Idioma:Español
Elvina Kalieva v Lanlana Tararudee
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Elvina Kalieva (Local)
Predicción 34.35%2.91momio equitativo
EV -1.06%
Ventaja -0.369%
Kelly -0.565%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.88
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
33.18%34.41%34.33%36.59%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.602.772.802.8838.46%36.13%35.71%34.72%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Lanlana Tararudee (Visitante)
Predicción 65.65%1.52momio equitativo
EV -1.53%
Ventaja -1.02%
Kelly -3.06%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.50
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
63.41%65.59%65.67%66.82%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.401.451.441.5071.43%69.17%69.44%66.67%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Elvina Kalieva (Local): 34.35%; Lanlana Tararudee (Visitante): 65.65%. Para Elvina Kalieva (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 2.91. Ningún corredor elegible ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel: los mejores fueron 2.88, con un valor esperado de -1.06%; no produjeron valor esperado positivo.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (60 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.33%EV -1.06%E -0.369%K -0.565%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.67%EV -5.47%E -3.80%K -12.43%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-30 09:25 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.18%EV -1.06%E -0.369%K -0.565%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.82%EV -6.13%E -4.28%K -14.25%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-30 09:25 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.25%EV -1.75%E -0.611%K -0.940%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 65.75%EV -2.19%E -1.47%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-08-30 17:10 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.86I 34.97%NM 33.33%EV -1.75%E -0.611%K -0.940%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.67%EV -6.13%E -4.28%K -14.25%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-30 05:35 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 34.03%EV -2.09%E -0.734%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.97%EV -3.50%E -2.38%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-08-30 17:25 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -2.09%E -0.734%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -6.78%E -4.78%K -16.15%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-29 16:25 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -2.09%E -0.734%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -6.78%E -4.78%K -16.15%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-29 16:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -2.09%E -0.734%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -6.78%E -4.78%K -16.15%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-29 16:25 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -2.09%E -0.734%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -6.78%E -4.78%K -16.15%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-29 16:26 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -2.09%E -0.734%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -6.78%E -4.78%K -16.15%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-29 16:25 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -2.09%E -0.734%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -6.78%E -4.78%K -16.15%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-29 16:25 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -2.09%E -0.734%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -6.78%E -4.78%K -16.15%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-29 16:25 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -2.09%E -0.734%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -6.78%E -4.78%K -16.15%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-29 16:25 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -2.09%E -0.734%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -6.78%E -4.78%K -16.15%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-29 16:25 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -2.09%E -0.734%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -6.78%E -4.78%K -16.15%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-29 16:26 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -2.09%E -0.734%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -6.78%E -4.78%K -16.15%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-29 16:25 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -2.09%E -0.734%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -6.78%E -4.78%K -16.15%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-29 16:25 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -2.09%E -0.734%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -6.78%E -4.78%K -16.15%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-29 16:26 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -2.09%E -0.734%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -6.78%E -4.78%K -16.15%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-29 16:25 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.82I 35.46%NM 34.11%EV -3.12%E -1.11%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.89%EV -4.16%E -2.85%K -9.04%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-30 14:45 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.73%EV -3.81%E -1.36%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 65.27%EV -2.19%E -1.47%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-08-30 16:55 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -3.81%E -1.36%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -3.50%E -2.38%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-30 09:55 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.27%EV -3.81%E -1.36%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.73%EV -4.16%E -2.85%K -9.04%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-30 09:55 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.81%E -1.36%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.81%E -3.32%K -10.70%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-30 09:41 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.81%E -1.36%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.81%E -3.32%K -10.70%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-30 17:33 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.81%E -1.36%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.81%E -3.32%K -10.70%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-30 17:04 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -3.81%E -1.36%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.47%E -3.80%K -12.43%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-30 05:30 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -3.81%E -1.36%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -6.78%E -4.78%K -16.15%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-30 17:28 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -3.81%E -1.36%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -6.78%E -4.78%K -16.15%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-30 12:50 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.49%EV -3.81%E -1.36%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.51%EV -7.44%E -5.28%K -18.14%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-29 16:20 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -3.81%E -1.36%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -8.10%E -5.78%K -20.24%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-30 09:25 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.28%EV -4.50%E -1.62%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.72%EV -4.81%E -3.32%K -10.70%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-30 05:34 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.76I 36.23%NM 34.44%EV -5.18%E -1.88%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.56%EV -4.81%E -3.32%K -10.70%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-29 03:30 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.76I 36.23%NM 34.29%EV -5.18%E -1.88%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.71%EV -5.47%E -3.80%K -12.43%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-30 17:05 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.53%E -2.01%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.81%E -3.32%K -10.70%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-30 17:25 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.53%E -2.01%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.47%E -3.80%K -12.43%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-29 14:35 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.53%E -2.01%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.47%E -3.80%K -12.43%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-30 05:25 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.53%E -2.01%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.47%E -3.80%K -12.43%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-30 05:25 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.53%E -2.01%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.47%E -3.80%K -12.43%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-30 05:30 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.53%E -2.01%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.47%E -3.80%K -12.43%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-30 10:25 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -5.53%E -2.01%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -6.78%E -4.78%K -16.15%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-29 10:38 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.73I 36.63%NM 34.69%EV -6.21%E -2.28%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.31%EV -4.81%E -3.32%K -10.70%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-30 17:05 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.72I 36.76%NM 35.39%EV -6.56%E -2.41%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.61%EV -2.19%E -1.47%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-30 05:29 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.72I 36.76%NM 35.39%EV -6.56%E -2.41%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.61%EV -2.19%E -1.47%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-30 05:30 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -7.25%E -2.68%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -2.19%E -1.47%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-30 05:30 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -7.25%E -2.68%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.81%E -3.32%K -10.70%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-30 13:35 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -7.25%E -2.68%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.81%E -3.32%K -10.70%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-30 17:35 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -7.25%E -2.68%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.81%E -3.32%K -10.70%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-30 17:35 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -7.25%E -2.68%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.81%E -3.32%K -10.70%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-30 07:15 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -7.25%E -2.68%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.81%E -3.32%K -10.70%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-30 05:40 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -7.25%E -2.68%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -6.13%E -4.28%K -14.25%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-30 17:35 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -8.96%E -3.38%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -2.84%E -1.92%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-30 05:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -8.96%E -3.38%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -2.84%E -1.92%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-30 05:40 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.05%EV -8.96%E -3.38%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.95%EV -6.13%E -4.28%K -14.25%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-30 15:50 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -9.99%E -3.81%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.47%E -3.80%K -12.43%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-30 05:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -9.99%E -3.81%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.47%E -3.80%K -12.43%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-30 05:45 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -10.68%E -4.11%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -1.53%E -1.02%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-30 13:35 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -10.68%E -4.11%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -1.53%E -1.02%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-30 13:35 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -10.68%E -4.11%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -1.53%E -1.02%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-30 13:35 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -10.68%E -4.11%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -1.53%E -1.02%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-30 13:35 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (8)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 2.94I 34.01%NM 34.08% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 65.92% | -0.2% | 2026-08-30 17:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.88I 34.72%NM 34.55% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 65.45% | 0.5% | 2026-08-30 17:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.88I 34.72%NM 34.55% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 65.45% | 0.5% | 2026-08-30 17:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.88I 34.72%NM 34.55% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 65.45% | 0.5% | 2026-08-30 17:20 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.88I 34.72%NM 34.55% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 65.45% | 0.5% | 2026-08-30 17:30 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.90I 34.48%NM 34.24% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 65.76% | 0.7% | 2026-08-30 17:20 |
| Novig◎ | 2.90I 34.48%NM 34.09% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 65.91% | 1.1% | 2026-08-30 17:30 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.84I 35.21%NM 34.41% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 65.59% | 2.3% | 2026-08-30 17:35 |