Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Madison Keys v Alina Korneeva

Inizio: 2026-09-01 15:35 UTC

Finale: Madison Keys 2–0 Alina Korneeva

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

63 bookmaker (21 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Madison Keys (Casa)

Previsione 70.18%1.42quota equa
EV -3.15%
Vantaggio -2.28%
Kelly -8.28%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.38

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
69.51%70.22%70.15%71.12%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.331.351.351.3875.19%74.13%74.07%72.46%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alina Korneeva (Trasferta)

Previsione 29.82%3.35quota equa
EV +0.184%
Vantaggio +0.055%
Kelly +0.078%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.36

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
28.88%29.78%29.85%30.49%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.103.203.203.3632.26%31.21%31.25%29.76%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Madison Keys (Casa): 70.18%; Alina Korneeva (Trasferta): 29.82%. Per Alina Korneeva (Trasferta), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 3.35. 1 bookmaker offriva una quota di chiusura superiore a tale livello; la migliore era 3.36, corrispondente a un valore atteso positivo del +0.184%.

Quote dei bookmaker (63 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼MargineAggiornamento
Pinnacle🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 71.04%EV -3.85%E -2.81%K -10.40%G +0.000%3.36I 29.76%NM 28.96%EV +0.184%E +0.055%K +0.078%G +0.000%2.8%2026-09-01 15:25
Coolbet🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 70.97%EV -3.85%E -2.81%K -10.40%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.03%EV -0.114%E -0.034%K -0.049%G +0.000%2.8%2026-09-01 15:20
FanDuel🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -5.25%E -3.89%K -15.01%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -1.60%E -0.486%K -0.698%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-01 03:35
SportsBet🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -5.95%E -4.44%K -17.51%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -1.60%E -0.486%K -0.698%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-01 03:31
Winamax (DE)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 70.19%EV -3.15%E -2.28%K -8.28%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.81%EV -3.10%E -0.953%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.2%2026-09-01 15:30
Betway🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -4.55%E -3.35%K -12.64%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -3.10%E -0.953%K -1.38%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-01 12:00
BetRivers🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -5.95%E -4.44%K -17.51%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -3.10%E -0.953%K -1.38%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-28 14:00
ATG (SE)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -5.95%E -4.44%K -17.51%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -3.10%E -0.953%K -1.38%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-28 14:00
Svenska Spel🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -5.95%E -4.44%K -17.51%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -3.10%E -0.953%K -1.38%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-28 14:00
Grosvenor🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -5.95%E -4.44%K -17.51%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -3.10%E -0.953%K -1.38%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-28 14:00
Casumo🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -5.95%E -4.44%K -17.51%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -3.10%E -0.953%K -1.38%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-28 14:00
Virgin Bet🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -5.95%E -4.44%K -17.51%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -3.10%E -0.953%K -1.38%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-28 14:00
betPARX🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -5.95%E -4.44%K -17.51%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -3.10%E -0.953%K -1.38%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-28 14:05
LiveScore Bet🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -5.95%E -4.44%K -17.51%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -3.10%E -0.953%K -1.38%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-28 14:00
Bally Bet🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -5.95%E -4.44%K -17.51%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -3.10%E -0.953%K -1.38%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-28 14:00
Unibet (NL)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -5.95%E -4.44%K -17.51%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -3.10%E -0.953%K -1.38%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-28 14:01
TABtouch🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -5.95%E -4.44%K -17.51%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -3.10%E -0.953%K -1.38%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-28 14:01
Unibet🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -5.95%E -4.44%K -17.51%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -3.10%E -0.953%K -1.38%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-28 14:01
Unibet (SE)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -5.95%E -4.44%K -17.51%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -3.10%E -0.953%K -1.38%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-28 14:01
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -5.95%E -4.44%K -17.51%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -3.10%E -0.953%K -1.38%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-28 14:00
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.66%E -5.00%K -20.17%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -3.10%E -0.953%K -1.38%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-28 14:00
BetMGM🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.66%E -5.00%K -20.17%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -3.10%E -0.953%K -1.38%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-01 15:06
Paddy Power🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.66%E -5.00%K -20.17%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -3.10%E -0.953%K -1.38%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-31 23:50
Sky Bet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.66%E -5.00%K -20.17%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -3.10%E -0.953%K -1.38%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-31 23:48
betfred_uk🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.66%E -5.00%K -20.17%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -3.10%E -0.953%K -1.38%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-01 15:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.66%E -5.00%K -20.17%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -3.10%E -0.953%K -1.38%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-01 03:30
GTbets🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.52%EV -5.25%E -3.89%K -15.01%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 29.48%EV -3.69%E -1.14%K -1.66%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-31 21:45
DraftKings🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.68%EV -5.95%E -4.44%K -17.51%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 29.32%EV -3.69%E -1.14%K -1.66%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-01 15:30
Betclic (FR)🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 70.15%EV -3.85%E -2.81%K -10.40%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 29.85%EV -3.99%E -1.24%K -1.80%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-01 15:15
LowVig.ag🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.87%EV -3.15%E -2.28%K -8.28%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.13%EV -4.59%E -1.43%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-01 14:15
