Idioma:Português
Aryna Sabalenka v Polina Iatcenko
Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →
Frente a frente
Aryna Sabalenka (Local)
Previsão 93.37%1.07odd justa
EV -2.89%
Vantagem -2.78%
Kelly -72.31%
Crescimento +0.000%
pressupondo odds máximas de 1.04
Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
91.44%93.38%93.57%95.19%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.001.021.021.04100.00%97.98%98.04%96.15%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Polina Iatcenko (Visitante)
Previsão 6.63%15.09odd justa
EV +32.54%
Vantagem +1.63%
Kelly +1.71%
Crescimento +0.557%
pressupondo odds máximas de 20.00
Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
4.81%6.62%6.43%8.56%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
11.0015.2215.0020.009.09%6.57%6.67%5.00%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Aryna Sabalenka (Local): 93.37%; Polina Iatcenko (Visitante): 6.63%. Para Polina Iatcenko (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 15.09. 22 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 20.00, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +32.54%.
Odds das casas de apostas (53 casas de apostas)
Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.
| Casa de apostas | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margem | Atualização |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 95.19%EV -5.69%E -5.64%K -569.34%G +0.000% | 20.00I 5.00%NM 4.81%EV +32.54%E +1.63%K +1.71%G +0.557% | 4.0% | 2026-09-02 21:40 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 95.19%EV -5.69%E -5.64%K -569.34%G +0.000% | 20.00I 5.00%NM 4.81%EV +32.54%E +1.63%K +1.71%G +0.557% | 4.0% | 2026-09-02 21:40 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 94.98%EV -3.83%E -3.71%K -127.53%G +0.000% | 19.50I 5.13%NM 5.02%EV +29.23%E +1.50%K +1.58%G +0.462% | 2.2% | 2026-09-02 23:05 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 94.69%EV -5.69%E -5.64%K -569.34%G +0.000% | 18.00I 5.56%NM 5.31%EV +19.29%E +1.07%K +1.13%G +0.219% | 4.6% | 2026-09-02 23:05 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 94.29%EV -3.83%E -3.71%K -127.53%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.71%EV +12.66%E +0.745%K +0.791%G +0.100% | 3.0% | 2026-09-02 05:10 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 94.29%EV -3.83%E -3.71%K -127.53%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.71%EV +12.66%E +0.745%K +0.791%G +0.100% | 3.0% | 2026-09-02 23:05 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 94.29%EV -3.83%E -3.71%K -127.53%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.71%EV +12.66%E +0.745%K +0.791%G +0.100% | 3.0% | 2026-09-01 18:29 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 94.34%EV -4.76%E -4.67%K -237.99%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.66%EV +12.66%E +0.745%K +0.791%G +0.100% | 3.9% | 2026-09-02 12:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 94.34%EV -4.76%E -4.67%K -237.99%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.66%EV +12.66%E +0.745%K +0.791%G +0.100% | 3.9% | 2026-09-02 12:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 94.34%EV -4.76%E -4.67%K -237.99%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.66%EV +12.66%E +0.745%K +0.791%G +0.100% | 3.9% | 2026-09-02 12:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 94.34%EV -4.76%E -4.67%K -237.99%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.66%EV +12.66%E +0.745%K +0.791%G +0.100% | 3.9% | 2026-09-02 12:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 94.34%EV -4.76%E -4.67%K -237.99%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.66%EV +12.66%E +0.745%K +0.791%G +0.100% | 3.9% | 2026-09-02 12:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 94.34%EV -4.76%E -4.67%K -237.99%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.66%EV +12.66%E +0.745%K +0.791%G +0.100% | 3.9% | 2026-09-02 11:59 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 94.34%EV -4.76%E -4.67%K -237.99%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.66%EV +12.66%E +0.745%K +0.791%G +0.100% | 3.9% | 2026-09-02 12:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 94.34%EV -4.76%E -4.67%K -237.99%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.66%EV +12.66%E +0.745%K +0.791%G +0.100% | 3.9% | 2026-09-02 05:10 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 94.34%EV -4.76%E -4.67%K -237.99%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.66%EV +12.66%E +0.745%K +0.791%G +0.100% | 3.9% | 2026-09-02 11:59 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.00I 100.00%NM 94.32%EV -6.63%E -6.63%K +0.000%G +0.000% | 16.60I 6.02%NM 5.68%EV +10.01%E +0.603%K +0.642%G +0.064% | 6.0% | 2026-08-31 20:45 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 94.18%EV -4.76%E -4.67%K -237.99%G +0.000% | 16.50I 6.06%NM 5.82%EV +9.35%E +0.567%K +0.603%G +0.056% | 4.1% | 2026-09-01 10:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 94.18%EV -4.76%E -4.67%K -237.99%G +0.000% | 16.50I 6.06%NM 5.82%EV +9.35%E +0.567%K +0.603%G +0.056% | 4.1% | 2026-09-01 10:55 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 94.01%EV -4.76%E -4.67%K -237.99%G +0.000% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.99%EV +6.03%E +0.377%K +0.402%G +0.024% | 4.3% | 2026-09-02 22:54 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 94.06%EV -5.69%E -5.64%K -569.34%G +0.000% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.94%EV +6.03%E +0.377%K +0.402%G +0.024% | 5.3% | 2026-09-01 10:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 94.06%EV -5.69%E -5.64%K -569.34%G +0.000% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.94%EV +6.03%E +0.377%K +0.402%G +0.024% | 5.3% | 2026-09-01 10:00 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 93.57%EV -3.83%E -3.71%K -127.53%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.43%EV -0.592%E -0.039%K -0.042%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-02 22:53 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 93.57%EV -3.83%E -3.71%K -127.53%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.43%EV -0.592%E -0.039%K -0.042%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-02 12:40 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 93.57%EV -3.83%E -3.71%K -127.53%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.43%EV -0.592%E -0.039%K -0.042%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-01 09:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 93.57%EV -3.83%E -3.71%K -127.53%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.43%EV -0.592%E -0.039%K -0.042%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-01 09:15 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -4.76%E -4.67%K -237.99%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV -0.592%E -0.039%K -0.042%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-01 15:00 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -4.76%E -4.67%K -237.99%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV -0.592%E -0.039%K -0.042%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-02 05:50 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -4.76%E -4.67%K -237.99%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV -0.592%E -0.039%K -0.042%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-02 22:59 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -4.76%E -4.67%K -237.99%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV -0.592%E -0.039%K -0.042%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-01 13:50 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -4.76%E -4.67%K -237.99%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV -0.592%E -0.039%K -0.042%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-02 05:10 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -4.76%E -4.67%K -237.99%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV -0.592%E -0.039%K -0.042%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-02 13:25 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -5.69%E -5.64%K -569.34%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV -0.592%E -0.039%K -0.042%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-02 23:00 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -5.69%E -5.64%K -569.34%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV -0.592%E -0.039%K -0.042%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-02 23:00 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -5.69%E -5.64%K -569.34%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV -0.592%E -0.039%K -0.042%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-02 23:00 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 93.55%EV -4.76%E -4.67%K -237.99%G +0.000% | 14.80I 6.76%NM 6.45%EV -1.92%E -0.130%K -0.139%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-02 22:55 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 93.37%EV -3.83%E -3.71%K -127.53%G +0.000% | 14.50I 6.90%NM 6.63%EV -3.91%E -0.269%K -0.289%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-02 22:55 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 93.38%EV -5.69%E -5.64%K -569.34%G +0.000% | 14.25I 7.02%NM 6.62%EV -5.56%E -0.390%K -0.420%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-02 22:54 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 93.21%EV -4.76%E -4.67%K -237.99%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.79%EV -7.22%E -0.516%K -0.555%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-02 05:39 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 93.27%EV -5.69%E -5.64%K -569.34%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.73%EV -7.22%E -0.516%K -0.555%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-01 12:15 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -3.83%E -3.71%K -127.53%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV -13.85%E -1.07%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-02 22:54 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -3.83%E -3.71%K -127.53%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV -13.85%E -1.07%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-02 22:54 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -4.76%E -4.67%K -237.99%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -13.85%E -1.07%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-02 22:55 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -4.76%E -4.67%K -237.99%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -13.85%E -1.07%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-02 23:05 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -4.76%E -4.67%K -237.99%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -13.85%E -1.07%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-01 10:00 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 92.79%EV -5.69%E -5.64%K -569.34%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV -13.85%E -1.07%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-02 23:00 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.46%EV -4.76%E -4.67%K -237.99%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.54%EV -17.16%E -1.37%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-02 22:00 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%EV -2.89%E -2.78%K -72.31%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV -20.47%E -1.71%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-02 22:54 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -3.83%E -3.71%K -127.53%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -20.47%E -1.71%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-02 21:11 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.17%EV -4.76%E -4.67%K -237.99%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -20.47%E -1.71%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-02 23:00 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.17%EV -4.76%E -4.67%K -237.99%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -20.47%E -1.71%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-01 05:32 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.78%EV -3.83%E -3.71%K -127.53%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.22%EV -23.79%E -2.07%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-02 22:55 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -3.83%E -3.71%K -127.53%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -27.10%E -2.46%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-02 08:15 |
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas
Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.
Bolsas de apostas (8)
| Casa de apostas | Local | Visitante | Margem ▲ | Atualização |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.03I 97.09%NM 96.88% | 32.00I 3.13%NM 3.12% | 0.2% | 2026-09-02 23:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.03I 97.09%NM 96.68% | 30.00I 3.33%NM 3.32% | 0.4% | 2026-09-02 23:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.03I 97.09%NM 96.68% | 30.00I 3.33%NM 3.32% | 0.4% | 2026-09-02 23:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.03I 97.09%NM 96.68% | 30.00I 3.33%NM 3.32% | 0.4% | 2026-09-02 23:00 |
| Novig◎ | 1.03I 97.09%NM 96.42% | 27.78I 3.60%NM 3.58% | 0.7% | 2026-09-02 23:00 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.03I 97.09%NM 96.04% | 25.00I 4.00%NM 3.96% | 1.1% | 2026-09-02 22:55 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.03I 97.09%NM 95.88% | 24.00I 4.17%NM 4.12% | 1.3% | 2026-09-02 23:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.02I 98.04%NM 96.71% | 30.03I 3.33%NM 3.29% | 1.4% | 2026-09-02 23:05 |