Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Julia Grabher v Sorana Cirstea

Início: 2026-08-31 20:49 UTC

Final: Julia Grabher 0–2 Sorana Cirstea

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

64 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Julia Grabher (Local)

Previsão 11.92%8.39odd justa
EV +24.01%
Vantagem +2.31%
Kelly +2.55%
Crescimento +0.613%

pressupondo odds máximas de 10.40

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
9.41%11.92%11.89%13.37%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
7.008.008.0010.4014.29%12.50%12.50%9.62%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Sorana Cirstea (Visitante)

Previsão 88.08%1.14odd justa
EV -3.12%
Vantagem -2.83%
Kelly -31.16%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.10

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
86.63%88.08%88.11%90.59%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.061.081.081.1094.34%92.73%92.59%90.91%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Julia Grabher (Local): 11.92%; Sorana Cirstea (Visitante): 88.08%. Para Julia Grabher (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 8.39. 8 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 10.40, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +24.01%.

Odds das casas de apostas (64 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
1xBet🎯10.40I 9.62%NM 9.41%EV +24.01%E +2.31%K +2.55%G +0.613%1.08I 92.59%NM 90.59%EV -4.88%E -4.52%K -60.97%G +0.000%2.2%2026-08-31 20:40
SportsBet🎯9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV +13.28%E +1.40%K +1.56%G +0.207%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -6.64%E -6.26%K -110.65%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-30 18:45
FanDuel🎯9.10I 10.99%NM 10.52%EV +8.51%E +0.935%K +1.05%G +0.089%1.07I 93.46%NM 89.48%EV -5.76%E -5.38%K -82.26%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-31 02:50
Coolbet🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.80%EV +7.31%E +0.813%K +0.914%G +0.067%1.09I 91.74%NM 89.20%EV -4.00%E -3.67%K -44.41%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-31 18:49
Paddy Power🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV +7.31%E +0.813%K +0.914%G +0.067%1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -5.76%E -5.38%K -82.26%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-31 02:45
Sky Bet🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV +7.31%E +0.813%K +0.914%G +0.067%1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -5.76%E -5.38%K -82.26%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-31 02:45
Winamax (DE)🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 11.37%EV +1.35%E +0.159%K +0.180%G +0.002%1.09I 91.74%NM 88.63%EV -4.00%E -3.67%K -44.41%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-30 14:00
Tipico (DE)🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV +1.35%E +0.159%K +0.180%G +0.002%1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -6.64%E -6.26%K -110.65%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-30 14:05
Pinnacle🎯8.37I 11.95%NM 11.52%EV -0.198%E -0.024%K -0.027%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 88.48%EV -4.00%E -3.67%K -44.41%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-31 20:05
ReBet🎯8.30I 12.05%NM 11.61%EV -1.03%E -0.124%K -0.141%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 88.39%EV -4.00%E -3.67%K -44.41%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-31 18:50
GTbets🎯8.23I 12.15%NM 11.60%EV -1.87%E -0.227%K -0.258%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.40%EV -4.88%E -4.52%K -60.97%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-27 21:00
Betclic (FR)🎯8.20I 12.20%NM 11.54%EV -2.23%E -0.271%K -0.309%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.46%EV -5.76%E -5.38%K -82.26%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-31 20:43
LowVig.ag🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.99%EV -4.61%E -0.576%K -0.659%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 88.01%EV -4.00%E -3.67%K -44.41%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-30 04:49
BetOnline.ag🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.99%EV -4.61%E -0.576%K -0.659%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 88.01%EV -4.00%E -3.67%K -44.41%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-30 04:50
BetRivers🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -4.61%E -0.576%K -0.659%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.88%E -4.52%K -60.97%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-27 20:35
ATG (SE)🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -4.61%E -0.576%K -0.659%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.88%E -4.52%K -60.97%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-27 20:35
Svenska Spel🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -4.61%E -0.576%K -0.659%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.88%E -4.52%K -60.97%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-27 20:35
Betway🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -4.61%E -0.576%K -0.659%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.88%E -4.52%K -60.97%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-29 15:20
DraftKings🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -4.61%E -0.576%K -0.659%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.88%E -4.52%K -60.97%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-28 10:14
Grosvenor🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -4.61%E -0.576%K -0.659%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.88%E -4.52%K -60.97%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-27 21:40
Casumo🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -4.61%E -0.576%K -0.659%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.88%E -4.52%K -60.97%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-27 21:40
Virgin Bet🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -4.61%E -0.576%K -0.659%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.88%E -4.52%K -60.97%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-27 21:40
betPARX🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -4.61%E -0.576%K -0.659%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.88%E -4.52%K -60.97%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-27 21:40
LiveScore Bet🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -4.61%E -0.576%K -0.659%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.88%E -4.52%K -60.97%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-27 21:45
Bally Bet🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -4.61%E -0.576%K -0.659%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.88%E -4.52%K -60.97%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-27 21:45
Unibet (NL)🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -4.61%E -0.576%K -0.659%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.88%E -4.52%K -60.97%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-27 21:50
Hard Rock Bet🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -4.61%E -0.576%K -0.659%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.88%E -4.52%K -60.97%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-27 21:55
TABtouch🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -4.61%E -0.576%K -0.659%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.88%E -4.52%K -60.97%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-27 22:00
Unibet🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -4.61%E -0.576%K -0.659%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.88%E -4.52%K -60.97%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-27 22:15
Unibet (SE)🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -4.61%E -0.576%K -0.659%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.88%E -4.52%K -60.97%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-28 02:35
