Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Aryna Sabalenka v Polina Iatcenko

2026-09-02 15:00 UTC — WTA US Open

Résultat du match

49 opérateurs (14 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Aryna Sabalenka (Local)

Prévision 92.83%1.08cote équitable
EV -3.45%
Avantage -3.32%
Kelly -86.36%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.04

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
88.47%92.61%93.15%94.32%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.001.021.021.04100.00%97.82%98.04%96.15%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Polina Iatcenko (Visiteur)

Prévision 7.17%13.95cote équitable
EV +21.85%
Avantage +1.29%
Kelly +1.37%
Croissance +0.298%

avec la cote maximale 17.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
5.68%7.39%6.85%11.53%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
7.7513.8215.0017.0012.90%7.24%6.67%5.88%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Pour Résultat du match, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estime les probabilités suivantes : Aryna Sabalenka (Local) : 92.83% ; Polina Iatcenko (Visiteur) : 7.17%. Pour Polina Iatcenko (Visiteur), cette estimation équivaut à une cote décimale juste de 13.95. 27 opérateurs proposent une cote supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure cote disponible est 17.00, pour une espérance positive de +21.85%.

Cotes des opérateurs (49 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
Sky Bet🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 94.29%EV -4.38%E -4.26%K -146.09%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.71%EV +21.85%E +1.29%K +1.37%G +0.298%3.0%2026-08-31 20:40
Coolbet🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 94.29%EV -4.38%E -4.26%K -146.09%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.71%EV +21.85%E +1.29%K +1.37%G +0.298%3.0%2026-09-01 02:55
DraftKings🎯1.00I 100.00%NM 94.32%EV -7.17%E -7.17%K +0.000%G +0.000%16.60I 6.02%NM 5.68%EV +18.98%E +1.14%K +1.22%G +0.231%6.0%2026-08-31 20:45
LiveScore Bet🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 94.01%EV -5.31%E -5.21%K -265.56%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.99%EV +14.68%E +0.918%K +0.979%G +0.144%4.3%2026-08-31 20:05
Casumo🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 94.01%EV -5.31%E -5.21%K -265.56%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.99%EV +14.68%E +0.918%K +0.979%G +0.144%4.3%2026-08-31 20:05
Unibet (SE)🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 94.01%EV -5.31%E -5.21%K -265.56%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.99%EV +14.68%E +0.918%K +0.979%G +0.144%4.3%2026-08-31 20:05
Virgin Bet🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 94.01%EV -5.31%E -5.21%K -265.56%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.99%EV +14.68%E +0.918%K +0.979%G +0.144%4.3%2026-08-31 20:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 94.01%EV -5.31%E -5.21%K -265.56%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.99%EV +14.68%E +0.918%K +0.979%G +0.144%4.3%2026-08-31 20:05
Grosvenor🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 94.01%EV -5.31%E -5.21%K -265.56%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.99%EV +14.68%E +0.918%K +0.979%G +0.144%4.3%2026-08-31 20:05
Unibet (NL)🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 94.01%EV -5.31%E -5.21%K -265.56%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.99%EV +14.68%E +0.918%K +0.979%G +0.144%4.3%2026-08-31 20:05
BetRivers🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 94.01%EV -5.31%E -5.21%K -265.56%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.99%EV +14.68%E +0.918%K +0.979%G +0.144%4.3%2026-08-31 20:05
TABtouch🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 94.01%EV -5.31%E -5.21%K -265.56%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.99%EV +14.68%E +0.918%K +0.979%G +0.144%4.3%2026-08-31 20:05
Unibet🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 94.01%EV -5.31%E -5.21%K -265.56%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.99%EV +14.68%E +0.918%K +0.979%G +0.144%4.3%2026-08-31 20:05
Svenska Spel🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 94.01%EV -5.31%E -5.21%K -265.56%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.99%EV +14.68%E +0.918%K +0.979%G +0.144%4.3%2026-08-31 20:05
Bally Bet🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 94.01%EV -5.31%E -5.21%K -265.56%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.99%EV +14.68%E +0.918%K +0.979%G +0.144%4.3%2026-08-31 20:05
betPARX🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 94.01%EV -5.31%E -5.21%K -265.56%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.99%EV +14.68%E +0.918%K +0.979%G +0.144%4.3%2026-08-31 20:05
ATG (SE)🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 94.01%EV -5.31%E -5.21%K -265.56%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.99%EV +14.68%E +0.918%K +0.979%G +0.144%4.3%2026-08-31 20:05
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 94.01%EV -5.31%E -5.21%K -265.56%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.99%EV +14.68%E +0.918%K +0.979%G +0.144%4.3%2026-08-31 20:55
BoyleSports🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 93.57%EV -4.38%E -4.26%K -146.09%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.43%EV +7.52%E +0.501%K +0.537%G +0.040%3.8%2026-09-01 04:30
888sport🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -5.31%E -5.21%K -265.56%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV +7.52%E +0.501%K +0.537%G +0.040%4.7%2026-08-31 21:40
William Hill🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -5.31%E -5.21%K -265.56%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV +7.52%E +0.501%K +0.537%G +0.040%4.7%2026-09-01 04:29
Betway🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -5.31%E -5.21%K -265.56%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV +7.52%E +0.501%K +0.537%G +0.040%4.7%2026-09-01 02:55
FanDuel🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -5.31%E -5.21%K -265.56%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV +7.52%E +0.501%K +0.537%G +0.040%4.7%2026-08-31 20:39
888sport (SE)🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -5.31%E -5.21%K -265.56%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV +7.52%E +0.501%K +0.537%G +0.040%4.7%2026-08-31 23:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -5.31%E -5.21%K -265.56%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV +7.52%E +0.501%K +0.537%G +0.040%4.7%2026-08-31 23:05
