Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Emma Navarro v Karolina Muchova

Início: 2026-09-04 17:50 UTC

Final: Emma Navarro 2–0 Karolina Muchova

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

61 casas de apostas (19 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Emma Navarro (Local)

Previsão 22.35%4.47odd justa
EV +9.51%
Vantagem +1.94%
Kelly +2.44%
Crescimento +0.232%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.90

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
19.41%22.25%22.38%24.18%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.924.254.204.9025.51%23.52%23.81%20.41%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Karolina Muchova (Visitante)

Previsão 77.65%1.29odd justa
EV -2.94%
Vantagem -2.35%
Kelly -11.75%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.25

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
75.82%77.75%77.62%80.59%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.171.221.231.2585.47%81.70%81.30%80.00%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Emma Navarro (Local): 22.35%; Karolina Muchova (Visitante): 77.65%. Para Emma Navarro (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 4.47. 10 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 4.90, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +9.51%.

Odds das casas de apostas (61 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
SportsBet🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV +9.51%E +1.94%K +2.44%G +0.232%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -8.37%E -7.10%K -46.51%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-04 14:05
FanDuel🎯4.85I 20.62%NM 19.70%EV +8.39%E +1.73%K +2.18%G +0.183%1.19I 84.03%NM 80.30%EV -7.60%E -6.38%K -39.98%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-04 14:00
BetOnline.ag🎯4.67I 21.41%NM 20.58%EV +4.37%E +0.936%K +1.19%G +0.052%1.21I 82.64%NM 79.42%EV -6.04%E -4.99%K -28.77%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-04 13:30
LowVig.ag🎯4.67I 21.41%NM 20.58%EV +4.37%E +0.936%K +1.19%G +0.052%1.21I 82.64%NM 79.42%EV -6.04%E -4.99%K -28.77%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-04 13:25
PlayUp🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV +2.81%E +0.610%K +0.780%G +0.022%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -7.60%E -6.38%K -39.98%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-04 08:10
Coolbet🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.60%EV +0.572%E +0.127%K +0.163%G +0.001%1.24I 80.65%NM 78.40%EV -3.71%E -2.99%K -15.47%G +0.000%2.9%2026-09-04 14:05
Winamax (DE)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.47%EV +0.572%E +0.127%K +0.163%G +0.001%1.23I 81.30%NM 78.53%EV -4.49%E -3.65%K -19.52%G +0.000%3.5%2026-09-04 08:40
Sky Bet🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV +0.572%E +0.127%K +0.163%G +0.001%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.82%E -5.68%K -34.10%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-04 14:00
Paddy Power🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV +0.572%E +0.127%K +0.163%G +0.001%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -9.15%E -7.82%K -53.82%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-04 14:00
Pinnacle🎯4.49I 22.27%NM 21.78%EV +0.348%E +0.078%K +0.100%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 78.22%EV -2.94%E -2.35%K -11.75%G +0.000%2.3%2026-09-04 12:35
Winamax (FR)🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -1.66%E -0.378%K -0.489%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -5.27%E -4.32%K -23.94%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-04 08:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -1.66%E -0.378%K -0.489%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -6.82%E -5.68%K -34.10%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-04 13:25
TAB🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -1.66%E -0.378%K -0.489%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -6.82%E -5.68%K -34.10%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-04 13:25
BoyleSports🎯4.33I 23.09%NM 21.98%EV -3.23%E -0.745%K -0.969%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.02%EV -5.27%E -4.32%K -23.94%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-04 14:05
Unibet (UK)🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 22.38%EV -3.90%E -0.907%K -1.18%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 77.62%EV -3.71%E -2.99%K -15.47%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-04 10:50
Betclic (FR)🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 22.38%EV -3.90%E -0.907%K -1.18%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 77.62%EV -3.71%E -2.99%K -15.47%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-04 06:08
1xBet🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 22.38%EV -3.90%E -0.907%K -1.18%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 77.62%EV -3.71%E -2.99%K -15.47%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-04 14:20
BetUS🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -3.90%E -0.907%K -1.18%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -5.27%E -4.32%K -23.94%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-04 14:05
Bovada🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV -5.02%E -1.18%K -1.54%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 77.41%EV -3.71%E -2.99%K -15.47%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-03 21:20
Hard Rock Bet🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV -5.02%E -1.18%K -1.54%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 77.41%EV -3.71%E -2.99%K -15.47%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-04 10:29
Bet Right🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 22.45%EV -5.02%E -1.18%K -1.54%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.55%EV -4.49%E -3.65%K -19.52%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-04 13:25
Betway🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -5.02%E -1.18%K -1.54%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -5.27%E -4.32%K -23.94%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-04 02:49
GTbets🎯4.21I 23.75%NM 22.89%EV -5.91%E -1.40%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 77.11%EV -2.94%E -2.35%K -11.75%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-04 02:50
MyBookie.ag🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -6.13%E -1.46%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.49%E -3.65%K -19.52%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-04 02:54
ReBet🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -6.13%E -1.46%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.49%E -3.65%K -19.52%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-04 11:50
Virgin Bet🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -6.13%E -1.46%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.49%E -3.65%K -19.52%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-04 10:30
Unibet (SE)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -6.13%E -1.46%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.49%E -3.65%K -19.52%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-04 10:30
BetRivers🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -6.13%E -1.46%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.49%E -3.65%K -19.52%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-04 10:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -6.13%E -1.46%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.49%E -3.65%K -19.52%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-04 10:30
