Idioma:Español
Madison Keys v Qinwen Zheng
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Madison Keys (Local)
Predicción 60.10%1.66momio equitativo
EV -2.64%
Ventaja -1.63%
Kelly -4.27%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.62
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
58.67%60.28%60.00%62.50%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.501.571.571.6266.67%63.66%63.69%61.73%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Qinwen Zheng (Visitante)
Predicción 39.90%2.51momio equitativo
EV -0.240%
Ventaja -0.096%
Kelly -0.160%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.50
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
37.50%39.72%40.00%41.33%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.202.362.352.5045.45%42.29%42.55%40.00%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Madison Keys (Local): 60.10%; Qinwen Zheng (Visitante): 39.90%. Para Qinwen Zheng (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 2.51. Ningún corredor elegible ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel: los mejores fueron 2.50, con un valor esperado de -0.240%; no produjeron valor esperado positivo.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (63 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.00%EV -2.64%E -1.63%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 40.00%EV -3.03%E -1.25%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-09-04 11:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -2.64%E -1.63%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -8.22%E -3.57%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-04 07:15 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -2.64%E -1.63%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -8.22%E -3.57%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-04 07:15 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -3.25%E -2.02%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV -2.24%E -0.912%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-09-04 10:05 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -3.25%E -2.02%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -8.22%E -3.57%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-04 07:15 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.78%EV -3.85%E -2.40%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.22%EV -1.04%E -0.419%K -0.701%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-09-04 11:25 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.78%EV -3.85%E -2.40%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.22%EV -1.04%E -0.419%K -0.701%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-09-04 11:25 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.85%E -2.40%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -4.23%E -1.76%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-04 07:15 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.35%EV -4.45%E -2.80%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.65%EV -3.43%E -1.42%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-04 08:40 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.45%E -2.80%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.23%E -1.76%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-04 07:36 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.05%EV -4.45%E -2.80%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 2.39I 41.84%NM 39.95%EV -4.63%E -1.94%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-04 13:30 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -4.45%E -2.80%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -6.23%E -2.65%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-04 07:10 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.50%EV -5.05%E -3.20%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.50%EV -3.43%E -1.42%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-04 08:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.90%EV -5.05%E -3.20%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 40.10%EV -5.83%E -2.47%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-04 07:05 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -5.05%E -3.20%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -6.23%E -2.65%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-04 08:29 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -5.05%E -3.20%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -6.23%E -2.65%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-04 11:45 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -5.05%E -3.20%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -6.23%E -2.65%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-04 10:15 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -5.05%E -3.20%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -6.23%E -2.65%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-04 07:15 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -5.05%E -3.20%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -6.23%E -2.65%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-04 07:35 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -5.05%E -3.20%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -6.23%E -2.65%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-04 07:20 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -5.05%E -3.20%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -6.23%E -2.65%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-04 07:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -5.05%E -3.20%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -6.23%E -2.65%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-04 07:09 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.65%E -3.60%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.23%E -1.76%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-04 07:15 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.65%E -3.60%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.23%E -1.76%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-04 08:40 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.35%EV -5.65%E -3.60%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 2.39I 41.84%NM 39.65%EV -4.63%E -1.94%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-04 08:35 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.65%E -3.60%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.03%E -2.11%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-04 07:15 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.65%E -3.60%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.03%E -2.11%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-04 07:04 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.65%E -3.60%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.03%E -2.11%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-04 07:10 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.65%E -3.60%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.03%E -2.11%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-04 07:24 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.65%E -3.60%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.03%E -2.11%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-04 08:38 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.65%E -3.60%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.03%E -2.11%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-04 09:44 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.65%E -3.60%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.03%E -2.11%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-04 09:45 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.65%E -3.60%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.23%E -2.65%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-04 07:20 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.65%E -3.60%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.23%E -2.65%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-04 07:20 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.65%E -3.60%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.23%E -2.65%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-04 07:35 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.65%E -3.60%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.23%E -2.65%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-04 07:40 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.65%E -3.60%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.23%E -2.65%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-04 07:10 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.65%E -3.60%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.23%E -2.65%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-04 07:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.65%E -3.60%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.23%E -2.65%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-04 07:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.65%E -3.60%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.23%E -2.65%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-04 07:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.65%E -3.60%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.23%E -2.65%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-04 07:10 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.65%E -3.60%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.23%E -2.65%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-04 07:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.65%E -3.60%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.23%E -2.65%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-04 07:10 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.65%E -3.60%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.23%E -2.65%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-04 07:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.65%E -3.60%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.23%E -2.65%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-04 07:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.65%E -3.60%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.23%E -2.65%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-04 07:10 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.65%E -3.60%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.23%E -2.65%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-04 07:10 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.85%EV -5.65%E -3.60%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.15%EV -6.62%E -2.83%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-04 07:35 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.85%EV -5.65%E -3.60%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.15%EV -6.62%E -2.83%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-04 07:40 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.64%EV -5.65%E -3.60%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.36%EV -7.42%E -3.20%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-04 09:19 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -5.65%E -3.60%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -10.22%E -4.54%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-04 07:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -5.65%E -3.60%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -10.22%E -4.54%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-04 07:15 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -6.25%E -4.01%K -11.16%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -6.23%E -2.65%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-04 07:35 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -6.85%E -4.42%K -12.46%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -4.23%E -1.76%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-04 07:25 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -6.85%E -4.42%K -12.46%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -6.23%E -2.65%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-04 11:21 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -6.85%E -4.42%K -12.46%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -6.23%E -2.65%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-04 07:40 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -6.85%E -4.42%K -12.46%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -8.22%E -3.57%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-04 07:40 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.42%EV -8.05%E -5.26%K -15.19%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 40.58%EV -10.61%E -4.74%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-04 07:35 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -8.65%E -5.69%K -16.64%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -2.24%E -0.912%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-04 07:40 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.87%EV -9.26%E -6.13%K -18.15%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -2.24%E -0.912%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-04 07:40 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -9.86%E -6.57%K -19.71%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -0.240%E -0.096%K -0.160%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-04 12:09 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -9.86%E -6.57%K -19.71%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -0.240%E -0.096%K -0.160%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-04 05:03 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.46%EV -9.86%E -6.57%K -19.71%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -12.21%E -5.55%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-09-04 07:35 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (8)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61% | 1.0% | 2026-09-04 13:15 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.85% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.15% | 1.3% | 2026-09-04 14:25 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.19% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.81% | 1.3% | 2026-09-04 14:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.00% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.00% | 1.6% | 2026-09-04 13:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.00% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.00% | 1.6% | 2026-09-04 13:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.00% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.00% | 1.6% | 2026-09-04 13:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.75% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.25% | 2.7% | 2026-09-04 14:20 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.54I 64.94%NM 63.07% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.93% | 3.0% | 2026-09-04 04:00 |