Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Jessica Pegula v Elena Gabriela Ruse

Início: 2026-08-30 16:08 UTC

Final: Jessica Pegula 2–0 Elena Gabriela Ruse

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

65 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Jessica Pegula (Local)

Previsão 88.64%1.13odd justa
EV -0.724%
Vantagem -0.646%
Kelly -6.03%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.12

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
85.30%88.54%88.72%90.06%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.031.071.071.1297.09%93.22%93.46%89.29%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Elena Gabriela Ruse (Visitante)

Previsão 11.36%8.80odd justa
EV +10.20%
Vantagem +1.05%
Kelly +1.17%
Crescimento +0.120%

pressupondo odds máximas de 9.70

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
9.94%11.46%11.28%14.70%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
6.508.218.009.7015.38%12.19%12.50%10.31%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Jessica Pegula (Local): 88.64%; Elena Gabriela Ruse (Visitante): 11.36%. Para Elena Gabriela Ruse (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 8.80. 8 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 9.70, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +10.20%.

Odds das casas de apostas (65 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
LowVig.ag🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 90.06%EV -5.16%E -4.82%K -73.65%G +0.000%9.70I 10.31%NM 9.94%EV +10.20%E +1.05%K +1.17%G +0.120%3.8%2026-08-30 14:10
BetOnline.ag🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 90.06%EV -5.16%E -4.82%K -73.65%G +0.000%9.70I 10.31%NM 9.94%EV +10.20%E +1.05%K +1.17%G +0.120%3.8%2026-08-30 14:10
Coolbet🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 89.79%EV -4.27%E -3.95%K -53.37%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.21%EV +7.92%E +0.834%K +0.932%G +0.074%3.1%2026-08-30 14:54
Pinnacle🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 89.41%EV -4.27%E -3.95%K -53.37%G +0.000%9.12I 10.96%NM 10.59%EV +3.61%E +0.396%K +0.444%G +0.016%3.6%2026-08-30 15:20
ReBet🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 89.29%EV -4.27%E -3.95%K -53.37%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.71%EV +2.24%E +0.249%K +0.281%G +0.006%3.7%2026-08-30 15:20
Winamax (DE)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 89.29%EV -4.27%E -3.95%K -53.37%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.71%EV +2.24%E +0.249%K +0.281%G +0.006%3.7%2026-08-30 13:20
Betway🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -5.16%E -4.82%K -73.65%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV +2.24%E +0.249%K +0.281%G +0.006%4.6%2026-08-30 14:14
Tipico (DE)🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -6.93%E -6.60%K -138.57%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV +2.24%E +0.249%K +0.281%G +0.006%6.3%2026-08-30 13:20
Betclic (FR)🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 89.25%EV -6.04%E -5.70%K -100.70%G +0.000%8.80I 11.36%NM 10.75%EV -0.028%E -0.003%K -0.004%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-30 15:50
Bovada🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 89.10%EV -5.16%E -4.82%K -73.65%G +0.000%8.75I 11.43%NM 10.90%EV -0.596%E -0.068%K -0.077%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-30 15:20
Fliff🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 89.36%EV -8.70%E -8.45%K -290.04%G +0.000%8.65I 11.56%NM 10.64%EV -1.73%E -0.200%K -0.226%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-30 16:02
FanDuel🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.84%EV -4.27%E -3.95%K -53.37%G +0.000%8.60I 11.63%NM 11.16%EV -2.30%E -0.267%K -0.303%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-30 15:35
1xBet🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 88.88%EV -5.16%E -4.82%K -73.65%G +0.000%8.55I 11.70%NM 11.12%EV -2.87%E -0.335%K -0.380%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-30 16:04
Paddy Power🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.73%EV -4.27%E -3.95%K -53.37%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.27%EV -3.44%E -0.404%K -0.458%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-30 15:36
Sky Bet🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.73%EV -4.27%E -3.95%K -53.37%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.27%EV -3.44%E -0.404%K -0.458%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-30 15:36
SportsBet🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -5.16%E -4.82%K -73.65%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -3.44%E -0.404%K -0.458%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-30 15:35
MyBookie.ag🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -5.16%E -4.82%K -73.65%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -3.44%E -0.404%K -0.458%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-30 15:20
Unibet (UK)🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -5.16%E -4.82%K -73.65%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -3.44%E -0.404%K -0.458%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-30 13:55
Winamax (FR)🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -5.16%E -4.82%K -73.65%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -3.44%E -0.404%K -0.458%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-30 13:55
