Language:English
Madison Keys v Anna Bondár
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Madison Keys (Local)
Prediction 86.17%1.16fair odd
EV -2.63%
Edge -2.32%
Kelly -20.20%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.13
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
84.39%86.08%86.31%87.31%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.081.101.101.1392.59%90.77%90.91%88.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Anna Bondár (Visit)
Prediction 13.83%7.23fair odd
EV +3.71%
Edge +0.495%
Kelly +0.571%
Growth +0.021%
assuming max odds 7.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
12.69%13.92%13.69%15.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
6.006.906.947.5016.67%14.49%14.42%13.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Madison Keys (Local): 86.17%; Anna Bondár (Visit): 13.83%. For Anna Bondár (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 7.23. 18 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 7.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.71%.
Sportsbook Odds (66 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -5.21%E -4.74%K -52.11%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV +3.71%E +0.495%K +0.571%G +0.021% | 4.2% | 2026-09-03 08:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -6.07%E -5.57%K -67.48%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV +3.71%E +0.495%K +0.571%G +0.021% | 5.1% | 2026-09-03 08:50 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -6.07%E -5.57%K -67.48%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV +3.71%E +0.495%K +0.571%G +0.021% | 5.1% | 2026-09-03 08:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -6.07%E -5.57%K -67.48%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV +3.71%E +0.495%K +0.571%G +0.021% | 5.1% | 2026-09-03 08:50 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -6.07%E -5.57%K -67.48%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV +3.71%E +0.495%K +0.571%G +0.021% | 5.1% | 2026-09-03 08:50 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -6.07%E -5.57%K -67.48%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV +3.71%E +0.495%K +0.571%G +0.021% | 5.1% | 2026-09-03 08:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -6.07%E -5.57%K -67.48%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV +3.71%E +0.495%K +0.571%G +0.021% | 5.1% | 2026-09-03 08:49 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -6.07%E -5.57%K -67.48%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV +3.71%E +0.495%K +0.571%G +0.021% | 5.1% | 2026-09-03 08:50 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -6.07%E -5.57%K -67.48%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV +3.71%E +0.495%K +0.571%G +0.021% | 5.1% | 2026-09-03 08:50 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -6.07%E -5.57%K -67.48%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV +3.71%E +0.495%K +0.571%G +0.021% | 5.1% | 2026-09-03 08:51 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -6.07%E -5.57%K -67.48%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV +3.71%E +0.495%K +0.571%G +0.021% | 5.1% | 2026-09-03 08:50 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -6.07%E -5.57%K -67.48%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV +3.71%E +0.495%K +0.571%G +0.021% | 5.1% | 2026-09-03 08:50 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -6.07%E -5.57%K -67.48%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV +3.71%E +0.495%K +0.571%G +0.021% | 5.1% | 2026-09-03 08:49 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -6.07%E -5.57%K -67.48%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV +3.71%E +0.495%K +0.571%G +0.021% | 5.1% | 2026-09-03 08:50 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -6.07%E -5.57%K -67.48%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV +3.71%E +0.495%K +0.571%G +0.021% | 5.1% | 2026-09-03 08:50 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -6.07%E -5.57%K -67.48%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV +3.71%E +0.495%K +0.571%G +0.021% | 5.1% | 2026-09-03 08:50 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 86.62%EV -3.49%E -3.11%K -29.07%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 13.38%EV +0.257%E +0.035%K +0.041%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-09-03 07:04 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 86.72%EV -4.35%E -3.92%K -39.54%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 13.28%EV +0.257%E +0.035%K +0.041%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-03 13:05 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.00%EV -6.93%E -6.42%K -86.69%G +0.000% | 7.23I 13.83%NM 13.00%EV -0.020%E -0.003%K -0.003%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-03 13:05 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.00%EV -6.93%E -6.42%K -86.69%G +0.000% | 7.23I 13.83%NM 13.00%EV -0.020%E -0.003%K -0.003%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-03 13:05 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 86.47%EV -2.63%E -2.32%K -20.20%G +0.000% | 7.22I 13.85%NM 13.53%EV -0.158%E -0.022%K -0.025%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-09-03 14:26 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.96%EV -6.93%E -6.42%K -86.69%G +0.000% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.04%EV -0.434%E -0.060%K -0.070%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-03 08:05 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 86.46%EV -3.49%E -3.11%K -29.07%G +0.000% | 7.15I 13.99%NM 13.54%EV -1.13%E -0.157%K -0.183%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-09-03 05:26 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 86.46%EV -3.49%E -3.11%K -29.07%G +0.000% | 7.15I 13.99%NM 13.54%EV -1.13%E -0.157%K -0.183%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-09-03 05:20 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 86.48%EV -4.35%E -3.92%K -39.54%G +0.000% | 7.10I 14.08%NM 13.52%EV -1.82%E -0.256%K -0.298%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-03 13:05 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.47%EV -5.21%E -4.74%K -52.11%G +0.000% | 7.03I 14.22%NM 13.53%EV -2.79%E -0.396%K -0.462%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-03 14:45 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -4.35%E -3.92%K -39.54%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV -3.20%E -0.457%K -0.533%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-03 13:05 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.21%E -4.74%K -52.11%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -3.20%E -0.457%K -0.533%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-03 08:05 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.21%E -4.74%K -52.11%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -3.20%E -0.457%K -0.533%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-02 23:45 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.21%E -4.74%K -52.11%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -3.20%E -0.457%K -0.533%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-03 14:54 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -6.07%E -5.57%K -67.48%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -3.20%E -0.457%K -0.533%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-03 14:55 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -6.93%E -6.42%K -86.69%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -3.20%E -0.457%K -0.533%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-03 08:50 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 86.16%EV -3.49%E -3.11%K -29.07%G +0.000% | 6.97I 14.35%NM 13.84%EV -3.61%E -0.519%K -0.606%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-09-03 08:05 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 86.14%EV -4.35%E -3.92%K -39.54%G +0.000% | 6.90I 14.49%NM 13.86%EV -4.58%E -0.664%K -0.777%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-03 