Idioma:Español
Maja Chwalinska v Taylor Townsend
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Maja Chwalinska (Local)
Predicción 33.78%2.96momio equitativo
EV +0.658%
Ventaja +0.221%
Kelly +0.333%
Crecimiento +0.002%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.98
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
32.56%33.80%33.81%36.23%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.602.782.802.9838.46%35.93%35.71%33.56%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Taylor Townsend (Visitante)
Predicción 66.22%1.51momio equitativo
EV -0.667%
Ventaja -0.445%
Kelly -1.33%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.50
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
63.77%66.20%66.19%67.44%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.401.441.441.5071.43%69.59%69.44%66.67%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Maja Chwalinska (Local): 33.78%; Taylor Townsend (Visitante): 66.22%. Para Maja Chwalinska (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 2.96. 1 corredor ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 2.98, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +0.658%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (58 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.98I 33.56%NM 32.58%EV +0.658%E +0.221%K +0.333%G +0.002% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 67.42%EV -4.64%E -3.22%K -10.55%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-31 17:35 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.87%EV -1.37%E -0.469%K -0.713%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.13%EV -5.30%E -3.71%K -12.33%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-31 17:44 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -2.04%E -0.705%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -7.29%E -5.21%K -18.22%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-31 15:40 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -2.04%E -0.705%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -7.29%E -5.21%K -18.22%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-31 15:40 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -2.04%E -0.705%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -7.29%E -5.21%K -18.22%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-31 15:40 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -2.04%E -0.705%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -7.29%E -5.21%K -18.22%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-31 16:10 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.89I 34.60%NM 33.56%EV -2.38%E -0.824%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 66.44%EV -3.32%E -2.27%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-08-31 17:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.89I 34.60%NM 33.56%EV -2.38%E -0.824%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 66.44%EV -3.32%E -2.27%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-08-31 17:55 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.33%EV -2.72%E -0.944%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.67%EV -4.64%E -3.22%K -10.55%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-29 08:11 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -2.72%E -0.944%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -7.29%E -5.21%K -18.22%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-31 16:20 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.87%EV -3.73%E -1.31%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 66.13%EV -3.32%E -2.27%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-08-31 15:40 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.72%EV -3.73%E -1.31%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.28%EV -3.98%E -2.74%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-31 15:40 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -3.73%E -1.31%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.64%E -3.22%K -10.55%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-31 18:00 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -3.73%E -1.31%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.64%E -3.22%K -10.55%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-31 18:00 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -3.73%E -1.31%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.30%E -3.71%K -12.33%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-31 17:55 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -3.73%E -1.31%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -5.96%E -4.20%K -14.20%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-31 16:10 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.84I 35.21%NM 33.64%EV -4.07%E -1.43%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.36%EV -4.64%E -3.22%K -10.55%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-31 04:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.83I 35.34%NM 33.41%EV -4.41%E -1.56%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.59%EV -5.96%E -4.20%K -14.20%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-31 10:05 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.82I 35.46%NM 33.80%EV -4.75%E -1.68%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.20%EV -4.64%E -3.22%K -10.55%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-31 04:55 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.82I 35.46%NM 33.18%EV -4.75%E -1.68%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.82%EV -7.29%E -5.21%K -18.22%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-31 16:40 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.81I 35.59%NM 33.88%EV -5.08%E -1.81%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.12%EV -4.64%E -3.22%K -10.55%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-31 15:43 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -5.42%E -1.94%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -3.98%E -2.74%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-31 15:40 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -5.42%E -1.94%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.64%E -3.22%K -10.55%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-31 15:40 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -5.42%E -1.94%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.64%E -3.22%K -10.55%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-31 04:50 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -5.42%E -1.94%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.64%E -3.22%K -10.55%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-31 15:40 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -5.42%E -1.94%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.30%E -3.71%K -12.33%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-31 15:40 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -5.42%E -1.94%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.30%E -3.71%K -12.33%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-31 15:40 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -5.42%E -1.94%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -5.96%E -4.20%K -14.20%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-31 15:40 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -5.42%E -1.94%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -5.96%E -4.20%K -14.20%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-31 17:55 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -5.42%E -1.94%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -5.96%E -4.20%K -14.20%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-31 14:55 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -5.42%E -1.94%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -5.96%E -4.20%K -14.20%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-31 15:40 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.76I 36.23%NM 34.29%EV -6.77%E -2.45%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.71%EV -4.64%E -3.22%K -10.55%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-31 18:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.11%E -2.59%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.64%E -3.22%K -10.55%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-31 17:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.11%E -2.59%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.64%E -3.22%K -10.55%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-31 15:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.11%E -2.59%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.64%E -3.22%K -10.55%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-31 15:40 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.11%E -2.59%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.64%E -3.22%K -10.55%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-31 04:50 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -7.11%E -2.59%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -5.30%E -3.71%K -12.33%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-31 17:55 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -7.11%E -2.59%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -5.96%E -4.20%K -14.20%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-29 16:50 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -7.11%E -2.59%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.29%E -5.21%K -18.22%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-31 15:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -7.11%E -2.59%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.29%E -5.21%K -18.22%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-31 15:40 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -8.80%E -3.26%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -3.32%E -2.27%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-31 06:30 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -8.80%E -3.26%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -3.32%E -2.27%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-31 06:30 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -8.80%E -3.26%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -3.32%E -2.27%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-31 06:30 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -8.80%E -3.26%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -3.98%E -2.74%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-31 06:29 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -8.80%E -3.26%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -3.98%E -2.74%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-31 06:30 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -8.80%E -3.26%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -3.98%E -2.74%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-31 06:30 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -8.80%E -3.26%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -3.98%E -2.74%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-31 06:30 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -8.80%E -3.26%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -3.98%E -2.74%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-31 06:30 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -8.80%E -3.26%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -3.98%E -2.74%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-31 06:30 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -8.80%E -3.26%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -3.98%E -2.74%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-31 06:30 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -8.80%E -3.26%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -3.98%E -2.74%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-31 06:30 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -8.80%E -3.26%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -3.98%E -2.74%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-31 06:29 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -8.80%E -3.26%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -3.98%E -2.74%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-31 06:30 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -8.80%E -3.26%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -3.98%E -2.74%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-31 06:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -8.80%E -3.26%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -3.98%E -2.74%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-31 06:30 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -10.49%E -3.96%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -4.64%E -3.22%K -10.55%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-31 06:30 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.64I 37.88%NM 36.23%EV -10.83%E -4.10%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.77%EV -0.667%E -0.445%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-31 18:00 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -12.18%E -4.68%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -3.98%E -2.74%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-31 17:55 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (8)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.67% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 67.33% | 0.4% | 2026-08-31 18:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.33% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.67% | 0.7% | 2026-08-31 18:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.33% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.67% | 0.7% | 2026-08-31 18:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.04% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 66.96% | 0.9% | 2026-08-31 17:40 |
| ProphetX◎ | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.04% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 66.96% | 0.9% | 2026-08-31 17:56 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.33% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 66.67% | 2.0% | 2026-08-31 18:00 |
| Novig◎ | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.18% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 66.82% | 2.5% | 2026-08-31 18:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.98I 33.56%NM 32.73% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 67.27% | 2.5% | 2026-08-31 18:00 |