Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Gabriela Knutson v Eva Lys

Início: 2026-09-01 18:46 UTC

Final: Gabriela Knutson 0–2 Eva Lys

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

59 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Gabriela Knutson (Local)

Previsão 40.90%2.44odd justa
EV -1.84%
Vantagem -0.765%
Kelly -1.31%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.40

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
39.55%41.02%41.15%45.03%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.102.292.302.4047.62%43.76%43.48%41.67%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Eva Lys (Visitante)

Previsão 59.10%1.69odd justa
EV +1.65%
Vantagem +0.959%
Kelly +2.29%
Crescimento +0.038%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.72

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
54.97%58.98%58.85%60.45%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.521.621.621.7265.79%61.74%61.73%58.14%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Gabriela Knutson (Local): 40.90%; Eva Lys (Visitante): 59.10%. Para Eva Lys (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 1.69. 4 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 1.72, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +1.65%.

Odds das casas de apostas (59 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
Neds🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -14.11%E -6.72%K -12.82%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV +1.65%E +0.959%K +2.29%G +0.038%5.8%2026-09-01 15:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -14.11%E -6.72%K -12.82%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV +1.65%E +0.959%K +2.29%G +0.038%5.8%2026-09-01 15:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -14.11%E -6.72%K -12.82%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV +0.467%E +0.275%K +0.667%G +0.003%6.4%2026-09-01 15:25
Coral🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -14.11%E -6.72%K -12.82%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV +0.467%E +0.275%K +0.667%G +0.003%6.4%2026-09-01 15:25
BetMGM🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -14.11%E -6.72%K -12.82%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -0.124%E -0.073%K -0.180%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-01 15:20
Pinnacle🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 41.85%EV -5.11%E -2.20%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 58.15%EV -1.31%E -0.782%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.0%2026-09-01 15:10
LowVig.ag🎯2.29I 43.67%NM 42.17%EV -6.33%E -2.77%K -4.91%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.83%EV -1.31%E -0.782%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.5%2026-09-01 15:10
BetOnline.ag🎯2.29I 43.67%NM 42.17%EV -6.33%E -2.77%K -4.91%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.83%EV -1.31%E -0.782%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.5%2026-09-01 15:11
betano_uk🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -7.97%E -3.54%K -6.38%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -1.31%E -0.782%K -1.95%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-01 17:35
Coolbet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -3.88%E -1.65%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -2.49%E -1.51%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.2%2026-09-01 18:40
Bovada🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -5.93%E -2.58%K -4.56%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -2.49%E -1.51%K -3.83%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-01 16:59
Betway🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -5.93%E -2.58%K -4.56%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -2.49%E -1.51%K -3.83%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-01 17:25
TAB🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -7.97%E -3.54%K -6.38%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -2.49%E -1.51%K -3.83%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-01 15:10
PlayUp🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -7.97%E -3.54%K -6.38%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -3.67%E -2.25%K -5.83%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-01 15:10
FanDuel🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -5.11%E -2.20%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -4.26%E -2.63%K -6.87%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-01 17:35
1xBet🎯2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -5.52%E -2.39%K -4.21%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -4.26%E -2.63%K -6.87%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-01 18:40
SportsBet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.93%E -2.58%K -4.56%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.26%E -2.63%K -6.87%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-01 17:35
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.93%E -2.58%K -4.56%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.26%E -2.63%K -6.87%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-01 17:30
BoyleSports🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.93%E -2.58%K -4.56%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.26%E -2.63%K -6.87%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-29 08:05
Paddy Power🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.93%E -2.58%K -4.56%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.26%E -2.63%K -6.87%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-01 17:35
William Hill🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.93%E -2.58%K -4.56%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.26%E -2.63%K -6.87%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-01 12:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -6.74%E -2.96%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -4.26%E -2.63%K -6.87%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-01 17:35
Unibet🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -6.74%E -2.96%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -4.26%E -2.63%K -6.87%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-01 17:30
Virgin Bet🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -6.74%E -2.96%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -4.26%E -2.63%K -6.87%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-01 17:35
Casumo🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -6.74%E -2.96%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -4.26%E -2.63%K -6.87%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-01 17:30
LiveScore Bet🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -6.74%E -2.96%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -4.26%E -2.63%K -6.87%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-01 17:35
Unibet (NL)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -6.74%E -2.96%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -4.26%E -2.63%K -6.87%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-01 17:35
Unibet (SE)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -6.74%E -2.96%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -4.26%E -2.63%K -6.87%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-01 17:30
