Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Madison Keys v Anna Bondár

Inizio: 2026-09-03 15:03 UTC

Finale: Madison Keys 2–1 Anna Bondár

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

66 bookmaker (21 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Madison Keys (Casa)

Previsione 86.17%1.16quota equa
EV -2.63%
Vantaggio -2.32%
Kelly -20.20%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.13

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
84.39%86.08%86.31%87.31%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.081.101.101.1392.59%90.77%90.91%88.50%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Anna Bondár (Trasferta)

Previsione 13.83%7.23quota equa
EV +3.71%
Vantaggio +0.495%
Kelly +0.571%
Crescita +0.021%

ipotizzando la quota massima 7.50

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
12.69%13.92%13.69%15.61%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
6.006.906.947.5016.67%14.49%14.42%13.33%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Madison Keys (Casa): 86.17%; Anna Bondár (Trasferta): 13.83%. Per Anna Bondár (Trasferta), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 7.23. 18 bookmaker offrivano quote di chiusura superiori a tale livello; la migliore era 7.50, corrispondente a un valore atteso positivo del +3.71%.

Quote dei bookmaker (66 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼MargineAggiornamento
BoyleSports🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -5.21%E -4.74%K -52.11%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV +3.71%E +0.495%K +0.571%G +0.021%4.2%2026-09-03 08:00
Virgin Bet🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -6.07%E -5.57%K -67.48%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV +3.71%E +0.495%K +0.571%G +0.021%5.1%2026-09-03 08:50
Unibet (NL)🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -6.07%E -5.57%K -67.48%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV +3.71%E +0.495%K +0.571%G +0.021%5.1%2026-09-03 08:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -6.07%E -5.57%K -67.48%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV +3.71%E +0.495%K +0.571%G +0.021%5.1%2026-09-03 08:50
Casumo🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -6.07%E -5.57%K -67.48%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV +3.71%E +0.495%K +0.571%G +0.021%5.1%2026-09-03 08:50
BetRivers🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -6.07%E -5.57%K -67.48%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV +3.71%E +0.495%K +0.571%G +0.021%5.1%2026-09-03 08:50
Unibet🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -6.07%E -5.57%K -67.48%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV +3.71%E +0.495%K +0.571%G +0.021%5.1%2026-09-03 08:49
LiveScore Bet🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -6.07%E -5.57%K -67.48%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV +3.71%E +0.495%K +0.571%G +0.021%5.1%2026-09-03 08:50
Unibet (SE)🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -6.07%E -5.57%K -67.48%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV +3.71%E +0.495%K +0.571%G +0.021%5.1%2026-09-03 08:50
Grosvenor🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -6.07%E -5.57%K -67.48%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV +3.71%E +0.495%K +0.571%G +0.021%5.1%2026-09-03 08:51
TABtouch🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -6.07%E -5.57%K -67.48%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV +3.71%E +0.495%K +0.571%G +0.021%5.1%2026-09-03 08:50
Bally Bet🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -6.07%E -5.57%K -67.48%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV +3.71%E +0.495%K +0.571%G +0.021%5.1%2026-09-03 08:50
ATG (SE)🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -6.07%E -5.57%K -67.48%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV +3.71%E +0.495%K +0.571%G +0.021%5.1%2026-09-03 08:49
betPARX🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -6.07%E -5.57%K -67.48%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV +3.71%E +0.495%K +0.571%G +0.021%5.1%2026-09-03 08:50
Svenska Spel🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -6.07%E -5.57%K -67.48%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV +3.71%E +0.495%K +0.571%G +0.021%5.1%2026-09-03 08:50
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -6.07%E -5.57%K -67.48%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV +3.71%E +0.495%K +0.571%G +0.021%5.1%2026-09-03 08:50
Coolbet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 86.62%EV -3.49%E -3.11%K -29.07%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 13.38%EV +0.257%E +0.035%K +0.041%G +0.000%3.1%2026-09-03 07:04
Winamax (DE)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 86.72%EV -4.35%E -3.92%K -39.54%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 13.28%EV +0.257%E +0.035%K +0.041%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-03 13:05
Betsson🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.00%EV -6.93%E -6.42%K -86.69%G +0.000%7.23I 13.83%NM 13.00%EV -0.020%E -0.003%K -0.003%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-03 13:05
NordicBet🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.00%EV -6.93%E -6.42%K -86.69%G +0.000%7.23I 13.83%NM 13.00%EV -0.020%E -0.003%K -0.003%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-03 13:05
