StandardmodellInterquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Julia Grabher v Sorana Cirstea

Spielbeginn: 2026-08-31 20:49 UTC

Endstand: Julia Grabher 0–2 Sorana Cirstea

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

64 Wettanbieter (21 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Julia Grabher (Heim)

Prognose 11.92%8.39faire Quote
EV +24.01%
Vorteil +2.31%
Kelly +2.55%
Wachstum +0.613%

bei einer Höchstquote von 10.40

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
9.41%11.92%11.89%13.37%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
7.008.008.0010.4014.29%12.50%12.50%9.62%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Sorana Cirstea (Auswärts)

Prognose 88.08%1.14faire Quote
EV -3.12%
Vorteil -2.83%
Kelly -31.16%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.10

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
86.63%88.08%88.11%90.59%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.061.081.081.1094.34%92.73%92.59%90.91%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Bei den letzten Quoten vor Spielbeginn schätzte Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) für Direkter Vergleich: Julia Grabher (Heim): 11.92%; Sorana Cirstea (Auswärts): 88.08%. Für Julia Grabher (Heim) entsprach diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 8.39. 8 Wettanbieter boten Schlussquoten über diesem Wert an; die beste betrug 10.40 und entsprach einem positiven Erwartungswert von +24.01%.

Wettanbieterquoten (64 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeim ▼AuswärtsMargeAktualisiert
1xBet🎯10.40I 9.62%NM 9.41%EV +24.01%E +2.31%K +2.55%G +0.613%1.08I 92.59%NM 90.59%EV -4.88%E -4.52%K -60.97%G +0.000%2.2%2026-08-31 20:40
SportsBet🎯9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV +13.28%E +1.40%K +1.56%G +0.207%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -6.64%E -6.26%K -110.65%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-30 18:45
FanDuel🎯9.10I 10.99%NM 10.52%EV +8.51%E +0.935%K +1.05%G +0.089%1.07I 93.46%NM 89.48%EV -5.76%E -5.38%K -82.26%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-31 02:50
Coolbet🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.80%EV +7.31%E +0.813%K +0.914%G +0.067%1.09I 91.74%NM 89.20%EV -4.00%E -3.67%K -44.41%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-31 18:49
Paddy Power🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV +7.31%E +0.813%K +0.914%G +0.067%1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -5.76%E -5.38%K -82.26%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-31 02:45
Sky Bet🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV +7.31%E +0.813%K +0.914%G +0.067%1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -5.76%E -5.38%K -82.26%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-31 02:45
Winamax (DE)🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 11.37%EV +1.35%E +0.159%K +0.180%G +0.002%1.09I 91.74%NM 88.63%EV -4.00%E -3.67%K -44.41%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-30 14:00
Tipico (DE)🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV +1.35%E +0.159%K +0.180%G +0.002%1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -6.64%E -6.26%K -110.65%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-30 14:05
Pinnacle🎯8.37I 11.95%NM 11.52%EV -0.198%E -0.024%K -0.027%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 88.48%EV -4.00%E -3.67%K -44.41%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-31 20:05
ReBet🎯8.30I 12.05%NM 11.61%EV -1.03%E -0.124%K -0.141%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 88.39%EV -4.00%E -3.67%K -44.41%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-31 18:50
GTbets🎯8.23I 12.15%NM 11.60%EV -1.87%E -0.227%K -0.258%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.40%EV -4.88%E -4.52%K -60.97%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-27 21:00
Betclic (FR)🎯8.20I 12.20%NM 11.54%EV -2.23%E -0.271%K -0.309%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.46%EV -5.76%E -5.38%K -82.26%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-31 20:43
LowVig.ag🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.99%EV -4.61%E -0.576%K -0.659%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 88.01%EV -4.00%E -3.67%K -44.41%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-30 04:49
BetOnline.ag🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.99%EV -4.61%E -0.576%K -0.659%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 88.01%EV -4.00%E -3.67%K -44.41%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-30 04:50
BetRivers🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -4.61%E -0.576%K -0.659%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.88%E -4.52%K -60.97%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-27 20:35
ATG (SE)🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -4.61%E -0.576%K -0.659%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.88%E -4.52%K -60.97%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-27 20:35
Svenska Spel🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -4.61%E -0.576%K -0.659%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.88%E -4.52%K -60.97%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-27 20:35
Betway🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -4.61%E -0.576%K -0.659%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.88%E -4.52%K -60.97%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-29 15:20
