Language:English
Jessica Pegula v Elena Gabriela Ruse
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Jessica Pegula (Local)
Prediction 88.64%1.13fair odd
EV -0.724%
Edge -0.646%
Kelly -6.03%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.12
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
85.30%88.54%88.72%90.06%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.031.071.071.1297.09%93.22%93.46%89.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Elena Gabriela Ruse (Visit)
Prediction 11.36%8.80fair odd
EV +10.20%
Edge +1.05%
Kelly +1.17%
Growth +0.120%
assuming max odds 9.70
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
9.94%11.46%11.28%14.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
6.508.218.009.7015.38%12.19%12.50%10.31%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Jessica Pegula (Local): 88.64%; Elena Gabriela Ruse (Visit): 11.36%. For Elena Gabriela Ruse (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 8.80. 8 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 9.70, corresponding to a positive expected value of +10.20%.
Sportsbook Odds (65 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 90.06%EV -5.16%E -4.82%K -73.65%G +0.000% | 9.70I 10.31%NM 9.94%EV +10.20%E +1.05%K +1.17%G +0.120% | 3.8% | 2026-08-30 14:10 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 90.06%EV -5.16%E -4.82%K -73.65%G +0.000% | 9.70I 10.31%NM 9.94%EV +10.20%E +1.05%K +1.17%G +0.120% | 3.8% | 2026-08-30 14:10 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 89.79%EV -4.27%E -3.95%K -53.37%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.21%EV +7.92%E +0.834%K +0.932%G +0.074% | 3.1% | 2026-08-30 14:54 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 89.41%EV -4.27%E -3.95%K -53.37%G +0.000% | 9.12I 10.96%NM 10.59%EV +3.61%E +0.396%K +0.444%G +0.016% | 3.6% | 2026-08-30 15:20 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 89.29%EV -4.27%E -3.95%K -53.37%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.71%EV +2.24%E +0.249%K +0.281%G +0.006% | 3.7% | 2026-08-30 15:20 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 89.29%EV -4.27%E -3.95%K -53.37%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.71%EV +2.24%E +0.249%K +0.281%G +0.006% | 3.7% | 2026-08-30 13:20 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -5.16%E -4.82%K -73.65%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV +2.24%E +0.249%K +0.281%G +0.006% | 4.6% | 2026-08-30 14:14 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -6.93%E -6.60%K -138.57%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV +2.24%E +0.249%K +0.281%G +0.006% | 6.3% | 2026-08-30 13:20 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.25%EV -6.04%E -5.70%K -100.70%G +0.000% | 8.80I 11.36%NM 10.75%EV -0.028%E -0.003%K -0.004%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-30 15:50 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.10%EV -5.16%E -4.82%K -73.65%G +0.000% | 8.75I 11.43%NM 10.90%EV -0.596%E -0.068%K -0.077%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-30 15:20 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 89.36%EV -8.70%E -8.45%K -290.04%G +0.000% | 8.65I 11.56%NM 10.64%EV -1.73%E -0.200%K -0.226%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-30 16:02 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.84%EV -4.27%E -3.95%K -53.37%G +0.000% | 8.60I 11.63%NM 11.16%EV -2.30%E -0.267%K -0.303%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-30 15:35 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.88%EV -5.16%E -4.82%K -73.65%G +0.000% | 8.55I 11.70%NM 11.12%EV -2.87%E -0.335%K -0.380%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-30 16:04 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.73%EV -4.27%E -3.95%K -53.37%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.27%EV -3.44%E -0.404%K -0.458%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-30 15:36 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.73%EV -4.27%E -3.95%K -53.37%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.27%EV -3.44%E -0.404%K -0.458%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-30 15:36 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -5.16%E -4.82%K -73.65%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -3.44%E -0.404%K -0.458%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-30 15:35 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -5.16%E -4.82%K -73.65%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -3.44%E -0.404%K -0.458%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-30 15:20 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -5.16%E -4.82%K -73.65%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -3.44%E -0.404%K -0.458%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-30 13:55 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -5.16%E -4.82%K -73.65%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -3.44%E -0.404%K -0.458%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-30 13:55 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -5.16%E -4.82%K -73.65%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -3.44%E -0.404%K -0.458%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-30 14:15 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.01%EV -6.93%E -6.60%K -138.57%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.99%EV -3.44%E -0.404%K -0.458%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-30 15:20 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 88.31%EV -0.724%E -0.646%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 8.46I 11.82%NM 11.69%EV -3.89%E -0.460%K -0.522%G +0.000% | 1.1% | 2026-08-30 14:55 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.76%EV -5.16%E -4.82%K -73.65%G +0.000% | 8.45I 11.83%NM 11.24%EV -4.00%E -0.474%K -0.537%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-30 14:05 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.72%EV -6.04%E -5.70%K -100.70%G +0.000% | 8.34I 11.99%NM 11.28%EV -5.25%E -0.630%K -0.716%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-30 15:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.72%EV -6.04%E -5.70%K -100.70%G +0.000% | 8.34I 11.99%NM 11.28%EV -5.25%E -0.630%K -0.716%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-30 15:00 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.58%EV -5.16%E -4.82%K -73.65%G +0.000% | 8.30I 12.05%NM 11.42%EV -5.71%E -0.688%K -0.782%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-30 16:05 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.58%EV -5.16%E -4.82%K -73.65%G +0.000% | 8.30I 12.05%NM 11.42%EV -5.71%E -0.688%K -0.782%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-30 16:04 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.52%EV -5.16%E -4.82%K -73.65%G +0.000% | 8.25I 12.12%NM 11.48%EV -6.28%E -0.761%K -0.866%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-30 16:05 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.43%EV -6.04%E -5.70%K -100.70%G +0.000% | 8.10I 12.35%NM 11.57%EV -7.98%E -0.985%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-30 15:35 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.27%E -3.95%K -53.37%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -9.12%E -1.14%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-30 09:05 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.27%E -3.95%K -53.37%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -9.12%E -1.14%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-30 09:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.27%E -3.95%K -53.37%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -9.12%E -1.14%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-30 09:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.27%E -3.95%K -53.37%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -9.12%E -1.14%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-30 09:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.27%E -3.95%K -53.37%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -9.12%E -1.14%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-30 09:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.27%E -3.95%K -53.37%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -9.12%E -1.14%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-30 09:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.27%E -3.95%K -53.37%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -9.12%E -1.14%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-30 09:05 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.27%E -3.95%K -53.37%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -9.12%E -1.14%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-30 09:00 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.27%E -3.95%K -53.37%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -9.12%E -1.14%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-30 09:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.27%E -3.95%K -53.37%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -9.12%E -1.14%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-30 09:00 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.27%E -3.95%K -53.37%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -9.12%E -1.14%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-30 09:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.27%E -3.95%K -53.37%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -9.12%E -1.14%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-30 09:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.27%E -3.95%K -53.37%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -9.12%E -1.14%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-30 09:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.27%E -3.95%K -53.37%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -9.12%E -1.14%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-30 09:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.27%E -3.95%K -53.37%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -9.12%E -1.14%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-30 09:05 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.27%E -3.95%K -53.37%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -9.12%E -1.14%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-30 12:19 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.27%E -3.95%K -53.37%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -9.12%E -1.14%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-30 15:50 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -5.16%E -4.82%K -73.65%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -9.12%E -1.14%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-30 13:50 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -5.16%E -4.82%K -73.65%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -9.12%E -1.14%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-30 13:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -5.16%E -4.82%K -73.65%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -9.12%E -1.14%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-30 14:55 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -5.16%E -4.82%K -73.65%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -9.12%E -1.14%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-30 15:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -5.16%E -4.82%K -73.65%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -9.12%E -1.14%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-30 15:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -5.16%E -4.82%K -73.65%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -9.12%E -1.14%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-30 15:00 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -6.04%E -5.70%K -100.70%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -9.12%E -1.14%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-30 14:15 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 87.87%EV -5.16%E -4.82%K -73.65%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 12.13%EV -11.96%E -1.54%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-30 15:50 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 87.87%EV -5.16%E -4.82%K -73.65%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 12.13%EV -11.96%E -1.54%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-30 15:00 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.27%E -3.95%K -53.37%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -14.80%E -1.97%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-30 14:10 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.27%E -3.95%K -53.37%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -14.80%E -1.97%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-30 15:35 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51%EV -5.16%E -4.82%K -73.65%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV -14.80%E -1.97%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-30 16:00 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51%EV -5.16%E -4.82%K -73.65%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV -14.80%E -1.97%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-30 12:51 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51%EV -5.16%E -4.82%K -73.65%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV -14.80%E -1.97%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-30 15:46 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 87.62%EV -6.04%E -5.70%K -100.70%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -14.80%E -1.97%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-30 15:52 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 87.62%EV -6.04%E -5.70%K -100.70%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -14.80%E -1.97%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-30 16:00 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 87.62%EV -6.04%E -5.70%K -100.70%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -14.80%E -1.97%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-30 16:00 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 87.72%EV -6.93%E -6.60%K -138.57%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.28%EV -14.80%E -1.97%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-30 09:00 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -0.724%E -0.646%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -26.16%E -4.02%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-28 16:20 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (8)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 1.09I 91.74%NM 91.07% | 11.11I 9.00%NM 8.93% | 0.7% | 2026-08-30 16:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.09I 91.74%NM 90.98% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 9.02% | 0.8% | 2026-08-30 15:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.09I 91.74%NM 90.98% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 9.02% | 0.8% | 2026-08-30 15:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.09I 91.74%NM 90.98% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 9.02% | 0.8% | 2026-08-30 15:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.09I 91.74%NM 90.98% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 9.02% | 0.8% | 2026-08-30 15:50 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.09I 91.74%NM 90.35% | 10.20I 9.80%NM 9.65% | 1.5% | 2026-08-30 16:05 |
| Novig◎ | 1.09I 91.74%NM 90.17% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.83% | 1.7% | 2026-08-30 16:05 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.07I 93.46%NM 91.14% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.86% | 2.5% | 2026-08-30 16:00 |