StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Madison Keys v Alina Korneeva

Matchstart: 2026-09-01 15:35 UTC

Slutresultat: Madison Keys 2–0 Alina Korneeva

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

63 spelbolag (21 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Madison Keys (Hemma)

Prognos 70.18%1.42rättvist odds
EV -3.15%
Fördel -2.28%
Kelly -8.28%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.38

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
69.51%70.22%70.15%71.12%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.331.351.351.3875.19%74.13%74.07%72.46%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Alina Korneeva (Borta)

Prognos 29.82%3.35rättvist odds
EV +0.184%
Fördel +0.055%
Kelly +0.078%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.36

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
28.88%29.78%29.85%30.49%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
3.103.203.203.3632.26%31.21%31.25%29.76%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Madison Keys (Hemma): 70.18%; Alina Korneeva (Borta): 29.82%. För Alina Korneeva (Borta) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 3.35. 1 spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån; bästa odds var 3.36, motsvarande ett positivt väntevärde på +0.184%.

Spelbolagsodds (63 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemmaBorta ▼MarginalUppdaterat
Pinnacle🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 71.04%EV -3.85%E -2.81%K -10.40%G +0.000%3.36I 29.76%NM 28.96%EV +0.184%E +0.055%K +0.078%G +0.000%2.8%2026-09-01 15:25
Coolbet🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 70.97%EV -3.85%E -2.81%K -10.40%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.03%EV -0.114%E -0.034%K -0.049%G +0.000%2.8%2026-09-01 15:20
FanDuel🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -5.25%E -3.89%K -15.01%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -1.60%E -0.486%K -0.698%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-01 03:35
SportsBet🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -5.95%E -4.44%K -17.51%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -1.60%E -0.486%K -0.698%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-01 03:31
Winamax (DE)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 70.19%EV -3.15%E -2.28%K -8.28%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.81%EV -3.10%E -0.953%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.2%2026-09-01 15:30
Betway🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -4.55%E -3.35%K -12.64%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -3.10%E -0.953%K -1.38%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-01 12:00
BetRivers🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -5.95%E -4.44%K -17.51%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -3.10%E -0.953%K -1.38%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-28 14:00
ATG (SE)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -5.95%E -4.44%K -17.51%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -3.10%E -0.953%K -1.38%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-28 14:00
Svenska Spel🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -5.95%E -4.44%K -17.51%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -3.10%E -0.953%K -1.38%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-28 14:00
Grosvenor🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -5.95%E -4.44%K -17.51%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -3.10%E -0.953%K -1.38%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-28 14:00
Casumo🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -5.95%E -4.44%K -17.51%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -3.10%E -0.953%K -1.38%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-28 14:00
Virgin Bet🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -5.95%E -4.44%K -17.51%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -3.10%E -0.953%K -1.38%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-28 14:00
betPARX🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -5.95%E -4.44%K -17.51%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -3.10%E -0.953%K -1.38%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-28 14:05
LiveScore Bet🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -5.95%E -4.44%K -17.51%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -3.10%E -0.953%K -1.38%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-28 14:00
Bally Bet🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -5.95%E -4.44%K -17.51%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -3.10%E -0.953%K -1.38%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-28 14:00
Unibet (NL)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -5.95%E -4.44%K -17.51%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -3.10%E -0.953%K -1.38%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-28 14:01
TABtouch🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -5.95%E -4.44%K -17.51%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -3.10%E -0.953%K -1.38%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-28 14:01
Unibet🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -5.95%E -4.44%K -17.51%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -3.10%E -0.953%K -1.38%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-28 14:01
Unibet (SE)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -5.95%E -4.44%K -17.51%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -3.10%E -0.953%K -1.38%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-28 14:01
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -5.95%E -4.44%K -17.51%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -3.10%E -0.953%K -1.38%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-28 14:00
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.66%E -5.00%K -20.17%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -3.10%E -0.953%K -1.38%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-28 14:00
BetMGM🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.66%E -5.00%K -20.17%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -3.10%E -0.953%K -1.38%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-01 15:06
Paddy Power🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.66%E -5.00%K -20.17%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -3.10%E -0.953%K -1.38%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-31 23:50
Sky Bet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.66%E -5.00%K -20.17%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -3.10%E -0.953%K -1.38%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-31 23:48
betfred_uk🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.66%E -5.00%K -20.17%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -3.10%E -0.953%K -1.38%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-01 15:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.66%E -5.00%K -20.17%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -3.10%E -0.953%K -1.38%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-01 03:30
GTbets🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.52%EV -5.25%E -3.89%K -15.01%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 29.48%EV -3.69%E -1.14%K -1.66%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-31 21:45
DraftKings🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.68%EV -5.95%E -4.44%K -17.51%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 29.32%EV -3.69%E -1.14%K -1.66%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-01 15:30
Betclic (FR)🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 70.15%EV -3.85%E -2.81%K -10.40%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 29.85%EV -3.99%E -1.24%K -1.80%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-01 15:15
LowVig.ag🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.87%EV -3.15%E -2.28%K -8.28%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.13%EV -4.59%E -1.43%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-01 14:15
