Language:English
Emma Navarro v Karolina Muchova
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Emma Navarro (Local)
Prediction 22.35%4.47fair odd
EV +9.51%
Edge +1.94%
Kelly +2.44%
Growth +0.232%
assuming max odds 4.90
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
19.41%22.25%22.38%24.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.924.254.204.9025.51%23.52%23.81%20.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Karolina Muchova (Visit)
Prediction 77.65%1.29fair odd
EV -2.94%
Edge -2.35%
Kelly -11.75%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.25
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
75.82%77.75%77.62%80.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.171.221.231.2585.47%81.70%81.30%80.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Emma Navarro (Local): 22.35%; Karolina Muchova (Visit): 77.65%. For Emma Navarro (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.47. 10 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.90, corresponding to a positive expected value of +9.51%.
Sportsbook Odds (61 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportsBet🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV +9.51%E +1.94%K +2.44%G +0.232% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -8.37%E -7.10%K -46.51%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-04 14:05 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.70%EV +8.39%E +1.73%K +2.18%G +0.183% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.30%EV -7.60%E -6.38%K -39.98%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-04 14:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 4.67I 21.41%NM 20.58%EV +4.37%E +0.936%K +1.19%G +0.052% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.42%EV -6.04%E -4.99%K -28.77%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-04 13:30 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 4.67I 21.41%NM 20.58%EV +4.37%E +0.936%K +1.19%G +0.052% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.42%EV -6.04%E -4.99%K -28.77%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-04 13:25 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV +2.81%E +0.610%K +0.780%G +0.022% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -7.60%E -6.38%K -39.98%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-04 08:10 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.60%EV +0.572%E +0.127%K +0.163%G +0.001% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 78.40%EV -3.71%E -2.99%K -15.47%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-09-04 14:05 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.47%EV +0.572%E +0.127%K +0.163%G +0.001% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 78.53%EV -4.49%E -3.65%K -19.52%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-09-04 08:40 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV +0.572%E +0.127%K +0.163%G +0.001% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.82%E -5.68%K -34.10%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-04 14:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV +0.572%E +0.127%K +0.163%G +0.001% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -9.15%E -7.82%K -53.82%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-04 14:00 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 4.49I 22.27%NM 21.78%EV +0.348%E +0.078%K +0.100%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 78.22%EV -2.94%E -2.35%K -11.75%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-09-04 12:35 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -1.66%E -0.378%K -0.489%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -5.27%E -4.32%K -23.94%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-04 08:40 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -1.66%E -0.378%K -0.489%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -6.82%E -5.68%K -34.10%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-04 13:25 |
| TAB🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -1.66%E -0.378%K -0.489%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -6.82%E -5.68%K -34.10%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-04 13:25 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.98%EV -3.23%E -0.745%K -0.969%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.02%EV -5.27%E -4.32%K -23.94%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-04 14:05 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.38%EV -3.90%E -0.907%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.62%EV -3.71%E -2.99%K -15.47%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-04 10:50 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.38%EV -3.90%E -0.907%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.62%EV -3.71%E -2.99%K -15.47%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-04 06:08 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.38%EV -3.90%E -0.907%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.62%EV -3.71%E -2.99%K -15.47%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-04 14:20 |
| BetUS🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -3.90%E -0.907%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -5.27%E -4.32%K -23.94%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-04 14:05 |
| Bovada🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV -5.02%E -1.18%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.41%EV -3.71%E -2.99%K -15.47%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-03 21:20 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV -5.02%E -1.18%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.41%EV -3.71%E -2.99%K -15.47%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-04 10:29 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.45%EV -5.02%E -1.18%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.55%EV -4.49%E -3.65%K -19.52%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-04 13:25 |
| Betway🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -5.02%E -1.18%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -5.27%E -4.32%K -23.94%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-04 02:49 |
| GTbets🎯 | 4.21I 23.75%NM 22.89%EV -5.91%E -1.40%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 77.11%EV -2.94%E -2.35%K -11.75%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-04 02:50 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -6.13%E -1.46%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.49%E -3.65%K -19.52%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-04 02:54 |
| ReBet🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -6.13%E -1.46%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.49%E -3.65%K -19.52%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-04 11:50 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -6.13%E -1.46%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.49%E -3.65%K -19.52%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-04 10:30 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -6.13%E -1.46%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.49%E -3.65%K -19.52%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-04 10:30 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -6.13%E -1.46%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.49%E -3.65%K -19.52%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-04 10:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -6.13%E -1.46%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.49%E -3.65%K -19.52%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-04 10:30 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -6.13%E -1.46%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.49%E -3.65%K -19.52%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-04 10:30 |
