语言:简体中文
Aryna Sabalenka v Polina Iatcenko
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Aryna Sabalenka (主队)
预测 93.37%1.07公平赔率
EV -2.89%
优势 -2.78%
Kelly -72.31%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.04
博彩公司预测分布
91.44%93.38%93.57%95.19%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.001.021.021.04100.00%97.98%98.04%96.15%最小值均值中位数最大值
Polina Iatcenko (客队)
预测 6.63%15.09公平赔率
EV +32.54%
优势 +1.63%
Kelly +1.71%
增长率 +0.557%
假设最高赔率为 20.00
博彩公司预测分布
4.81%6.62%6.43%8.56%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
11.0015.2215.0020.009.09%6.57%6.67%5.00%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Aryna Sabalenka (主队)：93.37%；Polina Iatcenko (客队)：6.63%。 对于“Polina Iatcenko (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为15.09。 当时有22家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为20.00，对应+32.54%的正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (53 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 ▼ | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 95.19%EV -5.69%E -5.64%K -569.34%G +0.000% | 20.00I 5.00%NM 4.81%EV +32.54%E +1.63%K +1.71%G +0.557% | 4.0% | 2026-09-02 21:40 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 95.19%EV -5.69%E -5.64%K -569.34%G +0.000% | 20.00I 5.00%NM 4.81%EV +32.54%E +1.63%K +1.71%G +0.557% | 4.0% | 2026-09-02 21:40 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 94.98%EV -3.83%E -3.71%K -127.53%G +0.000% | 19.50I 5.13%NM 5.02%EV +29.23%E +1.50%K +1.58%G +0.462% | 2.2% | 2026-09-02 23:05 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 94.69%EV -5.69%E -5.64%K -569.34%G +0.000% | 18.00I 5.56%NM 5.31%EV +19.29%E +1.07%K +1.13%G +0.219% | 4.6% | 2026-09-02 23:05 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 94.29%EV -3.83%E -3.71%K -127.53%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.71%EV +12.66%E +0.745%K +0.791%G +0.100% | 3.0% | 2026-09-02 05:10 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 94.29%EV -3.83%E -3.71%K -127.53%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.71%EV +12.66%E +0.745%K +0.791%G +0.100% | 3.0% | 2026-09-02 23:05 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 94.29%EV -3.83%E -3.71%K -127.53%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.71%EV +12.66%E +0.745%K +0.791%G +0.100% | 3.0% | 2026-09-01 18:29 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 94.34%EV -4.76%E -4.67%K -237.99%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.66%EV +12.66%E +0.745%K +0.791%G +0.100% | 3.9% | 2026-09-02 12:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 94.34%EV -4.76%E -4.67%K -237.99%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.66%EV +12.66%E +0.745%K +0.791%G +0.100% | 3.9% | 2026-09-02 12:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 94.34%EV -4.76%E -4.67%K -237.99%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.66%EV +12.66%E +0.745%K +0.791%G +0.100% | 3.9% | 2026-09-02 12:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 94.34%EV -4.76%E -4.67%K -237.99%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.66%EV +12.66%E +0.745%K +0.791%G +0.100% | 3.9% | 2026-09-02 12:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 94.34%EV -4.76%E -4.67%K -237.99%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.66%EV +12.66%E +0.745%K +0.791%G +0.100% | 3.9% | 2026-09-02 12:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 94.34%EV -4.76%E -4.67%K -237.99%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.66%EV +12.66%E +0.745%K +0.791%G +0.100% | 3.9% | 2026-09-02 11:59 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 94.34%EV -4.76%E -4.67%K -237.99%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.66%EV +12.66%E +0.745%K +0.791%G +0.100% | 3.9% | 2026-09-02 12:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 94.34%EV -4.76%E -4.67%K -237.99%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.66%EV +12.66%E +0.745%K +0.791%G +0.100% | 3.9% | 2026-09-02 05:10 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 94.34%EV -4.76%E -4.67%K -237.99%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.66%EV +12.66%E +0.745%K +0.791%G +0.100% | 3.9% | 2026-09-02 11:59 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.00I 100.00%NM 94.32%EV -6.63%E -6.63%K +0.000%G +0.000% | 16.60I 6.02%NM 5.68%EV +10.01%E +0.603%K +0.642%G +0.064% | 6.0% | 2026-08-31 20:45 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 94.18%EV -4.76%E -4.67%K -237.99%G +0.000% | 16.50I 6.06%NM 5.82%EV +9.35%E +0.567%K +0.603%G +0.056% | 4.1% | 2026-09-01 10:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 94.18%EV -4.76%E -4.67%K -237.99%G +0.000% | 16.50I 6.06%NM 5.82%EV +9.35%E +0.567%K +0.603%G +0.056% | 4.1% | 2026-09-01 10:55 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 94.01%EV -4.76%E -4.67%K -237.99%G +0.000% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.99%EV +6.03%E +0.377%K +0.402%G +0.024% | 4.3% | 2026-09-02 22:54 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 94.06%EV -5.69%E -5.64%K -569.34%G +0.000% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.94%EV +6.03%E +0.377%K +0.402%G +0.024% | 5.3% | 2026-09-01 10:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 94.06%EV -5.69%E -5.64%K -569.34%G +0.000% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.94%EV +6.03%E +0.377%K +0.402%G +0.024% | 5.3% | 2026-09-01 10:00 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 93.57%EV -3.83%E -3.71%K -127.53%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.43%EV -0.592%E -0.039%K -0.042%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-02 22:53 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 93.57%EV -3.83%E -3.71%K -127.53%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.43%EV -0.592%E -0.039%K -0.042%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-02 12:40 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 93.57%EV -3.83%E -3.71%K -127.53%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.43%EV -0.592%E -0.039%K -0.042%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-01 09:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 93.57%EV -3.83%E -3.71%K -127.53%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.43%EV -0.592%E -0.039%K -0.042%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-01 09:15 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -4.76%E -4.67%K -237.99%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV -0.592%E -0.039%K -0.042%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-01 15:00 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -4.76%E -4.67%K -237.99%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV -0.592%E -0.039%K -0.042%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-02 05:50 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -4.76%E -4.67%K -237.99%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV -0.592%E -0.039%K -0.042%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-02 22:59 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -4.76%E -4.67%K -237.99%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV -0.592%E -0.039%K -0.042%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-01 13:50 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -4.76%E -4.67%K -237.99%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV -0.592%E -0.039%K -0.042%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-02 05:10 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -4.76%E -4.67%K -237.99%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV -0.592%E -0.039%K -0.042%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-02 13:25 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -5.69%E -5.64%K -569.34%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV -0.592%E -0.039%K -0.042%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-02 23:00 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -5.69%E -5.64%K -569.34%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV -0.592%E -0.039%K -0.042%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-02 23:00 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -5.69%E -5.64%K -569.34%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV -0.592%E -0.039%K -0.042%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-02 23:00 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 93.55%EV -4.76%E -4.67%K -237.99%G +0.000% | 14.80I 6.76%NM 6.45%EV -1.92%E -0.130%K -0.139%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-02 22:55 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 93.37%EV -3.83%E -3.71%K -127.53%G +0.000% | 14.50I 6.90%NM 6.63%EV -3.91%E -0.269%K -0.289%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-02 22:55 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 93.38%EV -5.69%E -5.64%K -569.34%G +0.000% | 14.25I 7.02%NM 6.62%EV -5.56%E -0.390%K -0.420%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-02 22:54 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 93.21%EV -4.76%E -4.67%K -237.99%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.79%EV -7.22%E -0.516%K -0.555%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-02 05:39 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 93.27%EV -5.69%E -5.64%K -569.34%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.73%EV -7.22%E -0.516%K -0.555%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-01 12:15 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -3.83%E -3.71%K -127.53%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV -13.85%E -1.07%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-02 22:54 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -3.83%E -3.71%K -127.53%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV -13.85%E -1.07%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-02 22:54 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -4.76%E -4.67%K -237.99%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -13.85%E -1.07%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-02 22:55 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -4.76%E -4.67%K -237.99%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -13.85%E -1.07%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-02 23:05 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -4.76%E -4.67%K -237.99%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -13.85%E -1.07%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-01 10:00 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 92.79%EV -5.69%E -5.64%K -569.34%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV -13.85%E -1.07%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-02 23:00 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.46%EV -4.76%E -4.67%K -237.99%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.54%EV -17.16%E -1.37%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-02 22:00 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%EV -2.89%E -2.78%K -72.31%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV -20.47%E -1.71%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-02 22:54 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -3.83%E -3.71%K -127.53%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -20.47%E -1.71%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-02 21:11 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.17%EV -4.76%E -4.67%K -237.99%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -20.47%E -1.71%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-02 23:00 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.17%EV -4.76%E -4.67%K -237.99%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -20.47%E -1.71%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-01 05:32 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.78%EV -3.83%E -3.71%K -127.53%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.22%EV -23.79%E -2.07%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-02 22:55 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -3.83%E -3.71%K -127.53%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -27.10%E -2.46%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-02 08:15 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (8)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.03I 97.09%NM 96.88% | 32.00I 3.13%NM 3.12% | 0.2% | 2026-09-02 23:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.03I 97.09%NM 96.68% | 30.00I 3.33%NM 3.32% | 0.4% | 2026-09-02 23:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.03I 97.09%NM 96.68% | 30.00I 3.33%NM 3.32% | 0.4% | 2026-09-02 23:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.03I 97.09%NM 96.68% | 30.00I 3.33%NM 3.32% | 0.4% | 2026-09-02 23:00 |
| Novig◎ | 1.03I 97.09%NM 96.42% | 27.78I 3.60%NM 3.58% | 0.7% | 2026-09-02 23:00 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.03I 97.09%NM 96.04% | 25.00I 4.00%NM 3.96% | 1.1% | 2026-09-02 22:55 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.03I 97.09%NM 95.88% | 24.00I 4.17%NM 4.12% | 1.3% | 2026-09-02 23:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.02I 98.04%NM 96.71% | 30.03I 3.33%NM 3.29% | 1.4% | 2026-09-02 23:05 |