Unibet (NL)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -6.13%E -1.46%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.49%E -3.65%K -19.52%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-04 10:30
Casumo🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -6.13%E -1.46%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.49%E -3.65%K -19.52%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-04 10:30
LiveScore Bet🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -6.13%E -1.46%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.49%E -3.65%K -19.52%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-04 10:30
Grosvenor🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -6.13%E -1.46%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.49%E -3.65%K -19.52%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-04 10:30
TABtouch🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -6.13%E -1.46%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.49%E -3.65%K -19.52%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-04 10:30
Unibet🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -6.13%E -1.46%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.49%E -3.65%K -19.52%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-04 10:30
betPARX🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -6.13%E -1.46%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.49%E -3.65%K -19.52%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-04 10:27
Bally Bet🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -6.13%E -1.46%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.49%E -3.65%K -19.52%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-04 10:30
ATG (SE)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -6.13%E -1.46%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.49%E -3.65%K -19.52%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-04 10:30
Svenska Spel🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -6.13%E -1.46%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.49%E -3.65%K -19.52%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-04 10:30
888sport🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -6.13%E -1.46%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -5.27%E -4.32%K -23.94%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-04 13:25
William Hill🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -6.13%E -1.46%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -5.27%E -4.32%K -23.94%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-04 13:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -6.13%E -1.46%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -5.27%E -4.32%K -23.94%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-04 13:25
888sport (SE)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -6.13%E -1.46%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -5.27%E -4.32%K -23.94%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-04 13:25
NetBet (FR)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -6.13%E -1.46%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 77.63%EV -6.04%E -4.99%K -28.77%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-04 02:50
Fanatics🎯4.15I 24.10%NM 23.01%EV -7.25%E -1.75%K -2.30%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.99%EV -3.71%E -2.99%K -15.47%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-04 02:50
BetAnything🎯4.15I 24.10%NM 23.01%EV -7.25%E -1.75%K -2.30%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.99%EV -3.71%E -2.99%K -15.47%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-03 21:20
Betr (AU)🎯4.15I 24.10%NM 22.72%EV -7.25%E -1.75%K -2.30%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.28%EV -5.27%E -4.32%K -23.94%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-04 14:05
NordicBet🎯4.12I 24.27%NM 22.85%EV -7.92%E -1.92%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.15%EV -5.27%E -4.32%K -23.94%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-04 02:50
Betsson🎯4.12I 24.27%NM 22.85%EV -7.92%E -1.92%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.15%EV -5.27%E -4.32%K -23.94%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-04 02:50
theScore Bet🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -8.37%E -2.04%K -2.70%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -4.49%E -3.65%K -19.52%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-04 05:50
LeoVegas🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -8.37%E -2.04%K -2.70%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -5.27%E -4.32%K -23.94%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-04 13:25
PMU (FR)🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -8.37%E -2.04%K -2.70%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -5.27%E -4.32%K -23.94%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-04 10:30
BetMGM🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -8.37%E -2.04%K -2.70%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -5.27%E -4.32%K -23.94%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-03 21:40
Neds🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -10.60%E -2.65%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -3.71%E -2.99%K -15.47%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-03 21:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -10.60%E -2.65%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -3.71%E -2.99%K -15.47%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-03 21:40
betfred_uk🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -10.60%E -2.65%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.27%E -4.32%K -23.94%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-03 21:20
betano_uk🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -10.60%E -2.65%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.27%E -4.32%K -23.94%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-04 02:49
Caesars🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -10.60%E -2.65%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.27%E -4.32%K -23.94%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-03 08:13
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -10.60%E -2.65%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.27%E -4.32%K -23.94%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-03 21:40
Coral🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -10.60%E -2.65%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.27%E -4.32%K -23.94%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-03 21:40
DraftKings🎯3.92I 25.51%NM 24.18%EV -12.39%E -3.16%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.82%EV -2.94%E -2.35%K -11.75%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-04 07:00
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (7)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Novig◎4.88I 20.49%NM 20.39%1.25I 80.00%NM 79.61%0.5%2026-09-04 12:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎5.00I 20.00%NM 19.87%1.24I 80.65%NM 80.13%0.6%2026-09-04 10:16
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎5.00I 20.00%NM 19.87%1.24I 80.65%NM 80.13%0.6%2026-09-04 10:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎5.00I 20.00%NM 19.87%1.24I 80.65%NM 80.13%0.6%2026-09-04 10:16
Matchbook◎5.00I 20.00%NM 19.87%1.24I 80.65%NM 80.13%0.6%2026-09-04 10:35
ProphetX◎5.00I 20.00%NM 19.87%1.24I 80.65%NM 80.13%0.6%2026-09-04 14:00
Smarkets◎4.90I 20.41%NM 19.93%1.22I 81.97%NM 80.07%2.4%2026-09-04 12:30