Langue:Français
Madison Keys v Qinwen Zheng
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Madison Keys (Local)
Prévision 60.10%1.66cote équitable
EV -2.64%
Avantage -1.63%
Kelly -4.27%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.62
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
58.67%60.28%60.00%62.50%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.501.571.571.6266.67%63.66%63.69%61.73%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Qinwen Zheng (Visiteur)
Prévision 39.90%2.51cote équitable
EV -0.240%
Avantage -0.096%
Kelly -0.160%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.50
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
37.50%39.72%40.00%41.33%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.202.362.352.5045.45%42.29%42.55%40.00%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Madison Keys (Local) : 60.10% ; Qinwen Zheng (Visiteur) : 39.90%. Pour Qinwen Zheng (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 2.51. Aucun opérateur admissible ne proposait de cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure était 2.50, pour une espérance de -0.240% ; elle ne produisait pas d’espérance positive.
Cotes des opérateurs (63 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.00%EV -2.64%E -1.63%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 40.00%EV -3.03%E -1.25%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-09-04 11:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -2.64%E -1.63%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -8.22%E -3.57%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-04 07:15 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -2.64%E -1.63%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -8.22%E -3.57%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-04 07:15 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -3.25%E -2.02%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV -2.24%E -0.912%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-09-04 10:05 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -3.25%E -2.02%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -8.22%E -3.57%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-04 07:15 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.78%EV -3.85%E -2.40%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.22%EV -1.04%E -0.419%K -0.701%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-09-04 11:25 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.78%EV -3.85%E -2.40%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.22%EV -1.04%E -0.419%K -0.701%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-09-04 11:25 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.85%E -2.40%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -4.23%E -1.76%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-04 07:15 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.35%EV -4.45%E -2.80%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.65%EV -3.43%E -1.42%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-04 08:40 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.45%E -2.80%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.23%E -1.76%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-04 07:36 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.05%EV -4.45%E -2.80%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 2.39I 41.84%NM 39.95%EV -4.63%E -1.94%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-04 13:30 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -4.45%E -2.80%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -6.23%E -2.65%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-04 07:10 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.50%EV -5.05%E -3.20%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.50%EV -3.43%E -1.42%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-04 08:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.90%EV -5.05%E -3.20%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 40.10%EV -5.83%E -2.47%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-04 07:05 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -5.05%E -3.20%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -6.23%E -2.65%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-04 08:29 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -5.05%E -3.20%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -6.23%E -2.65%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-04 11:45 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -5.05%E -3.20%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -6.23%E -2.65%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-04 10:15 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -5.05%E -3.20%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -6.23%E -2.65%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-04 07:15 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -5.05%E -3.20%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -6.23%E -2.65%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-04 07:35 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -5.05%E -3.20%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -6.23%E -2.65%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-04 07:20 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -5.05%E -3.20%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -6.23%E -2.65%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-04 07:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -5.05%E -3.20%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -6.23%E -2.65%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-04 07:09 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.65%E -3.60%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.23%E -1.76%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-04 07:15 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.65%E -3.60%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.23%E -1.76%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-04 08:40 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.35%EV -5.65%E -3.60%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 2.39I 41.84%NM 39.65%EV -4.63%E -1.94%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-04 08:35 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.65%E -3.60%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.03%E -2.11%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-04 07:15 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.65%E -3.60%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.03%E -2.11%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-04 07:04 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.65%E -3.60%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.03%E -2.11%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-04 07:10 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.65%E -3.60%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.03%E -2.11%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-04 07:24 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.65%E -3.60%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.03%E -2.11%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-04 08:38 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.65%E -3.60%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.03%E -2.11%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-04 09:44 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.65%E -3.60%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.03%E -2.11%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-04 09:45 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.65%E -3.60%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.23%E -2.65%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-04 07:20 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.65%E -3.60%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.23%E -2.65%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-04 07:20 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.65%E -3.60%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.23%E -2.65%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-04 07:35 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.65%E -3.60%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.23%E -2.65%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-04 07:40 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.65%E -3.60%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.23%E -2.65%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-04 07:10 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.65%E -3.60%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.23%E -2.65%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-04 07:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.65%E -3.60%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.23%E -2.65%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-04 07:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.65%E -3.60%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.23%E -2.65%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-04 07:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.65%E -3.60%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.23%E -2.65%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-04 07:10 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.65%E -3.60%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.23%E -2.65%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-04 07:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.65%E -3.60%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.23%E -2.65%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-04 07:10 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.65%E -3.60%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.23%E -2.65%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-04 07:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.65%E -3.60%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.23%E -2.65%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-04 07:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.65%E -3.60%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.23%E -2.65%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-04 07:10 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.65%E -3.60%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.23%E -2.65%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-04 07:10 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.85%EV -5.65%E -3.60%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.15%EV -6.62%E -2.83%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-04 07:35 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.85%EV -5.65%E -3.60%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.15%EV -6.62%E -2.83%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-04 07:40 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.64%EV -5.65%E -3.60%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.36%EV -7.42%E -3.20%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-04 09:19 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -5.65%E -3.60%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -10.22%E -4.54%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-04 07:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -5.65%E -3.60%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -10.22%E -4.54%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-04 07:15 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -6.25%E -4.01%K -11.16%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -6.23%E -2.65%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-04 07:35 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -6.85%E -4.42%K -12.46%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -4.23%E -1.76%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-04 07:25 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -6.85%E -4.42%K -12.46%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -6.23%E -2.65%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-04 11:21 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -6.85%E -4.42%K -12.46%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -6.23%E -2.65%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-04 07:40 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -6.85%E -4.42%K -12.46%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -8.22%E -3.57%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-04 07:40 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.42%EV -8.05%E -5.26%K -15.19%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 40.58%EV -10.61%E -4.74%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-04 07:35 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -8.65%E -5.69%K -16.64%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -2.24%E -0.912%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-04 07:40 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.87%EV -9.26%E -6.13%K -18.15%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -2.24%E -0.912%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-04 07:40 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -9.86%E -6.57%K -19.71%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -0.240%E -0.096%K -0.160%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-04 12:09 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -9.86%E -6.57%K -19.71%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -0.240%E -0.096%K -0.160%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-04 05:03 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.46%EV -9.86%E -6.57%K -19.71%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -12.21%E -5.55%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-09-04 07:35 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (8)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61% | 1.0% | 2026-09-04 13:15 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.85% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.15% | 1.3% | 2026-09-04 14:25 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.19% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.81% | 1.3% | 2026-09-04 14:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.00% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.00% | 1.6% | 2026-09-04 13:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.00% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.00% | 1.6% | 2026-09-04 13:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.00% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.00% | 1.6% | 2026-09-04 13:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.75% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.25% | 2.7% | 2026-09-04 14:20 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.54I 64.94%NM 63.07% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.93% | 3.0% | 2026-09-04 04:00 |