Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Emma Navarro v Karolina Muchova

Coup d’envoi : 2026-09-04 17:50 UTC

Score final : Emma Navarro 2–0 Karolina Muchova

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

61 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Emma Navarro (Local)

Prévision 22.35%4.47cote équitable
EV +9.51%
Avantage +1.94%
Kelly +2.44%
Croissance +0.232%

avec la cote maximale 4.90

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
19.41%22.25%22.38%24.18%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.924.254.204.9025.51%23.52%23.81%20.41%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Karolina Muchova (Visiteur)

Prévision 77.65%1.29cote équitable
EV -2.94%
Avantage -2.35%
Kelly -11.75%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.25

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
75.82%77.75%77.62%80.59%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.171.221.231.2585.47%81.70%81.30%80.00%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Emma Navarro (Local) : 22.35% ; Karolina Muchova (Visiteur) : 77.65%. Pour Emma Navarro (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 4.47. 10 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 4.90, soit une espérance positive de +9.51%.

Cotes des opérateurs (61 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
SportsBet🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV +9.51%E +1.94%K +2.44%G +0.232%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -8.37%E -7.10%K -46.51%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-04 14:05
FanDuel🎯4.85I 20.62%NM 19.70%EV +8.39%E +1.73%K +2.18%G +0.183%1.19I 84.03%NM 80.30%EV -7.60%E -6.38%K -39.98%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-04 14:00
BetOnline.ag🎯4.67I 21.41%NM 20.58%EV +4.37%E +0.936%K +1.19%G +0.052%1.21I 82.64%NM 79.42%EV -6.04%E -4.99%K -28.77%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-04 13:30
LowVig.ag🎯4.67I 21.41%NM 20.58%EV +4.37%E +0.936%K +1.19%G +0.052%1.21I 82.64%NM 79.42%EV -6.04%E -4.99%K -28.77%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-04 13:25
PlayUp🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV +2.81%E +0.610%K +0.780%G +0.022%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -7.60%E -6.38%K -39.98%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-04 08:10
Coolbet🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.60%EV +0.572%E +0.127%K +0.163%G +0.001%1.24I 80.65%NM 78.40%EV -3.71%E -2.99%K -15.47%G +0.000%2.9%2026-09-04 14:05
Winamax (DE)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.47%EV +0.572%E +0.127%K +0.163%G +0.001%1.23I 81.30%NM 78.53%EV -4.49%E -3.65%K -19.52%G +0.000%3.5%2026-09-04 08:40
Sky Bet🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV +0.572%E +0.127%K +0.163%G +0.001%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.82%E -5.68%K -34.10%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-04 14:00
Paddy Power🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV +0.572%E +0.127%K +0.163%G +0.001%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -9.15%E -7.82%K -53.82%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-04 14:00
Pinnacle🎯4.49I 22.27%NM 21.78%EV +0.348%E +0.078%K +0.100%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 78.22%EV -2.94%E -2.35%K -11.75%G +0.000%2.3%2026-09-04 12:35
Winamax (FR)🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -1.66%E -0.378%K -0.489%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -5.27%E -4.32%K -23.94%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-04 08:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -1.66%E -0.378%K -0.489%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -6.82%E -5.68%K -34.10%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-04 13:25
TAB🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -1.66%E -0.378%K -0.489%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -6.82%E -5.68%K -34.10%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-04 13:25
BoyleSports🎯4.33I 23.09%NM 21.98%EV -3.23%E -0.745%K -0.969%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.02%EV -5.27%E -4.32%K -23.94%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-04 14:05
Unibet (UK)🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 22.38%EV -3.90%E -0.907%K -1.18%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 77.62%EV -3.71%E -2.99%K -15.47%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-04 10:50
Betclic (FR)🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 22.38%EV -3.90%E -0.907%K -1.18%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 77.62%EV -3.71%E -2.99%K -15.47%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-04 06:08
1xBet🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 22.38%EV -3.90%E -0.907%K -1.18%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 77.62%EV -3.71%E -2.99%K -15.47%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-04 14:20
BetUS🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -3.90%E -0.907%K -1.18%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -5.27%E -4.32%K -23.94%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-04 14:05
Bovada🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV -5.02%E -1.18%K -1.54%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 77.41%EV -3.71%E -2.99%K -15.47%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-03 21:20
Hard Rock Bet🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV -5.02%E -1.18%K -1.54%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 77.41%EV -3.71%E -2.99%K -15.47%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-04 10:29
Bet Right🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 22.45%EV -5.02%E -1.18%K -1.54%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.55%EV -4.49%E -3.65%K -19.52%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-04 13:25
Betway🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -5.02%E -1.18%K -1.54%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -5.27%E -4.32%K -23.94%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-04 02:49
GTbets🎯4.21I 23.75%NM 22.89%EV -5.91%E -1.40%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 77.11%EV -2.94%E -2.35%K -11.75%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-04 02:50
MyBookie.ag🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -6.13%E -1.46%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.49%E -3.65%K -19.52%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-04 02:54
ReBet🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -6.13%E -1.46%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.49%E -3.65%K -19.52%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-04 11:50
Virgin Bet🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -6.13%E -1.46%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.49%E -3.65%K -19.52%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-04 10:30
Unibet (SE)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -6.13%E -1.46%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.49%E -3.65%K -19.52%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-04 10:30
BetRivers🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -6.13%E -1.46%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.49%E -3.65%K -19.52%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-04 10:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -6.13%E -1.46%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.49%E -3.65%K -19.52%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-04 10:30
