Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 2.88
assuming max odds 1.50
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Elvina Kalieva (Local): 34.35%; Lanlana Tararudee (Visit): 65.65%. For Elvina Kalieva (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.91. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.88, with an expected value of -1.06%; they did not produce positive expected value.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.33%EV -1.06%E -0.369%K -0.565%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.67%EV -5.47%E -3.80%K -12.43%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-30 09:25 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.18%EV -1.06%E -0.369%K -0.565%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.82%EV -6.13%E -4.28%K -14.25%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-30 09:25 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.25%EV -1.75%E -0.611%K -0.940%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 65.75%EV -2.19%E -1.47%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-08-30 17:10 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.86I 34.97%NM 33.33%EV -1.75%E -0.611%K -0.940%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.67%EV -6.13%E -4.28%K -14.25%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-30 05:35 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 34.03%EV -2.09%E -0.734%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.97%EV -3.50%E -2.38%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-08-30 17:25 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -2.09%E -0.734%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -6.78%E -4.78%K -16.15%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-29 16:25 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -2.09%E -0.734%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -6.78%E -4.78%K -16.15%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-29 16:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -2.09%E -0.734%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -6.78%E -4.78%K -16.15%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-29 16:25 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -2.09%E -0.734%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -6.78%E -4.78%K -16.15%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-29 16:26 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -2.09%E -0.734%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -6.78%E -4.78%K -16.15%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-29 16:25 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -2.09%E -0.734%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -6.78%E -4.78%K -16.15%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-29 16:25 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -2.09%E -0.734%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -6.78%E -4.78%K -16.15%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-29 16:25 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -2.09%E -0.734%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -6.78%E -4.78%K -16.15%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-29 16:25 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -2.09%E -0.734%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -6.78%E -4.78%K -16.15%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-29 16:25 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -2.09%E -0.734%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -6.78%E -4.78%K -16.15%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-29 16:26 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -2.09%E -0.734%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -6.78%E -4.78%K -16.15%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-29 16:25 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -2.09%E -0.734%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -6.78%E -4.78%K -16.15%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-29 16:25 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -2.09%E -0.734%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -6.78%E -4.78%K -16.15%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-29 16:26 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -2.09%E -0.734%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -6.78%E -4.78%K -16.15%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-29 16:25 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.82I 35.46%NM 34.11%EV -3.12%E -1.11%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.89%EV -4.16%E -2.85%K -9.04%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-30 14:45 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.73%EV -3.81%E -1.36%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 65.27%EV -2.19%E -1.47%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-08-30 16:55 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -3.81%E -1.36%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -3.50%E -2.38%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-30 09:55 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.27%EV -3.81%E -1.36%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.73%EV -4.16%E -2.85%K -9.04%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-30 09:55 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.81%E -1.36%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.81%E -3.32%K -10.70%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-30 09:41 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.81%E -1.36%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.81%E -3.32%K -10.70%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-30 17:33 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.81%E -1.36%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.81%E -3.32%K -10.70%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-30 17:04 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -3.81%E -1.36%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.47%E -3.80%K -12.43%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-30 05:30 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -3.81%E -1.36%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -6.78%E -4.78%K -16.15%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-30 17:28 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -3.81%E -1.36%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -6.78%E -4.78%K -16.15%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-30 12:50 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.49%EV -3.81%E -1.36%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.51%EV -7.44%E -5.28%K -18.14%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-29 16:20 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -3.81%E -1.36%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -8.10%E -5.78%K -20.24%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-30 09:25 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.28%EV -4.50%E -1.62%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.72%EV -4.81%E -3.32%K -10.70%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-30 05:34 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.76I 36.23%NM 34.44%EV -5.18%E -1.88%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.56%EV -4.81%E -3.32%K -10.70%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-29 03:30 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.76I 36.23%NM 34.29%EV -5.18%E -1.88%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.71%EV -5.47%E -3.80%K -12.43%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-30 17:05 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.53%E -2.01%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.81%E -3.32%K -10.70%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-30 17:25 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.53%E -2.01%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.47%E -3.80%K -12.43%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-29 14:35 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.53%E -2.01%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.47%E -3.80%K -12.43%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-30 05:25 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.53%E -2.01%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.47%E -3.80%K -12.43%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-30 05:25 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.53%E -2.01%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.47%E -3.80%K -12.43%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-30 05:30 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.53%E -2.01%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.47%E -3.80%K -12.43%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-30 10:25 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -5.53%E -2.01%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -6.78%E -4.78%K -16.15%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-29 10:38 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.73I 36.63%NM 34.69%EV -6.21%E -2.28%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.31%EV -4.81%E -3.32%K -10.70%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-30 17:05 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.72I 36.76%NM 35.39%EV -6.56%E -2.41%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.61%EV -2.19%E -1.47%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-30 05:29 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.72I 36.76%NM 35.39%EV -6.56%E -2.41%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.61%EV -2.19%E -1.47%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-30 05:30 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -7.25%E -2.68%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -2.19%E -1.47%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-30 05:30 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -7.25%E -2.68%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.81%E -3.32%K -10.70%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-30 13:35 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -7.25%E -2.68%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.81%E -3.32%K -10.70%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-30 17:35 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -7.25%E -2.68%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.81%E -3.32%K -10.70%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-30 17:35 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -7.25%E -2.68%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.81%E -3.32%K -10.70%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-30 07:15 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -7.25%E -2.68%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.81%E -3.32%K -10.70%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-30 05:40 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -7.25%E -2.68%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -6.13%E -4.28%K -14.25%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-30 17:35 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -8.96%E -3.38%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -2.84%E -1.92%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-30 05:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -8.96%E -3.38%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -2.84%E -1.92%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-30 05:40 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.05%EV -8.96%E -3.38%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.95%EV -6.13%E -4.28%K -14.25%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-30 15:50 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -9.99%E -3.81%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.47%E -3.80%K -12.43%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-30 05:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -9.99%E -3.81%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.47%E -3.80%K -12.43%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-30 05:45 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -10.68%E -4.11%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -1.53%E -1.02%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-30 13:35 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -10.68%E -4.11%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -1.53%E -1.02%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-30 13:35 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -10.68%E -4.11%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -1.53%E -1.02%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-30 13:35 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -10.68%E -4.11%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -1.53%E -1.02%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-30 13:35 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 2.94I 34.01%NM 34.08% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 65.92% | -0.2% | 2026-08-30 17:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.88I 34.72%NM 34.55% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 65.45% | 0.5% | 2026-08-30 17:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.88I 34.72%NM 34.55% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 65.45% | 0.5% | 2026-08-30 17:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.88I 34.72%NM 34.55% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 65.45% | 0.5% | 2026-08-30 17:20 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.88I 34.72%NM 34.55% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 65.45% | 0.5% | 2026-08-30 17:30 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.90I 34.48%NM 34.24% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 65.76% | 0.7% | 2026-08-30 17:20 |
| Novig◎ | 2.90I 34.48%NM 34.09% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 65.91% | 1.1% | 2026-08-30 17:30 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.84I 35.21%NM 34.41% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 65.59% | 2.3% | 2026-08-30 17:35 |