Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Iga Swiatek v Xiyu Wang

Inizio: 2026-08-31 23:00 UTC

Finale: Iga Swiatek 2–0 Xiyu Wang

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

65 bookmaker (21 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Iga Swiatek (Casa)

Previsione 90.25%1.11quota equa
EV -2.53%
Vantaggio -2.35%
Kelly -31.67%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.08

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
87.70%90.17%90.14%92.32%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.021.061.061.0898.04%94.59%94.34%92.59%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Xiyu Wang (Trasferta)

Previsione 9.75%10.25quota equa
EV +21.92%
Vantaggio +1.75%
Kelly +1.91%
Crescita +0.418%

ipotizzando la quota massima 12.50

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
7.68%9.83%9.86%12.30%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
7.709.459.3512.5012.99%10.59%10.70%8.00%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Iga Swiatek (Casa): 90.25%; Xiyu Wang (Trasferta): 9.75%. Per Xiyu Wang (Trasferta), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 10.25. 12 bookmaker offrivano quote di chiusura superiori a tale livello; la migliore era 12.50, corrispondente a un valore atteso positivo del +21.92%.

Quote dei bookmaker (65 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼MargineAggiornamento
LowVig.ag🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 92.32%EV -6.14%E -5.91%K -153.58%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.68%EV +21.92%E +1.75%K +1.91%G +0.418%4.2%2026-08-31 14:50
BetOnline.ag🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 92.32%EV -6.14%E -5.91%K -153.58%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.68%EV +21.92%E +1.75%K +1.91%G +0.418%4.2%2026-08-31 14:50
Pinnacle🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 91.94%EV -5.24%E -4.99%K -104.82%G +0.000%11.97I 8.35%NM 8.06%EV +16.75%E +1.40%K +1.53%G +0.256%3.6%2026-08-31 22:20
BoyleSports🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 91.21%EV -4.34%E -4.09%K -72.31%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.79%EV +7.29%E +0.662%K +0.729%G +0.053%3.4%2026-08-31 21:45
Paddy Power🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -5.24%E -4.99%K -104.82%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV +7.29%E +0.662%K +0.729%G +0.053%4.3%2026-08-31 12:30
FanDuel🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -5.24%E -4.99%K -104.82%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV +7.29%E +0.662%K +0.729%G +0.053%4.3%2026-08-31 12:30
Sky Bet🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -5.24%E -4.99%K -104.82%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV +7.29%E +0.662%K +0.729%G +0.053%4.3%2026-08-31 12:30
SportsBet🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -6.14%E -5.91%K -153.58%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV +7.29%E +0.662%K +0.729%G +0.053%5.2%2026-08-31 12:30
Betclic (FR)🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 91.10%EV -5.24%E -4.99%K -104.82%G +0.000%10.75I 9.30%NM 8.90%EV +4.85%E +0.451%K +0.497%G +0.024%4.5%2026-08-31 22:49
Coolbet🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 90.75%EV -3.44%E -3.21%K -49.08%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.25%EV +2.41%E +0.229%K +0.254%G +0.006%3.0%2026-08-31 14:50
Winamax (DE)🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 90.83%EV -4.34%E -4.09%K -72.31%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.17%EV +2.41%E +0.229%K +0.254%G +0.006%3.9%2026-08-31 15:00
NetBet (FR)🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 91.15%EV -7.95%E -7.79%K -397.41%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.85%EV +2.41%E +0.229%K +0.254%G +0.006%7.6%2026-08-31 21:10
Coral🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -4.34%E -4.09%K -72.31%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV -2.47%E -0.247%K -0.274%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-31 14:05
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -4.34%E -4.09%K -72.31%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV -2.47%E -0.247%K -0.274%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-31 14:05
Betway🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -5.24%E -4.99%K -104.82%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -2.47%E -0.247%K -0.274%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-31 20:00
888sport🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -6.14%E -5.91%K -153.58%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -2.47%E -0.247%K -0.274%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-31 22:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -6.14%E -5.91%K -153.58%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -2.47%E -0.247%K -0.274%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-31 22:45
888sport (SE)🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -6.14%E -5.91%K -153.58%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -2.47%E -0.247%K -0.274%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-31 22:45
William Hill🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -6.14%E -5.91%K -153.58%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -2.47%E -0.247%K -0.274%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-31 22:45