13:05 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 86.14%EV -4.35%E -3.92%K -39.54%G +0.000% | 6.90I 14.49%NM 13.86%EV -4.58%E -0.664%K -0.777%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-03 05:10 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.27%EV -6.07%E -5.57%K -67.48%G +0.000% | 6.85I 14.60%NM 13.73%EV -5.27%E -0.770%K -0.902%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-03 14:55 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.97%EV -4.35%E -3.92%K -39.54%G +0.000% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.03%EV -5.97%E -0.877%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-03 13:09 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -4.35%E -3.92%K -39.54%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -6.66%E -0.986%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-03 14:09 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -4.35%E -3.92%K -39.54%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -6.66%E -0.986%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-03 10:30 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.10%EV -6.07%E -5.57%K -67.48%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.90%EV -6.66%E -0.986%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-03 09:45 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.90%EV -5.21%E -4.74%K -52.11%G +0.000% | 6.70I 14.93%NM 14.10%EV -7.35%E -1.10%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-03 07:14 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.60%EV -4.35%E -3.92%K -39.54%G +0.000% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.40%EV -8.73%E -1.32%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-02 23:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.60%EV -4.35%E -3.92%K -39.54%G +0.000% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.40%EV -8.73%E -1.32%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-02 23:45 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -3.49%E -3.11%K -29.07%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -10.11%E -1.56%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-03 14:54 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -4.35%E -3.92%K -39.54%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -10.11%E -1.56%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-03 14:10 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -4.35%E -3.92%K -39.54%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -10.11%E -1.56%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-03 14:10 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -4.35%E -3.92%K -39.54%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -10.11%E -1.56%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-03 14:10 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -4.35%E -3.92%K -39.54%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -10.11%E -1.56%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-03 14:10 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.21%E -4.74%K -52.11%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -10.11%E -1.56%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-02 23:50 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.21%E -4.74%K -52.11%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -10.11%E -1.56%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-03 14:14 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.21%E -4.74%K -52.11%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -10.11%E -1.56%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-03 14:10 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.21%E -4.74%K -52.11%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -10.11%E -1.56%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-02 23:45 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.21%E -4.74%K -52.11%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -10.11%E -1.56%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-02 23:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.21%E -4.74%K -52.11%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -10.11%E -1.56%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-02 23:50 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.21%E -4.74%K -52.11%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -10.11%E -1.56%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-03 05:10 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.21%E -4.74%K -52.11%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -10.11%E -1.56%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-03 05:10 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 85.64%EV -6.07%E -5.57%K -67.48%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.36%EV -10.11%E -1.56%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-03 14:40 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 85.64%EV -6.07%E -5.57%K -67.48%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.36%EV -10.11%E -1.56%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-03 14:12 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.32%EV -4.35%E -3.92%K -39.54%G +0.000% | 6.45I 15.50%NM 14.68%EV -10.81%E -1.68%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-03 08:05 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -3.49%E -3.11%K -29.07%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -13.57%E -2.17%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-03 14:45 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -3.49%E -3.11%K -29.07%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -13.57%E -2.17%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-03 14:14 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.92%EV -4.35%E -3.92%K -39.54%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.08%EV -13.57%E -2.17%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-03 14:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.70%EV -3.49%E -3.11%K -29.07%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.30%EV -14.26%E -2.30%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-03 14:14 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.70%EV -3.49%E -3.11%K -29.07%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.30%EV -14.26%E -2.30%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-03 13:10 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -4.35%E -3.92%K -39.54%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -17.03%E -2.84%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-02 05:31 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -4.35%E -3.92%K -39.54%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -17.03%E -2.84%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-03 07:15 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (8)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 1.14I 87.72%NM 87.09% | 7.69I 13.00%NM 12.91% | 0.7% | 2026-09-03 12:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.14I 87.72%NM 86.96% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 13.04% | 0.9% | 2026-09-03 14:15 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.14I 87.72%NM 86.96% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 13.04% | 0.9% | 2026-09-03 14:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.14I 87.72%NM 86.96% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 13.04% | 0.9% | 2026-09-03 14:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.14I 87.72%NM 86.96% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 13.04% | 0.9% | 2026-09-03 14:20 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.14I 87.72%NM 86.81% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 13.19% | 1.1% | 2026-09-03 14:50 |
| Novig◎ | 1.14I 87.72%NM 86.67% | 7.41I 13.50%NM 13.33% | 1.2% | 2026-09-03 14:45 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.12I 89.29%NM 86.85% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 13.15% | 2.8% | 2026-09-03 14:50 |