Idioma:Español
Jessica Pegula v Elena Gabriela Ruse
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Jessica Pegula (Local)
Predicción 88.64%1.13momio equitativo
EV -0.724%
Ventaja -0.646%
Kelly -6.03%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.12
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
85.30%88.54%88.72%90.06%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.031.071.071.1297.09%93.22%93.46%89.29%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Elena Gabriela Ruse (Visitante)
Predicción 11.36%8.80momio equitativo
EV +10.20%
Ventaja +1.05%
Kelly +1.17%
Crecimiento +0.120%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 9.70
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
9.94%11.46%11.28%14.70%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
6.508.218.009.7015.38%12.19%12.50%10.31%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Jessica Pegula (Local): 88.64%; Elena Gabriela Ruse (Visitante): 11.36%. Para Elena Gabriela Ruse (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 8.80. 8 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 9.70, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +10.20%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (65 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 90.06%EV -5.16%E -4.82%K -73.65%G +0.000% | 9.70I 10.31%NM 9.94%EV +10.20%E +1.05%K +1.17%G +0.120% | 3.8% | 2026-08-30 14:10 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 90.06%EV -5.16%E -4.82%K -73.65%G +0.000% | 9.70I 10.31%NM 9.94%EV +10.20%E +1.05%K +1.17%G +0.120% | 3.8% | 2026-08-30 14:10 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 89.79%EV -4.27%E -3.95%K -53.37%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.21%EV +7.92%E +0.834%K +0.932%G +0.074% | 3.1% | 2026-08-30 14:54 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 89.41%EV -4.27%E -3.95%K -53.37%G +0.000% | 9.12I 10.96%NM 10.59%EV +3.61%E +0.396%K +0.444%G +0.016% | 3.6% | 2026-08-30 15:20 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 89.29%EV -4.27%E -3.95%K -53.37%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.71%EV +2.24%E +0.249%K +0.281%G +0.006% | 3.7% | 2026-08-30 15:20 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 89.29%EV -4.27%E -3.95%K -53.37%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.71%EV +2.24%E +0.249%K +0.281%G +0.006% | 3.7% | 2026-08-30 13:20 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -5.16%E -4.82%K -73.65%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV +2.24%E +0.249%K +0.281%G +0.006% | 4.6% | 2026-08-30 14:14 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -6.93%E -6.60%K -138.57%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV +2.24%E +0.249%K +0.281%G +0.006% | 6.3% | 2026-08-30 13:20 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.25%EV -6.04%E -5.70%K -100.70%G +0.000% | 8.80I 11.36%NM 10.75%EV -0.028%E -0.003%K -0.004%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-30 15:50 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.10%EV -5.16%E -4.82%K -73.65%G +0.000% | 8.75I 11.43%NM 10.90%EV -0.596%E -0.068%K -0.077%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-30 15:20 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 89.36%EV -8.70%E -8.45%K -290.04%G +0.000% | 8.65I 11.56%NM 10.64%EV -1.73%E -0.200%K -0.226%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-30 16:02 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.84%EV -4.27%E -3.95%K -53.37%G +0.000% | 8.60I 11.63%NM 11.16%EV -2.30%E -0.267%K -0.303%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-30 15:35 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.88%EV -5.16%E -4.82%K -73.65%G +0.000% | 8.55I 11.70%NM 11.12%EV -2.87%E -0.335%K -0.380%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-30 16:04 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.73%EV -4.27%E -3.95%K -53.37%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.27%EV -3.44%E -0.404%K -0.458%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-30 15:36 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.73%EV -4.27%E -3.95%K -53.37%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.27%EV -3.44%E -0.404%K -0.458%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-30 15:36 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -5.16%E -4.82%K -73.65%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -3.44%E -0.404%K -0.458%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-30 15:35 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -5.16%E -4.82%K -73.65%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -3.44%E -0.404%K -0.458%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-30 15:20 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -5.16%E -4.82%K -73.65%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -3.44%E -0.404%K -0.458%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-30 13:55 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -5.16%E -4.82%K -73.65%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -3.44%E -0.404%K -0.458%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-30 13:55 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -5.16%E -4.82%K -73.65%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -3.44%E -0.404%K -0.458%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-30 14:15 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.01%EV -6.93%E -6.60%K -138.57%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.99%EV -3.44%E -0.404%K -0.458%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-30 15:20 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 88.31%EV -0.724%E -0.646%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 8.46I 11.82%NM 11.69%EV -3.89%E -0.460%K -0.522%G +0.000% | 1.1% | 2026-08-30 14:55 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.76%EV -5.16%E -4.82%K -73.65%G +0.000% | 8.45I 11.83%NM 11.24%EV -4.00%E -0.474%K -0.537%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-30 14:05 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.72%EV -6.04%E -5.70%K -100.70%G +0.000% | 8.34I 11.99%NM 11.28%EV -5.25%E -0.630%K -0.716%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-30 15:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.72%EV -6.04%E -5.70%K -100.70%G +0.000% | 8.34I 11.99%NM 11.28%EV -5.25%E -0.630%K -0.716%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-30 15:00 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.58%EV -5.16%E -4.82%K -73.65%G +0.000% | 8.30I 12.05%NM 11.42%EV -5.71%E -0.688%K -0.782%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-30 16:05 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.58%EV -5.16%E -4.82%K -73.65%G +0.000% | 8.30I 12.05%NM 11.42%EV -5.71%E -0.688%K -0.782%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-30 16:04 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.52%EV -5.16%E -4.82%K -73.65%G +0.000% | 8.25I 12.12%NM 11.48%EV -6.28%E -0.761%K -0.866%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-30 16:05 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.43%EV -6.04%E -5.70%K -100.70%G +0.000% | 8.10I 12.35%NM 11.57%EV -7.98%E -0.985%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-30 15:35 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.27%E -3.95%K -53.37%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -9.12%E -1.14%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-30 09:05 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.27%E -3.95%K -53.37%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -9.12%E -1.14%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-30 09:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.27%E -3.95%K -53.37%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -9.12%E -1.14%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-30 09:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.27%E -3.95%K -53.37%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -9.12%E -1.14%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-30 09:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.27%E -3.95%K -53.37%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -9.12%E -1.14%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-30 09:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.27%E -3.95%K -53.37%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -9.12%E -1.14%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-30 09:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.27%E -3.95%K -53.37%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -9.12%E -1.14%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-30 09:05 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.27%E -3.95%K -53.37%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -9.12%E -1.14%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-30 09:00 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.27%E -3.95%K -53.37%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -9.12%E -1.14%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-30 09:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.27%E -3.95%K -53.37%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -9.12%E -1.14%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-30 09:00 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.27%E -3.95%K -53.37%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -9.12%E -1.14%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-30 09:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.27%E -3.95%K -53.37%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -9.12%E -1.14%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-30 09:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.27%E -3.95%K -53.37%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -9.12%E -1.14%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-30 09:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.27%E -3.95%K -53.37%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -9.12%E -1.14%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-30 09:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.27%E -3.95%K -53.37%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -9.12%E -1.14%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-30 09:05 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.27%E -3.95%K -53.37%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -9.12%E -1.14%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-30 12:19 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.27%E -3.95%K -53.37%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -9.12%E -1.14%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-30 15:50 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -5.16%E -4.82%K -73.65%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -9.12%E -1.14%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-30 13:50 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -5.16%E -4.82%K -73.65%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -9.12%E -1.14%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-30 13:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -5.16%E -4.82%K -73.65%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -9.12%E -1.14%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-30 14:55 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -5.16%E -4.82%K -73.65%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -9.12%E -1.14%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-30 15:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -5.16%E -4.82%K -73.65%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -9.12%E -1.14%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-30 15:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -5.16%E -4.82%K -73.65%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -9.12%E -1.14%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-30 15:00 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -6.04%E -5.70%K -100.70%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -9.12%E -1.14%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-30 14:15 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 87.87%EV -5.16%E -4.82%K -73.65%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 12.13%EV -11.96%E -1.54%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-30 15:50 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 87.87%EV -5.16%E -4.82%K -73.65%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 12.13%EV -11.96%E -1.54%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-30 15:00 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.27%E -3.95%K -53.37%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -14.80%E -1.97%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-30 14:10 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.27%E -3.95%K -53.37%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -14.80%E -1.97%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-30 15:35 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51%EV -5.16%E -4.82%K -73.65%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV -14.80%E -1.97%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-30 16:00 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51%EV -5.16%E -4.82%K -73.65%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV -14.80%E -1.97%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-30 12:51 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51%EV -5.16%E -4.82%K -73.65%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV -14.80%E -1.97%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-30 15:46 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 87.62%EV -6.04%E -5.70%K -100.70%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -14.80%E -1.97%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-30 15:52 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 87.62%EV -6.04%E -5.70%K -100.70%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -14.80%E -1.97%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-30 16:00 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 87.62%EV -6.04%E -5.70%K -100.70%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -14.80%E -1.97%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-30 16:00 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 87.72%EV -6.93%E -6.60%K -138.57%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.28%EV -14.80%E -1.97%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-30 09:00 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -0.724%E -0.646%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -26.16%E -4.02%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-28 16:20 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (8)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 1.09I 91.74%NM 91.07% | 11.11I 9.00%NM 8.93% | 0.7% | 2026-08-30 16:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.09I 91.74%NM 90.98% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 9.02% | 0.8% | 2026-08-30 15:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.09I 91.74%NM 90.98% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 9.02% | 0.8% | 2026-08-30 15:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.09I 91.74%NM 90.98% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 9.02% | 0.8% | 2026-08-30 15:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.09I 91.74%NM 90.98% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 9.02% | 0.8% | 2026-08-30 15:50 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.09I 91.74%NM 90.35% | 10.20I 9.80%NM 9.65% | 1.5% | 2026-08-30 16:05 |
| Novig◎ | 1.09I 91.74%NM 90.17% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.83% | 1.7% | 2026-08-30 16:05 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.07I 93.46%NM 91.14% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.86% | 2.5% | 2026-08-30 16:00 |