Language:English
Julia Grabher v Sorana Cirstea
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Julia Grabher (Local)
Prediction 11.92%8.39fair odd
EV +24.01%
Edge +2.31%
Kelly +2.55%
Growth +0.613%
assuming max odds 10.40
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
9.41%11.92%11.89%13.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
7.008.008.0010.4014.29%12.50%12.50%9.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Sorana Cirstea (Visit)
Prediction 88.08%1.14fair odd
EV -3.12%
Edge -2.83%
Kelly -31.16%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.10
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
86.63%88.08%88.11%90.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.061.081.081.1094.34%92.73%92.59%90.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Julia Grabher (Local): 11.92%; Sorana Cirstea (Visit): 88.08%. For Julia Grabher (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 8.39. 8 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 10.40, corresponding to a positive expected value of +24.01%.
Sportsbook Odds (64 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 10.40I 9.62%NM 9.41%EV +24.01%E +2.31%K +2.55%G +0.613% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 90.59%EV -4.88%E -4.52%K -60.97%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-08-31 20:40 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV +13.28%E +1.40%K +1.56%G +0.207% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -6.64%E -6.26%K -110.65%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-30 18:45 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 9.10I 10.99%NM 10.52%EV +8.51%E +0.935%K +1.05%G +0.089% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.48%EV -5.76%E -5.38%K -82.26%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-31 02:50 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.80%EV +7.31%E +0.813%K +0.914%G +0.067% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 89.20%EV -4.00%E -3.67%K -44.41%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-08-31 18:49 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV +7.31%E +0.813%K +0.914%G +0.067% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -5.76%E -5.38%K -82.26%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-31 02:45 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV +7.31%E +0.813%K +0.914%G +0.067% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -5.76%E -5.38%K -82.26%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-31 02:45 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.37%EV +1.35%E +0.159%K +0.180%G +0.002% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 88.63%EV -4.00%E -3.67%K -44.41%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-30 14:00 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV +1.35%E +0.159%K +0.180%G +0.002% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -6.64%E -6.26%K -110.65%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-30 14:05 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 8.37I 11.95%NM 11.52%EV -0.198%E -0.024%K -0.027%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 88.48%EV -4.00%E -3.67%K -44.41%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-31 20:05 |
| ReBet🎯 | 8.30I 12.05%NM 11.61%EV -1.03%E -0.124%K -0.141%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 88.39%EV -4.00%E -3.67%K -44.41%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-31 18:50 |
| GTbets🎯 | 8.23I 12.15%NM 11.60%EV -1.87%E -0.227%K -0.258%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.40%EV -4.88%E -4.52%K -60.97%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-27 21:00 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 8.20I 12.20%NM 11.54%EV -2.23%E -0.271%K -0.309%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.46%EV -5.76%E -5.38%K -82.26%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-31 20:43 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.99%EV -4.61%E -0.576%K -0.659%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 88.01%EV -4.00%E -3.67%K -44.41%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-30 04:49 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.99%EV -4.61%E -0.576%K -0.659%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 88.01%EV -4.00%E -3.67%K -44.41%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-30 04:50 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -4.61%E -0.576%K -0.659%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.88%E -4.52%K -60.97%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-27 20:35 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -4.61%E -0.576%K -0.659%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.88%E -4.52%K -60.97%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-27 20:35 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -4.61%E -0.576%K -0.659%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.88%E -4.52%K -60.97%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-27 20:35 |
| Betway🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -4.61%E -0.576%K -0.659%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.88%E -4.52%K -60.97%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-29 15:20 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -4.61%E -0.576%K -0.659%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.88%E -4.52%K -60.97%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-28 10:14 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -4.61%E -0.576%K -0.659%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.88%E -4.52%K -60.97%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-27 21:40 |
| Casumo🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -4.61%E -0.576%K -0.659%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.88%E -4.52%K -60.97%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-27 21:40 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -4.61%E -0.576%K -0.659%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.88%E -4.52%K -60.97%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-27 21:40 |
| betPARX🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -4.61%E -0.576%K -0.659%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.88%E -4.52%K -60.97%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-27 21:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -4.61%E -0.576%K -0.659%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.88%E -4.52%K -60.97%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-27 21:45 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -4.61%E -0.576%K -0.659%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.88%E -4.52%K -60.97%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-27 21:45 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -4.61%E -0.576%K -0.659%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.88%E -4.52%K -60.97%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-27 21:50 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -4.61%E -0.576%K -0.659%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.88%E -4.52%K -60.97%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-27 21:55 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -4.61%E -0.576%K -0.659%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.88%E -4.52%K -60.97%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-27 22:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -4.61%E -0.576%K -0.659%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.88%E -4.52%K -60.97%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-27 22:15 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -4.61%E -0.576%K -0.659%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.88%E -4.52%K -60.97%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-28 02:35 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -4.61%E -0.576%K -0.659%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.88%E -4.52%K -60.97%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-31 11:40 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -4.61%E -0.576%K -0.659%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.88%E -4.52%K -60.97%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-30 14:00 |
