-31 18:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.98I 33.56%NM 33.33%1.49I 67.11%NM 66.67%0.7%2026-08-31 18:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.00I 33.33%NM 33.04%1.48I 67.57%NM 66.96%0.9%2026-08-31 17:40
ProphetX◎3.00I 33.33%NM 33.04%1.48I 67.57%NM 66.96%0.9%2026-08-31 17:56
Kalshi◎2.94I 34.01%NM 33.33%1.47I 68.03%NM 66.67%2.0%2026-08-31 18:00
Novig◎2.94I 34.01%NM 33.18%1.46I 68.49%NM 66.82%2.5%2026-08-31 18:00
Smarkets◎2.98I 33.56%NM 32.73%1.45I 68.97%NM 67.27%2.5%2026-08-31 18:00