Model domyślnyŚrednia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana)

Madison Keys v Alina Korneeva

Początek: 2026-09-01 15:35 UTC

Wynik końcowy: Madison Keys 2–0 Alina Korneeva

Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →

Zwycięzca spotkania

63 bukmacherów (21 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana)

Madison Keys (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 70.18%1.42kurs godziwy
EV -3.15%
Przewaga -2.28%
Kelly -8.28%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 1.38

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
69.51%70.22%70.15%71.12%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.331.351.351.3875.19%74.13%74.07%72.46%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Alina Korneeva (Goście)

Prognoza 29.82%3.35kurs godziwy
EV +0.184%
Przewaga +0.055%
Kelly +0.078%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 3.36

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
28.88%29.78%29.85%30.49%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
3.103.203.203.3632.26%31.21%31.25%29.76%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Przy ostatnich kursach przed rozpoczęciem model Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana) szacował rynek Zwycięzca spotkania następująco: Madison Keys (Gospodarze): 70.18%; Alina Korneeva (Goście): 29.82%. Dla wyniku Alina Korneeva (Goście) oszacowanie to odpowiadało uczciwemu kursowi dziesiętnemu 3.35. 1 bukmacher oferował kurs zamknięcia powyżej tego poziomu; najlepszy wynosił 3.36, co odpowiadało dodatniej wartości oczekiwanej +0.184%.