Bet Right🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -5.16%E -4.82%K -73.65%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -3.44%E -0.404%K -0.458%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-30 14:15
NetBet (FR)🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 89.01%EV -6.93%E -6.60%K -138.57%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.99%EV -3.44%E -0.404%K -0.458%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-30 15:20
GTbets🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 88.31%EV -0.724%E -0.646%K -6.03%G +0.000%8.46I 11.82%NM 11.69%EV -3.89%E -0.460%K -0.522%G +0.000%1.1%2026-08-30 14:55
BetAnything🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 88.76%EV -5.16%E -4.82%K -73.65%G +0.000%8.45I 11.83%NM 11.24%EV -4.00%E -0.474%K -0.537%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-30 14:05
Betsson🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 88.72%EV -6.04%E -5.70%K -100.70%G +0.000%8.34I 11.99%NM 11.28%EV -5.25%E -0.630%K -0.716%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-30 15:00
NordicBet🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 88.72%EV -6.04%E -5.70%K -100.70%G +0.000%8.34I 11.99%NM 11.28%EV -5.25%E -0.630%K -0.716%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-30 15:00
Marathon Bet🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 88.58%EV -5.16%E -4.82%K -73.65%G +0.000%8.30I 12.05%NM 11.42%EV -5.71%E -0.688%K -0.782%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-30 16:05
DraftKings🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 88.58%EV -5.16%E -4.82%K -73.65%G +0.000%8.30I 12.05%NM 11.42%EV -5.71%E -0.688%K -0.782%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-30 16:04
LeoVegas🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 88.52%EV -5.16%E -4.82%K -73.65%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.48%EV -6.28%E -0.761%K -0.866%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-30 16:05
Unibet (FR)🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 88.43%EV -6.04%E -5.70%K -100.70%G +0.000%8.10I 12.35%NM 11.57%EV -7.98%E -0.985%K -1.12%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-30 15:35
BetRivers🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.27%E -3.95%K -53.37%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -9.12%E -1.14%K -1.30%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-30 09:05
ATG (SE)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.27%E -3.95%K -53.37%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -9.12%E -1.14%K -1.30%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-30 09:00
Svenska Spel🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.27%E -3.95%K -53.37%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -9.12%E -1.14%K -1.30%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-30 09:00
Grosvenor🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.27%E -3.95%K -53.37%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -9.12%E -1.14%K -1.30%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-30 09:00
Casumo🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.27%E -3.95%K -53.37%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -9.12%E -1.14%K -1.30%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-30 09:00
Virgin Bet🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.27%E -3.95%K -53.37%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -9.12%E -1.14%K -1.30%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-30 09:00
betPARX🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.27%E -3.95%K -53.37%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -9.12%E -1.14%K -1.30%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-30 09:05
LiveScore Bet🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.27%E -3.95%K -53.37%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -9.12%E -1.14%K -1.30%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-30 09:00
Bally Bet🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.27%E -3.95%K -53.37%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -9.12%E -1.14%K -1.30%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-30 09:00
Unibet (NL)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.27%E -3.95%K -53.37%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -9.12%E -1.14%K -1.30%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-30 09:00
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.27%E -3.95%K -53.37%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -9.12%E -1.14%K -1.30%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-30 09:00
TABtouch🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.27%E -3.95%K -53.37%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -9.12%E -1.14%K -1.30%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-30 09:00
Unibet🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.27%E -3.95%K -53.37%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -9.12%E -1.14%K -1.30%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-30 09:00
Unibet (SE)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.27%E -3.95%K -53.37%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -9.12%E -1.14%K -1.30%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-30 09:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.27%E -3.95%K -53.37%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -9.12%E -1.14%K -1.30%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-30 09:05
