语言:简体中文
Iga Swiatek v Xiyu Wang
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Iga Swiatek (主队)
预测 90.25%1.11公平赔率
EV -2.53%
优势 -2.35%
Kelly -31.67%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.08
博彩公司预测分布
87.70%90.17%90.14%92.32%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.021.061.061.0898.04%94.59%94.34%92.59%最小值均值中位数最大值
Xiyu Wang (客队)
预测 9.75%10.25公平赔率
EV +21.92%
优势 +1.75%
Kelly +1.91%
增长率 +0.418%
假设最高赔率为 12.50
博彩公司预测分布
7.68%9.83%9.86%12.30%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
7.709.459.3512.5012.99%10.59%10.70%8.00%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Iga Swiatek (主队)：90.25%；Xiyu Wang (客队)：9.75%。 对于“Xiyu Wang (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为10.25。 当时有12家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为12.50，对应+21.92%的正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (65 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 ▼ | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.32%EV -6.14%E -5.91%K -153.58%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.68%EV +21.92%E +1.75%K +1.91%G +0.418% | 4.2% | 2026-08-31 14:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.32%EV -6.14%E -5.91%K -153.58%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.68%EV +21.92%E +1.75%K +1.91%G +0.418% | 4.2% | 2026-08-31 14:50 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 91.94%EV -5.24%E -4.99%K -104.82%G +0.000% | 11.97I 8.35%NM 8.06%EV +16.75%E +1.40%K +1.53%G +0.256% | 3.6% | 2026-08-31 22:20 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 91.21%EV -4.34%E -4.09%K -72.31%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.79%EV +7.29%E +0.662%K +0.729%G +0.053% | 3.4% | 2026-08-31 21:45 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -5.24%E -4.99%K -104.82%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV +7.29%E +0.662%K +0.729%G +0.053% | 4.3% | 2026-08-31 12:30 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -5.24%E -4.99%K -104.82%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV +7.29%E +0.662%K +0.729%G +0.053% | 4.3% | 2026-08-31 12:30 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -5.24%E -4.99%K -104.82%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV +7.29%E +0.662%K +0.729%G +0.053% | 4.3% | 2026-08-31 12:30 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -6.14%E -5.91%K -153.58%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV +7.29%E +0.662%K +0.729%G +0.053% | 5.2% | 2026-08-31 12:30 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 91.10%EV -5.24%E -4.99%K -104.82%G +0.000% | 10.75I 9.30%NM 8.90%EV +4.85%E +0.451%K +0.497%G +0.024% | 4.5% | 2026-08-31 22:49 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 90.75%EV -3.44%E -3.21%K -49.08%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.25%EV +2.41%E +0.229%K +0.254%G +0.006% | 3.0% | 2026-08-31 14:50 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.83%EV -4.34%E -4.09%K -72.31%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.17%EV +2.41%E +0.229%K +0.254%G +0.006% | 3.9% | 2026-08-31 15:00 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 91.15%EV -7.95%E -7.79%K -397.41%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.85%EV +2.41%E +0.229%K +0.254%G +0.006% | 7.6% | 2026-08-31 21:10 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -4.34%E -4.09%K -72.31%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV -2.47%E -0.247%K -0.274%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-31 14:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -4.34%E -4.09%K -72.31%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV -2.47%E -0.247%K -0.274%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-31 14:05 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -5.24%E -4.99%K -104.82%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -2.47%E -0.247%K -0.274%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-31 20:00 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -6.14%E -5.91%K -153.58%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -2.47%E -0.247%K -0.274%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-31 22:45 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -6.14%E -5.91%K -153.58%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -2.47%E -0.247%K -0.274%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-31 22:45 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -6.14%E -5.91%K -153.58%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -2.47%E -0.247%K -0.274%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-31 22:45 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -6.14%E -5.91%K -153.58%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -2.47%E -0.247%K -0.274%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-31 22:45 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -6.14%E -5.91%K -153.58%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -2.47%E -0.247%K -0.274%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-31 06:45 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.33%EV -4.34%E -4.09%K -72.31%G +0.000% | 9.90I 10.10%NM 9.67%EV -3.44%E -0.348%K -0.387%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-31 21:00 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.19%EV -4.34%E -4.09%K -72.31%G +0.000% | 9.75I 10.26%NM 9.81%EV -4.91%E -0.503%K -0.561%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-31 21:45 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.28%EV -5.24%E -4.99%K -104.82%G +0.000% | 9.75I 10.26%NM 9.72%EV -4.91%E -0.503%K -0.561%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-31 14:05 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.28%EV -5.24%E -4.99%K -104.82%G +0.000% | 9.75I 10.26%NM 9.72%EV -4.91%E -0.503%K -0.561%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-31 14:05 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.14%EV -5.24%E -4.99%K -104.82%G +0.000% | 9.60I 10.42%NM 9.86%EV -6.37%E -0.663%K -0.741%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-31 18:00 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -4.34%E -4.09%K -72.31%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -7.34%E -0.773%K -0.864%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-31 21:05 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -4.34%E -4.09%K -72.31%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -7.34%E -0.773%K -0.864%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-31 22:45 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -4.34%E -4.09%K -72.31%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -7.34%E -0.773%K -0.864%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-31 16:05 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -4.34%E -4.09%K -72.31%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -7.34%E -0.773%K -0.864%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-31 14:50 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -4.34%E -4.09%K -72.31%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -7.34%E -0.773%K -0.864%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-31 14:55 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -5.24%E -4.99%K -104.82%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV -7.34%E -0.773%K -0.864%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-31 22:55 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.93%EV -4.34%E -4.09%K -72.31%G +0.000% | 9.47I 10.56%NM 10.07%EV -7.64%E -0.806%K -0.902%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-31 22:55 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 89.99%EV -6.14%E -5.91%K -153.58%G +0.000% | 9.35I 10.70%NM 