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Madison Keys v Anna Bondár
Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →
Победитель встречи
Madison Keys (Хозяева)
Прогноз 86.17%1.16справедливый коэффициент
EV -2.63%
Преимущество -2.32%
Kelly -20.20%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 1.13
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
84.39%86.08%86.31%87.31%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
1.081.101.101.1392.59%90.77%90.91%88.50%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Anna Bondár (Гости)
Прогноз 13.83%7.23справедливый коэффициент
EV +3.71%
Преимущество +0.495%
Kelly +0.571%
Рост +0.021%
при максимальном коэффициенте 7.50
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
12.69%13.92%13.69%15.61%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
6.006.906.947.5016.67%14.49%14.42%13.33%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
По последним коэффициентам перед началом модель Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список) оценивала рынок «Победитель встречи» так: Madison Keys (Хозяева): 86.17%; Anna Bondár (Гости): 13.83%. Для исхода «Anna Bondár (Гости)» эта оценка соответствовала справедливому десятичному коэффициенту 7.23. 18 букмекеров предлагали итоговые коэффициенты выше этого уровня; лучший составлял 7.50, что соответствовало положительному математическому ожиданию +3.71%.
Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (66 букмекерских контор)
Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости ▼ | Маржа | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -5.21%E -4.74%K -52.11%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV +3.71%E +0.495%K +0.571%G +0.021% | 4.2% | 2026-09-03 08:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -6.07%E -5.57%K -67.48%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV +3.71%E +0.495%K +0.571%G +0.021% | 5.1% | 2026-09-03 08:50 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -6.07%E -5.57%K -67.48%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV +3.71%E +0.495%K +0.571%G +0.021% | 5.1% | 2026-09-03 08:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -6.07%E -5.57%K -67.48%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV +3.71%E +0.495%K +0.571%G +0.021% | 5.1% | 2026-09-03 08:50 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -6.07%E -5.57%K -67.48%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV +3.71%E +0.495%K +0.571%G +0.021% | 5.1% | 2026-09-03 08:50 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -6.07%E -5.57%K -67.48%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV +3.71%E +0.495%K +0.571%G +0.021% | 5.1% | 2026-09-03 08:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -6.07%E -5.57%K -67.48%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV +3.71%E +0.495%K +0.571%G +0.021% | 5.1% | 2026-09-03 08:49 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -6.07%E -5.57%K -67.48%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV +3.71%E +0.495%K +0.571%G +0.021% | 5.1% | 2026-09-03 08:50 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -6.07%E -5.57%K -67.48%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV +3.71%E +0.495%K +0.571%G +0.021% | 5.1% | 2026-09-03 08:50 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -6.07%E -5.57%K -67.48%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV +3.71%E +0.495%K +0.571%G +0.021% | 5.1% | 2026-09-03 08:51 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -6.07%E -5.57%K -67.48%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV +3.71%E +0.495%K +0.571%G +0.021% | 5.1% | 2026-09-03 08:50 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -6.07%E -5.57%K -67.48%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV +3.71%E +0.495%K +0.571%G +0.021% | 5.1% | 2026-09-03 08:50 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -6.07%E -5.57%K -67.48%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV +3.71%E +0.495%K +0.571%G +0.021% | 5.1% | 2026-09-03 08:49 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -6.07%E -5.57%K -67.48%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV +3.71%E +0.495%K +0.571%G +0.021% | 5.1% | 2026-09-03 08:50 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -6.07%E -5.57%K -67.48%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV +3.71%E +0.495%K +0.571%G +0.021% | 5.1% | 2026-09-03 08:50 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -6.07%E -5.57%K -67.48%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV +3.71%E +0.495%K +0.571%G +0.021% | 5.1% | 2026-09-03 08:50 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 86.62%EV -3.49%E -3.11%K -29.07%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 13.38%EV +0.257%E +0.035%K +0.041%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-09-03 07:04 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 86.72%EV -4.35%E -3.92%K -39.54%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 13.28%EV +0.257%E +0.035%K +0.041%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-03 13:05 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.00%EV -6.93%E -6.42%K -86.69%G +0.000% | 7.23I 13.83%NM 13.00%EV -0.020%E -0.003%K -0.003%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-03 13:05 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.00%EV -6.93%E -6.42%K -86.69%G +0.000% | 7.23I 13.83%NM 13.00%EV -0.020%E -0.003%K -0.003%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-03 13:05 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 86.47%EV -2.63%E -2.32%K -20.20%G +0.000% | 7.22I 13.85%NM 13.53%EV -0.158%E -0.022%K -0.025%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-09-03 14:26 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.96%EV -6.93%E -6.42%K -86.69%G +0.000% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.04%EV -0.434%E -0.060%K -0.070%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-03 08:05 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 86.46%EV -3.49%E -3.11%K -29.07%G +0.000% | 7.15I 13.99%NM 13.54%EV -1.13%E -0.157%K -0.183%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-09-03 05:26 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 86.46%EV -3.49%E -3.11%K -29.07%G +0.000% | 7.15I 13.99%NM 13.54%EV -1.13%E -0.157%K -0.183%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-09-03 05:20 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 86.48%EV -4.35%E -3.92%K -39.54%G +0.000% | 7.10I 14.08%NM 13.52%EV -1.82%E -0.256%K -0.298%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-03 13:05 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.47%EV -5.21%E -4.74%K -52.11%G +0.000% | 7.03I 14.22%NM 13.53%EV -2.79%E -0.396%K -0.462%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-03 14:45 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -4.35%E -3.92%K -39.54%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV -3.20%E -0.457%K -0.533%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-03 13:05 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.21%E -4.74%K -52.11%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -3.20%E -0.457%K -0.533%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-03 08:05 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.21%E -4.74%K -52.11%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -3.20%E -0.457%K -0.533%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-02 23:45 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.21%E -4.74%K -52.11%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -3.20%E -0.457%K -0.533%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-03 14:54 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -6.07%E -5.57%K -67.48%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -3.20%E -0.457%K -0.533%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-03 14:55 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -6.93%E -6.42%K -86.69%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -3.20%E -0.457%K -0.533%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-03 08:50 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 86.16%EV -3.49%E -3.11%K -29.07%G +0.000% | 6.97I 14.35%NM 13.84%EV -3.61%E -0.519%K -0.606%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-09-03 08:05 