Unibet (NL)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -6.13%E -1.46%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.49%E -3.65%K -19.52%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-04 10:30
Casumo🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -6.13%E -1.46%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.49%E -3.65%K -19.52%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-04 10:30
LiveScore Bet🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -6.13%E -1.46%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.49%E -3.65%K -19.52%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-04 10:30
Grosvenor🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -6.13%E -1.46%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.49%E -3.65%K -19.52%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-04 10:30
TABtouch🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -6.13%E -1.46%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.49%E -3.65%K -19.52%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-04 10:30
Unibet🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -6.13%E -1.46%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.49%E -3.65%K -19.52%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-04 10:30
betPARX🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -6.13%E -1.46%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.49%E -3.65%K -19.52%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-04 10:27
Bally Bet🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -6.13%E -1.46%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.49%E -3.65%K -19.52%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-04 10:30
ATG (SE)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -6.13%E -1.46%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.49%E -3.65%K -19.52%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-04 10:30
Svenska Spel🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -6.13%E -1.46%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.49%E -3.65%K -19.52%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-04 10:30
888sport🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -6.13%E -1.46%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -5.27%E -4.32%K -23.94%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-04 13:25
William Hill🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -6.13%E -1.46%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -5.27%E -4.32%K -23.94%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-04 13:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -6.13%E -1.46%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -5.27%E -4.32%K -23.94%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-04 13:25
888sport (SE)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -6.13%E -1.46%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -5.27%E -4.32%K -23.94%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-04 13:25
NetBet (FR)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -6.13%E -1.46%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 77.63%EV -6.04%E -4.99%K -28.77%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-04 02:50
Fanatics🎯4.15I 24.10%NM 23.01%EV -7.25%E -1.75%K -2.30%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.99%EV -3.71%E -2.99%K -15.47%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-04 02:50
BetAnything🎯4.15I 24.10%NM 23.01%EV -7.25%E -1.75%K -2.30%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.99%EV -3.71%E -2.99%K -15.47%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-03 21:20
Betr (AU)🎯4.15I 24.10%NM 22.72%EV -7.25%E -1.75%K -2.30%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.28%EV -5.27%E -4.32%K -23.94%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-04 14:05
NordicBet🎯4.12I 24.27%NM 22.85%EV -7.92%E -1.92%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.15%EV -5.27%E -4.32%K -23.94%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-04 02:50
Betsson🎯4.12I 24.27%NM 22.85%EV -7.92%E -1.92%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.15%EV -5.27%E -4.32%K -23.94%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-04 02:50
theScore Bet🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -8.37%E -2.04%K -2.70%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -4.49%E -3.65%K -19.52%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-04 05:50
LeoVegas🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -8.37%E -2.04%K -2.70%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -5.27%E -4.32%K -23.94%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-04 13:25
PMU (FR)🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -8.37%E -2.04%K -2.70%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -5.27%E -4.32%K -23.94%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-04 10:30
BetMGM🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -8.37%E -2.04%K -2.70%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -5.27%E -4.32%K -23.94%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-03 21:40
Neds🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -10.60%E -2.65%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -3.71%E -2.99%K -15.47%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-03 21:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -10.60%E -2.65%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -3.71%E -2.99%K -15.47%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-03 21:40
betfred_uk🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -10.60%E -2.65%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.27%E -4.32%K -23.94%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-03 21:20
betano_uk🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -10.60%E -2.65%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.27%E -4.32%K -23.94%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-04 02:49
Caesars🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -10.60%E -2.65%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.27%E -4.32%K -23.94%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-03 08:13
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -10.60%E -2.65%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.27%E -4.32%K -23.94%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-03 21:40
Coral🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -10.60%E -2.65%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.27%E -4.32%K -23.94%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-03 21:40
DraftKings🎯3.92I 25.51%NM 24.18%EV -12.39%E -3.16%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.82%EV -2.94%E -2.35%K -11.75%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-04 07:00
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (7)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Novig◎4.88I 20.49%NM 20.39%1.25I 80.00%NM 79.61%0.5%2026-09-04 12:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎5.00I 20.00%NM 19.87%1.24I 80.65%NM 80.13%0.6%2026-09-04 10:16
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎5.00I 20.00%NM 19.87%1.24I 80.65%NM 80.13%0.6%2026-09-04 10:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎5.00I 20.00%NM 19.87%1.24I 80.65%NM 80.13%0.6%2026-09-04 10:16
Matchbook◎5.00I 20.00%NM 19.87%1.24I 80.65%NM 80.13%0.6%2026-09-04 10:35
ProphetX◎5.00I 20.00%NM 19.87%1.24I 80.65%NM 80.13%0.6%2026-09-04 14:00
Smarkets◎4.90I 20.41%NM 19.93%1.22I 81.97%NM 80.07%2.4%2026-09-04 12:30