Idioma:Español
Julia Grabher v Sorana Cirstea
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Julia Grabher (Local)
Predicción 11.92%8.39momio equitativo
EV +24.01%
Ventaja +2.31%
Kelly +2.55%
Crecimiento +0.613%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 10.40
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
9.41%11.92%11.89%13.37%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
7.008.008.0010.4014.29%12.50%12.50%9.62%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Sorana Cirstea (Visitante)
Predicción 88.08%1.14momio equitativo
EV -3.12%
Ventaja -2.83%
Kelly -31.16%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.10
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
86.63%88.08%88.11%90.59%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.061.081.081.1094.34%92.73%92.59%90.91%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Julia Grabher (Local): 11.92%; Sorana Cirstea (Visitante): 88.08%. Para Julia Grabher (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 8.39. 8 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 10.40, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +24.01%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (64 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 10.40I 9.62%NM 9.41%EV +24.01%E +2.31%K +2.55%G +0.613% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 90.59%EV -4.88%E -4.52%K -60.97%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-08-31 20:40 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV +13.28%E +1.40%K +1.56%G +0.207% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -6.64%E -6.26%K -110.65%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-30 18:45 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 9.10I 10.99%NM 10.52%EV +8.51%E +0.935%K +1.05%G +0.089% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.48%EV -5.76%E -5.38%K -82.26%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-31 02:50 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.80%EV +7.31%E +0.813%K +0.914%G +0.067% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 89.20%EV -4.00%E -3.67%K -44.41%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-08-31 18:49 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV +7.31%E +0.813%K +0.914%G +0.067% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -5.76%E -5.38%K -82.26%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-31 02:45 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV +7.31%E +0.813%K +0.914%G +0.067% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -5.76%E -5.38%K -82.26%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-31 02:45 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.37%EV +1.35%E +0.159%K +0.180%G +0.002% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 88.63%EV -4.00%E -3.67%K -44.41%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-30 14:00 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV +1.35%E +0.159%K +0.180%G +0.002% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -6.64%E -6.26%K -110.65%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-30 14:05 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 8.37I 11.95%NM 11.52%EV -0.198%E -0.024%K -0.027%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 88.48%EV -4.00%E -3.67%K -44.41%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-31 20:05 |
| ReBet🎯 | 8.30I 12.05%NM 11.61%EV -1.03%E -0.124%K -0.141%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 88.39%EV -4.00%E -3.67%K -44.41%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-31 18:50 |
| GTbets🎯 | 8.23I 12.15%NM 11.60%EV -1.87%E -0.227%K -0.258%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.40%EV -4.88%E -4.52%K -60.97%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-27 21:00 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 8.20I 12.20%NM 11.54%EV -2.23%E -0.271%K -0.309%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.46%EV -5.76%E -5.38%K -82.26%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-31 20:43 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.99%EV -4.61%E -0.576%K -0.659%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 88.01%EV -4.00%E -3.67%K -44.41%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-30 04:49 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.99%EV -4.61%E -0.576%K -0.659%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 88.01%EV -4.00%E -3.67%K -44.41%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-30 04:50 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -4.61%E -0.576%K -0.659%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.88%E -4.52%K -60.97%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-27 20:35 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -4.61%E -0.576%K -0.659%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.88%E -4.52%K -60.97%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-27 20:35 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -4.61%E -0.576%K -0.659%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.88%E -4.52%K -60.97%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-27 20:35 |
| Betway🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -4.61%E -0.576%K -0.659%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.88%E -4.52%K -60.97%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-29 15:20 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -4.61%E -0.576%K -0.659%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.88%E -4.52%K -60.97%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-28 10:14 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -4.61%E -0.576%K -0.659%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.88%E -4.52%K -60.97%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-27 21:40 |
| Casumo🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -4.61%E -0.576%K -0.659%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.88%E -4.52%K -60.97%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-27 21:40 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -4.61%E -0.576%K -0.659%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.88%E -4.52%K -60.97%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-27 21:40 |
| betPARX🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -4.61%E -0.576%K -0.659%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.88%E -4.52%K -60.97%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-27 21:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -4.61%E -0.576%K -0.659%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.88%E -4.52%K -60.97%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-27 21:45 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -4.61%E -0.576%K -0.659%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.88%E -4.52%K -60.97%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-27 21:45 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -4.61%E -0.576%K -0.659%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.88%E -4.52%K -60.97%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-27 21:50 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -4.61%E -0.576%K -0.659%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.88%E -4.52%K -60.97%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-27 21:55 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -4.61%E -0.576%K -0.659%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.88%E -4.52%K -60.97%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-27 22:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -4.61%E -0.576%K -0.659%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.88%E -4.52%K -60.97%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-27 22:15 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -4.61%E -0.576%K -0.659%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.88%E -4.52%K -60.97%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-28 02:35 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -4.61%E -0.576%K -0.659%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.88%E -4.52%K -60.97%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-31 11:40 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -4.61%E -0.576%K -0.659%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.88%E -4.52%K -60.97%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-30 14:00 |
