Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Madison Keys v Qinwen Zheng

Inizio: 2026-09-05 15:00 UTC

Finale: Madison Keys 1–2 Qinwen Zheng

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

63 bookmaker (21 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Madison Keys (Casa)

Previsione 60.10%1.66quota equa
EV -2.64%
Vantaggio -1.63%
Kelly -4.27%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.62

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
58.67%60.28%60.00%62.50%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.501.571.571.6266.67%63.66%63.69%61.73%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Qinwen Zheng (Trasferta)

Previsione 39.90%2.51quota equa
EV -0.240%
Vantaggio -0.096%
Kelly -0.160%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.50

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
37.50%39.72%40.00%41.33%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
2.202.362.352.5045.45%42.29%42.55%40.00%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Madison Keys (Casa): 60.10%; Qinwen Zheng (Trasferta): 39.90%. Per Qinwen Zheng (Trasferta), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 2.51. Nessun bookmaker idoneo offriva una quota di chiusura superiore a tale livello: la migliore era 2.50, con un valore atteso del -0.240%; non produceva valore atteso positivo.

Quote dei bookmaker (63 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
Pinnacle🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 60.00%EV -2.64%E -1.63%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 40.00%EV -3.03%E -1.25%K -2.12%G +0.000%2.9%2026-09-04 11:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -2.64%E -1.63%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -8.22%E -3.57%K -6.32%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-04 07:15
Neds🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -2.64%E -1.63%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -8.22%E -3.57%K -6.32%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-04 07:15
Coolbet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -3.25%E -2.02%K -5.32%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV -2.24%E -0.912%K -1.54%G +0.000%2.9%2026-09-04 10:05
BetMGM🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -3.25%E -2.02%K -5.32%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -8.22%E -3.57%K -6.32%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-04 07:15
BetOnline.ag🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.78%EV -3.85%E -2.40%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.22%EV -1.04%E -0.419%K -0.701%G +0.000%2.8%2026-09-04 11:25
LowVig.ag🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.78%EV -3.85%E -2.40%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.22%EV -1.04%E -0.419%K -0.701%G +0.000%2.8%2026-09-04 11:25
Betway🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.85%E -2.40%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -4.23%E -1.76%K -3.02%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-04 07:15
1xBet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.35%EV -4.45%E -2.80%K -7.54%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.65%EV -3.43%E -1.42%K -2.42%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-04 08:40
Bovada🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.45%E -2.80%K -7.54%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.23%E -1.76%K -3.02%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-04 07:36
BetUS🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.05%EV -4.45%E -2.80%K -7.54%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 39.95%EV -4.63%E -1.94%K -3.33%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-04 13:30
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -4.45%E -2.80%K -7.54%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -6.23%E -2.65%K -4.61%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-04 07:10
FanDuel🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.50%EV -5.05%E -3.20%K -8.70%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.50%EV -3.43%E -1.42%K -2.42%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-04 08:40
DraftKings🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.90%EV -5.05%E -3.20%K -8.70%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 40.10%EV -5.83%E -2.47%K -4.28%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-04 07:05
Betclic (FR)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -5.05%E -3.20%K -8.70%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -6.23%E -2.65%K -4.61%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-04 08:29
Unibet (FR)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -5.05%E -3.20%K -8.70%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -6.23%E -2.65%K -4.61%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-04 11:45
Unibet (UK)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -5.05%E -3.20%K -8.70%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -6.23%E -2.65%K -4.61%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-04 10:15
PlayUp🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -5.05%E -3.20%K -8.70%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -6.23%E -2.65%K -4.61%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-04 07:15
Winamax (DE)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -5.05%E -3.20%K -8.70%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -6.23%E -2.65%K -4.61%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-04 07:35
Virgin Bet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -5.05%E -3.20%K -8.70%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -6.23%E -2.65%K -4.61%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-04 07:20
LiveScore Bet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -5.05%E -3.20%K -8.70%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -6.23%E -2.65%K -4.61%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-04 07:20
Unibet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -5.05%E -3.20%K -8.70%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -6.23%E -2.65%K -4.61%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-04 07:09
Bet Right🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.65%E -3.60%K -9.91%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.23%E -1.76%K -3.02%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-04 07:15
Paddy Power🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.65%E -3.60%K -9.91%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.23%E -1.76%K -3.02%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-04 08:40
Marathon Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.35%EV -5.65%E -3.60%K -9.91%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 39.65%EV -4.63%E -1.94%K -3.33%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-04 08:35
betfred_uk🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.65%E -3.60%K -9.91%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.03%E -2.11%K -3.64%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-04 07:15
888sport🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.65%E -3.60%K -9.91%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.03%E -2.11%K -3.64%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-04 07:04
William Hill🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.65%E -3.60%K -9.91%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.03%E -2.11%K -3.64%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-04 07:10
betano_uk🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.65%E -3.60%K -9.91%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.03%E -2.11%K -3.64%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-04 07:24
Sky Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.65%E -3.60%K -9.91%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.03%E -2.11%K -3.64%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-04 08:38
888sport (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.65%E -3.60%K -9.91%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.03%E -2.11%K -3.64%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-04 09:44
