Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Elvina Kalieva v Lanlana Tararudee

Coup d’envoi : 2026-08-30 17:44 UTC

Score final : Elvina Kalieva 1–2 Lanlana Tararudee

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

60 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Elvina Kalieva (Local)

Prévision 34.35%2.91cote équitable
EV -1.06%
Avantage -0.369%
Kelly -0.565%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.88

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
33.18%34.41%34.33%36.59%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.602.772.802.8838.46%36.13%35.71%34.72%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Lanlana Tararudee (Visiteur)

Prévision 65.65%1.52cote équitable
EV -1.53%
Avantage -1.02%
Kelly -3.06%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
63.41%65.59%65.67%66.82%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.401.451.441.5071.43%69.17%69.44%66.67%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Elvina Kalieva (Local) : 34.35% ; Lanlana Tararudee (Visiteur) : 65.65%. Pour Elvina Kalieva (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 2.91. Aucun opérateur admissible ne proposait de cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure était 2.88, pour une espérance de -1.06% ; elle ne produisait pas d’espérance positive.

Cotes des opérateurs (60 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Sky Bet🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 33.33%EV -1.06%E -0.369%K -0.565%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.67%EV -5.47%E -3.80%K -12.43%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-30 09:25
FanDuel🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 33.18%EV -1.06%E -0.369%K -0.565%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.82%EV -6.13%E -4.28%K -14.25%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-30 09:25
1xBet🎯2.86I 34.97%NM 34.25%EV -1.75%E -0.611%K -0.940%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 65.75%EV -2.19%E -1.47%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-30 17:10
SportsBet🎯2.86I 34.97%NM 33.33%EV -1.75%E -0.611%K -0.940%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.67%EV -6.13%E -4.28%K -14.25%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-30 05:35
Coolbet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 34.03%EV -2.09%E -0.734%K -1.13%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 65.97%EV -3.50%E -2.38%K -7.45%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-30 17:25
Virgin Bet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -2.09%E -0.734%K -1.13%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -6.78%E -4.78%K -16.15%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-29 16:25
Grosvenor🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -2.09%E -0.734%K -1.13%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -6.78%E -4.78%K -16.15%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-29 16:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -2.09%E -0.734%K -1.13%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -6.78%E -4.78%K -16.15%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-29 16:25
Unibet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -2.09%E -0.734%K -1.13%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -6.78%E -4.78%K -16.15%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-29 16:26
Casumo🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -2.09%E -0.734%K -1.13%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -6.78%E -4.78%K -16.15%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-29 16:25
Unibet (SE)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -2.09%E -0.734%K -1.13%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -6.78%E -4.78%K -16.15%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-29 16:25
LiveScore Bet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -2.09%E -0.734%K -1.13%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -6.78%E -4.78%K -16.15%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-29 16:25
Unibet (NL)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -2.09%E -0.734%K -1.13%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -6.78%E -4.78%K -16.15%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-29 16:25
Bally Bet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -2.09%E -0.734%K -1.13%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -6.78%E -4.78%K -16.15%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-29 16:25
Svenska Spel🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -2.09%E -0.734%K -1.13%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -6.78%E -4.78%K -16.15%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-29 16:26
betPARX🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -2.09%E -0.734%K -1.13%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -6.78%E -4.78%K -16.15%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-29 16:25
ATG (SE)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -2.09%E -0.734%K -1.13%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -6.78%E -4.78%K -16.15%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-29 16:25
BetRivers🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -2.09%E -0.734%K -1.13%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -6.78%E -4.78%K -16.15%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-29 16:26
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -2.09%E -0.734%K -1.13%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -6.78%E -4.78%K -16.15%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-29 16:25
ReBet🎯2.82I 35.46%NM 34.11%EV -3.12%E -1.11%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 65.89%EV -4.16%E -2.85%K -9.04%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-30 14:45
Pinnacle🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.73%EV -3.81%E -1.36%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 65.27%EV -2.19%E -1.47%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.8%2026-08-30 16:55
Winamax (DE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -3.81%E -1.36%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -3.50%E -2.38%K -7.45%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-30 09:55
Winamax (FR)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.27%EV -3.81%E -1.36%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 65.73%EV -4.16%E -2.85%K -9.04%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-30 09:55
Unibet (UK)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.81%E -1.36%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.81%E -3.32%K -10.70%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-30 09:41
betano_uk🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.81%E -1.36%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.81%E -3.32%K -10.70%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-30 17:33
Bovada🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.81%E -1.36%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.81%E -3.32%K -10.70%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-30 17:04
Fanatics🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -3.81%E -1.36%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.47%E -3.80%K -12.43%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-30 05:30
Betclic (FR)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -3.81%E -1.36%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -6.78%E -4.78%K -16.15%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-30 17:28
