Idioma:Español
Emma Navarro v Karolina Muchova
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Emma Navarro (Local)
Predicción 22.35%4.47momio equitativo
EV +9.51%
Ventaja +1.94%
Kelly +2.44%
Crecimiento +0.232%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.90
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
19.41%22.25%22.38%24.18%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.924.254.204.9025.51%23.52%23.81%20.41%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Karolina Muchova (Visitante)
Predicción 77.65%1.29momio equitativo
EV -2.94%
Ventaja -2.35%
Kelly -11.75%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.25
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
75.82%77.75%77.62%80.59%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.171.221.231.2585.47%81.70%81.30%80.00%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Emma Navarro (Local): 22.35%; Karolina Muchova (Visitante): 77.65%. Para Emma Navarro (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 4.47. 10 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 4.90, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +9.51%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (61 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportsBet🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV +9.51%E +1.94%K +2.44%G +0.232% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -8.37%E -7.10%K -46.51%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-04 14:05 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.70%EV +8.39%E +1.73%K +2.18%G +0.183% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.30%EV -7.60%E -6.38%K -39.98%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-04 14:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 4.67I 21.41%NM 20.58%EV +4.37%E +0.936%K +1.19%G +0.052% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.42%EV -6.04%E -4.99%K -28.77%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-04 13:30 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 4.67I 21.41%NM 20.58%EV +4.37%E +0.936%K +1.19%G +0.052% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.42%EV -6.04%E -4.99%K -28.77%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-04 13:25 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV +2.81%E +0.610%K +0.780%G +0.022% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -7.60%E -6.38%K -39.98%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-04 08:10 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.60%EV +0.572%E +0.127%K +0.163%G +0.001% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 78.40%EV -3.71%E -2.99%K -15.47%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-09-04 14:05 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.47%EV +0.572%E +0.127%K +0.163%G +0.001% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 78.53%EV -4.49%E -3.65%K -19.52%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-09-04 08:40 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV +0.572%E +0.127%K +0.163%G +0.001% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.82%E -5.68%K -34.10%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-04 14:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV +0.572%E +0.127%K +0.163%G +0.001% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -9.15%E -7.82%K -53.82%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-04 14:00 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 4.49I 22.27%NM 21.78%EV +0.348%E +0.078%K +0.100%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 78.22%EV -2.94%E -2.35%K -11.75%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-09-04 12:35 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -1.66%E -0.378%K -0.489%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -5.27%E -4.32%K -23.94%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-04 08:40 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -1.66%E -0.378%K -0.489%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -6.82%E -5.68%K -34.10%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-04 13:25 |
| TAB🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -1.66%E -0.378%K -0.489%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -6.82%E -5.68%K -34.10%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-04 13:25 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.98%EV -3.23%E -0.745%K -0.969%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.02%EV -5.27%E -4.32%K -23.94%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-04 14:05 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.38%EV -3.90%E -0.907%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.62%EV -3.71%E -2.99%K -15.47%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-04 10:50 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.38%EV -3.90%E -0.907%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.62%EV -3.71%E -2.99%K -15.47%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-04 06:08 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.38%EV -3.90%E -0.907%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.62%EV -3.71%E -2.99%K -15.47%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-04 14:20 |
| BetUS🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -3.90%E -0.907%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -5.27%E -4.32%K -23.94%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-04 14:05 |
| Bovada🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV -5.02%E -1.18%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.41%EV -3.71%E -2.99%K -15.47%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-03 21:20 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV -5.02%E -1.18%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.41%EV -3.71%E -2.99%K -15.47%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-04 10:29 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.45%EV -5.02%E -1.18%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.55%EV -4.49%E -3.65%K -19.52%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-04 13:25 |
| Betway🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -5.02%E -1.18%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -5.27%E -4.32%K -23.94%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-04 02:49 |
| GTbets🎯 | 4.21I 23.75%NM 22.89%EV -5.91%E -1.40%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 77.11%EV -2.94%E -2.35%K -11.75%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-04 02:50 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -6.13%E -1.46%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.49%E -3.65%K -19.52%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-04 02:54 |
| ReBet🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -6.13%E -1.46%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.49%E -3.65%K -19.52%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-04 11:50 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -6.13%E -1.46%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.49%E -3.65%K -19.52%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-04 10:30 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -6.13%E -1.46%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.49%E -3.65%K -19.52%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-04 10:30 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -6.13%E -1.46%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.49%E -3.65%K -19.52%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-04 10:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -6.13%E -1.46%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.49%E -3.65%K -19.52%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-04 10:30 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -6.13%E -1.46%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.49%E -3.65%K -19.52%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-04 10:30 |
