Language:English
Madison Keys v Qinwen Zheng
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Madison Keys (Local)
Prediction 60.10%1.66fair odd
EV -2.64%
Edge -1.63%
Kelly -4.27%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.62
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
58.67%60.28%60.00%62.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.501.571.571.6266.67%63.66%63.69%61.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Qinwen Zheng (Visit)
Prediction 39.90%2.51fair odd
EV -0.240%
Edge -0.096%
Kelly -0.160%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.50%39.72%40.00%41.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.202.362.352.5045.45%42.29%42.55%40.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Madison Keys (Local): 60.10%; Qinwen Zheng (Visit): 39.90%. For Qinwen Zheng (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.51. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.50, with an expected value of -0.240%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (63 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.00%EV -2.64%E -1.63%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 40.00%EV -3.03%E -1.25%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-09-04 11:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -2.64%E -1.63%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -8.22%E -3.57%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-04 07:15 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -2.64%E -1.63%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -8.22%E -3.57%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-04 07:15 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -3.25%E -2.02%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV -2.24%E -0.912%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-09-04 10:05 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -3.25%E -2.02%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -8.22%E -3.57%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-04 07:15 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.78%EV -3.85%E -2.40%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.22%EV -1.04%E -0.419%K -0.701%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-09-04 11:25 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.78%EV -3.85%E -2.40%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.22%EV -1.04%E -0.419%K -0.701%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-09-04 11:25 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.85%E -2.40%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -4.23%E -1.76%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-04 07:15 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.35%EV -4.45%E -2.80%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.65%EV -3.43%E -1.42%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-04 08:40 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.45%E -2.80%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.23%E -1.76%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-04 07:36 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.05%EV -4.45%E -2.80%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 2.39I 41.84%NM 39.95%EV -4.63%E -1.94%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-04 13:30 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -4.45%E -2.80%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -6.23%E -2.65%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-04 07:10 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.50%EV -5.05%E -3.20%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.50%EV -3.43%E -1.42%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-04 08:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.90%EV -5.05%E -3.20%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 40.10%EV -5.83%E -2.47%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-04 07:05 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -5.05%E -3.20%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -6.23%E -2.65%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-04 08:29 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -5.05%E -3.20%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -6.23%E -2.65%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-04 11:45 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -5.05%E -3.20%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -6.23%E -2.65%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-04 10:15 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -5.05%E -3.20%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -6.23%E -2.65%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-04 07:15 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -5.05%E -3.20%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -6.23%E -2.65%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-04 07:35 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -5.05%E -3.20%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -6.23%E -2.65%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-04 07:20 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -5.05%E -3.20%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -6.23%E -2.65%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-04 07:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -5.05%E -3.20%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -6.23%E -2.65%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-04 07:09 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.65%E -3.60%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.23%E -1.76%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-04 07:15 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.65%E -3.60%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.23%E -1.76%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-04 08:40 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.35%EV -5.65%E -3.60%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 2.39I 41.84%NM 39.65%EV -4.63%E -1.94%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-04 08:35 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.65%E -3.60%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.03%E -2.11%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-04 07:15 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.65%E -3.60%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.03%E -2.11%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-04 07:04 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.65%E -3.60%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.03%E -2.11%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-04 07:10 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.65%E -3.60%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.03%E -2.11%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-04 07:24 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.65%E -3.60%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.03%E -2.11%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-04 08:38 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.65%E -3.60%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.03%E -2.11%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-04 09:44 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.65%E -3.60%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.03%E -2.11%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-04 09:45 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.65%E -3.60%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.23%E -2.65%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-04 07:20 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.65%E -3.60%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.23%E -2.65%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-04 07:20 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.65%E -3.60%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.23%E -2.65%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-04 07:35 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.65%E -3.60%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.23%E -2.65%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-04 07:40 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.65%E -3.60%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.23%E -2.65%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-04 07:10 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.65%E -3.60%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.23%E -2.65%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-04 07:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.65%E -3.60%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.23%E -2.65%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-04 07:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.65%E -3.60%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.23%E -2.65%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-04 07:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.65%E -3.60%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.23%E -2.65%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-04 07:10 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.65%E -3.60%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.23%E -2.65%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-04 07:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.65%E -3.60%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.23%E -2.65%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-04 07:10 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.65%E -3.60%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.23%E -2.65%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-04 07:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.65%E -3.60%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.23%E -2.65%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-04 07:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.65%E -3.60%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.23%E -2.65%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-04 07:10 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.65%E -3.60%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.23%E -2.65%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-04 07:10 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.85%EV -5.65%E -3.60%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.15%EV -6.62%E -2.83%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-04 07:35 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.85%EV -5.65%E -3.60%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.15%EV -6.62%E -2.83%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-04 07:40 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.64%EV -5.65%E -3.60%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.36%EV -7.42%E -3.20%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-04 09:19 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -5.65%E -3.60%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -10.22%E -4.54%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-04 07:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -5.65%E -3.60%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -10.22%E -4.54%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-04 07:15 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -6.25%E -4.01%K -11.16%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -6.23%E -2.65%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-04 07:35 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -6.85%E -4.42%K -12.46%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -4.23%E -1.76%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-04 07:25 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -6.85%E -4.42%K -12.46%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -6.23%E -2.65%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-04 11:21 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -6.85%E -4.42%K -12.46%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -6.23%E -2.65%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-04 07:40 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -6.85%E -4.42%K -12.46%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -8.22%E -3.57%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-04 07:40 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.42%EV -8.05%E -5.26%K -15.19%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 40.58%EV -10.61%E -4.74%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-04 07:35 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -8.65%E -5.69%K -16.64%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -2.24%E -0.912%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-04 07:40 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.87%EV -9.26%E -6.13%K -18.15%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -2.24%E -0.912%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-04 07:40 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -9.86%E -6.57%K -19.71%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -0.240%E -0.096%K -0.160%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-04 12:09 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -9.86%E -6.57%K -19.71%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -0.240%E -0.096%K -0.160%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-04 05:03 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.46%EV -9.86%E -6.57%K -19.71%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -12.21%E -5.55%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-09-04 07:35 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (8)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61% | 1.0% | 2026-09-04 13:15 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.85% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.15% | 1.3% | 2026-09-04 14:25 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.19% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.81% | 1.3% | 2026-09-04 14:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.00% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.00% | 1.6% | 2026-09-04 13:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.00% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.00% | 1.6% | 2026-09-04 13:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.00% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.00% | 1.6% | 2026-09-04 13:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.75% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.25% | 2.7% | 2026-09-04 14:20 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.54I 64.94%NM 63.07% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.93% | 3.0% | 2026-09-04 04:00 |