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.65%E -3.60%K -9.91%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.03%E -2.11%K -3.64%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-04 09:45
Betr (AU)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.65%E -3.60%K -9.91%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.23%E -2.65%K -4.61%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-04 07:20
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.65%E -3.60%K -9.91%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.23%E -2.65%K -4.61%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-04 07:20
Fanatics🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.65%E -3.60%K -9.91%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.23%E -2.65%K -4.61%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-04 07:35
MyBookie.ag🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.65%E -3.60%K -9.91%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.23%E -2.65%K -4.61%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-04 07:40
Grosvenor🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.65%E -3.60%K -9.91%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.23%E -2.65%K -4.61%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-04 07:10
BetRivers🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.65%E -3.60%K -9.91%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.23%E -2.65%K -4.61%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-04 07:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.65%E -3.60%K -9.91%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.23%E -2.65%K -4.61%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-04 07:10
TABtouch🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.65%E -3.60%K -9.91%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.23%E -2.65%K -4.61%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-04 07:10
Unibet (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.65%E -3.60%K -9.91%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.23%E -2.65%K -4.61%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-04 07:10
Casumo🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.65%E -3.60%K -9.91%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.23%E -2.65%K -4.61%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-04 07:10
Unibet (NL)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.65%E -3.60%K -9.91%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.23%E -2.65%K -4.61%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-04 07:10
Bally Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.65%E -3.60%K -9.91%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.23%E -2.65%K -4.61%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-04 07:10
betPARX🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.65%E -3.60%K -9.91%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.23%E -2.65%K -4.61%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-04 07:10
ATG (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.65%E -3.60%K -9.91%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.23%E -2.65%K -4.61%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-04 07:10
Svenska Spel🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.65%E -3.60%K -9.91%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.23%E -2.65%K -4.61%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-04 07:10
NordicBet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.85%EV -5.65%E -3.60%K -9.91%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.15%EV -6.62%E -2.83%K -4.94%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-04 07:35
Betsson🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.85%EV -5.65%E -3.60%K -9.91%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.15%EV -6.62%E -2.83%K -4.94%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-04 07:40
PMU (FR)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.64%EV -5.65%E -3.60%K -9.91%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.36%EV -7.42%E -3.20%K -5.62%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-04 09:19
Coral🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -5.65%E -3.60%K -9.91%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -10.22%E -4.54%K -8.17%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-04 07:15
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -5.65%E -3.60%K -9.91%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -10.22%E -4.54%K -8.17%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-04 07:15
theScore Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -6.25%E -4.01%K -11.16%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -6.23%E -2.65%K -4.61%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-04 07:35
Tipico (DE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -6.85%E -4.42%K -12.46%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -4.23%E -1.76%K -3.02%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-04 07:25
TAB🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -6.85%E -4.42%K -12.46%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -6.23%E -2.65%K -4.61%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-04 11:21
NetBet (FR)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -6.85%E -4.42%K -12.46%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -6.23%E -2.65%K -4.61%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-04 07:40
LeoVegas🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -6.85%E -4.42%K -12.46%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -8.22%E -3.57%K -6.32%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-04 07:40
ReBet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.42%EV -8.05%E -5.26%K -15.19%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 40.58%EV -10.61%E -4.74%K -8.56%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-04 07:35
SportsBet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -8.65%E -5.69%K -16.64%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -2.24%E -0.912%K -1.54%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-04 07:40
GTbets🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 61.87%EV -9.26%E -6.13%K -18.15%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -2.24%E -0.912%K -1.54%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-04 07:40
BoyleSports🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -9.86%E -6.57%K -19.71%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -0.240%E -0.096%K -0.160%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-04 12:09
Caesars🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -9.86%E -6.57%K -19.71%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -0.240%E -0.096%K -0.160%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-04 05:03
Winamax (FR)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.46%EV -9.86%E -6.57%K -19.71%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -12.21%E -5.55%K -10.18%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-04 07:35
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (8)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Novig◎1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.0%2026-09-04 13:15
Matchbook◎1.65I 60.61%NM 59.85%2.46I 40.65%NM 40.15%1.3%2026-09-04 14:25
ProphetX◎1.64I 60.98%NM 60.19%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.81%1.3%2026-09-04 14:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.64I 60.98%NM 60.00%2.46I 40.65%NM 40.00%1.6%2026-09-04 13:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.64I 60.98%NM 60.00%2.46I 40.65%NM 40.00%1.6%2026-09-04 13:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.64I 60.98%NM 60.00%2.46I 40.65%NM 40.00%1.6%2026-09-04 13:40
Smarkets◎1.63I 61.35%NM 59.75%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.25%2.7%2026-09-04 14:20
Kalshi◎1.54I 64.94%NM 63.07%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.93%3.0%2026-09-04 04:00