StandardmodellInterquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Jessica Pegula v Elena Gabriela Ruse

Spielbeginn: 2026-08-30 16:08 UTC

Endstand: Jessica Pegula 2–0 Elena Gabriela Ruse

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

65 Wettanbieter (21 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Jessica Pegula (Heim)

Prognose 88.64%1.13faire Quote
EV -0.724%
Vorteil -0.646%
Kelly -6.03%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.12

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
85.30%88.54%88.72%90.06%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.031.071.071.1297.09%93.22%93.46%89.29%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Elena Gabriela Ruse (Auswärts)

Prognose 11.36%8.80faire Quote
EV +10.20%
Vorteil +1.05%
Kelly +1.17%
Wachstum +0.120%

bei einer Höchstquote von 9.70

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
9.94%11.46%11.28%14.70%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
6.508.218.009.7015.38%12.19%12.50%10.31%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Bei den letzten Quoten vor Spielbeginn schätzte Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) für Direkter Vergleich: Jessica Pegula (Heim): 88.64%; Elena Gabriela Ruse (Auswärts): 11.36%. Für Elena Gabriela Ruse (Auswärts) entsprach diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 8.80. 8 Wettanbieter boten Schlussquoten über diesem Wert an; die beste betrug 9.70 und entsprach einem positiven Erwartungswert von +10.20%.