betano_uk🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.27%E -3.95%K -53.37%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -9.12%E -1.14%K -1.30%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-30 12:19
Fanatics🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.27%E -3.95%K -53.37%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -9.12%E -1.14%K -1.30%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-30 15:50
Betr (AU)🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -5.16%E -4.82%K -73.65%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -9.12%E -1.14%K -1.30%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-30 13:50
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -5.16%E -4.82%K -73.65%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -9.12%E -1.14%K -1.30%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-30 13:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -5.16%E -4.82%K -73.65%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -9.12%E -1.14%K -1.30%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-30 14:55
Neds🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -5.16%E -4.82%K -73.65%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -9.12%E -1.14%K -1.30%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-30 15:00
Coral🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -5.16%E -4.82%K -73.65%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -9.12%E -1.14%K -1.30%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-30 15:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -5.16%E -4.82%K -73.65%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -9.12%E -1.14%K -1.30%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-30 15:00
betfred_uk🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -6.04%E -5.70%K -100.70%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -9.12%E -1.14%K -1.30%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-30 14:15
theScore Bet🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 87.87%EV -5.16%E -4.82%K -73.65%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.13%EV -11.96%E -1.54%K -1.77%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-30 15:50
BetMGM🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 87.87%EV -5.16%E -4.82%K -73.65%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.13%EV -11.96%E -1.54%K -1.77%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-30 15:00
PlayUp🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.27%E -3.95%K -53.37%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -14.80%E -1.97%K -2.28%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-30 14:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.27%E -3.95%K -53.37%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -14.80%E -1.97%K -2.28%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-30 15:35
William Hill🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51%EV -5.16%E -4.82%K -73.65%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV -14.80%E -1.97%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-30 16:00
TAB🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51%EV -5.16%E -4.82%K -73.65%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV -14.80%E -1.97%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-30 12:51
Caesars🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51%EV -5.16%E -4.82%K -73.65%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV -14.80%E -1.97%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-30 15:46
888sport🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 87.62%EV -6.04%E -5.70%K -100.70%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -14.80%E -1.97%K -2.28%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-30 15:52
888sport (SE)🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 87.62%EV -6.04%E -5.70%K -100.70%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -14.80%E -1.97%K -2.28%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-30 16:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 87.62%EV -6.04%E -5.70%K -100.70%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -14.80%E -1.97%K -2.28%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-30 16:00
PMU (FR)🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 87.72%EV -6.93%E -6.60%K -138.57%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.28%EV -14.80%E -1.97%K -2.28%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-30 09:00
BoyleSports🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -0.724%E -0.646%K -6.03%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -26.16%E -4.02%K -4.76%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-28 16:20
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (8)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Kalshi◎1.09I 91.74%NM 91.07%11.11I 9.00%NM 8.93%0.7%2026-08-30 16:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.09I 91.74%NM 90.98%11.00I 9.09%NM 9.02%0.8%2026-08-30 15:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.09I 91.74%NM 90.98%11.00I 9.09%NM 9.02%0.8%2026-08-30 15:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.09I 91.74%NM 90.98%11.00I 9.09%NM 9.02%0.8%2026-08-30 15:55
Matchbook◎1.09I 91.74%NM 90.98%11.00I 9.09%NM 9.02%0.8%2026-08-30 15:50
ProphetX◎1.09I 91.74%NM 90.35%10.20I 9.80%NM 9.65%1.5%2026-08-30 16:05
Novig◎1.09I 91.74%NM 90.17%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.83%1.7%2026-08-30 16:05
Smarkets◎1.07I 93.46%NM 91.14%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.86%2.5%2026-08-30 16:00