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 86.14%EV -4.35%E -3.92%K -39.54%G +0.000% | 6.90I 14.49%NM 13.86%EV -4.58%E -0.664%K -0.777%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-03 13:05 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 86.14%EV -4.35%E -3.92%K -39.54%G +0.000% | 6.90I 14.49%NM 13.86%EV -4.58%E -0.664%K -0.777%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-03 05:10 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.27%EV -6.07%E -5.57%K -67.48%G +0.000% | 6.85I 14.60%NM 13.73%EV -5.27%E -0.770%K -0.902%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-03 14:55 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.97%EV -4.35%E -3.92%K -39.54%G +0.000% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.03%EV -5.97%E -0.877%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-03 13:09 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -4.35%E -3.92%K -39.54%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -6.66%E -0.986%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-03 14:09 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -4.35%E -3.92%K -39.54%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -6.66%E -0.986%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-03 10:30 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.10%EV -6.07%E -5.57%K -67.48%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.90%EV -6.66%E -0.986%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-03 09:45 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.90%EV -5.21%E -4.74%K -52.11%G +0.000% | 6.70I 14.93%NM 14.10%EV -7.35%E -1.10%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-03 07:14 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.60%EV -4.35%E -3.92%K -39.54%G +0.000% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.40%EV -8.73%E -1.32%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-02 23:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.60%EV -4.35%E -3.92%K -39.54%G +0.000% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.40%EV -8.73%E -1.32%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-02 23:45 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -3.49%E -3.11%K -29.07%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -10.11%E -1.56%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-03 14:54 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -4.35%E -3.92%K -39.54%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -10.11%E -1.56%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-03 14:10 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -4.35%E -3.92%K -39.54%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -10.11%E -1.56%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-03 14:10 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -4.35%E -3.92%K -39.54%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -10.11%E -1.56%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-03 14:10 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -4.35%E -3.92%K -39.54%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -10.11%E -1.56%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-03 14:10 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.21%E -4.74%K -52.11%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -10.11%E -1.56%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-02 23:50 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.21%E -4.74%K -52.11%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -10.11%E -1.56%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-03 14:14 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.21%E -4.74%K -52.11%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -10.11%E -1.56%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-03 14:10 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.21%E -4.74%K -52.11%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -10.11%E -1.56%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-02 23:45 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.21%E -4.74%K -52.11%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -10.11%E -1.56%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-02 23:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.21%E -4.74%K -52.11%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -10.11%E -1.56%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-02 23:50 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.21%E -4.74%K -52.11%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -10.11%E -1.56%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-03 05:10 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.21%E -4.74%K -52.11%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -10.11%E -1.56%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-03 05:10 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 85.64%EV -6.07%E -5.57%K -67.48%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.36%EV -10.11%E -1.56%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-03 14:40 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 85.64%EV -6.07%E -5.57%K -67.48%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.36%EV -10.11%E -1.56%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-03 14:12 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.32%EV -4.35%E -3.92%K -39.54%G +0.000% | 6.45I 15.50%NM 14.68%EV -10.81%E -1.68%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-03 08:05 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -3.49%E -3.11%K -29.07%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -13.57%E -2.17%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-03 14:45 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -3.49%E -3.11%K -29.07%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -13.57%E -2.17%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-03 14:14 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.92%EV -4.35%E -3.92%K -39.54%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.08%EV -13.57%E -2.17%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-03 14:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.70%EV -3.49%E -3.11%K -29.07%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.30%EV -14.26%E -2.30%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-03 14:14 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.70%EV -3.49%E -3.11%K -29.07%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.30%EV -14.26%E -2.30%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-03 13:10 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -4.35%E -3.92%K -39.54%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -17.03%E -2.84%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-02 05:31 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -4.35%E -3.92%K -39.54%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -17.03%E -2.84%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-03 07:15 |
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала
Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.
Биржи ставок (8)
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости | Маржа ▲ | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 1.14I 87.72%NM 87.09% | 7.69I 13.00%NM 12.91% | 0.7% | 2026-09-03 12:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.14I 87.72%NM 86.96% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 13.04% | 0.9% | 2026-09-03 14:15 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.14I 87.72%NM 86.96% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 13.04% | 0.9% | 2026-09-03 14:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.14I 87.72%NM 86.96% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 13.04% | 0.9% | 2026-09-03 14:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.14I 87.72%NM 86.96% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 13.04% | 0.9% | 2026-09-03 14:20 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.14I 87.72%NM 86.81% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 13.19% | 1.1% | 2026-09-03 14:50 |
| Novig◎ | 1.14I 87.72%NM 86.67% | 7.41I 13.50%NM 13.33% | 1.2% | 2026-09-03 14:45 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.12I 89.29%NM 86.85% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 13.15% | 2.8% | 2026-09-03 14:50 |