Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Elvina Kalieva v Lanlana Tararudee

Início: 2026-08-30 17:44 UTC

Final: Elvina Kalieva 1–2 Lanlana Tararudee

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

60 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Elvina Kalieva (Local)

Previsão 34.35%2.91odd justa
EV -1.06%
Vantagem -0.369%
Kelly -0.565%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.88

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
33.18%34.41%34.33%36.59%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.602.772.802.8838.46%36.13%35.71%34.72%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Lanlana Tararudee (Visitante)

Previsão 65.65%1.52odd justa
EV -1.53%
Vantagem -1.02%
Kelly -3.06%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.50

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
63.41%65.59%65.67%66.82%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.401.451.441.5071.43%69.17%69.44%66.67%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Elvina Kalieva (Local): 34.35%; Lanlana Tararudee (Visitante): 65.65%. Para Elvina Kalieva (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.91. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 2.88, com valor esperado de -1.06%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (60 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Sky Bet🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 33.33%EV -1.06%E -0.369%K -0.565%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.67%EV -5.47%E -3.80%K -12.43%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-30 09:25
FanDuel🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 33.18%EV -1.06%E -0.369%K -0.565%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.82%EV -6.13%E -4.28%K -14.25%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-30 09:25
1xBet🎯2.86I 34.97%NM 34.25%EV -1.75%E -0.611%K -0.940%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 65.75%EV -2.19%E -1.47%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-30 17:10
SportsBet🎯2.86I 34.97%NM 33.33%EV -1.75%E -0.611%K -0.940%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.67%EV -6.13%E -4.28%K -14.25%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-30 05:35
Coolbet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 34.03%EV -2.09%E -0.734%K -1.13%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 65.97%EV -3.50%E -2.38%K -7.45%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-30 17:25
Virgin Bet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -2.09%E -0.734%K -1.13%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -6.78%E -4.78%K -16.15%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-29 16:25
Grosvenor🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -2.09%E -0.734%K -1.13%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -6.78%E -4.78%K -16.15%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-29 16:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -2.09%E -0.734%K -1.13%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -6.78%E -4.78%K -16.15%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-29 16:25
Unibet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -2.09%E -0.734%K -1.13%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -6.78%E -4.78%K -16.15%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-29 16:26
Casumo🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -2.09%E -0.734%K -1.13%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -6.78%E -4.78%K -16.15%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-29 16:25
Unibet (SE)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -2.09%E -0.734%K -1.13%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -6.78%E -4.78%K -16.15%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-29 16:25
LiveScore Bet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -2.09%E -0.734%K -1.13%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -6.78%E -4.78%K -16.15%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-29 16:25
Unibet (NL)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -2.09%E -0.734%K -1.13%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -6.78%E -4.78%K -16.15%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-29 16:25
Bally Bet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -2.09%E -0.734%K -1.13%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -6.78%E -4.78%K -16.15%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-29 16:25
Svenska Spel🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -2.09%E -0.734%K -1.13%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -6.78%E -4.78%K -16.15%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-29 16:26
betPARX🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -2.09%E -0.734%K -1.13%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -6.78%E -4.78%K -16.15%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-29 16:25
ATG (SE)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -2.09%E -0.734%K -1.13%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -6.78%E -4.78%K -16.15%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-29 16:25
BetRivers🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -2.09%E -0.734%K -1.13%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -6.78%E -4.78%K -16.15%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-29 16:26
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -2.09%E -0.734%K -1.13%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -6.78%E -4.78%K -16.15%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-29 16:25
ReBet🎯2.82I 35.46%NM 34.11%EV -3.12%E -1.11%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 65.89%EV -4.16%E -2.85%K -9.04%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-30 14:45
Pinnacle🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.73%EV -3.81%E -1.36%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 65.27%EV -2.19%E -1.47%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.8%2026-08-30 16:55
Winamax (DE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -3.81%E -1.36%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -3.50%E -2.38%K -7.45%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-30 09:55
Winamax (FR)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.27%EV -3.81%E -1.36%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 65.73%EV -4.16%E -2.85%K -9.04%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-30 09:55
Unibet (UK)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.81%E -1.36%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.81%E -3.32%K -10.70%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-30 09:41
betano_uk🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.81%E -1.36%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.81%E -3.32%K -10.70%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-30 17:33
Bovada🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.81%E -1.36%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.81%E -3.32%K -10.70%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-30 17:04
Fanatics🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -3.81%E -1.36%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.47%E -3.80%K -12.43%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-30 05:30
Betclic (FR)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -3.81%E -1.36%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -6.78%E -4.78%K -16.15%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-30 17:28