10.01%EV -8.81%E -0.942%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-31 22:55 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.77%EV -4.34%E -4.09%K -72.31%G +0.000% | 9.30I 10.75%NM 10.23%EV -9.30%E -0.999%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-31 15:00 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.77%EV -4.34%E -4.09%K -72.31%G +0.000% | 9.30I 10.75%NM 10.23%EV -9.30%E -0.999%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-31 14:59 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.81%EV -5.24%E -4.99%K -104.82%G +0.000% | 9.25I 10.81%NM 10.19%EV -9.78%E -1.06%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-31 15:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.62%EV -5.24%E -4.99%K -104.82%G +0.000% | 9.07I 11.03%NM 10.38%EV -11.54%E -1.27%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-31 17:20 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.62%EV -5.24%E -4.99%K -104.82%G +0.000% | 9.07I 11.03%NM 10.38%EV -11.54%E -1.27%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-31 17:20 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -5.24%E -4.99%K -104.82%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -12.22%E -1.36%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-31 14:55 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -5.24%E -4.99%K -104.82%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -12.22%E -1.36%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-31 14:05 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -5.24%E -4.99%K -104.82%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -12.22%E -1.36%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-31 21:25 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 89.64%EV -6.14%E -5.91%K -153.58%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV -12.22%E -1.36%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-31 14:50 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.10%EV -3.44%E -3.21%K -49.08%G +0.000% | 8.75I 11.43%NM 10.90%EV -14.66%E -1.68%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-31 22:55 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -3.44%E -3.21%K -49.08%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -17.10%E -2.01%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-31 14:55 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -3.44%E -3.21%K -49.08%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -17.10%E -2.01%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-31 14:55 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -3.44%E -3.21%K -49.08%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -17.10%E -2.01%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-31 14:55 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -3.44%E -3.21%K -49.08%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -17.10%E -2.01%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-31 14:55 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -3.44%E -3.21%K -49.08%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -17.10%E -2.01%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-31 14:55 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -3.44%E -3.21%K -49.08%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -17.10%E -2.01%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-31 14:55 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -3.44%E -3.21%K -49.08%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -17.10%E -2.01%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-31 14:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -3.44%E -3.21%K -49.08%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -17.10%E -2.01%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-31 14:55 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -3.44%E -3.21%K -49.08%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -17.10%E -2.01%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-31 14:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -3.44%E -3.21%K -49.08%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -17.10%E -2.01%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-31 14:55 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -3.44%E -3.21%K -49.08%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -17.10%E -2.01%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-31 14:55 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -3.44%E -3.21%K -49.08%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -17.10%E -2.01%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-31 14:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -3.44%E -3.21%K -49.08%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -17.10%E -2.01%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-31 14:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -3.44%E -3.21%K -49.08%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -17.10%E -2.01%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-31 14:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -3.44%E -3.21%K -49.08%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -17.10%E -2.01%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-31 14:55 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -3.44%E -3.21%K -49.08%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -17.10%E -2.01%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-31 22:55 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.76%EV -3.44%E -3.21%K -49.08%G +0.000% | 8.45I 11.83%NM 11.24%EV -17.59%E -2.08%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-31 22:55 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.52%EV -3.44%E -3.21%K -49.08%G +0.000% | 8.25I 12.12%NM 11.48%EV -19.54%E -2.37%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-31 14:05 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -4.34%E -4.09%K -72.31%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -21.97%E -2.75%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-31 14:55 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -4.34%E -4.09%K -72.31%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -21.97%E -2.75%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-31 05:25 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -4.34%E -4.09%K -72.31%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -21.97%E -2.75%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-28 14:51 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.70%EV -2.53%E -2.35%K -31.67%G +0.000% | 7.70I 12.99%NM 12.30%EV -24.90%E -3.23%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-31 15:40 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (7)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.07I 93.46%NM 92.90% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 7.10% | 0.6% | 2026-08-31 22:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.07I 93.46%NM 92.90% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 7.10% | 0.6% | 2026-08-31 22:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.07I 93.46%NM 92.90% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 7.10% | 0.6% | 2026-08-31 22:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.07I 93.46%NM 92.90% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 7.10% | 0.6% | 2026-08-31 22:50 |
| Novig◎ | 1.07I 93.46%NM 92.57% | 13.33I 7.50%NM 7.43% | 1.0% | 2026-08-31 22:40 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.07I 93.46%NM 92.40% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.60% | 1.2% | 2026-08-31 22:50 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.06I 94.34%NM 92.72% | 13.50I 7.41%NM 7.28% | 1.7% | 2026-08-31 22:40 |