TABtouch🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -6.74%E -2.96%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -4.26%E -2.63%K -6.87%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-01 17:30
BetRivers🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -6.74%E -2.96%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -4.26%E -2.63%K -6.87%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-01 17:35
Grosvenor🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -6.74%E -2.96%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -4.26%E -2.63%K -6.87%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-01 17:35
betPARX🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -6.74%E -2.96%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -4.26%E -2.63%K -6.87%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-01 17:35
Svenska Spel🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -6.74%E -2.96%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -4.26%E -2.63%K -6.87%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-01 17:30
Bally Bet🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -6.74%E -2.96%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -4.26%E -2.63%K -6.87%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-01 17:35
ATG (SE)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -6.74%E -2.96%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -4.26%E -2.63%K -6.87%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-01 17:30
betfred_uk🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -7.97%E -3.54%K -6.38%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.26%E -2.63%K -6.87%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-01 17:20
Caesars🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -7.97%E -3.54%K -6.38%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.26%E -2.63%K -6.87%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-01 15:06
Sky Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -7.97%E -3.54%K -6.38%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.26%E -2.63%K -6.87%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-01 17:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -7.97%E -3.54%K -6.38%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.26%E -2.63%K -6.87%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-01 13:35
Bet Right🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -5.11%E -2.20%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -4.85%E -3.01%K -7.95%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-01 18:40
888sport🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -5.93%E -2.58%K -4.56%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -4.85%E -3.01%K -7.95%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-01 12:50
Marathon Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -5.93%E -2.58%K -4.56%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -4.85%E -3.01%K -7.95%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-01 17:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -5.93%E -2.58%K -4.56%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -4.85%E -3.01%K -7.95%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-01 12:50
888sport (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -5.93%E -2.58%K -4.56%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -4.85%E -3.01%K -7.95%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-01 12:50
MyBookie.ag🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -1.84%E -0.765%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -5.44%E -3.40%K -9.07%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-01 15:25
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.93%E -2.58%K -4.56%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.44%E -3.40%K -9.07%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-01 18:40
PMU (FR)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -7.97%E -3.54%K -6.38%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -5.44%E -3.40%K -9.07%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-01 17:35
Unibet (UK)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -2.65%E -1.11%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -6.62%E -4.19%K -11.42%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-01 15:20
DraftKings🎯2.34I 42.74%NM 40.31%EV -4.29%E -1.83%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.69%EV -6.62%E -4.19%K -11.42%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-01 16:55
theScore Bet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -1.84%E -0.765%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -7.22%E -4.60%K -12.66%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-01 15:20
Fanatics🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -3.88%E -1.65%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -7.22%E -4.60%K -12.66%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-01 15:20
LeoVegas🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -3.88%E -1.65%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -7.22%E -4.60%K -12.66%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-01 16:05
Tipico (DE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -3.88%E -1.65%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -7.22%E -4.60%K -12.66%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-01 14:45
NordicBet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -3.88%E -1.65%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -7.22%E -4.60%K -12.66%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-01 15:20
Betsson🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -3.88%E -1.65%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -7.22%E -4.60%K -12.66%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-01 15:20
Winamax (DE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -3.88%E -1.65%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -7.81%E -5.00%K -13.94%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-01 15:20
Winamax (FR)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -3.88%E -1.65%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -7.81%E -5.00%K -13.94%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-01 15:20
Betr (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -3.88%E -1.65%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -8.40%E -5.42%K -15.27%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-01 18:40
Betclic (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.79%EV -5.93%E -2.58%K -4.56%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 60.21%EV -10.17%E -6.69%K -19.56%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-01 15:18
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (8)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.40I 41.67%NM 41.61%1.71I 58.48%NM 58.39%0.1%2026-09-01 18:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.38I 42.02%NM 41.81%1.71I 58.48%NM 58.19%0.5%2026-09-01 18:40
Matchbook◎2.38I 42.02%NM 41.81%1.71I 58.48%NM 58.19%0.5%2026-09-01 18:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.38I 42.02%NM 41.67%1.70I 58.82%NM 58.33%0.8%2026-09-01 18:40
Novig◎2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%0.9%2026-09-01 18:35
ProphetX◎2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%1.2%2026-09-01 18:40
Kalshi◎2.38I 42.02%NM 41.23%1.67I 59.88%NM 58.77%1.9%2026-09-01 18:40
Smarkets◎2.34I 42.74%NM 41.79%1.68I 59.52%NM 58.21%2.3%2026-09-01 18:40