GTbets🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 93.51%EV -5.31%E -5.21%K -265.56%G +0.000%14.70I 6.80%NM 6.49%EV +5.37%E +0.365%K +0.392%G +0.021%4.8%2026-08-31 21:45
Bet Right🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 93.21%EV -5.31%E -5.21%K -265.56%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.79%EV +0.349%E +0.025%K +0.027%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-01 02:55
Coral🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -4.38%E -4.26%K -146.09%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV -6.82%E -0.525%K -0.568%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-31 20:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -4.38%E -4.26%K -146.09%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV -6.82%E -0.525%K -0.568%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-31 20:40
Bovada🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -4.38%E -4.26%K -146.09%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV -6.82%E -0.525%K -0.568%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-31 22:30
betfred_uk🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -5.31%E -5.21%K -265.56%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -6.82%E -0.525%K -0.568%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-31 20:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -5.31%E -5.21%K -265.56%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -6.82%E -0.525%K -0.568%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-31 20:40
Neds🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -5.31%E -5.21%K -265.56%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -6.82%E -0.525%K -0.568%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-31 20:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -5.31%E -5.21%K -265.56%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -6.82%E -0.525%K -0.568%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-31 20:40
SportsBet🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 92.79%EV -6.24%E -6.18%K -623.94%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV -6.82%E -0.525%K -0.568%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-31 20:40
Betr (AU)🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 92.46%EV -5.31%E -5.21%K -265.56%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.54%EV -10.40%E -0.832%K -0.905%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-31 20:40
Winamax (DE)🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 92.46%EV -5.31%E -5.21%K -265.56%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.54%EV -10.40%E -0.832%K -0.905%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-31 20:40
PlayUp🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%EV -3.45%E -3.32%K -86.36%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV -13.99%E -1.17%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-31 20:15
Fanatics🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 92.17%EV -5.31%E -5.21%K -265.56%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -13.99%E -1.17%K -1.27%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-31 20:39
BetMGM🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 91.78%EV -4.38%E -4.26%K -146.09%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.22%EV -17.57%E -1.53%K -1.67%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-31 20:40
Marathon Bet🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -3.45%E -3.32%K -86.36%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -21.15%E -1.92%K -2.12%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-01 00:29
betano_uk🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -3.45%E -3.32%K -86.36%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -21.15%E -1.92%K -2.12%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-01 03:39
theScore Bet🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -4.38%E -4.26%K -146.09%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -21.15%E -1.92%K -2.12%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-31 20:40
Unibet (UK)🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 91.51%EV -5.31%E -5.21%K -265.56%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV -21.15%E -1.92%K -2.12%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-31 20:40
TAB🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 90.66%EV -4.38%E -4.26%K -146.09%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.34%EV -28.32%E -2.83%K -3.15%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-31 23:05
LeoVegas🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 90.74%EV -5.31%E -5.21%K -265.56%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.26%EV -28.32%E -2.83%K -3.15%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-31 20:40
ReBet🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 89.29%EV -5.31%E -5.21%K -265.56%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.71%EV -39.07%E -4.60%K -5.21%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-31 20:40
Unibet (FR)🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 88.57%EV -5.31%E -5.21%K -265.56%G +0.000%7.90I 12.66%NM 11.43%EV -43.37%E -5.49%K -6.29%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-31 20:40
Winamax (FR)🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 88.47%EV -6.24%E -6.18%K -623.94%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 11.53%EV -44.45%E -5.74%K -6.59%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-31 20:40
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (8)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Kalshi1.05I 95.24%NM 94.07%16.67I 6.00%NM 5.93%1.2%2026-09-01 04:36
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.03I 97.09%NM 95.32%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.68%1.8%2026-09-01 02:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.03I 97.09%NM 95.32%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.68%1.8%2026-09-01 02:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.03I 97.09%NM 95.32%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.68%1.8%2026-09-01 02:05
Matchbook1.03I 97.09%NM 95.32%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.68%1.8%2026-09-01 02:01
Smarkets1.02I 98.04%NM 94.63%17.99I 5.56%NM 5.37%3.6%2026-09-01 05:05
ProphetX1.02I 98.04%NM 94.34%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.66%3.9%2026-09-01 05:15
Novig1.02I 98.04%NM 92.89%13.33I 7.50%NM 7.11%5.5%2026-09-01 05:05