Tipico (DE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -3.81%E -1.36%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -6.78%E -4.78%K -16.15%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-30 12:50
PMU (FR)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.49%EV -3.81%E -1.36%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 66.51%EV -7.44%E -5.28%K -18.14%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-29 16:20
Paddy Power🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -3.81%E -1.36%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -8.10%E -5.78%K -20.24%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-30 09:25
MyBookie.ag🎯2.78I 35.97%NM 34.28%EV -4.50%E -1.62%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.72%EV -4.81%E -3.32%K -10.70%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-30 05:34
GTbets🎯2.76I 36.23%NM 34.44%EV -5.18%E -1.88%K -2.95%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.56%EV -4.81%E -3.32%K -10.70%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-29 03:30
Marathon Bet🎯2.76I 36.23%NM 34.29%EV -5.18%E -1.88%K -2.95%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.71%EV -5.47%E -3.80%K -12.43%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-30 17:05
Bet Right🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.53%E -2.01%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.81%E -3.32%K -10.70%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-30 17:25
Betway🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.53%E -2.01%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.47%E -3.80%K -12.43%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-29 14:35
betfred_uk🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.53%E -2.01%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.47%E -3.80%K -12.43%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-30 05:25
TAB🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.53%E -2.01%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.47%E -3.80%K -12.43%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-30 05:25
BoyleSports🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.53%E -2.01%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.47%E -3.80%K -12.43%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-30 05:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.53%E -2.01%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.47%E -3.80%K -12.43%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-30 10:25
Caesars🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -5.53%E -2.01%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -6.78%E -4.78%K -16.15%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-29 10:38
DraftKings🎯2.73I 36.63%NM 34.69%EV -6.21%E -2.28%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.31%EV -4.81%E -3.32%K -10.70%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-30 17:05
LowVig.ag🎯2.72I 36.76%NM 35.39%EV -6.56%E -2.41%K -3.81%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 64.61%EV -2.19%E -1.47%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-30 05:29
BetOnline.ag🎯2.72I 36.76%NM 35.39%EV -6.56%E -2.41%K -3.81%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 64.61%EV -2.19%E -1.47%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-30 05:30
BetAnything🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -7.25%E -2.68%K -4.26%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -2.19%E -1.47%K -4.46%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-30 05:30
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -7.25%E -2.68%K -4.26%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.81%E -3.32%K -10.70%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-30 13:35
Betr (AU)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -7.25%E -2.68%K -4.26%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.81%E -3.32%K -10.70%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-30 17:35
LeoVegas🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -7.25%E -2.68%K -4.26%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.81%E -3.32%K -10.70%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-30 17:35
PlayUp🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -7.25%E -2.68%K -4.26%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.81%E -3.32%K -10.70%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-30 07:15
BetMGM🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -7.25%E -2.68%K -4.26%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.81%E -3.32%K -10.70%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-30 05:40
NetBet (FR)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -7.25%E -2.68%K -4.26%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -6.13%E -4.28%K -14.25%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-30 17:35
Neds🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -8.96%E -3.38%K -5.43%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -2.84%E -1.92%K -5.92%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-30 05:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -8.96%E -3.38%K -5.43%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -2.84%E -1.92%K -5.92%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-30 05:40
theScore Bet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.05%EV -8.96%E -3.38%K -5.43%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 64.95%EV -6.13%E -4.28%K -14.25%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-30 15:50
Coral🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -9.99%E -3.81%K -6.17%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.47%E -3.80%K -12.43%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-30 05:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -9.99%E -3.81%K -6.17%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.47%E -3.80%K -12.43%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-30 05:45
William Hill🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -10.68%E -4.11%K -6.68%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -1.53%E -1.02%K -3.06%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-30 13:35
888sport🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -10.68%E -4.11%K -6.68%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -1.53%E -1.02%K -3.06%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-30 13:35
888sport (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -10.68%E -4.11%K -6.68%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -1.53%E -1.02%K -3.06%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-30 13:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -10.68%E -4.11%K -6.68%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -1.53%E -1.02%K -3.06%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-30 13:35
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (8)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Kalshi◎2.94I 34.01%NM 34.08%1.52I 65.79%NM 65.92%-0.2%2026-08-30 17:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.88I 34.72%NM 34.55%1.52I 65.79%NM 65.45%0.5%2026-08-30 17:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.88I 34.72%NM 34.55%1.52I 65.79%NM 65.45%0.5%2026-08-30 17:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.88I 34.72%NM 34.55%1.52I 65.79%NM 65.45%0.5%2026-08-30 17:20
Matchbook◎2.88I 34.72%NM 34.55%1.52I 65.79%NM 65.45%0.5%2026-08-30 17:30
ProphetX◎2.90I 34.48%NM 34.24%1.51I 66.23%NM 65.76%0.7%2026-08-30 17:20
Novig◎2.90I 34.48%NM 34.09%1.50I 66.67%NM 65.91%1.1%2026-08-30 17:30
Smarkets◎2.84I 35.21%NM 34.41%1.49I 67.11%NM 65.59%2.3%2026-08-30 17:35