Tipico (DE)🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -6.14%E -5.91%K -153.58%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -2.47%E -0.247%K -0.274%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-31 06:45
ReBet🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 90.33%EV -4.34%E -4.09%K -72.31%G +0.000%9.90I 10.10%NM 9.67%EV -3.44%E -0.348%K -0.387%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-31 21:00
GTbets🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 90.19%EV -4.34%E -4.09%K -72.31%G +0.000%9.75I 10.26%NM 9.81%EV -4.91%E -0.503%K -0.561%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-31 21:45
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.28%EV -5.24%E -4.99%K -104.82%G +0.000%9.75I 10.26%NM 9.72%EV -4.91%E -0.503%K -0.561%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-31 14:05
Neds🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.28%EV -5.24%E -4.99%K -104.82%G +0.000%9.75I 10.26%NM 9.72%EV -4.91%E -0.503%K -0.561%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-31 14:05
DraftKings🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.14%EV -5.24%E -4.99%K -104.82%G +0.000%9.60I 10.42%NM 9.86%EV -6.37%E -0.663%K -0.741%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-31 18:00
PlayUp🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -4.34%E -4.09%K -72.31%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -7.34%E -0.773%K -0.864%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-31 21:05
Fanatics🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -4.34%E -4.09%K -72.31%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -7.34%E -0.773%K -0.864%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-31 22:45
Unibet (UK)🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -4.34%E -4.09%K -72.31%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -7.34%E -0.773%K -0.864%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-31 16:05
Winamax (FR)🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -4.34%E -4.09%K -72.31%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -7.34%E -0.773%K -0.864%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-31 14:50
Bet Right🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -4.34%E -4.09%K -72.31%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -7.34%E -0.773%K -0.864%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-31 14:55
LeoVegas🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -5.24%E -4.99%K -104.82%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV -7.34%E -0.773%K -0.864%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-31 22:55
1xBet🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 89.93%EV -4.34%E -4.09%K -72.31%G +0.000%9.47I 10.56%NM 10.07%EV -7.64%E -0.806%K -0.902%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-31 22:55
Fliff🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 89.99%EV -6.14%E -5.91%K -153.58%G +0.000%9.35I 10.70%NM 10.01%EV -8.81%E -0.942%K -1.05%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-31 22:55
Unibet (FR)🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 89.77%EV -4.34%E -4.09%K -72.31%G +0.000%9.30I 10.75%NM 10.23%EV -9.30%E -0.999%K -1.12%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-31 15:00
MyBookie.ag🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 89.77%EV -4.34%E -4.09%K -72.31%G +0.000%9.30I 10.75%NM 10.23%EV -9.30%E -0.999%K -1.12%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-31 14:59
Betr (AU)🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 89.81%EV -5.24%E -4.99%K -104.82%G +0.000%9.25I 10.81%NM 10.19%EV -9.78%E -1.06%K -1.19%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-31 15:20
Betsson🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 89.62%EV -5.24%E -4.99%K -104.82%G +0.000%9.07I 11.03%NM 10.38%EV -11.54%E -1.27%K -1.43%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-31 17:20
NordicBet🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 89.62%EV -5.24%E -4.99%K -104.82%G +0.000%9.07I 11.03%NM 10.38%EV -11.54%E -1.27%K -1.43%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-31 17:20
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -5.24%E -4.99%K -104.82%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -12.22%E -1.36%K -1.53%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-31 14:55
BetMGM🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -5.24%E -4.99%K -104.82%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -12.22%E -1.36%K -1.53%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-31 14:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -5.24%E -4.99%K -104.82%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -12.22%E -1.36%K -1.53%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-31 21:25
TAB🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 89.64%EV -6.14%E -5.91%K -153.58%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV -12.22%E -1.36%K -1.53%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-31 14:50
Bovada🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 89.10%EV -3.44%E -3.21%K -49.08%G +0.000%8.75I 11.43%NM 10.90%EV -14.66%E -1.68%K -1.89%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-31 22:55
BetRivers🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -3.44%E -3.21%K -49.08%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -17.10%E -2.01%K -2.28%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-31 14:55