Tipico (DE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -3.81%E -1.36%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -6.78%E -4.78%K -16.15%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-30 12:50
PMU (FR)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.49%EV -3.81%E -1.36%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 66.51%EV -7.44%E -5.28%K -18.14%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-29 16:20
Paddy Power🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -3.81%E -1.36%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -8.10%E -5.78%K -20.24%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-30 09:25
MyBookie.ag🎯2.78I 35.97%NM 34.28%EV -4.50%E -1.62%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.72%EV -4.81%E -3.32%K -10.70%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-30 05:34
GTbets🎯2.76I 36.23%NM 34.44%EV -5.18%E -1.88%K -2.95%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.56%EV -4.81%E -3.32%K -10.70%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-29 03:30
Marathon Bet🎯2.76I 36.23%NM 34.29%EV -5.18%E -1.88%K -2.95%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.71%EV -5.47%E -3.80%K -12.43%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-30 17:05
Bet Right🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.53%E -2.01%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.81%E -3.32%K -10.70%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-30 17:25
Betway🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.53%E -2.01%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.47%E -3.80%K -12.43%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-29 14:35
betfred_uk🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.53%E -2.01%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.47%E -3.80%K -12.43%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-30 05:25
TAB🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.53%E -2.01%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.47%E -3.80%K -12.43%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-30 05:25
BoyleSports🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.53%E -2.01%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.47%E -3.80%K -12.43%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-30 05:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.53%E -2.01%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.47%E -3.80%K -12.43%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-30 10:25
Caesars🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -5.53%E -2.01%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -6.78%E -4.78%K -16.15%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-29 10:38
DraftKings🎯2.73I 36.63%NM 34.69%EV -6.21%E -2.28%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.31%EV -4.81%E -3.32%K -10.70%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-30 17:05
LowVig.ag🎯2.72I 36.76%NM 35.39%EV -6.56%E -2.41%K -3.81%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 64.61%EV -2.19%E -1.47%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-30 05:29
BetOnline.ag🎯2.72I 36.76%NM 35.39%EV -6.56%E -2.41%K -3.81%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 64.61%EV -2.19%E -1.47%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-30 05:30
BetAnything🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -7.25%E -2.68%K -4.26%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -2.19%E -1.47%K -4.46%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-30 05:30
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -7.25%E -2.68%K -4.26%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.81%E -3.32%K -10.70%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-30 13:35
Betr (AU)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -7.25%E -2.68%K -4.26%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.81%E -3.32%K -10.70%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-30 17:35
LeoVegas🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -7.25%E -2.68%K -4.26%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.81%E -3.32%K -10.70%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-30 17:35
PlayUp🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -7.25%E -2.68%K -4.26%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.81%E -3.32%K -10.70%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-30 07:15
BetMGM🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -7.25%E -2.68%K -4.26%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.81%E -3.32%K -10.70%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-30 05:40
NetBet (FR)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -7.25%E -2.68%K -4.26%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -6.13%E -4.28%K -14.25%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-30 17:35
Neds🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -8.96%E -3.38%K -5.43%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -2.84%E -1.92%K -5.92%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-30 05:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -8.96%E -3.38%K -5.43%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -2.84%E -1.92%K -5.92%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-30 05:40
theScore Bet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.05%EV -8.96%E -3.38%K -5.43%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 64.95%EV -6.13%E -4.28%K -14.25%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-30 15:50
Coral🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -9.99%E -3.81%K -6.17%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.47%E -3.80%K -12.43%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-30 05:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -9.99%E -3.81%K -6.17%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.47%E -3.80%K -12.43%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-30 05:45
William Hill🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -10.68%E -4.11%K -6.68%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -1.53%E -1.02%K -3.06%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-30 13:35
888sport🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -10.68%E -4.11%K -6.68%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -1.53%E -1.02%K -3.06%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-30 13:35
888sport (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -10.68%E -4.11%K -6.68%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -1.53%E -1.02%K -3.06%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-30 13:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -10.68%E -4.11%K -6.68%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -1.53%E -1.02%K -3.06%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-30 13:35
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (8)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Kalshi◎2.94I 34.01%NM 34.08%1.52I 65.79%NM 65.92%-0.2%2026-08-30 17:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.88I 34.72%NM 34.55%1.52I 65.79%NM 65.45%0.5%2026-08-30 17:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.88I 34.72%NM 34.55%1.52I 65.79%NM 65.45%0.5%2026-08-30 17:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.88I 34.72%NM 34.55%1.52I 65.79%NM 65.45%0.5%2026-08-30 17:20
Matchbook◎2.88I 34.72%NM 34.55%1.52I 65.79%NM 65.45%0.5%2026-08-30 17:30
ProphetX◎2.90I 34.48%NM 34.24%1.51I 66.23%NM 65.76%0.7%2026-08-30 17:20
Novig◎2.90I 34.48%NM 34.09%1.50I 66.67%NM 65.91%1.1%2026-08-30 17:30
Smarkets◎2.84I 35.21%NM 34.41%1.49I 67.11%NM 65.59%2.3%2026-08-30 17:35