Pinnacle🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 86.47%EV -2.63%E -2.32%K -20.20%G +0.000%7.22I 13.85%NM 13.53%EV -0.158%E -0.022%K -0.025%G +0.000%2.3%2026-09-03 14:26
Tipico (DE)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 86.96%EV -6.93%E -6.42%K -86.69%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.04%EV -0.434%E -0.060%K -0.070%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-03 08:05
BetOnline.ag🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 86.46%EV -3.49%E -3.11%K -29.07%G +0.000%7.15I 13.99%NM 13.54%EV -1.13%E -0.157%K -0.183%G +0.000%3.3%2026-09-03 05:26
LowVig.ag🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 86.46%EV -3.49%E -3.11%K -29.07%G +0.000%7.15I 13.99%NM 13.54%EV -1.13%E -0.157%K -0.183%G +0.000%3.3%2026-09-03 05:20
ReBet🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 86.48%EV -4.35%E -3.92%K -39.54%G +0.000%7.10I 14.08%NM 13.52%EV -1.82%E -0.256%K -0.298%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-03 13:05
1xBet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.47%EV -5.21%E -4.74%K -52.11%G +0.000%7.03I 14.22%NM 13.53%EV -2.79%E -0.396%K -0.462%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-03 14:45
Winamax (FR)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -4.35%E -3.92%K -39.54%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV -3.20%E -0.457%K -0.533%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-03 13:05
Unibet (UK)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.21%E -4.74%K -52.11%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -3.20%E -0.457%K -0.533%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-03 08:05
Betway🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.21%E -4.74%K -52.11%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -3.20%E -0.457%K -0.533%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-02 23:45
BetUS🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.21%E -4.74%K -52.11%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -3.20%E -0.457%K -0.533%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-03 14:54
Marathon Bet🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -6.07%E -5.57%K -67.48%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -3.20%E -0.457%K -0.533%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-03 14:55
PMU (FR)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -6.93%E -6.42%K -86.69%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -3.20%E -0.457%K -0.533%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-03 08:50
GTbets🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 86.16%EV -3.49%E -3.11%K -29.07%G +0.000%6.97I 14.35%NM 13.84%EV -3.61%E -0.519%K -0.606%G +0.000%3.6%2026-09-03 08:05
Unibet (FR)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 86.14%EV -4.35%E -3.92%K -39.54%G +0.000%6.90I 14.49%NM 13.86%EV -4.58%E -0.664%K -0.777%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-03 13:05
FanDuel🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 86.14%EV -4.35%E -3.92%K -39.54%G +0.000%6.90I 14.49%NM 13.86%EV -4.58%E -0.664%K -0.777%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-03 05:10
Fliff🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 86.27%EV -6.07%E -5.57%K -67.48%G +0.000%6.85I 14.60%NM 13.73%EV -5.27%E -0.770%K -0.902%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-03 14:55
MyBookie.ag🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.97%EV -4.35%E -3.92%K -39.54%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.03%EV -5.97%E -0.877%K -1.03%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-03 13:09
Betclic (FR)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -4.35%E -3.92%K -39.54%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -6.66%E -0.986%K -1.16%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-03 14:09
Bet Right🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -4.35%E -3.92%K -39.54%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -6.66%E -0.986%K -1.16%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-03 10:30
NetBet (FR)🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 86.10%EV -6.07%E -5.57%K -67.48%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.90%EV -6.66%E -0.986%K -1.16%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-03 09:45
SportsBet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.90%EV -5.21%E -4.74%K -52.11%G +0.000%6.70I 14.93%NM 14.10%EV -7.35%E -1.10%K -1.29%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-03 07:14
Neds🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.60%EV -4.35%E -3.92%K -39.54%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.40%EV -8.73%E -1.32%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-02 23:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.60%EV -4.35%E -3.92%K -39.54%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.40%EV -8.73%E -1.32%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-02 23:45
Bovada🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -3.49%E -3.11%K -29.07%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -10.11%E -1.56%K -1.84%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-03 14:54
888sport🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -4.35%E -3.92%K -39.54%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -10.11%E -1.56%K -1.84%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-03 14:10