| Casumo🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -6.13%E -1.46%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.49%E -3.65%K -19.52%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-04 10:30 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -6.13%E -1.46%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.49%E -3.65%K -19.52%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-04 10:30 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -6.13%E -1.46%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.49%E -3.65%K -19.52%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-04 10:30 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -6.13%E -1.46%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.49%E -3.65%K -19.52%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-04 10:30 |
| Unibet🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -6.13%E -1.46%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.49%E -3.65%K -19.52%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-04 10:30 |
| betPARX🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -6.13%E -1.46%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.49%E -3.65%K -19.52%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-04 10:27 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -6.13%E -1.46%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.49%E -3.65%K -19.52%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-04 10:30 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -6.13%E -1.46%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.49%E -3.65%K -19.52%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-04 10:30 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -6.13%E -1.46%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.49%E -3.65%K -19.52%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-04 10:30 |
| 888sport🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -6.13%E -1.46%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -5.27%E -4.32%K -23.94%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-04 13:25 |
| William Hill🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -6.13%E -1.46%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -5.27%E -4.32%K -23.94%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-04 13:25 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -6.13%E -1.46%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -5.27%E -4.32%K -23.94%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-04 13:25 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -6.13%E -1.46%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -5.27%E -4.32%K -23.94%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-04 13:25 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -6.13%E -1.46%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.63%EV -6.04%E -4.99%K -28.77%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-04 02:50 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 4.15I 24.10%NM 23.01%EV -7.25%E -1.75%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.99%EV -3.71%E -2.99%K -15.47%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-04 02:50 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 4.15I 24.10%NM 23.01%EV -7.25%E -1.75%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.99%EV -3.71%E -2.99%K -15.47%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-03 21:20 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.72%EV -7.25%E -1.75%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.28%EV -5.27%E -4.32%K -23.94%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-04 14:05 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 4.12I 24.27%NM 22.85%EV -7.92%E -1.92%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.15%EV -5.27%E -4.32%K -23.94%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-04 02:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 4.12I 24.27%NM 22.85%EV -7.92%E -1.92%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.15%EV -5.27%E -4.32%K -23.94%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-04 02:50 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -8.37%E -2.04%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -4.49%E -3.65%K -19.52%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-04 05:50 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -8.37%E -2.04%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -5.27%E -4.32%K -23.94%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-04 13:25 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -8.37%E -2.04%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -5.27%E -4.32%K -23.94%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-04 10:30 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -8.37%E -2.04%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -5.27%E -4.32%K -23.94%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-03 21:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -10.60%E -2.65%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -3.71%E -2.99%K -15.47%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-03 21:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -10.60%E -2.65%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -3.71%E -2.99%K -15.47%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-03 21:40 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -10.60%E -2.65%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.27%E -4.32%K -23.94%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-03 21:20 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -10.60%E -2.65%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.27%E -4.32%K -23.94%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-04 02:49 |
| Caesars🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -10.60%E -2.65%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.27%E -4.32%K -23.94%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-03 08:13 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -10.60%E -2.65%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.27%E -4.32%K -23.94%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-03 21:40 |
| Coral🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -10.60%E -2.65%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.27%E -4.32%K -23.94%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-03 21:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.92I 25.51%NM 24.18%EV -12.39%E -3.16%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.82%EV -2.94%E -2.35%K -11.75%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-04 07:00 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 4.88I 20.49%NM 20.39% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 79.61% | 0.5% | 2026-09-04 12:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.87% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 80.13% | 0.6% | 2026-09-04 10:16 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.87% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 80.13% | 0.6% | 2026-09-04 10:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.87% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 80.13% | 0.6% | 2026-09-04 10:16 |
| Matchbook◎ | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.87% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 80.13% | 0.6% | 2026-09-04 10:35 |
| ProphetX◎ | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.87% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 80.13% | 0.6% | 2026-09-04 14:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.93% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 80.07% | 2.4% | 2026-09-04 12:30 |