Langue:Français
Madison Keys v Anna Bondár
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Madison Keys (Local)
Prévision 86.17%1.16cote équitable
EV -2.63%
Avantage -2.32%
Kelly -20.20%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.13
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
84.39%86.08%86.31%87.31%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.081.101.101.1392.59%90.77%90.91%88.50%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Anna Bondár (Visiteur)
Prévision 13.83%7.23cote équitable
EV +3.71%
Avantage +0.495%
Kelly +0.571%
Croissance +0.021%
avec la cote maximale 7.50
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
12.69%13.92%13.69%15.61%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
6.006.906.947.5016.67%14.49%14.42%13.33%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Madison Keys (Local) : 86.17% ; Anna Bondár (Visiteur) : 13.83%. Pour Anna Bondár (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 7.23. 18 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 7.50, soit une espérance positive de +3.71%.
Cotes des opérateurs (66 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -5.21%E -4.74%K -52.11%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV +3.71%E +0.495%K +0.571%G +0.021% | 4.2% | 2026-09-03 08:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -6.07%E -5.57%K -67.48%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV +3.71%E +0.495%K +0.571%G +0.021% | 5.1% | 2026-09-03 08:50 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -6.07%E -5.57%K -67.48%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV +3.71%E +0.495%K +0.571%G +0.021% | 5.1% | 2026-09-03 08:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -6.07%E -5.57%K -67.48%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV +3.71%E +0.495%K +0.571%G +0.021% | 5.1% | 2026-09-03 08:50 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -6.07%E -5.57%K -67.48%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV +3.71%E +0.495%K +0.571%G +0.021% | 5.1% | 2026-09-03 08:50 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -6.07%E -5.57%K -67.48%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV +3.71%E +0.495%K +0.571%G +0.021% | 5.1% | 2026-09-03 08:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -6.07%E -5.57%K -67.48%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV +3.71%E +0.495%K +0.571%G +0.021% | 5.1% | 2026-09-03 08:49 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -6.07%E -5.57%K -67.48%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV +3.71%E +0.495%K +0.571%G +0.021% | 5.1% | 2026-09-03 08:50 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -6.07%E -5.57%K -67.48%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV +3.71%E +0.495%K +0.571%G +0.021% | 5.1% | 2026-09-03 08:50 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -6.07%E -5.57%K -67.48%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV +3.71%E +0.495%K +0.571%G +0.021% | 5.1% | 2026-09-03 08:51 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -6.07%E -5.57%K -67.48%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV +3.71%E +0.495%K +0.571%G +0.021% | 5.1% | 2026-09-03 08:50 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -6.07%E -5.57%K -67.48%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV +3.71%E +0.495%K +0.571%G +0.021% | 5.1% | 2026-09-03 08:50 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -6.07%E -5.57%K -67.48%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV +3.71%E +0.495%K +0.571%G +0.021% | 5.1% | 2026-09-03 08:49 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -6.07%E -5.57%K -67.48%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV +3.71%E +0.495%K +0.571%G +0.021% | 5.1% | 2026-09-03 08:50 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -6.07%E -5.57%K -67.48%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV +3.71%E +0.495%K +0.571%G +0.021% | 5.1% | 2026-09-03 08:50 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -6.07%E -5.57%K -67.48%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV +3.71%E +0.495%K +0.571%G +0.021% | 5.1% | 2026-09-03 08:50 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 86.62%EV -3.49%E -3.11%K -29.07%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 13.38%EV +0.257%E +0.035%K +0.041%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-09-03 07:04 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 86.72%EV -4.35%E -3.92%K -39.54%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 13.28%EV +0.257%E +0.035%K +0.041%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-03 13:05 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.00%EV -6.93%E -6.42%K -86.69%G +0.000% | 7.23I 13.83%NM 13.00%EV -0.020%E -0.003%K -0.003%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-03 13:05 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.00%EV -6.93%E -6.42%K -86.69%G +0.000% | 7.23I 13.83%NM 13.00%EV -0.020%E -0.003%K -0.003%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-03 13:05 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 86.47%EV -2.63%E -2.32%K -20.20%G +0.000% | 7.22I 13.85%NM 13.53%EV -0.158%E -0.022%K -0.025%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-09-03 14:26 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.96%EV -6.93%E -6.42%K -86.69%G +0.000% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.04%EV -0.434%E -0.060%K -0.070%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-03 08:05 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 86.46%EV -3.49%E -3.11%K -29.07%G +0.000% | 7.15I 13.99%NM 13.54%EV -1.13%E -0.157%K -0.183%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-09-03 05:26 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 86.46%EV -3.49%E -3.11%K -29.07%G +0.000% | 7.15I 13.99%NM 13.54%EV -1.13%E -0.157%K -0.183%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-09-03 05:20 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 86.48%EV -4.35%E -3.92%K -39.54%G +0.000% | 7.10I 14.08%NM 13.52%EV -1.82%E -0.256%K -0.298%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-03 13:05 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.47%EV -5.21%E -4.74%K -52.11%G +0.000% | 7.03I 14.22%NM 13.53%EV -2.79%E -0.396%K -0.462%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-03 14:45 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -4.35%E -3.92%K -39.54%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV -3.20%E -0.457%K -0.533%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-03 13:05 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.21%E -4.74%K -52.11%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -3.20%E -0.457%K -0.533%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-03 08:05 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.21%E -4.74%K -52.11%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -3.20%E -0.457%K -0.533%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-02 23:45 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.21%E -4.74%K -52.11%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -3.20%E -0.457%K -0.533%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-03 14:54 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -6.07%E -5.57%K -67.48%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -3.20%E -0.457%K -0.533%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-03 14:55 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -6.93%E -6.42%K -86.69%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -3.20%E -0.457%K -0.533%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-03 08:50 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 86.16%EV -3.49%E -3.11%K -29.07%G +0.000% | 6.97I 14.35%NM 13.84%EV -3.61%E -0.519%K -0.606%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-09-03 08:05 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 86.14%EV -4.35%E -3.92%K -39.54%G +0.000% | 6.90I 14.49%NM 13.86%EV -4.58%E -0.664%K -0.777%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-03 13:05 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 86.14%EV -4.35%E -3.92%K -39.54%G +0.000% | 6.90I 14.49%NM 13.86%EV -4.58%E -0.664%K -0.777%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-03 05:10 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.27%EV -6.07%E -5.57%K -67.48%G +0.000% | 6.85I 14.60%NM 13.73%EV -5.27%E -0.770%K -0.902%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-03 14:55 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.97%EV -4.35%E -3.92%K -39.54%G +0.000% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.03%EV -5.97%E -0.877%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-03 13:09 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -4.35%E -3.92%K -39.54%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -6.66%E -0.986%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-03 14:09 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -4.35%E -3.92%K -39.54%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -6.66%E -0.986%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-03 10:30 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.10%EV -6.07%E -5.57%K -67.48%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.90%EV -6.66%E -0.986%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-03 09:45 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.90%EV -5.21%E -4.74%K -52.11%G +0.000% | 6.70I 14.93%NM 14.10%EV -7.35%E -1.10%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-03 07:14 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.60%EV -4.35%E -3.92%K -39.54%G +0.000% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.40%EV -8.73%E -1.32%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-02 23:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.60%EV -4.35%E -3.92%K -39.54%G +0.000% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.40%EV -8.73%E -1.32%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-02 23:45 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -3.49%E -3.11%K -29.07%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -10.11%E -1.56%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-03 14:54 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -4.35%E -3.92%K -39.54%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -10.11%E -1.56%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-03 14:10 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -4.35%E -3.92%K -39.54%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -10.11%E -1.56%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-03 14:10 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -4.35%E -3.92%K -39.54%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -10.11%E -1.56%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-03 14:10 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -4.35%E -3.92%K -39.54%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -10.11%E -1.56%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-03 14:10 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.21%E -4.74%K -52.11%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -10.11%E -1.56%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-02 23:50 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.21%E -4.74%K -52.11%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -10.11%E -1.56%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-03 14:14 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.21%E -4.74%K -52.11%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -10.11%E -1.56%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-03 14:10 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.21%E -4.74%K -52.11%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -10.11%E -1.56%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-02 23:45 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.21%E -4.74%K -52.11%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -10.11%E -1.56%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-02 23:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.21%E -4.74%K -52.11%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -10.11%E -1.56%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-02 23:50 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.21%E -4.74%K -52.11%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -10.11%E -1.56%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-03 05:10 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.21%E -4.74%K -52.11%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -10.11%E -1.56%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-03 05:10 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 85.64%EV -6.07%E -5.57%K -67.48%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.36%EV -10.11%E -1.56%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-03 14:40 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 85.64%EV -6.07%E -5.57%K -67.48%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.36%EV -10.11%E -1.56%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-03 14:12 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.32%EV -4.35%E -3.92%K -39.54%G +0.000% | 6.45I 15.50%NM 14.68%EV -10.81%E -1.68%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-03 08:05 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -3.49%E -3.11%K -29.07%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -13.57%E -2.17%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-03 14:45 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -3.49%E -3.11%K -29.07%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -13.57%E -2.17%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-03 14:14 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.92%EV -4.35%E -3.92%K -39.54%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.08%EV -13.57%E -2.17%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-03 14:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.70%EV -3.49%E -3.11%K -29.07%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.30%EV -14.26%E -2.30%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-03 14:14 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.70%EV -3.49%E -3.11%K -29.07%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.30%EV -14.26%E -2.30%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-03 13:10 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -4.35%E -3.92%K -39.54%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -17.03%E -2.84%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-02 05:31 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -4.35%E -3.92%K -39.54%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -17.03%E -2.84%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-03 07:15 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (8)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 1.14I 87.72%NM 87.09% | 7.69I 13.00%NM 12.91% | 0.7% | 2026-09-03 12:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.14I 87.72%NM 86.96% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 13.04% | 0.9% | 2026-09-03 14:15 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.14I 87.72%NM 86.96% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 13.04% | 0.9% | 2026-09-03 14:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.14I 87.72%NM 86.96% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 13.04% | 0.9% | 2026-09-03 14:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.14I 87.72%NM 86.96% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 13.04% | 0.9% | 2026-09-03 14:20 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.14I 87.72%NM 86.81% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 13.19% | 1.1% | 2026-09-03 14:50 |
| Novig◎ | 1.14I 87.72%NM 86.67% | 7.41I 13.50%NM 13.33% | 1.2% | 2026-09-03 14:45 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.12I 89.29%NM 86.85% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 13.15% | 2.8% | 2026-09-03 14:50 |