DraftKings🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -4.61%E -0.576%K -0.659%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.88%E -4.52%K -60.97%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-28 10:14
Grosvenor🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -4.61%E -0.576%K -0.659%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.88%E -4.52%K -60.97%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-27 21:40
Casumo🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -4.61%E -0.576%K -0.659%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.88%E -4.52%K -60.97%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-27 21:40
Virgin Bet🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -4.61%E -0.576%K -0.659%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.88%E -4.52%K -60.97%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-27 21:40
betPARX🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -4.61%E -0.576%K -0.659%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.88%E -4.52%K -60.97%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-27 21:40
LiveScore Bet🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -4.61%E -0.576%K -0.659%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.88%E -4.52%K -60.97%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-27 21:45
Bally Bet🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -4.61%E -0.576%K -0.659%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.88%E -4.52%K -60.97%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-27 21:45
Unibet (NL)🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -4.61%E -0.576%K -0.659%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.88%E -4.52%K -60.97%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-27 21:50
Hard Rock Bet🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -4.61%E -0.576%K -0.659%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.88%E -4.52%K -60.97%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-27 21:55
TABtouch🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -4.61%E -0.576%K -0.659%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.88%E -4.52%K -60.97%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-27 22:00
Unibet🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -4.61%E -0.576%K -0.659%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.88%E -4.52%K -60.97%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-27 22:15
Unibet (SE)🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -4.61%E -0.576%K -0.659%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.88%E -4.52%K -60.97%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-28 02:35
Unibet (UK)🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -4.61%E -0.576%K -0.659%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.88%E -4.52%K -60.97%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-31 11:40
Winamax (FR)🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -4.61%E -0.576%K -0.659%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.88%E -4.52%K -60.97%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-30 14:00
Bovada🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -4.61%E -0.576%K -0.659%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.88%E -4.52%K -60.97%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-30 13:59
LeoVegas (SE)🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -4.61%E -0.576%K -0.659%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.88%E -4.52%K -60.97%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-28 11:41
betano_uk🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -4.61%E -0.576%K -0.659%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.88%E -4.52%K -60.97%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-28 14:19
Bet Right🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -4.61%E -0.576%K -0.659%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.88%E -4.52%K -60.97%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-31 12:55
Marathon Bet🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -4.61%E -0.576%K -0.659%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -5.76%E -5.38%K -82.26%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-31 20:15
Betr (AU)🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -4.61%E -0.576%K -0.659%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -5.76%E -5.38%K -82.26%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-31 20:15
PointsBet (AU)🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -4.61%E -0.576%K -0.659%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -5.76%E -5.38%K -82.26%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-31 20:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -4.61%E -0.576%K -0.659%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -5.76%E -5.38%K -82.26%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-31 18:20
NetBet (FR)🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -4.61%E -0.576%K -0.659%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -6.64%E -6.26%K -110.65%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-31 20:05
Unibet (FR)🎯7.90I 12.66%NM 12.03%EV -5.80%E -0.734%K -0.841%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.97%EV -4.88%E -4.52%K -60.97%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-31 18:50
