Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Gabriela Knutson v Eva Lys

Coup d’envoi : 2026-09-01 18:46 UTC

Score final : Gabriela Knutson 0–2 Eva Lys

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

59 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Gabriela Knutson (Local)

Prévision 40.90%2.44cote équitable
EV -1.84%
Avantage -0.765%
Kelly -1.31%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.40

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
39.55%41.02%41.15%45.03%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.102.292.302.4047.62%43.76%43.48%41.67%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Eva Lys (Visiteur)

Prévision 59.10%1.69cote équitable
EV +1.65%
Avantage +0.959%
Kelly +2.29%
Croissance +0.038%

avec la cote maximale 1.72

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
54.97%58.98%58.85%60.45%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.521.621.621.7265.79%61.74%61.73%58.14%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Gabriela Knutson (Local) : 40.90% ; Eva Lys (Visiteur) : 59.10%. Pour Eva Lys (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 1.69. 4 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 1.72, soit une espérance positive de +1.65%.

Cotes des opérateurs (59 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
Neds🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -14.11%E -6.72%K -12.82%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV +1.65%E +0.959%K +2.29%G +0.038%5.8%2026-09-01 15:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -14.11%E -6.72%K -12.82%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV +1.65%E +0.959%K +2.29%G +0.038%5.8%2026-09-01 15:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -14.11%E -6.72%K -12.82%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV +0.467%E +0.275%K +0.667%G +0.003%6.4%2026-09-01 15:25
Coral🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -14.11%E -6.72%K -12.82%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV +0.467%E +0.275%K +0.667%G +0.003%6.4%2026-09-01 15:25
BetMGM🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -14.11%E -6.72%K -12.82%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -0.124%E -0.073%K -0.180%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-01 15:20
Pinnacle🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 41.85%EV -5.11%E -2.20%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 58.15%EV -1.31%E -0.782%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.0%2026-09-01 15:10
LowVig.ag🎯2.29I 43.67%NM 42.17%EV -6.33%E -2.77%K -4.91%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.83%EV -1.31%E -0.782%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.5%2026-09-01 15:10
BetOnline.ag🎯2.29I 43.67%NM 42.17%EV -6.33%E -2.77%K -4.91%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.83%EV -1.31%E -0.782%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.5%2026-09-01 15:11
betano_uk🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -7.97%E -3.54%K -6.38%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -1.31%E -0.782%K -1.95%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-01 17:35
Coolbet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -3.88%E -1.65%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -2.49%E -1.51%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.2%2026-09-01 18:40
Bovada🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -5.93%E -2.58%K -4.56%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -2.49%E -1.51%K -3.83%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-01 16:59
Betway🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -5.93%E -2.58%K -4.56%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -2.49%E -1.51%K -3.83%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-01 17:25
TAB🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -7.97%E -3.54%K -6.38%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -2.49%E -1.51%K -3.83%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-01 15:10
PlayUp🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -7.97%E -3.54%K -6.38%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -3.67%E -2.25%K -5.83%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-01 15:10
FanDuel🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -5.11%E -2.20%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -4.26%E -2.63%K -6.87%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-01 17:35
1xBet🎯2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -5.52%E -2.39%K -4.21%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -4.26%E -2.63%K -6.87%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-01 18:40
SportsBet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.93%E -2.58%K -4.56%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.26%E -2.63%K -6.87%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-01 17:35
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.93%E -2.58%K -4.56%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.26%E -2.63%K -6.87%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-01 17:30
BoyleSports🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.93%E -2.58%K -4.56%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.26%E -2.63%K -6.87%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-29 08:05
Paddy Power🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.93%E -2.58%K -4.56%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.26%E -2.63%K -6.87%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-01 17:35
William Hill🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.93%E -2.58%K -4.56%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.26%E -2.63%K -6.87%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-01 12:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -6.74%E -2.96%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -4.26%E -2.63%K -6.87%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-01 17:35
Unibet🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -6.74%E -2.96%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -4.26%E -2.63%K -6.87%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-01 17:30
Virgin Bet🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -6.74%E -2.96%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -4.26%E -2.63%K -6.87%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-01 17:35
Casumo🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -6.74%E -2.96%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -4.26%E -2.63%K -6.87%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-01 17:30
LiveScore Bet🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -6.74%E -2.96%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -4.26%E -2.63%K -6.87%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-01 17:35
Unibet (NL)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -6.74%E -2.96%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -4.26%E -2.63%K -6.87%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-01 17:35
Unibet (SE)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -6.74%E -2.96%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -4.26%E -2.63%K -6.87%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-01 17:30