| Casumo🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -6.13%E -1.46%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.49%E -3.65%K -19.52%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-04 10:30 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -6.13%E -1.46%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.49%E -3.65%K -19.52%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-04 10:30 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -6.13%E -1.46%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.49%E -3.65%K -19.52%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-04 10:30 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -6.13%E -1.46%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.49%E -3.65%K -19.52%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-04 10:30 |
| Unibet🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -6.13%E -1.46%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.49%E -3.65%K -19.52%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-04 10:30 |
| betPARX🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -6.13%E -1.46%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.49%E -3.65%K -19.52%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-04 10:27 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -6.13%E -1.46%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.49%E -3.65%K -19.52%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-04 10:30 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -6.13%E -1.46%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.49%E -3.65%K -19.52%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-04 10:30 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -6.13%E -1.46%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.49%E -3.65%K -19.52%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-04 10:30 |
| 888sport🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -6.13%E -1.46%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -5.27%E -4.32%K -23.94%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-04 13:25 |
| William Hill🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -6.13%E -1.46%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -5.27%E -4.32%K -23.94%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-04 13:25 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -6.13%E -1.46%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -5.27%E -4.32%K -23.94%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-04 13:25 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -6.13%E -1.46%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -5.27%E -4.32%K -23.94%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-04 13:25 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -6.13%E -1.46%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.63%EV -6.04%E -4.99%K -28.77%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-04 02:50 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 4.15I 24.10%NM 23.01%EV -7.25%E -1.75%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.99%EV -3.71%E -2.99%K -15.47%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-04 02:50 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 4.15I 24.10%NM 23.01%EV -7.25%E -1.75%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.99%EV -3.71%E -2.99%K -15.47%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-03 21:20 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.72%EV -7.25%E -1.75%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.28%EV -5.27%E -4.32%K -23.94%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-04 14:05 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 4.12I 24.27%NM 22.85%EV -7.92%E -1.92%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.15%EV -5.27%E -4.32%K -23.94%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-04 02:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 4.12I 24.27%NM 22.85%EV -7.92%E -1.92%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.15%EV -5.27%E -4.32%K -23.94%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-04 02:50 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -8.37%E -2.04%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -4.49%E -3.65%K -19.52%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-04 05:50 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -8.37%E -2.04%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -5.27%E -4.32%K -23.94%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-04 13:25 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -8.37%E -2.04%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -5.27%E -4.32%K -23.94%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-04 10:30 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -8.37%E -2.04%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -5.27%E -4.32%K -23.94%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-03 21:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -10.60%E -2.65%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -3.71%E -2.99%K -15.47%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-03 21:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -10.60%E -2.65%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -3.71%E -2.99%K -15.47%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-03 21:40 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -10.60%E -2.65%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.27%E -4.32%K -23.94%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-03 21:20 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -10.60%E -2.65%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.27%E -4.32%K -23.94%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-04 02:49 |
| Caesars🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -10.60%E -2.65%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.27%E -4.32%K -23.94%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-03 08:13 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -10.60%E -2.65%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.27%E -4.32%K -23.94%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-03 21:40 |
| Coral🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -10.60%E -2.65%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.27%E -4.32%K -23.94%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-03 21:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.92I 25.51%NM 24.18%EV -12.39%E -3.16%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.82%EV -2.94%E -2.35%K -11.75%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-04 07:00 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (7)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 4.88I 20.49%NM 20.39% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 79.61% | 0.5% | 2026-09-04 12:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.87% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 80.13% | 0.6% | 2026-09-04 10:16 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.87% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 80.13% | 0.6% | 2026-09-04 10:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.87% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 80.13% | 0.6% | 2026-09-04 10:16 |
| Matchbook◎ | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.87% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 80.13% | 0.6% | 2026-09-04 10:35 |
| ProphetX◎ | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.87% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 80.13% | 0.6% | 2026-09-04 14:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.93% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 80.07% | 2.4% | 2026-09-04 12:30 |