MyBookie.ag🎯7.90I 12.66%NM 12.03%EV -5.80%E -0.734%K -0.841%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.97%EV -4.88%E -4.52%K -60.97%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-31 18:55
LeoVegas🎯7.80I 12.82%NM 12.06%EV -6.99%E -0.897%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 87.94%EV -5.76%E -5.38%K -82.26%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-31 18:50
Betsson🎯7.77I 12.87%NM 12.10%EV -7.35%E -0.946%K -1.09%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 87.90%EV -5.76%E -5.38%K -82.26%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-31 18:50
NordicBet🎯7.77I 12.87%NM 12.10%EV -7.35%E -0.946%K -1.09%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 87.90%EV -5.76%E -5.38%K -82.26%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-31 18:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯7.75I 12.90%NM 12.23%EV -7.59%E -0.979%K -1.12%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.77%EV -4.88%E -4.52%K -60.97%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-30 13:55
Neds🎯7.75I 12.90%NM 12.23%EV -7.59%E -0.979%K -1.12%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.77%EV -4.88%E -4.52%K -60.97%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-30 13:55
BetAnything🎯7.70I 12.99%NM 12.30%EV -8.19%E -1.06%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.70%EV -4.88%E -4.52%K -60.97%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-30 13:55
Fanatics🎯7.70I 12.99%NM 12.30%EV -8.19%E -1.06%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.70%EV -4.88%E -4.52%K -60.97%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-31 20:45
BoyleSports🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV -10.57%E -1.41%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -3.12%E -2.83%K -31.16%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-31 06:46
BetMGM🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -10.57%E -1.41%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.88%E -4.52%K -60.97%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-30 15:20
Coral🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -10.57%E -1.41%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.88%E -4.52%K -60.97%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-30 13:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -10.57%E -1.41%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.88%E -4.52%K -60.97%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-30 13:55
888sport🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -10.57%E -1.41%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.88%E -4.52%K -60.97%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-31 12:50
William Hill🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -10.57%E -1.41%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.88%E -4.52%K -60.97%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-31 16:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -10.57%E -1.41%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.88%E -4.52%K -60.97%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-31 12:50
888sport (SE)🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -10.57%E -1.41%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.88%E -4.52%K -60.97%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-31 12:50
PMU (FR)🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV -10.57%E -1.41%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51%EV -5.76%E -5.38%K -82.26%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-29 18:05
Caesars🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV -10.57%E -1.41%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51%EV -5.76%E -5.38%K -82.26%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-29 16:46
betfred_uk🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV -10.57%E -1.41%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51%EV -5.76%E -5.38%K -82.26%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-31 12:55
PlayUp🎯7.25I 13.79%NM 13.07%EV -13.55%E -1.87%K -2.17%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 86.93%EV -4.00%E -3.67%K -44.41%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-31 20:00
theScore Bet🎯7.20I 13.89%NM 13.15%EV -14.15%E -1.97%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 86.85%EV -4.00%E -3.67%K -44.41%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-31 06:40
TAB🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -16.53%E -2.36%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -4.88%E -4.52%K -60.97%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-31 14:25
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (8)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎11.00I 9.09%NM 9.02%1.09I 91.74%NM 90.98%0.8%2026-08-31 20:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎11.00I 9.09%NM 9.02%1.09I 91.74%NM 90.98%0.8%2026-08-31 20:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎11.00I 9.09%NM 9.02%1.09I 91.74%NM 90.98%0.8%2026-08-31 20:45
Matchbook◎11.00I 9.09%NM 9.02%1.09I 91.74%NM 90.98%0.8%2026-08-31 20:40
Kalshi◎10.00I 10.00%NM 9.91%1.10I 90.91%NM 90.09%0.9%2026-08-31 19:50
ProphetX◎10.10I 9.90%NM 9.74%1.09I 91.74%NM 90.26%1.6%2026-08-31 20:45
Smarkets◎10.50I 9.52%NM 9.25%1.07I 93.46%NM 90.75%3.0%2026-08-31 20:45
Novig◎9.52I 10.50%NM 10.19%1.08I 92.59%NM 89.81%3.1%2026-08-31 20:45