BetOnline.ag🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.87%EV -3.15%E -2.28%K -8.28%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.13%EV -4.59%E -1.43%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-01 14:15
Winamax (FR)🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 70.02%EV -3.85%E -2.81%K -10.40%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.98%EV -4.59%E -1.43%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-01 15:30
Unibet (FR)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.55%E -3.35%K -12.64%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -4.59%E -1.43%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-30 20:55
Bovada🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.55%E -3.35%K -12.64%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -4.59%E -1.43%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-29 18:34
betano_uk🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.55%E -3.35%K -12.64%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -4.59%E -1.43%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-28 14:45
BoyleSports🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.55%E -3.35%K -12.64%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -4.59%E -1.43%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-01 11:59
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.25%E -3.89%K -15.01%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -4.59%E -1.43%K -2.08%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-01 15:05
Neds🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.25%E -3.89%K -15.01%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -4.59%E -1.43%K -2.08%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-01 15:06
Bet Right🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.25%E -3.89%K -15.01%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -4.59%E -1.43%K -2.08%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-01 15:20
PMU (FR)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -6.66%E -5.00%K -20.17%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -4.59%E -1.43%K -2.08%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-28 14:00
Coral🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -6.66%E -5.00%K -20.17%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -4.59%E -1.43%K -2.08%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-01 15:06
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -6.66%E -5.00%K -20.17%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -4.59%E -1.43%K -2.08%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-01 15:06
Tipico (DE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -6.66%E -5.00%K -20.17%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -4.59%E -1.43%K -2.08%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-01 06:25
1xBet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.11%EV -4.55%E -3.35%K -12.64%G +0.000%3.19I 31.35%NM 29.89%EV -4.88%E -1.53%K -2.23%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-01 15:20
MyBookie.ag🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.04%EV -4.55%E -3.35%K -12.64%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 29.96%EV -5.18%E -1.63%K -2.38%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-31 15:34
BetAnything🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -3.15%E -2.28%K -8.28%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -6.08%E -1.93%K -2.83%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-01 08:10
Unibet (UK)🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%EV -3.85%E -2.81%K -10.40%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV -6.08%E -1.93%K -2.83%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-01 15:30
LeoVegas🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -5.25%E -3.89%K -15.01%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -6.08%E -1.93%K -2.83%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-01 12:05
Betr (AU)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -5.25%E -3.89%K -15.01%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -6.08%E -1.93%K -2.83%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-01 12:05
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -5.25%E -3.89%K -15.01%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -6.08%E -1.93%K -2.83%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-01 11:59
PlayUp🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -5.25%E -3.89%K -15.01%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -6.08%E -1.93%K -2.83%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-01 15:15
NetBet (FR)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%EV -6.66%E -5.00%K -20.17%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%EV -6.08%E -1.93%K -2.83%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-01 12:05
Fliff🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%EV -6.66%E -5.00%K -20.17%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%EV -6.08%E -1.93%K -2.83%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-01 12:00
Marathon Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.64%EV -4.55%E -3.35%K -12.64%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.36%EV -6.97%E -2.23%K -3.29%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-01 15:15
theScore Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.55%E -3.35%K -12.64%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.57%E -2.44%K -3.60%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-01 03:36
Fanatics🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.55%E -3.35%K -12.64%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.57%E -2.44%K -3.60%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-01 15:25
888sport🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.55%E -3.35%K -12.64%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.57%E -2.44%K -3.60%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-01 11:59
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.55%E -3.35%K -12.64%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.57%E -2.44%K -3.60%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-01 11:59
888sport (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.55%E -3.35%K -12.64%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.57%E -2.44%K -3.60%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-01 11:59
William Hill🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.55%E -3.35%K -12.64%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.57%E -2.44%K -3.60%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-01 11:59
Betsson🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -5.25%E -3.89%K -15.01%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -7.57%E -2.44%K -3.60%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-01 15:30
NordicBet🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -5.25%E -3.89%K -15.01%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -7.57%E -2.44%K -3.60%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-01 15:30
Caesars🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -6.66%E -5.00%K -20.17%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -7.57%E -2.44%K -3.60%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-28 14:41
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (8)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.37I 72.99%NM 72.43%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.57%0.8%2026-09-01 15:26
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.37I 72.99%NM 72.43%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.57%0.8%2026-09-01 15:26
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.37I 72.99%NM 72.43%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.57%0.8%2026-09-01 15:25
Kalshi◎1.37I 72.99%NM 72.27%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.73%1.0%2026-09-01 05:25
ProphetX◎1.38I 72.46%NM 71.72%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.28%1.0%2026-09-01 15:20
Matchbook◎1.37I 72.99%NM 72.15%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.85%1.2%2026-09-01 15:30
Novig◎1.37I 72.99%NM 71.93%3.51I 28.49%NM 28.07%1.5%2026-09-01 15:30
Smarkets◎1.34I 74.63%NM 72.31%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.69%3.2%2026-09-01 15:30