Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 2.40
assuming max odds 1.72
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Gabriela Knutson (Local): 40.90%; Eva Lys (Visit): 59.10%. For Eva Lys (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.69. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.72, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.65%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Neds🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -14.11%E -6.72%K -12.82%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV +1.65%E +0.959%K +2.29%G +0.038% | 5.8% | 2026-09-01 15:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -14.11%E -6.72%K -12.82%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV +1.65%E +0.959%K +2.29%G +0.038% | 5.8% | 2026-09-01 15:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -14.11%E -6.72%K -12.82%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV +0.467%E +0.275%K +0.667%G +0.003% | 6.4% | 2026-09-01 15:25 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -14.11%E -6.72%K -12.82%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV +0.467%E +0.275%K +0.667%G +0.003% | 6.4% | 2026-09-01 15:25 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -14.11%E -6.72%K -12.82%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -0.124%E -0.073%K -0.180%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-01 15:20 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.85%EV -5.11%E -2.20%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.15%EV -1.31%E -0.782%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-09-01 15:10 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.29I 43.67%NM 42.17%EV -6.33%E -2.77%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.83%EV -1.31%E -0.782%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-09-01 15:10 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.29I 43.67%NM 42.17%EV -6.33%E -2.77%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.83%EV -1.31%E -0.782%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-09-01 15:11 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -7.97%E -3.54%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -1.31%E -0.782%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-01 17:35 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -3.88%E -1.65%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -2.49%E -1.51%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-09-01 18:40 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -5.93%E -2.58%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -2.49%E -1.51%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-01 16:59 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -5.93%E -2.58%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -2.49%E -1.51%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-01 17:25 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -7.97%E -3.54%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -2.49%E -1.51%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-01 15:10 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -7.97%E -3.54%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -3.67%E -2.25%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-01 15:10 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -5.11%E -2.20%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -4.26%E -2.63%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-01 17:35 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -5.52%E -2.39%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -4.26%E -2.63%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-01 18:40 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.93%E -2.58%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.26%E -2.63%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-01 17:35 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.93%E -2.58%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.26%E -2.63%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-01 17:30 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.93%E -2.58%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.26%E -2.63%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-29 08:05 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.93%E -2.58%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.26%E -2.63%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-01 17:35 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.93%E -2.58%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.26%E -2.63%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-01 12:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -6.74%E -2.96%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -4.26%E -2.63%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-01 17:35 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -6.74%E -2.96%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -4.26%E -2.63%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-01 17:30 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -6.74%E -2.96%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -4.26%E -2.63%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-01 17:35 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -6.74%E -2.96%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -4.26%E -2.63%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-01 17:30 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -6.74%E -2.96%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -4.26%E -2.63%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-01 17:35 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -6.74%E -2.96%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -4.26%E -2.63%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-01 17:35 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -6.74%E -2.96%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -4.26%E -2.63%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-01 17:30 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -6.74%E -2.96%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -4.26%E -2.63%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-01 17:30 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -6.74%E -2.96%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -4.26%E -2.63%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-01 17:35 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -6.74%E -2.96%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -4.26%E -2.63%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-01 17:35 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -6.74%E -2.96%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -4.26%E -2.63%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-01 17:35 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -6.74%E -2.96%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -4.26%E -2.63%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-01 17:30 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -6.74%E -2.96%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -4.26%E -2.63%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-01 17:35 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -6.74%E -2.96%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -4.26%E -2.63%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-01 17:30 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -7.97%E -3.54%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.26%E -2.63%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-01 17:20 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -7.97%E -3.54%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.26%E -2.63%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-01 15:06 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -7.97%E -3.54%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.26%E -2.63%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-01 17:30 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -7.97%E -3.54%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.26%E -2.63%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-01 13:35 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -5.11%E -2.20%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -4.85%E -3.01%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-01 18:40 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -5.93%E -2.58%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -4.85%E -3.01%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-01 12:50 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -5.93%E -2.58%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -4.85%E -3.01%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-01 17:35 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -5.93%E -2.58%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -4.85%E -3.01%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-01 12:50 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -5.93%E -2.58%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -4.85%E -3.01%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-01 12:50 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -1.84%E -0.765%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -5.44%E -3.40%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-01 15:25 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.93%E -2.58%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.44%E -3.40%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-01 18:40 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -7.97%E -3.54%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -5.44%E -3.40%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-01 17:35 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -2.65%E -1.11%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -6.62%E -4.19%K -11.42%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-01 15:20 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.31%EV -4.29%E -1.83%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.69%EV -6.62%E -4.19%K -11.42%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-01 16:55 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -1.84%E -0.765%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -7.22%E -4.60%K -12.66%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-01 15:20 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -3.88%E -1.65%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -7.22%E -4.60%K -12.66%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-01 15:20 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -3.88%E -1.65%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -7.22%E -4.60%K -12.66%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-01 16:05 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -3.88%E -1.65%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -7.22%E -4.60%K -12.66%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-01 14:45 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -3.88%E -1.65%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -7.22%E -4.60%K -12.66%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-01 15:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -3.88%E -1.65%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -7.22%E -4.60%K -12.66%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-01 15:20 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -3.88%E -1.65%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -7.81%E -5.00%K -13.94%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-01 15:20 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -3.88%E -1.65%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -7.81%E -5.00%K -13.94%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-01 15:20 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -3.88%E -1.65%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -8.40%E -5.42%K -15.27%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-01 18:40 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.79%EV -5.93%E -2.58%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.21%EV -10.17%E -6.69%K -19.56%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-01 15:18 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.61% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 58.39% | 0.1% | 2026-09-01 18:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.81% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 58.19% | 0.5% | 2026-09-01 18:40 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.81% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 58.19% | 0.5% | 2026-09-01 18:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.67% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 58.33% | 0.8% | 2026-09-01 18:40 |
| Novig◎ | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37% | 0.9% | 2026-09-01 18:35 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48% | 1.2% | 2026-09-01 18:40 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.23% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.77% | 1.9% | 2026-09-01 18:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.79% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.21% | 2.3% | 2026-09-01 18:40 |