Idioma:Español
Iga Swiatek v Xiyu Wang
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Iga Swiatek (Local)
Predicción 90.25%1.11momio equitativo
EV -2.53%
Ventaja -2.35%
Kelly -31.67%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.08
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
87.70%90.17%90.14%92.32%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.021.061.061.0898.04%94.59%94.34%92.59%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Xiyu Wang (Visitante)
Predicción 9.75%10.25momio equitativo
EV +21.92%
Ventaja +1.75%
Kelly +1.91%
Crecimiento +0.418%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 12.50
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
7.68%9.83%9.86%12.30%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
7.709.459.3512.5012.99%10.59%10.70%8.00%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Iga Swiatek (Local): 90.25%; Xiyu Wang (Visitante): 9.75%. Para Xiyu Wang (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 10.25. 12 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 12.50, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +21.92%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (65 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.32%EV -6.14%E -5.91%K -153.58%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.68%EV +21.92%E +1.75%K +1.91%G +0.418% | 4.2% | 2026-08-31 14:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.32%EV -6.14%E -5.91%K -153.58%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.68%EV +21.92%E +1.75%K +1.91%G +0.418% | 4.2% | 2026-08-31 14:50 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 91.94%EV -5.24%E -4.99%K -104.82%G +0.000% | 11.97I 8.35%NM 8.06%EV +16.75%E +1.40%K +1.53%G +0.256% | 3.6% | 2026-08-31 22:20 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 91.21%EV -4.34%E -4.09%K -72.31%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.79%EV +7.29%E +0.662%K +0.729%G +0.053% | 3.4% | 2026-08-31 21:45 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -5.24%E -4.99%K -104.82%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV +7.29%E +0.662%K +0.729%G +0.053% | 4.3% | 2026-08-31 12:30 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -5.24%E -4.99%K -104.82%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV +7.29%E +0.662%K +0.729%G +0.053% | 4.3% | 2026-08-31 12:30 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -5.24%E -4.99%K -104.82%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV +7.29%E +0.662%K +0.729%G +0.053% | 4.3% | 2026-08-31 12:30 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -6.14%E -5.91%K -153.58%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV +7.29%E +0.662%K +0.729%G +0.053% | 5.2% | 2026-08-31 12:30 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 91.10%EV -5.24%E -4.99%K -104.82%G +0.000% | 10.75I 9.30%NM 8.90%EV +4.85%E +0.451%K +0.497%G +0.024% | 4.5% | 2026-08-31 22:49 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 90.75%EV -3.44%E -3.21%K -49.08%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.25%EV +2.41%E +0.229%K +0.254%G +0.006% | 3.0% | 2026-08-31 14:50 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.83%EV -4.34%E -4.09%K -72.31%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.17%EV +2.41%E +0.229%K +0.254%G +0.006% | 3.9% | 2026-08-31 15:00 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 91.15%EV -7.95%E -7.79%K -397.41%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.85%EV +2.41%E +0.229%K +0.254%G +0.006% | 7.6% | 2026-08-31 21:10 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -4.34%E -4.09%K -72.31%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV -2.47%E -0.247%K -0.274%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-31 14:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -4.34%E -4.09%K -72.31%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV -2.47%E -0.247%K -0.274%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-31 14:05 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -5.24%E -4.99%K -104.82%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -2.47%E -0.247%K -0.274%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-31 20:00 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -6.14%E -5.91%K -153.58%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -2.47%E -0.247%K -0.274%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-31 22:45 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -6.14%E -5.91%K -153.58%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -2.47%E -0.247%K -0.274%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-31 22:45 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -6.14%E -5.91%K -153.58%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -2.47%E -0.247%K -0.274%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-31 22:45 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -6.14%E -5.91%K -153.58%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -2.47%E -0.247%K -0.274%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-31 22:45 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -6.14%E -5.91%K -153.58%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -2.47%E -0.247%K -0.274%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-31 06:45 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.33%EV -4.34%E -4.09%K -72.31%G +0.000% | 9.90I 10.10%NM 9.67%EV -3.44%E -0.348%K -0.387%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-31 21:00 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.19%EV -4.34%E -4.09%K -72.31%G +0.000% | 9.75I 10.26%NM 9.81%EV -4.91%E -0.503%K -0.561%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-31 21:45 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.28%EV -5.24%E -4.99%K -104.82%G +0.000% | 9.75I 10.26%NM 9.72%EV -4.91%E -0.503%K -0.561%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-31 14:05 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.28%EV -5.24%E -4.99%K -104.82%G +0.000% | 9.75I 10.26%NM 9.72%EV -4.91%E -0.503%K -0.561%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-31 14:05 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.14%EV -5.24%E -4.99%K -104.82%G +0.000% | 9.60I 10.42%NM 9.86%EV -6.37%E -0.663%K -0.741%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-31 18:00 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -4.34%E -4.09%K -72.31%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -7.34%E -0.773%K -0.864%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-31 21:05 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -4.34%E -4.09%K -72.31%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -7.34%E -0.773%K -0.864%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-31 22:45 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -4.34%E -4.09%K -72.31%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -7.34%E -0.773%K -0.864%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-31 16:05 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -4.34%E -4.09%K -72.31%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -7.34%E -0.773%K -0.864%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-31 14:50 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -4.34%E -4.09%K -72.31%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -7.34%E -0.773%K -0.864%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-31 14:55 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -5.24%E -4.99%K -104.82%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV -7.34%E -0.773%K -0.864%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-31 22:55 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.93%EV -4.34%E -4.09%K -72.31%G +0.000% | 9.47I 10.56%NM 10.07%EV -7.64%E -0.806%K -0.902%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-31 