Wettanbieterquoten (65 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeimAuswärts ▼MargeAktualisiert
LowVig.ag🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 90.06%EV -5.16%E -4.82%K -73.65%G +0.000%9.70I 10.31%NM 9.94%EV +10.20%E +1.05%K +1.17%G +0.120%3.8%2026-08-30 14:10
BetOnline.ag🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 90.06%EV -5.16%E -4.82%K -73.65%G +0.000%9.70I 10.31%NM 9.94%EV +10.20%E +1.05%K +1.17%G +0.120%3.8%2026-08-30 14:10
Coolbet🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 89.79%EV -4.27%E -3.95%K -53.37%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.21%EV +7.92%E +0.834%K +0.932%G +0.074%3.1%2026-08-30 14:54
Pinnacle🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 89.41%EV -4.27%E -3.95%K -53.37%G +0.000%9.12I 10.96%NM 10.59%EV +3.61%E +0.396%K +0.444%G +0.016%3.6%2026-08-30 15:20
ReBet🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 89.29%EV -4.27%E -3.95%K -53.37%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.71%EV +2.24%E +0.249%K +0.281%G +0.006%3.7%2026-08-30 15:20
Winamax (DE)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 89.29%EV -4.27%E -3.95%K -53.37%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.71%EV +2.24%E +0.249%K +0.281%G +0.006%3.7%2026-08-30 13:20
Betway🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -5.16%E -4.82%K -73.65%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV +2.24%E +0.249%K +0.281%G +0.006%4.6%2026-08-30 14:14
Tipico (DE)🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -6.93%E -6.60%K -138.57%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV +2.24%E +0.249%K +0.281%G +0.006%6.3%2026-08-30 13:20
Betclic (FR)🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 89.25%EV -6.04%E -5.70%K -100.70%G +0.000%8.80I 11.36%NM 10.75%EV -0.028%E -0.003%K -0.004%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-30 15:50
Bovada🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 89.10%EV -5.16%E -4.82%K -73.65%G +0.000%8.75I 11.43%NM 10.90%EV -0.596%E -0.068%K -0.077%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-30 15:20
Fliff🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 89.36%EV -8.70%E -8.45%K -290.04%G +0.000%8.65I 11.56%NM 10.64%EV -1.73%E -0.200%K -0.226%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-30 16:02
FanDuel🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.84%EV -4.27%E -3.95%K -53.37%G +0.000%8.60I 11.63%NM 11.16%EV -2.30%E -0.267%K -0.303%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-30 15:35
1xBet🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 88.88%EV -5.16%E -4.82%K -73.65%G +0.000%8.55I 11.70%NM 11.12%EV -2.87%E -0.335%K -0.380%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-30 16:04
Paddy Power🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.73%EV -4.27%E -3.95%K -53.37%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.27%EV -3.44%E -0.404%K -0.458%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-30 15:36
Sky Bet🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.73%EV -4.27%E -3.95%K -53.37%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.27%EV -3.44%E -0.404%K -0.458%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-30 15:36
SportsBet🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -5.16%E -4.82%K -73.65%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -3.44%E -0.404%K -0.458%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-30 15:35
MyBookie.ag🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -5.16%E -4.82%K -73.65%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -3.44%E -0.404%K -0.458%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-30 15:20
Unibet (UK)🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -5.16%E -4.82%K -73.65%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -3.44%E -0.404%K -0.458%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-30 13:55
Winamax (FR)🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -5.16%E -4.82%K -73.65%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -3.44%E -0.404%K -0.458%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-30 13:55
Bet Right🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -5.16%E -4.82%K -73.65%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -3.44%E -0.404%K -0.458%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-30 14:15
NetBet (FR)🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 89.01%EV -6.93%E -6.60%K -138.57%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.99%EV -3.44%E -0.404%K -0.458%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-30 15:20
GTbets🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 88.31%EV -0.724%E -0.646%K -6.03%G +0.000%8.46I 11.82%NM 11.69%EV -3.89%E -0.460%K -0.522%G +0.000%1.1%2026-08-30 14:55
BetAnything🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 88.76%EV -5.16%E -4.82%K -73.65%G +0.000%8.45I 11.83%NM 11.24%EV -4.00%E -0.474%K -0.537%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-30 14:05
Betsson🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 88.72%EV -6.04%E -5.70%K -100.70%G +0.000%8.34I 11.99%NM 11.28%EV -5.25%E -0.630%K -0.716%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-30 15:00
NordicBet🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 88.72%EV -6.04%E -5.70%K -100.70%G +0.000%8.34I 11.99%NM 11.28%EV -5.25%E -0.630%K -0.716%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-30 15:00
Marathon Bet🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 88.58%EV -5.16%E -4.82%K -73.65%G +0.000%8.30I 12.05%NM 11.42%EV -5.71%E -0.688%K -0.782%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-30 16:05
DraftKings🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 88.58%EV -5.16%E -4.82%K -73.65%G +0.000%8.30I 12.05%NM 11.42%EV -5.71%E -0.688%K -0.782%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-30 16:04
LeoVegas🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 88.52%EV -5.16%E -4.82%K -73.65%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.48%EV -6.28%E -0.761%K -0.866%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-30 16:05
Unibet (FR)🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 88.43%EV -6.04%E -5.70%K -100.70%G +0.000%8.10I 12.35%NM 11.57%EV -7.98%E -0.985%K -1.12%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-30 15:35
BetRivers🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.27%E -3.95%K -53.37%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -9.12%E -1.14%K -1.30%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-30 09:05
ATG (SE)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.27%E -3.95%K -53.37%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -9.12%E -1.14%K -1.30%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-30 09:00
Svenska Spel🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.27%E -3.95%K -53.37%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -9.12%E -1.14%K -1.30%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-30 09:00
Grosvenor🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.27%E -3.95%K -53.37%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -9.12%E -1.14%K -1.30%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-30 09:00
Casumo🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.27%E -3.95%K -53.37%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -9.12%E -1.14%K -1.30%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-30 09:00
Virgin Bet🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.27%E -3.95%K -53.37%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -9.12%E -1.14%K -1.30%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-30 09:00