William Hill🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -4.35%E -3.92%K -39.54%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -10.11%E -1.56%K -1.84%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-03 14:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -4.35%E -3.92%K -39.54%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -10.11%E -1.56%K -1.84%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-03 14:10
888sport (SE)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -4.35%E -3.92%K -39.54%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -10.11%E -1.56%K -1.84%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-03 14:10
betfred_uk🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.21%E -4.74%K -52.11%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -10.11%E -1.56%K -1.84%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-02 23:50
LeoVegas🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.21%E -4.74%K -52.11%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -10.11%E -1.56%K -1.84%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-03 14:14
betano_uk🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.21%E -4.74%K -52.11%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -10.11%E -1.56%K -1.84%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-03 14:10
BetMGM🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.21%E -4.74%K -52.11%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -10.11%E -1.56%K -1.84%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-02 23:45
Coral🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.21%E -4.74%K -52.11%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -10.11%E -1.56%K -1.84%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-02 23:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.21%E -4.74%K -52.11%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -10.11%E -1.56%K -1.84%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-02 23:50
Paddy Power🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.21%E -4.74%K -52.11%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -10.11%E -1.56%K -1.84%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-03 05:10
Sky Bet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.21%E -4.74%K -52.11%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -10.11%E -1.56%K -1.84%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-03 05:10
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 85.64%EV -6.07%E -5.57%K -67.48%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.36%EV -10.11%E -1.56%K -1.84%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-03 14:40
TAB🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 85.64%EV -6.07%E -5.57%K -67.48%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.36%EV -10.11%E -1.56%K -1.84%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-03 14:12
theScore Bet🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.32%EV -4.35%E -3.92%K -39.54%G +0.000%6.45I 15.50%NM 14.68%EV -10.81%E -1.68%K -1.98%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-03 08:05
Fanatics🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -3.49%E -3.11%K -29.07%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -13.57%E -2.17%K -2.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-03 14:45
PlayUp🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -3.49%E -3.11%K -29.07%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -13.57%E -2.17%K -2.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-03 14:14
Betr (AU)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.92%EV -4.35%E -3.92%K -39.54%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.08%EV -13.57%E -2.17%K -2.59%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-03 14:40
DraftKings🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.70%EV -3.49%E -3.11%K -29.07%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.30%EV -14.26%E -2.30%K -2.74%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-03 14:14
BetAnything🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.70%EV -3.49%E -3.11%K -29.07%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.30%EV -14.26%E -2.30%K -2.74%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-03 13:10
Caesars🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -4.35%E -3.92%K -39.54%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -17.03%E -2.84%K -3.41%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-02 05:31
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -4.35%E -3.92%K -39.54%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -17.03%E -2.84%K -3.41%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-03 07:15
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (8)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Kalshi◎1.14I 87.72%NM 87.09%7.69I 13.00%NM 12.91%0.7%2026-09-03 12:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.14I 87.72%NM 86.96%7.60I 13.16%NM 13.04%0.9%2026-09-03 14:15
Matchbook◎1.14I 87.72%NM 86.96%7.60I 13.16%NM 13.04%0.9%2026-09-03 14:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.14I 87.72%NM 86.96%7.60I 13.16%NM 13.04%0.9%2026-09-03 14:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.14I 87.72%NM 86.96%7.60I 13.16%NM 13.04%0.9%2026-09-03 14:20
ProphetX◎1.14I 87.72%NM 86.81%7.50I 13.33%NM 13.19%1.1%2026-09-03 14:50
Novig◎1.14I 87.72%NM 86.67%7.41I 13.50%NM 13.33%1.2%2026-09-03 14:45
Smarkets◎1.12I 89.29%NM 86.85%7.40I 13.51%NM 13.15%2.8%2026-09-03 14:50