Language:English
Iga Swiatek v Xiyu Wang
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Iga Swiatek (Local)
Prediction 90.25%1.11fair odd
EV -2.53%
Edge -2.35%
Kelly -31.67%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.08
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
87.70%90.17%90.14%92.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.021.061.061.0898.04%94.59%94.34%92.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Xiyu Wang (Visit)
Prediction 9.75%10.25fair odd
EV +21.92%
Edge +1.75%
Kelly +1.91%
Growth +0.418%
assuming max odds 12.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
7.68%9.83%9.86%12.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
7.709.459.3512.5012.99%10.59%10.70%8.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Iga Swiatek (Local): 90.25%; Xiyu Wang (Visit): 9.75%. For Xiyu Wang (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 10.25. 12 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 12.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +21.92%.
Sportsbook Odds (65 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.32%EV -6.14%E -5.91%K -153.58%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.68%EV +21.92%E +1.75%K +1.91%G +0.418% | 4.2% | 2026-08-31 14:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.32%EV -6.14%E -5.91%K -153.58%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.68%EV +21.92%E +1.75%K +1.91%G +0.418% | 4.2% | 2026-08-31 14:50 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 91.94%EV -5.24%E -4.99%K -104.82%G +0.000% | 11.97I 8.35%NM 8.06%EV +16.75%E +1.40%K +1.53%G +0.256% | 3.6% | 2026-08-31 22:20 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 91.21%EV -4.34%E -4.09%K -72.31%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.79%EV +7.29%E +0.662%K +0.729%G +0.053% | 3.4% | 2026-08-31 21:45 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -5.24%E -4.99%K -104.82%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV +7.29%E +0.662%K +0.729%G +0.053% | 4.3% | 2026-08-31 12:30 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -5.24%E -4.99%K -104.82%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV +7.29%E +0.662%K +0.729%G +0.053% | 4.3% | 2026-08-31 12:30 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -5.24%E -4.99%K -104.82%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV +7.29%E +0.662%K +0.729%G +0.053% | 4.3% | 2026-08-31 12:30 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -6.14%E -5.91%K -153.58%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV +7.29%E +0.662%K +0.729%G +0.053% | 5.2% | 2026-08-31 12:30 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 91.10%EV -5.24%E -4.99%K -104.82%G +0.000% | 10.75I 9.30%NM 8.90%EV +4.85%E +0.451%K +0.497%G +0.024% | 4.5% | 2026-08-31 22:49 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 90.75%EV -3.44%E -3.21%K -49.08%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.25%EV +2.41%E +0.229%K +0.254%G +0.006% | 3.0% | 2026-08-31 14:50 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.83%EV -4.34%E -4.09%K -72.31%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.17%EV +2.41%E +0.229%K +0.254%G +0.006% | 3.9% | 2026-08-31 15:00 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 91.15%EV -7.95%E -7.79%K -397.41%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.85%EV +2.41%E +0.229%K +0.254%G +0.006% | 7.6% | 2026-08-31 21:10 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -4.34%E -4.09%K -72.31%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV -2.47%E -0.247%K -0.274%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-31 14:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -4.34%E -4.09%K -72.31%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV -2.47%E -0.247%K -0.274%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-31 14:05 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -5.24%E -4.99%K -104.82%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -2.47%E -0.247%K -0.274%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-31 20:00 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -6.14%E -5.91%K -153.58%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -2.47%E -0.247%K -0.274%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-31 22:45 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -6.14%E -5.91%K -153.58%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -2.47%E -0.247%K -0.274%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-31 22:45 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -6.14%E -5.91%K -153.58%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -2.47%E -0.247%K -0.274%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-31 22:45 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -6.14%E -5.91%K -153.58%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -2.47%E -0.247%K -0.274%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-31 22:45 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -6.14%E -5.91%K -153.58%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -2.47%E -0.247%K -0.274%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-31 06:45 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.33%EV -4.34%E -4.09%K -72.31%G +0.000% | 9.90I 10.10%NM 9.67%EV -3.44%E -0.348%K -0.387%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-31 21:00 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.19%EV -4.34%E -4.09%K -72.31%G +0.000% | 9.75I 10.26%NM 9.81%EV -4.91%E -0.503%K -0.561%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-31 21:45 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.28%EV -5.24%E -4.99%K -104.82%G +0.000% | 9.75I 10.26%NM 9.72%EV -4.91%E -0.503%K -0.561%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-31 14:05 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.28%EV -5.24%E -4.99%K -104.82%G +0.000% | 9.75I 10.26%NM 9.72%EV -4.91%E -0.503%K -0.561%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-31 14:05 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.14%EV -5.24%E -4.99%K -104.82%G +0.000% | 9.60I 10.42%NM 9.86%EV -6.37%E -0.663%K -0.741%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-31 18:00 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -4.34%E -4.09%K -72.31%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -7.34%E -0.773%K -0.864%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-31 21:05 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -4.34%E -4.09%K -72.31%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -7.34%E -0.773%K -0.864%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-31 22:45 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -4.34%E -4.09%K -72.31%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -7.34%E -0.773%K -0.864%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-31 16:05 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -4.34%E -4.09%K -72.31%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -7.34%E -0.773%K -0.864%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-31 14:50 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -4.34%E -4.09%K -72.31%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -7.34%E -0.773%K -0.864%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-31 14:55 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -5.24%E -4.99%K -104.82%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV -7.34%E -0.773%K -0.864%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-31 22:55 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.93%EV -4.34%E -4.09%K -72.31%G +0.000% | 9.47I 10.56%NM 10.07%EV -7.64%E -0.806%K -0.902%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-31 22:55 