BetOnline.ag🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.87%EV -3.15%E -2.28%K -8.28%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.13%EV -4.59%E -1.43%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-01 14:15
Winamax (FR)🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 70.02%EV -3.85%E -2.81%K -10.40%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.98%EV -4.59%E -1.43%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-01 15:30
Unibet (FR)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.55%E -3.35%K -12.64%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -4.59%E -1.43%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-30 20:55
Bovada🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.55%E -3.35%K -12.64%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -4.59%E -1.43%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-29 18:34
betano_uk🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.55%E -3.35%K -12.64%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -4.59%E -1.43%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-28 14:45
BoyleSports🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.55%E -3.35%K -12.64%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -4.59%E -1.43%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-01 11:59
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.25%E -3.89%K -15.01%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -4.59%E -1.43%K -2.08%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-01 15:05
Neds🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.25%E -3.89%K -15.01%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -4.59%E -1.43%K -2.08%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-01 15:06
Bet Right🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.25%E -3.89%K -15.01%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -4.59%E -1.43%K -2.08%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-01 15:20
PMU (FR)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -6.66%E -5.00%K -20.17%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -4.59%E -1.43%K -2.08%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-28 14:00
Coral🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -6.66%E -5.00%K -20.17%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -4.59%E -1.43%K -2.08%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-01 15:06
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -6.66%E -5.00%K -20.17%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -4.59%E -1.43%K -2.08%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-01 15:06
Tipico (DE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -6.66%E -5.00%K -20.17%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -4.59%E -1.43%K -2.08%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-01 06:25
1xBet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.11%EV -4.55%E -3.35%K -12.64%G +0.000%3.19I 31.35%NM 29.89%EV -4.88%E -1.53%K -2.23%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-01 15:20
MyBookie.ag🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.04%EV -4.55%E -3.35%K -12.64%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 29.96%EV -5.18%E -1.63%K -2.38%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-31 15:34
BetAnything🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -3.15%E -2.28%K -8.28%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -6.08%E -1.93%K -2.83%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-01 08:10
Unibet (UK)🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%EV -3.85%E -2.81%K -10.40%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV -6.08%E -1.93%K -2.83%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-01 15:30
LeoVegas🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -5.25%E -3.89%K -15.01%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -6.08%E -1.93%K -2.83%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-01 12:05
Betr (AU)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -5.25%E -3.89%K -15.01%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -6.08%E -1.93%K -2.83%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-01 12:05
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -5.25%E -3.89%K -15.01%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -6.08%E -1.93%K -2.83%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-01 11:59
PlayUp🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -5.25%E -3.89%K -15.01%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -6.08%E -1.93%K -2.83%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-01 15:15
NetBet (FR)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%EV -6.66%E -5.00%K -20.17%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%EV -6.08%E -1.93%K -2.83%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-01 12:05
Fliff🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%EV -6.66%E -5.00%K -20.17%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%EV -6.08%E -1.93%K -2.83%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-01 12:00
Marathon Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.64%EV -4.55%E -3.35%K -12.64%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.36%EV -6.97%E -2.23%K -3.29%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-01 15:15
theScore Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.55%E -3.35%K -12.64%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.57%E -2.44%K -3.60%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-01 03:36
Fanatics🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.55%E -3.35%K -12.64%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.57%E -2.44%K -3.60%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-01 15:25
888sport🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.55%E -3.35%K -12.64%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.57%E -2.44%K -3.60%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-01 11:59
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.55%E -3.35%K -12.64%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.57%E -2.44%K -3.60%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-01 11:59
888sport (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.55%E -3.35%K -12.64%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.57%E -2.44%K -3.60%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-01 11:59
William Hill🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.55%E -3.35%K -12.64%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.57%E -2.44%K -3.60%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-01 11:59
Betsson🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -5.25%E -3.89%K -15.01%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -7.57%E -2.44%K -3.60%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-01 15:30
NordicBet🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -5.25%E -3.89%K -15.01%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -7.57%E -2.44%K -3.60%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-01 15:30
Caesars🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -6.66%E -5.00%K -20.17%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -7.57%E -2.44%K -3.60%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-28 14:41
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (8)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.37I 72.99%NM 72.43%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.57%0.8%2026-09-01 15:26
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.37I 72.99%NM 72.43%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.57%0.8%2026-09-01 15:26
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.37I 72.99%NM 72.43%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.57%0.8%2026-09-01 15:25
Kalshi◎1.37I 72.99%NM 72.27%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.73%1.0%2026-09-01 05:25
ProphetX◎1.38I 72.46%NM 71.72%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.28%1.0%2026-09-01 15:20
Matchbook◎1.37I 72.99%NM 72.15%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.85%1.2%2026-09-01 15:30
Novig◎1.37I 72.99%NM 71.93%3.51I 28.49%NM 28.07%1.5%2026-09-01 15:30
Smarkets◎1.34I 74.63%NM 72.31%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.69%3.2%2026-09-01 15:30