betPARX🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.27%E -3.95%K -53.37%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -9.12%E -1.14%K -1.30%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-30 09:05
LiveScore Bet🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.27%E -3.95%K -53.37%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -9.12%E -1.14%K -1.30%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-30 09:00
Bally Bet🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.27%E -3.95%K -53.37%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -9.12%E -1.14%K -1.30%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-30 09:00
Unibet (NL)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.27%E -3.95%K -53.37%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -9.12%E -1.14%K -1.30%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-30 09:00
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.27%E -3.95%K -53.37%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -9.12%E -1.14%K -1.30%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-30 09:00
TABtouch🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.27%E -3.95%K -53.37%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -9.12%E -1.14%K -1.30%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-30 09:00
Unibet🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.27%E -3.95%K -53.37%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -9.12%E -1.14%K -1.30%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-30 09:00
Unibet (SE)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.27%E -3.95%K -53.37%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -9.12%E -1.14%K -1.30%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-30 09:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.27%E -3.95%K -53.37%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -9.12%E -1.14%K -1.30%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-30 09:05
betano_uk🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.27%E -3.95%K -53.37%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -9.12%E -1.14%K -1.30%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-30 12:19
Fanatics🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.27%E -3.95%K -53.37%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -9.12%E -1.14%K -1.30%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-30 15:50
Betr (AU)🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -5.16%E -4.82%K -73.65%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -9.12%E -1.14%K -1.30%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-30 13:50
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -5.16%E -4.82%K -73.65%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -9.12%E -1.14%K -1.30%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-30 13:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -5.16%E -4.82%K -73.65%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -9.12%E -1.14%K -1.30%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-30 14:55
Neds🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -5.16%E -4.82%K -73.65%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -9.12%E -1.14%K -1.30%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-30 15:00
Coral🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -5.16%E -4.82%K -73.65%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -9.12%E -1.14%K -1.30%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-30 15:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -5.16%E -4.82%K -73.65%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -9.12%E -1.14%K -1.30%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-30 15:00
betfred_uk🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -6.04%E -5.70%K -100.70%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -9.12%E -1.14%K -1.30%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-30 14:15
theScore Bet🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 87.87%EV -5.16%E -4.82%K -73.65%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.13%EV -11.96%E -1.54%K -1.77%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-30 15:50
BetMGM🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 87.87%EV -5.16%E -4.82%K -73.65%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.13%EV -11.96%E -1.54%K -1.77%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-30 15:00
PlayUp🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.27%E -3.95%K -53.37%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -14.80%E -1.97%K -2.28%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-30 14:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.27%E -3.95%K -53.37%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -14.80%E -1.97%K -2.28%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-30 15:35
William Hill🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51%EV -5.16%E -4.82%K -73.65%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV -14.80%E -1.97%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-30 16:00
TAB🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51%EV -5.16%E -4.82%K -73.65%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV -14.80%E -1.97%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-30 12:51
Caesars🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51%EV -5.16%E -4.82%K -73.65%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV -14.80%E -1.97%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-30 15:46
888sport🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 87.62%EV -6.04%E -5.70%K -100.70%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -14.80%E -1.97%K -2.28%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-30 15:52
888sport (SE)🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 87.62%EV -6.04%E -5.70%K -100.70%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -14.80%E -1.97%K -2.28%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-30 16:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 87.62%EV -6.04%E -5.70%K -100.70%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -14.80%E -1.97%K -2.28%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-30 16:00
PMU (FR)🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 87.72%EV -6.93%E -6.60%K -138.57%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.28%EV -14.80%E -1.97%K -2.28%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-30 09:00
BoyleSports🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -0.724%E -0.646%K -6.03%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -26.16%E -4.02%K -4.76%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-28 16:20
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (8)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Kalshi◎1.09I 91.74%NM 91.07%11.11I 9.00%NM 8.93%0.7%2026-08-30 16:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.09I 91.74%NM 90.98%11.00I 9.09%NM 9.02%0.8%2026-08-30 15:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.09I 91.74%NM 90.98%11.00I 9.09%NM 9.02%0.8%2026-08-30 15:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.09I 91.74%NM 90.98%11.00I 9.09%NM 9.02%0.8%2026-08-30 15:55
Matchbook◎1.09I 91.74%NM 90.98%11.00I 9.09%NM 9.02%0.8%2026-08-30 15:50
ProphetX◎1.09I 91.74%NM 90.35%10.20I 9.80%NM 9.65%1.5%2026-08-30 16:05
Novig◎1.09I 91.74%NM 90.17%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.83%1.7%2026-08-30 16:05
Smarkets◎1.07I 93.46%NM 91.14%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.86%2.5%2026-08-30 16:00