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 89.99%EV -6.14%E -5.91%K -153.58%G +0.000% | 9.35I 10.70%NM 10.01%EV -8.81%E -0.942%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-31 22:55 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.77%EV -4.34%E -4.09%K -72.31%G +0.000% | 9.30I 10.75%NM 10.23%EV -9.30%E -0.999%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-31 15:00 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.77%EV -4.34%E -4.09%K -72.31%G +0.000% | 9.30I 10.75%NM 10.23%EV -9.30%E -0.999%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-31 14:59 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.81%EV -5.24%E -4.99%K -104.82%G +0.000% | 9.25I 10.81%NM 10.19%EV -9.78%E -1.06%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-31 15:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.62%EV -5.24%E -4.99%K -104.82%G +0.000% | 9.07I 11.03%NM 10.38%EV -11.54%E -1.27%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-31 17:20 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.62%EV -5.24%E -4.99%K -104.82%G +0.000% | 9.07I 11.03%NM 10.38%EV -11.54%E -1.27%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-31 17:20 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -5.24%E -4.99%K -104.82%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -12.22%E -1.36%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-31 14:55 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -5.24%E -4.99%K -104.82%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -12.22%E -1.36%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-31 14:05 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -5.24%E -4.99%K -104.82%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -12.22%E -1.36%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-31 21:25 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 89.64%EV -6.14%E -5.91%K -153.58%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV -12.22%E -1.36%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-31 14:50 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.10%EV -3.44%E -3.21%K -49.08%G +0.000% | 8.75I 11.43%NM 10.90%EV -14.66%E -1.68%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-31 22:55 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -3.44%E -3.21%K -49.08%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -17.10%E -2.01%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-31 14:55 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -3.44%E -3.21%K -49.08%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -17.10%E -2.01%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-31 14:55 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -3.44%E -3.21%K -49.08%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -17.10%E -2.01%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-31 14:55 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -3.44%E -3.21%K -49.08%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -17.10%E -2.01%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-31 14:55 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -3.44%E -3.21%K -49.08%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -17.10%E -2.01%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-31 14:55 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -3.44%E -3.21%K -49.08%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -17.10%E -2.01%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-31 14:55 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -3.44%E -3.21%K -49.08%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -17.10%E -2.01%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-31 14:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -3.44%E -3.21%K -49.08%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -17.10%E -2.01%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-31 14:55 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -3.44%E -3.21%K -49.08%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -17.10%E -2.01%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-31 14:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -3.44%E -3.21%K -49.08%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -17.10%E -2.01%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-31 14:55 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -3.44%E -3.21%K -49.08%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -17.10%E -2.01%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-31 14:55 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -3.44%E -3.21%K -49.08%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -17.10%E -2.01%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-31 14:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -3.44%E -3.21%K -49.08%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -17.10%E -2.01%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-31 14:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -3.44%E -3.21%K -49.08%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -17.10%E -2.01%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-31 14:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -3.44%E -3.21%K -49.08%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -17.10%E -2.01%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-31 14:55 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -3.44%E -3.21%K -49.08%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -17.10%E -2.01%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-31 22:55 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.76%EV -3.44%E -3.21%K -49.08%G +0.000% | 8.45I 11.83%NM 11.24%EV -17.59%E -2.08%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-31 22:55 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.52%EV -3.44%E -3.21%K -49.08%G +0.000% | 8.25I 12.12%NM 11.48%EV -19.54%E -2.37%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-31 14:05 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -4.34%E -4.09%K -72.31%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -21.97%E -2.75%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-31 14:55 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -4.34%E -4.09%K -72.31%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -21.97%E -2.75%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-31 05:25 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -4.34%E -4.09%K -72.31%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -21.97%E -2.75%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-28 14:51 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.70%EV -2.53%E -2.35%K -31.67%G +0.000% | 7.70I 12.99%NM 12.30%EV -24.90%E -3.23%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-31 15:40 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.07I 93.46%NM 92.90% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 7.10% | 0.6% | 2026-08-31 22:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.07I 93.46%NM 92.90% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 7.10% | 0.6% | 2026-08-31 22:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.07I 93.46%NM 92.90% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 7.10% | 0.6% | 2026-08-31 22:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.07I 93.46%NM 92.90% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 7.10% | 0.6% | 2026-08-31 22:50 |
| Novig◎ | 1.07I 93.46%NM 92.57% | 13.33I 7.50%NM 7.43% | 1.0% | 2026-08-31 22:40 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.07I 93.46%NM 92.40% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.60% | 1.2% | 2026-08-31 22:50 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.06I 94.34%NM 92.72% | 13.50I 7.41%NM 7.28% | 1.7% | 2026-08-31 22:40 |