| Bovada🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -4.61%E -0.576%K -0.659%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.88%E -4.52%K -60.97%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-30 13:59 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -4.61%E -0.576%K -0.659%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.88%E -4.52%K -60.97%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-28 11:41 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -4.61%E -0.576%K -0.659%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.88%E -4.52%K -60.97%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-28 14:19 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -4.61%E -0.576%K -0.659%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.88%E -4.52%K -60.97%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-31 12:55 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -4.61%E -0.576%K -0.659%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -5.76%E -5.38%K -82.26%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-31 20:15 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -4.61%E -0.576%K -0.659%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -5.76%E -5.38%K -82.26%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-31 20:15 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -4.61%E -0.576%K -0.659%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -5.76%E -5.38%K -82.26%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-31 20:15 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -4.61%E -0.576%K -0.659%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -5.76%E -5.38%K -82.26%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-31 18:20 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -4.61%E -0.576%K -0.659%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -6.64%E -6.26%K -110.65%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-31 20:05 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 7.90I 12.66%NM 12.03%EV -5.80%E -0.734%K -0.841%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.97%EV -4.88%E -4.52%K -60.97%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-31 18:50 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 7.90I 12.66%NM 12.03%EV -5.80%E -0.734%K -0.841%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.97%EV -4.88%E -4.52%K -60.97%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-31 18:55 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 7.80I 12.82%NM 12.06%EV -6.99%E -0.897%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 87.94%EV -5.76%E -5.38%K -82.26%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-31 18:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 7.77I 12.87%NM 12.10%EV -7.35%E -0.946%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 87.90%EV -5.76%E -5.38%K -82.26%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-31 18:50 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 7.77I 12.87%NM 12.10%EV -7.35%E -0.946%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 87.90%EV -5.76%E -5.38%K -82.26%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-31 18:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 7.75I 12.90%NM 12.23%EV -7.59%E -0.979%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.77%EV -4.88%E -4.52%K -60.97%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-30 13:55 |
| Neds🎯 | 7.75I 12.90%NM 12.23%EV -7.59%E -0.979%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.77%EV -4.88%E -4.52%K -60.97%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-30 13:55 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 7.70I 12.99%NM 12.30%EV -8.19%E -1.06%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.70%EV -4.88%E -4.52%K -60.97%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-30 13:55 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 7.70I 12.99%NM 12.30%EV -8.19%E -1.06%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.70%EV -4.88%E -4.52%K -60.97%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-31 20:45 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV -10.57%E -1.41%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -3.12%E -2.83%K -31.16%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-31 06:46 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -10.57%E -1.41%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.88%E -4.52%K -60.97%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-30 15:20 |
| Coral🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -10.57%E -1.41%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.88%E -4.52%K -60.97%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-30 13:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -10.57%E -1.41%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.88%E -4.52%K -60.97%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-30 13:55 |
| 888sport🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -10.57%E -1.41%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.88%E -4.52%K -60.97%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-31 12:50 |
| William Hill🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -10.57%E -1.41%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.88%E -4.52%K -60.97%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-31 16:45 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -10.57%E -1.41%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.88%E -4.52%K -60.97%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-31 12:50 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -10.57%E -1.41%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.88%E -4.52%K -60.97%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-31 12:50 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV -10.57%E -1.41%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51%EV -5.76%E -5.38%K -82.26%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-29 18:05 |
| Caesars🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV -10.57%E -1.41%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51%EV -5.76%E -5.38%K -82.26%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-29 16:46 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV -10.57%E -1.41%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51%EV -5.76%E -5.38%K -82.26%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-31 12:55 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 7.25I 13.79%NM 13.07%EV -13.55%E -1.87%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.93%EV -4.00%E -3.67%K -44.41%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-31 20:00 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.15%EV -14.15%E -1.97%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.85%EV -4.00%E -3.67%K -44.41%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-31 06:40 |
| TAB🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -16.53%E -2.36%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -4.88%E -4.52%K -60.97%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-31 14:25 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (8)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 11.00I 9.09%NM 9.02% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 90.98% | 0.8% | 2026-08-31 20:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 11.00I 9.09%NM 9.02% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 90.98% | 0.8% | 2026-08-31 20:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 11.00I 9.09%NM 9.02% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 90.98% | 0.8% | 2026-08-31 20:45 |
| Matchbook◎ | 11.00I 9.09%NM 9.02% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 90.98% | 0.8% | 2026-08-31 20:40 |
| Kalshi◎ | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.91% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 90.09% | 0.9% | 2026-08-31 19:50 |
| ProphetX◎ | 10.10I 9.90%NM 9.74% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 90.26% | 1.6% | 2026-08-31 20:45 |
| Smarkets◎ | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.25% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 90.75% | 3.0% | 2026-08-31 20:45 |
| Novig◎ | 9.52I 10.50%NM 10.19% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 89.81% | 3.1% | 2026-08-31 20:45 |