Language:English
Madison Keys v Alina Korneeva
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Madison Keys (Local)
Prediction 70.18%1.42fair odd
EV -3.15%
Edge -2.28%
Kelly -8.28%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.38
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
69.51%70.22%70.15%71.12%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.331.351.351.3875.19%74.13%74.07%72.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Alina Korneeva (Visit)
Prediction 29.82%3.35fair odd
EV +0.184%
Edge +0.055%
Kelly +0.078%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.36
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.88%29.78%29.85%30.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.203.203.3632.26%31.21%31.25%29.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Madison Keys (Local): 70.18%; Alina Korneeva (Visit): 29.82%. For Alina Korneeva (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.35. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.36, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.184%.
Sportsbook Odds (63 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 71.04%EV -3.85%E -2.81%K -10.40%G +0.000% | 3.36I 29.76%NM 28.96%EV +0.184%E +0.055%K +0.078%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-09-01 15:25 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.97%EV -3.85%E -2.81%K -10.40%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.03%EV -0.114%E -0.034%K -0.049%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-09-01 15:20 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -5.25%E -3.89%K -15.01%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -1.60%E -0.486%K -0.698%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-01 03:35 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -5.95%E -4.44%K -17.51%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -1.60%E -0.486%K -0.698%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-01 03:31 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 70.19%EV -3.15%E -2.28%K -8.28%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.81%EV -3.10%E -0.953%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-09-01 15:30 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -4.55%E -3.35%K -12.64%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -3.10%E -0.953%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-01 12:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -5.95%E -4.44%K -17.51%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -3.10%E -0.953%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-28 14:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -5.95%E -4.44%K -17.51%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -3.10%E -0.953%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-28 14:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -5.95%E -4.44%K -17.51%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -3.10%E -0.953%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-28 14:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -5.95%E -4.44%K -17.51%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -3.10%E -0.953%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-28 14:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -5.95%E -4.44%K -17.51%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -3.10%E -0.953%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-28 14:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -5.95%E -4.44%K -17.51%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -3.10%E -0.953%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-28 14:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -5.95%E -4.44%K -17.51%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -3.10%E -0.953%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-28 14:05 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -5.95%E -4.44%K -17.51%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -3.10%E -0.953%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-28 14:00 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -5.95%E -4.44%K -17.51%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -3.10%E -0.953%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-28 14:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -5.95%E -4.44%K -17.51%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -3.10%E -0.953%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-28 14:01 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -5.95%E -4.44%K -17.51%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -3.10%E -0.953%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-28 14:01 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -5.95%E -4.44%K -17.51%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -3.10%E -0.953%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-28 14:01 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -5.95%E -4.44%K -17.51%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -3.10%E -0.953%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-28 14:01 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -5.95%E -4.44%K -17.51%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -3.10%E -0.953%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-28 14:00 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.66%E -5.00%K -20.17%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -3.10%E -0.953%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-28 14:00 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.66%E -5.00%K -20.17%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -3.10%E -0.953%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-01 15:06 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.66%E -5.00%K -20.17%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -3.10%E -0.953%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-31 23:50 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.66%E -5.00%K -20.17%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -3.10%E -0.953%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-31 23:48 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.66%E -5.00%K -20.17%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -3.10%E -0.953%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-01 15:20 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.66%E -5.00%K -20.17%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -3.10%E -0.953%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-01 03:30 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.52%EV -5.25%E -3.89%K -15.01%G +0.000% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 29.48%EV -3.69%E -1.14%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-31 21:45 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.68%EV -5.95%E -4.44%K -17.51%G +0.000% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 29.32%EV -3.69%E -1.14%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-01 15:30 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.15%EV -3.85%E -2.81%K -10.40%G +0.000% | 3.22I 31.06%NM 29.85%EV -3.99%E -1.24%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-01 15:15 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.87%EV -3.15%E -2.28%K -8.28%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.13%EV -4.59%E -1.43%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-09-01 14:15 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.87%EV -3.15%E -2.28%K -8.28%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.13%EV -4.59%E -1.43%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-09-01 14:15 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.02%EV -3.85%E -2.81%K -10.40%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.98%EV -4.59%E -1.43%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-01 15:30 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.55%E -3.35%K -12.64%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -4.59%E -1.43%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-30 20:55 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.55%E -3.35%K -12.64%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -4.59%E -1.43%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-29 18:34 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.55%E -3.35%K -12.64%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -4.59%E -1.43%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-28 14:45 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.55%E -3.35%K -12.64%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -4.59%E -1.43%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-01 11:59 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.25%E -3.89%K -15.01%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -4.59%E -1.43%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-01 15:05 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.25%E -3.89%K -15.01%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -4.59%E -1.43%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-01 15:06 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.25%E -3.89%K -15.01%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -4.59%E -1.43%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-01 15:20 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -6.66%E -5.00%K -20.17%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -4.59%E -1.43%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-28 14:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -6.66%E -5.00%K -20.17%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -4.59%E -1.43%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-01 15:06 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -6.66%E -5.00%K -20.17%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -4.59%E -1.43%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-01 15:06 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -6.66%E -5.00%K -20.17%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -4.59%E -1.43%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-01 06:25 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.11%EV -4.55%E -3.35%K -12.64%G +0.000% | 3.19I 31.35%NM 29.89%EV -4.88%E -1.53%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-01 15:20 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.04%EV -4.55%E -3.35%K -12.64%G +0.000% | 3.18I 31.45%NM 29.96%EV -5.18%E -1.63%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-31 15:34 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -3.15%E -2.28%K -8.28%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -6.08%E -1.93%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-01 08:10 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%EV -3.85%E -2.81%K -10.40%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV -6.08%E -1.93%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-01 15:30 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -5.25%E -3.89%K -15.01%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -6.08%E -1.93%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-01 12:05 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -5.25%E -3.89%K -15.01%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -6.08%E -1.93%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-01 12:05 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -5.25%E -3.89%K -15.01%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -6.08%E -1.93%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-01 11:59 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -5.25%E -3.89%K -15.01%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -6.08%E -1.93%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-01 15:15 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%EV -6.66%E -5.00%K -20.17%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%EV -6.08%E -1.93%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-01 12:05 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%EV -6.66%E -5.00%K -20.17%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%EV -6.08%E -1.93%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-01 12:00 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.64%EV -4.55%E -3.35%K -12.64%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 30.36%EV -6.97%E -2.23%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-01 15:15 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.55%E -3.35%K -12.64%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.57%E -2.44%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-01 03:36 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.55%E -3.35%K -12.64%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.57%E -2.44%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-01 15:25 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.55%E -3.35%K -12.64%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.57%E -2.44%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-01 11:59 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.55%E -3.35%K -12.64%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.57%E -2.44%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-01 11:59 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.55%E -3.35%K -12.64%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.57%E -2.44%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-01 11:59 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.55%E -3.35%K -12.64%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.57%E -2.44%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-01 11:59 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -5.25%E -3.89%K -15.01%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -7.57%E -2.44%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-01 15:30 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -5.25%E -3.89%K -15.01%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -7.57%E -2.44%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-01 15:30 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -6.66%E -5.00%K -20.17%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -7.57%E -2.44%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-28 14:41 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (8)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.43% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.57% | 0.8% | 2026-09-01 15:26 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.43% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.57% | 0.8% | 2026-09-01 15:26 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.43% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.57% | 0.8% | 2026-09-01 15:25 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.27% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.73% | 1.0% | 2026-09-01 05:25 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.38I 72.46%NM 71.72% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.28% | 1.0% | 2026-09-01 15:20 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.15% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.85% | 1.2% | 2026-09-01 15:30 |
| Novig◎ | 1.37I 72.99%NM 71.93% | 3.51I 28.49%NM 28.07% | 1.5% | 2026-09-01 15:30 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.34I 74.63%NM 72.31% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.69% | 3.2% | 2026-09-01 15:30 |