Kursy bukmacherskie (63 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarzeGoście ▼MarżaAktualizacja
Pinnacle🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 71.04%EV -3.85%E -2.81%K -10.40%G +0.000%3.36I 29.76%NM 28.96%EV +0.184%E +0.055%K +0.078%G +0.000%2.8%2026-09-01 15:25
Coolbet🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 70.97%EV -3.85%E -2.81%K -10.40%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.03%EV -0.114%E -0.034%K -0.049%G +0.000%2.8%2026-09-01 15:20
FanDuel🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -5.25%E -3.89%K -15.01%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -1.60%E -0.486%K -0.698%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-01 03:35
SportsBet🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -5.95%E -4.44%K -17.51%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -1.60%E -0.486%K -0.698%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-01 03:31
Winamax (DE)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 70.19%EV -3.15%E -2.28%K -8.28%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.81%EV -3.10%E -0.953%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.2%2026-09-01 15:30
Betway🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -4.55%E -3.35%K -12.64%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -3.10%E -0.953%K -1.38%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-01 12:00
BetRivers🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -5.95%E -4.44%K -17.51%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -3.10%E -0.953%K -1.38%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-28 14:00
ATG (SE)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -5.95%E -4.44%K -17.51%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -3.10%E -0.953%K -1.38%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-28 14:00
Svenska Spel🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -5.95%E -4.44%K -17.51%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -3.10%E -0.953%K -1.38%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-28 14:00
Grosvenor🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -5.95%E -4.44%K -17.51%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -3.10%E -0.953%K -1.38%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-28 14:00
Casumo🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -5.95%E -4.44%K -17.51%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -3.10%E -0.953%K -1.38%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-28 14:00
Virgin Bet🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -5.95%E -4.44%K -17.51%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -3.10%E -0.953%K -1.38%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-28 14:00
betPARX🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -5.95%E -4.44%K -17.51%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -3.10%E -0.953%K -1.38%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-28 14:05
LiveScore Bet🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -5.95%E -4.44%K -17.51%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -3.10%E -0.953%K -1.38%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-28 14:00
Bally Bet🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -5.95%E -4.44%K -17.51%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -3.10%E -0.953%K -1.38%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-28 14:00
Unibet (NL)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -5.95%E -4.44%K -17.51%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -3.10%E -0.953%K -1.38%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-28 14:01
TABtouch🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -5.95%E -4.44%K -17.51%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -3.10%E -0.953%K -1.38%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-28 14:01
Unibet🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -5.95%E -4.44%K -17.51%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -3.10%E -0.953%K -1.38%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-28 14:01
Unibet (SE)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -5.95%E -4.44%K -17.51%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -3.10%E -0.953%K -1.38%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-28 14:01
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -5.95%E -4.44%K -17.51%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -3.10%E -0.953%K -1.38%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-28 14:00
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.66%E -5.00%K -20.17%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -3.10%E -0.953%K -1.38%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-28 14:00
BetMGM🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.66%E -5.00%K -20.17%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -3.10%E -0.953%K -1.38%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-01 15:06
Paddy Power🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.66%E -5.00%K -20.17%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -3.10%E -0.953%K -1.38%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-31 23:50
Sky Bet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.66%E -5.00%K -20.17%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -3.10%E -0.953%K -1.38%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-31 23:48
betfred_uk🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.66%E -5.00%K -20.17%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -3.10%E -0.953%K -1.38%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-01 15:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.66%E -5.00%K -20.17%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -3.10%E -0.953%K -1.38%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-01 03:30
GTbets🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.52%EV -5.25%E -3.89%K -15.01%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 29.48%EV -3.69%E -1.14%K -1.66%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-31 21:45
DraftKings🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.68%EV -5.95%E -4.44%K -17.51%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 29.32%EV -3.69%E -1.14%K -1.66%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-01 15:30
Betclic (FR)🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 70.15%EV -3.85%E -2.81%K -10.40%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 29.85%EV -3.99%E -1.24%K -1.80%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-01 15:15
LowVig.ag🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.87%EV -3.15%E -2.28%K -8.28%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.13%EV -4.59%E -1.43%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-01 14:15
BetOnline.ag🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.87%EV -3.15%E -2.28%K -8.28%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.13%EV -4.59%E -1.43%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-01 14:15
Winamax (FR)🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 70.02%EV -3.85%E -2.81%K -10.40%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.98%EV -4.59%E -1.43%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-01 15:30
Unibet (FR)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.55%E -3.35%K -12.64%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -4.59%E -1.43%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-30 20:55
Bovada🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.55%E -3.35%K -12.64%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -4.59%E -1.43%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-29 18:34
betano_uk🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.55%E -3.35%K -12.64%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -4.59%E -1.43%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-28 14:45
BoyleSports🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.55%E -3.35%K -12.64%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -4.59%E -1.43%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-01 11:59
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.25%E -3.89%K -15.01%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -4.59%E -1.43%K -2.08%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-01 15:05
Neds🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.25%E -3.89%K -15.01%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -4.59%E -1.43%K -2.08%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-01 15:06
Bet Right🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.25%E -3.89%K -15.01%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -4.59%E -1.43%K -2.08%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-01 15:20
PMU (FR)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -6.66%E -5.00%K -20.17%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -4.59%E -1.43%K -2.08%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-28 14:00
Coral🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -6.66%E -5.00%K -20.17%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -4.59%E -1.43%K -2.08%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-01 15:06
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -6.66%E -5.00%K -20.17%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -4.59%E -1.43%K -2.08%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-01 15:06
Tipico (DE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -6.66%E -5.00%K -20.17%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -4.59%E -1.43%K -2.08%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-01 06:25
1xBet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.11%EV -4.55%E -3.35%K -12.64%G +0.000%3.19I 31.35%NM 29.89%EV -4.88%E -1.53%K -2.23%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-01 15:20
MyBookie.ag🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.04%EV -4.55%E -3.35%K -12.64%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 29.96%EV -5.18%E -1.63%K -2.38%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-31 15:34
BetAnything🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -3.15%E -2.28%K -8.28%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -6.08%E -1.93%K -2.83%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-01 08:10
Unibet (UK)🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%EV -3.85%E -2.81%K -10.40%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV -6.08%E -1.93%K -2.83%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-01 15:30
LeoVegas🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -5.25%E -3.89%K -15.01%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -6.08%E -1.93%K -2.83%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-01 12:05
Betr (AU)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -5.25%E -3.89%K -15.01%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -6.08%E -1.93%K -2.83%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-01 12:05
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -5.25%E -3.89%K -15.01%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -6.08%E -1.93%K -2.83%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-01 11:59
PlayUp🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -5.25%E -3.89%K -15.01%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -6.08%E -1.93%K -2.83%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-01 15:15
NetBet (FR)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%EV -6.66%E -5.00%K -20.17%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%EV -6.08%E -1.93%K -2.83%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-01 12:05
Fliff🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%EV -6.66%E -5.00%K -20.17%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%EV -6.08%E -1.93%K -2.83%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-01 12:00
Marathon Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.64%EV -4.55%E -3.35%K -12.64%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.36%EV -6.97%E -2.23%K -3.29%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-01 15:15
theScore Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.55%E -3.35%K -12.64%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.57%E -2.44%K -3.60%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-01 03:36
Fanatics🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.55%E -3.35%K -12.64%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.57%E -2.44%K -3.60%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-01 15:25
888sport🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.55%E -3.35%K -12.64%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.57%E -2.44%K -3.60%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-01 11:59
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.55%E -3.35%K -12.64%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.57%E -2.44%K -3.60%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-01 11:59
888sport (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.55%E -3.35%K -12.64%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.57%E -2.44%K -3.60%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-01 11:59
William Hill🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.55%E -3.35%K -12.64%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.57%E -2.44%K -3.60%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-01 11:59
Betsson🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -5.25%E -3.89%K -15.01%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -7.57%E -2.44%K -3.60%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-01 15:30
NordicBet🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -5.25%E -3.89%K -15.01%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -7.57%E -2.44%K -3.60%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-01 15:30
Caesars🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -6.66%E -5.00%K -20.17%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -7.57%E -2.44%K -3.60%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-28 14:41
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (8)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeMarża ▲Aktualizacja
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.37I 72.99%NM 72.43%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.57%0.8%2026-09-01 15:26
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.37I 72.99%NM 72.43%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.57%0.8%2026-09-01 15:26
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.37I 72.99%NM 72.43%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.57%0.8%2026-09-01 15:25
Kalshi◎1.37I 72.99%NM 72.27%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.73%1.0%2026-09-01 05:25
ProphetX◎1.38I 72.46%NM 71.72%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.28%1.0%2026-09-01 15:20
Matchbook◎1.37I 72.99%NM 72.15%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.85%1.2%2026-09-01 15:30
Novig◎1.37I 72.99%NM 71.93%3.51I 28.49%NM 28.07%1.5%2026-09-01 15:30
Smarkets◎1.34I 74.63%NM 72.31%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.69%3.2%2026-09-01 15:30