| Bovada🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -4.61%E -0.576%K -0.659%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.88%E -4.52%K -60.97%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-30 13:59 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -4.61%E -0.576%K -0.659%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.88%E -4.52%K -60.97%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-28 11:41 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -4.61%E -0.576%K -0.659%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.88%E -4.52%K -60.97%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-28 14:19 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -4.61%E -0.576%K -0.659%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.88%E -4.52%K -60.97%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-31 12:55 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -4.61%E -0.576%K -0.659%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -5.76%E -5.38%K -82.26%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-31 20:15 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -4.61%E -0.576%K -0.659%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -5.76%E -5.38%K -82.26%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-31 20:15 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -4.61%E -0.576%K -0.659%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -5.76%E -5.38%K -82.26%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-31 20:15 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -4.61%E -0.576%K -0.659%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -5.76%E -5.38%K -82.26%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-31 18:20 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -4.61%E -0.576%K -0.659%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -6.64%E -6.26%K -110.65%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-31 20:05 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 7.90I 12.66%NM 12.03%EV -5.80%E -0.734%K -0.841%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.97%EV -4.88%E -4.52%K -60.97%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-31 18:50 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 7.90I 12.66%NM 12.03%EV -5.80%E -0.734%K -0.841%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.97%EV -4.88%E -4.52%K -60.97%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-31 18:55 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 7.80I 12.82%NM 12.06%EV -6.99%E -0.897%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 87.94%EV -5.76%E -5.38%K -82.26%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-31 18:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 7.77I 12.87%NM 12.10%EV -7.35%E -0.946%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 87.90%EV -5.76%E -5.38%K -82.26%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-31 18:50 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 7.77I 12.87%NM 12.10%EV -7.35%E -0.946%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 87.90%EV -5.76%E -5.38%K -82.26%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-31 18:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 7.75I 12.90%NM 12.23%EV -7.59%E -0.979%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.77%EV -4.88%E -4.52%K -60.97%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-30 13:55 |
| Neds🎯 | 7.75I 12.90%NM 12.23%EV -7.59%E -0.979%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.77%EV -4.88%E -4.52%K -60.97%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-30 13:55 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 7.70I 12.99%NM 12.30%EV -8.19%E -1.06%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.70%EV -4.88%E -4.52%K -60.97%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-30 13:55 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 7.70I 12.99%NM 12.30%EV -8.19%E -1.06%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.70%EV -4.88%E -4.52%K -60.97%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-31 20:45 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV -10.57%E -1.41%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -3.12%E -2.83%K -31.16%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-31 06:46 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -10.57%E -1.41%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.88%E -4.52%K -60.97%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-30 15:20 |
| Coral🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -10.57%E -1.41%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.88%E -4.52%K -60.97%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-30 13:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -10.57%E -1.41%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.88%E -4.52%K -60.97%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-30 13:55 |
| 888sport🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -10.57%E -1.41%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.88%E -4.52%K -60.97%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-31 12:50 |
| William Hill🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -10.57%E -1.41%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.88%E -4.52%K -60.97%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-31 16:45 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -10.57%E -1.41%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.88%E -4.52%K -60.97%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-31 12:50 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -10.57%E -1.41%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.88%E -4.52%K -60.97%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-31 12:50 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV -10.57%E -1.41%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51%EV -5.76%E -5.38%K -82.26%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-29 18:05 |
| Caesars🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV -10.57%E -1.41%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51%EV -5.76%E -5.38%K -82.26%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-29 16:46 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV -10.57%E -1.41%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51%EV -5.76%E -5.38%K -82.26%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-31 12:55 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 7.25I 13.79%NM 13.07%EV -13.55%E -1.87%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.93%EV -4.00%E -3.67%K -44.41%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-31 20:00 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.15%EV -14.15%E -1.97%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.85%EV -4.00%E -3.67%K -44.41%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-31 06:40 |
| TAB🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -16.53%E -2.36%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -4.88%E -4.52%K -60.97%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-31 14:25 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (8)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 11.00I 9.09%NM 9.02% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 90.98% | 0.8% | 2026-08-31 20:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 11.00I 9.09%NM 9.02% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 90.98% | 0.8% | 2026-08-31 20:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 11.00I 9.09%NM 9.02% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 90.98% | 0.8% | 2026-08-31 20:45 |
| Matchbook◎ | 11.00I 9.09%NM 9.02% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 90.98% | 0.8% | 2026-08-31 20:40 |
| Kalshi◎ | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.91% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 90.09% | 0.9% | 2026-08-31 19:50 |
| ProphetX◎ | 10.10I 9.90%NM 9.74% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 90.26% | 1.6% | 2026-08-31 20:45 |
| Smarkets◎ | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.25% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 90.75% | 3.0% | 2026-08-31 20:45 |
| Novig◎ | 9.52I 10.50%NM 10.19% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 89.81% | 3.1% | 2026-08-31 20:45 |