ATG (SE)🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -3.44%E -3.21%K -49.08%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -17.10%E -2.01%K -2.28%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-31 14:55
Svenska Spel🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -3.44%E -3.21%K -49.08%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -17.10%E -2.01%K -2.28%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-31 14:55
Grosvenor🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -3.44%E -3.21%K -49.08%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -17.10%E -2.01%K -2.28%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-31 14:55
Casumo🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -3.44%E -3.21%K -49.08%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -17.10%E -2.01%K -2.28%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-31 14:55
Virgin Bet🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -3.44%E -3.21%K -49.08%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -17.10%E -2.01%K -2.28%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-31 14:55
betPARX🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -3.44%E -3.21%K -49.08%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -17.10%E -2.01%K -2.28%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-31 14:55
LiveScore Bet🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -3.44%E -3.21%K -49.08%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -17.10%E -2.01%K -2.28%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-31 14:55
Bally Bet🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -3.44%E -3.21%K -49.08%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -17.10%E -2.01%K -2.28%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-31 14:55
Unibet (NL)🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -3.44%E -3.21%K -49.08%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -17.10%E -2.01%K -2.28%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-31 14:55
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -3.44%E -3.21%K -49.08%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -17.10%E -2.01%K -2.28%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-31 14:55
TABtouch🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -3.44%E -3.21%K -49.08%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -17.10%E -2.01%K -2.28%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-31 14:55
Unibet🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -3.44%E -3.21%K -49.08%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -17.10%E -2.01%K -2.28%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-31 14:55
Unibet (SE)🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -3.44%E -3.21%K -49.08%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -17.10%E -2.01%K -2.28%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-31 14:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -3.44%E -3.21%K -49.08%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -17.10%E -2.01%K -2.28%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-31 14:55
betano_uk🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -3.44%E -3.21%K -49.08%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -17.10%E -2.01%K -2.28%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-31 22:55
BetAnything🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 88.76%EV -3.44%E -3.21%K -49.08%G +0.000%8.45I 11.83%NM 11.24%EV -17.59%E -2.08%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-31 22:55
theScore Bet🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 88.52%EV -3.44%E -3.21%K -49.08%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.48%EV -19.54%E -2.37%K -2.69%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-31 14:05
PMU (FR)🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -4.34%E -4.09%K -72.31%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -21.97%E -2.75%K -3.14%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-31 14:55
betfred_uk🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -4.34%E -4.09%K -72.31%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -21.97%E -2.75%K -3.14%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-31 05:25
Caesars🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -4.34%E -4.09%K -72.31%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -21.97%E -2.75%K -3.14%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-28 14:51
Marathon Bet🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.70%EV -2.53%E -2.35%K -31.67%G +0.000%7.70I 12.99%NM 12.30%EV -24.90%E -3.23%K -3.72%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-31 15:40
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (7)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.07I 93.46%NM 92.90%14.00I 7.14%NM 7.10%0.6%2026-08-31 22:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.07I 93.46%NM 92.90%14.00I 7.14%NM 7.10%0.6%2026-08-31 22:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.07I 93.46%NM 92.90%14.00I 7.14%NM 7.10%0.6%2026-08-31 22:55
Matchbook◎1.07I 93.46%NM 92.90%14.00I 7.14%NM 7.10%0.6%2026-08-31 22:50
Novig◎1.07I 93.46%NM 92.57%13.33I 7.50%NM 7.43%1.0%2026-08-31 22:40
ProphetX◎1.07I 93.46%NM 92.40%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.60%1.2%2026-08-31 22:50
Smarkets◎1.06I 94.34%NM 92.72%13.50I 7.41%NM 7.28%1.7%2026-08-31 22:40