22:55 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 89.99%EV -6.14%E -5.91%K -153.58%G +0.000% | 9.35I 10.70%NM 10.01%EV -8.81%E -0.942%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-31 22:55 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.77%EV -4.34%E -4.09%K -72.31%G +0.000% | 9.30I 10.75%NM 10.23%EV -9.30%E -0.999%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-31 15:00 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.77%EV -4.34%E -4.09%K -72.31%G +0.000% | 9.30I 10.75%NM 10.23%EV -9.30%E -0.999%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-31 14:59 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.81%EV -5.24%E -4.99%K -104.82%G +0.000% | 9.25I 10.81%NM 10.19%EV -9.78%E -1.06%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-31 15:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.62%EV -5.24%E -4.99%K -104.82%G +0.000% | 9.07I 11.03%NM 10.38%EV -11.54%E -1.27%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-31 17:20 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.62%EV -5.24%E -4.99%K -104.82%G +0.000% | 9.07I 11.03%NM 10.38%EV -11.54%E -1.27%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-31 17:20 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -5.24%E -4.99%K -104.82%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -12.22%E -1.36%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-31 14:55 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -5.24%E -4.99%K -104.82%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -12.22%E -1.36%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-31 14:05 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -5.24%E -4.99%K -104.82%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -12.22%E -1.36%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-31 21:25 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 89.64%EV -6.14%E -5.91%K -153.58%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV -12.22%E -1.36%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-31 14:50 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.10%EV -3.44%E -3.21%K -49.08%G +0.000% | 8.75I 11.43%NM 10.90%EV -14.66%E -1.68%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-31 22:55 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -3.44%E -3.21%K -49.08%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -17.10%E -2.01%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-31 14:55 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -3.44%E -3.21%K -49.08%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -17.10%E -2.01%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-31 14:55 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -3.44%E -3.21%K -49.08%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -17.10%E -2.01%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-31 14:55 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -3.44%E -3.21%K -49.08%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -17.10%E -2.01%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-31 14:55 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -3.44%E -3.21%K -49.08%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -17.10%E -2.01%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-31 14:55 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -3.44%E -3.21%K -49.08%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -17.10%E -2.01%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-31 14:55 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -3.44%E -3.21%K -49.08%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -17.10%E -2.01%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-31 14:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -3.44%E -3.21%K -49.08%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -17.10%E -2.01%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-31 14:55 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -3.44%E -3.21%K -49.08%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -17.10%E -2.01%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-31 14:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -3.44%E -3.21%K -49.08%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -17.10%E -2.01%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-31 14:55 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -3.44%E -3.21%K -49.08%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -17.10%E -2.01%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-31 14:55 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -3.44%E -3.21%K -49.08%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -17.10%E -2.01%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-31 14:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -3.44%E -3.21%K -49.08%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -17.10%E -2.01%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-31 14:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -3.44%E -3.21%K -49.08%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -17.10%E -2.01%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-31 14:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -3.44%E -3.21%K -49.08%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -17.10%E -2.01%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-31 14:55 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -3.44%E -3.21%K -49.08%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -17.10%E -2.01%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-31 22:55 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.76%EV -3.44%E -3.21%K -49.08%G +0.000% | 8.45I 11.83%NM 11.24%EV -17.59%E -2.08%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-31 22:55 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.52%EV -3.44%E -3.21%K -49.08%G +0.000% | 8.25I 12.12%NM 11.48%EV -19.54%E -2.37%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-31 14:05 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -4.34%E -4.09%K -72.31%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -21.97%E -2.75%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-31 14:55 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -4.34%E -4.09%K -72.31%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -21.97%E -2.75%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-31 05:25 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -4.34%E -4.09%K -72.31%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -21.97%E -2.75%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-28 14:51 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.70%EV -2.53%E -2.35%K -31.67%G +0.000% | 7.70I 12.99%NM 12.30%EV -24.90%E -3.23%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-31 15:40 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (7)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.07I 93.46%NM 92.90% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 7.10% | 0.6% | 2026-08-31 22:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.07I 93.46%NM 92.90% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 7.10% | 0.6% | 2026-08-31 22:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.07I 93.46%NM 92.90% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 7.10% | 0.6% | 2026-08-31 22:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.07I 93.46%NM 92.90% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 7.10% | 0.6% | 2026-08-31 22:50 |
| Novig◎ | 1.07I 93.46%NM 92.57% | 13.33I 7.50%NM 7.43% | 1.0% | 2026-08-31 22:40 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.07I 93.46%NM 92.40% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.60% | 1.2% | 2026-08-31 22:50 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.06I 94.34%NM 92.72% | 13.50I 7.41%NM 7.28% | 1.7% | 2026-08-31 22:40 |