TABtouch🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -6.74%E -2.96%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -4.26%E -2.63%K -6.87%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-01 17:30
BetRivers🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -6.74%E -2.96%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -4.26%E -2.63%K -6.87%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-01 17:35
Grosvenor🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -6.74%E -2.96%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -4.26%E -2.63%K -6.87%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-01 17:35
betPARX🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -6.74%E -2.96%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -4.26%E -2.63%K -6.87%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-01 17:35
Svenska Spel🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -6.74%E -2.96%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -4.26%E -2.63%K -6.87%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-01 17:30
Bally Bet🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -6.74%E -2.96%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -4.26%E -2.63%K -6.87%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-01 17:35
ATG (SE)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -6.74%E -2.96%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -4.26%E -2.63%K -6.87%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-01 17:30
betfred_uk🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -7.97%E -3.54%K -6.38%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.26%E -2.63%K -6.87%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-01 17:20
Caesars🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -7.97%E -3.54%K -6.38%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.26%E -2.63%K -6.87%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-01 15:06
Sky Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -7.97%E -3.54%K -6.38%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.26%E -2.63%K -6.87%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-01 17:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -7.97%E -3.54%K -6.38%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.26%E -2.63%K -6.87%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-01 13:35
Bet Right🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -5.11%E -2.20%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -4.85%E -3.01%K -7.95%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-01 18:40
888sport🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -5.93%E -2.58%K -4.56%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -4.85%E -3.01%K -7.95%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-01 12:50
Marathon Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -5.93%E -2.58%K -4.56%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -4.85%E -3.01%K -7.95%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-01 17:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -5.93%E -2.58%K -4.56%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -4.85%E -3.01%K -7.95%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-01 12:50
888sport (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -5.93%E -2.58%K -4.56%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -4.85%E -3.01%K -7.95%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-01 12:50
MyBookie.ag🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -1.84%E -0.765%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -5.44%E -3.40%K -9.07%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-01 15:25
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.93%E -2.58%K -4.56%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.44%E -3.40%K -9.07%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-01 18:40
PMU (FR)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -7.97%E -3.54%K -6.38%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -5.44%E -3.40%K -9.07%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-01 17:35
Unibet (UK)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -2.65%E -1.11%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -6.62%E -4.19%K -11.42%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-01 15:20
DraftKings🎯2.34I 42.74%NM 40.31%EV -4.29%E -1.83%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.69%EV -6.62%E -4.19%K -11.42%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-01 16:55
theScore Bet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -1.84%E -0.765%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -7.22%E -4.60%K -12.66%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-01 15:20
Fanatics🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -3.88%E -1.65%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -7.22%E -4.60%K -12.66%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-01 15:20
LeoVegas🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -3.88%E -1.65%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -7.22%E -4.60%K -12.66%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-01 16:05
Tipico (DE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -3.88%E -1.65%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -7.22%E -4.60%K -12.66%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-01 14:45
NordicBet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -3.88%E -1.65%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -7.22%E -4.60%K -12.66%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-01 15:20
Betsson🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -3.88%E -1.65%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -7.22%E -4.60%K -12.66%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-01 15:20
Winamax (DE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -3.88%E -1.65%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -7.81%E -5.00%K -13.94%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-01 15:20
Winamax (FR)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -3.88%E -1.65%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -7.81%E -5.00%K -13.94%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-01 15:20
Betr (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -3.88%E -1.65%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -8.40%E -5.42%K -15.27%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-01 18:40
Betclic (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.79%EV -5.93%E -2.58%K -4.56%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 60.21%EV -10.17%E -6.69%K -19.56%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-01 15:18
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (8)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.40I 41.67%NM 41.61%1.71I 58.48%NM 58.39%0.1%2026-09-01 18:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.38I 42.02%NM 41.81%1.71I 58.48%NM 58.19%0.5%2026-09-01 18:40
Matchbook◎2.38I 42.02%NM 41.81%1.71I 58.48%NM 58.19%0.5%2026-09-01 18:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.38I 42.02%NM 41.67%1.70I 58.82%NM 58.33%0.8%2026-09-01 18:40
Novig◎2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%0.9%2026-09-01 18:35
ProphetX◎2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%1.2%2026-09-01 18:40
Kalshi◎2.38I 42.02%NM 41.23%1.67I 59.88%NM 58.77%1.9%2026-09-01 18:40
Smarkets◎2.34I 42.74%NM 41.79%1.68I 59.52%NM 58.21%2.3%2026-09-01 18:40