Unibet (UK)🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -4.61%E -0.576%K -0.659%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.88%E -4.52%K -60.97%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-31 11:40
Winamax (FR)🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -4.61%E -0.576%K -0.659%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.88%E -4.52%K -60.97%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-30 14:00
Bovada🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -4.61%E -0.576%K -0.659%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.88%E -4.52%K -60.97%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-30 13:59
LeoVegas (SE)🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -4.61%E -0.576%K -0.659%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.88%E -4.52%K -60.97%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-28 11:41
betano_uk🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -4.61%E -0.576%K -0.659%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.88%E -4.52%K -60.97%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-28 14:19
Bet Right🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -4.61%E -0.576%K -0.659%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.88%E -4.52%K -60.97%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-31 12:55
Marathon Bet🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -4.61%E -0.576%K -0.659%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -5.76%E -5.38%K -82.26%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-31 20:15
Betr (AU)🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -4.61%E -0.576%K -0.659%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -5.76%E -5.38%K -82.26%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-31 20:15
PointsBet (AU)🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -4.61%E -0.576%K -0.659%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -5.76%E -5.38%K -82.26%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-31 20:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -4.61%E -0.576%K -0.659%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -5.76%E -5.38%K -82.26%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-31 18:20
NetBet (FR)🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -4.61%E -0.576%K -0.659%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -6.64%E -6.26%K -110.65%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-31 20:05
Unibet (FR)🎯7.90I 12.66%NM 12.03%EV -5.80%E -0.734%K -0.841%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.97%EV -4.88%E -4.52%K -60.97%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-31 18:50
MyBookie.ag🎯7.90I 12.66%NM 12.03%EV -5.80%E -0.734%K -0.841%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.97%EV -4.88%E -4.52%K -60.97%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-31 18:55
LeoVegas🎯7.80I 12.82%NM 12.06%EV -6.99%E -0.897%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 87.94%EV -5.76%E -5.38%K -82.26%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-31 18:50
Betsson🎯7.77I 12.87%NM 12.10%EV -7.35%E -0.946%K -1.09%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 87.90%EV -5.76%E -5.38%K -82.26%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-31 18:50
NordicBet🎯7.77I 12.87%NM 12.10%EV -7.35%E -0.946%K -1.09%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 87.90%EV -5.76%E -5.38%K -82.26%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-31 18:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯7.75I 12.90%NM 12.23%EV -7.59%E -0.979%K -1.12%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.77%EV -4.88%E -4.52%K -60.97%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-30 13:55
Neds🎯7.75I 12.90%NM 12.23%EV -7.59%E -0.979%K -1.12%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.77%EV -4.88%E -4.52%K -60.97%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-30 13:55
BetAnything🎯7.70I 12.99%NM 12.30%EV -8.19%E -1.06%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.70%EV -4.88%E -4.52%K -60.97%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-30 13:55
Fanatics🎯7.70I 12.99%NM 12.30%EV -8.19%E -1.06%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.70%EV -4.88%E -4.52%K -60.97%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-31 20:45
BoyleSports🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV -10.57%E -1.41%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -3.12%E -2.83%K -31.16%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-31 06:46
BetMGM🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -10.57%E -1.41%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.88%E -4.52%K -60.97%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-30 15:20
Coral🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -10.57%E -1.41%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.88%E -4.52%K -60.97%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-30 13:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -10.57%E -1.41%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.88%E -4.52%K -60.97%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-30 13:55
888sport🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -10.57%E -1.41%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.88%E -4.52%K -60.97%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-31 12:50
William Hill🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -10.57%E -1.41%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.88%E -4.52%K -60.97%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-31 16:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -10.57%E -1.41%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.88%E -4.52%K -60.97%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-31 12:50
888sport (SE)🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -10.57%E -1.41%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.88%E -4.52%K -60.97%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-31 12:50
PMU (FR)🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV -10.57%E -1.41%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51%EV -5.76%E -5.38%K -82.26%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-29 18:05
Caesars🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV -10.57%E -1.41%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51%EV -5.76%E -5.38%K -82.26%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-29 16:46
betfred_uk🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV -10.57%E -1.41%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51%EV -5.76%E -5.38%K -82.26%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-31 12:55
PlayUp🎯7.25I 13.79%NM 13.07%EV -13.55%E -1.87%K -2.17%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 86.93%EV -4.00%E -3.67%K -44.41%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-31 20:00
theScore Bet🎯7.20I 13.89%NM 13.15%EV -14.15%E -1.97%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 86.85%EV -4.00%E -3.67%K -44.41%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-31 06:40
TAB🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -16.53%E -2.36%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -4.88%E -4.52%K -60.97%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-31 14:25
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (8)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎11.00I 9.09%NM 9.02%1.09I 91.74%NM 90.98%0.8%2026-08-31 20:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎11.00I 9.09%NM 9.02%1.09I 91.74%NM 90.98%0.8%2026-08-31 20:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎11.00I 9.09%NM 9.02%1.09I 91.74%NM 90.98%0.8%2026-08-31 20:45
Matchbook◎11.00I 9.09%NM 9.02%1.09I 91.74%NM 90.98%0.8%2026-08-31 20:40
Kalshi◎10.00I 10.00%NM 9.91%1.10I 90.91%NM 90.09%0.9%2026-08-31 19:50
ProphetX◎10.10I 9.90%NM 9.74%1.09I 91.74%NM 90.26%1.6%2026-08-31 20:45
Smarkets◎10.50I 9.52%NM 9.25%1.07I 93.46%NM 90.75%3.0%2026-08-31 20:45
Novig◎9.52I 10.50%NM 10.19%1.08I 92.59%NM 89.81%3.1%2026-08-31 20:45