Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Aryna Sabalenka v Polina Iatcenko

2026-09-02 15:00 UTC — WTA US Open

Frente a frente

49 casas de apostas (14 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Aryna Sabalenka (Local)

Previsão 92.83%1.08odd justa
EV -3.45%
Vantagem -3.32%
Kelly -86.36%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.04

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
88.47%92.61%93.15%94.32%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.001.021.021.04100.00%97.82%98.04%96.15%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Polina Iatcenko (Visitante)

Previsão 7.17%13.95odd justa
EV +21.85%
Vantagem +1.29%
Kelly +1.37%
Crescimento +0.298%

pressupondo odds máximas de 17.00

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
5.68%7.39%6.85%11.53%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
7.7513.8215.0017.0012.90%7.24%6.67%5.88%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Frente a frente, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Aryna Sabalenka (Local): 92.83%; Polina Iatcenko (Visitante): 7.17%. Para Polina Iatcenko (Visitante), essa estimativa equivale a odds decimais justas de 13.95. 27 casas de apostas oferecem odds acima desse nível; as melhores odds disponíveis são 17.00, produzindo um valor esperado positivo de +21.85%.

Odds das casas de apostas (49 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
Sky Bet🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 94.29%EV -4.38%E -4.26%K -146.09%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.71%EV +21.85%E +1.29%K +1.37%G +0.298%3.0%2026-08-31 20:40
Coolbet🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 94.29%EV -4.38%E -4.26%K -146.09%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.71%EV +21.85%E +1.29%K +1.37%G +0.298%3.0%2026-09-01 02:55
DraftKings🎯1.00I 100.00%NM 94.32%EV -7.17%E -7.17%K +0.000%G +0.000%16.60I 6.02%NM 5.68%EV +18.98%E +1.14%K +1.22%G +0.231%6.0%2026-08-31 20:45
LiveScore Bet🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 94.01%EV -5.31%E -5.21%K -265.56%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.99%EV +14.68%E +0.918%K +0.979%G +0.144%4.3%2026-08-31 20:05
Casumo🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 94.01%EV -5.31%E -5.21%K -265.56%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.99%EV +14.68%E +0.918%K +0.979%G +0.144%4.3%2026-08-31 20:05
Unibet (SE)🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 94.01%EV -5.31%E -5.21%K -265.56%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.99%EV +14.68%E +0.918%K +0.979%G +0.144%4.3%2026-08-31 20:05
Virgin Bet🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 94.01%EV -5.31%E -5.21%K -265.56%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.99%EV +14.68%E +0.918%K +0.979%G +0.144%4.3%2026-08-31 20:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 94.01%EV -5.31%E -5.21%K -265.56%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.99%EV +14.68%E +0.918%K +0.979%G +0.144%4.3%2026-08-31 20:05
Grosvenor🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 94.01%EV -5.31%E -5.21%K -265.56%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.99%EV +14.68%E +0.918%K +0.979%G +0.144%4.3%2026-08-31 20:05
Unibet (NL)🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 94.01%EV -5.31%E -5.21%K -265.56%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.99%EV +14.68%E +0.918%K +0.979%G +0.144%4.3%2026-08-31 20:05
BetRivers🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 94.01%EV -5.31%E -5.21%K -265.56%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.99%EV +14.68%E +0.918%K +0.979%G +0.144%4.3%2026-08-31 20:05
TABtouch🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 94.01%EV -5.31%E -5.21%K -265.56%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.99%EV +14.68%E +0.918%K +0.979%G +0.144%4.3%2026-08-31 20:05
Unibet🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 94.01%EV -5.31%E -5.21%K -265.56%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.99%EV +14.68%E +0.918%K +0.979%G +0.144%4.3%2026-08-31 20:05
Svenska Spel🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 94.01%EV -5.31%E -5.21%K -265.56%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.99%EV +14.68%E +0.918%K +0.979%G +0.144%4.3%2026-08-31 20:05
Bally Bet🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 94.01%EV -5.31%E -5.21%K -265.56%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.99%EV +14.68%E +0.918%K +0.979%G +0.144%4.3%2026-08-31 20:05
betPARX🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 94.01%EV -5.31%E -5.21%K -265.56%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.99%EV +14.68%E +0.918%K +0.979%G +0.144%4.3%2026-08-31 20:05
ATG (SE)🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 94.01%EV -5.31%E -5.21%K -265.56%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.99%EV +14.68%E +0.918%K +0.979%G +0.144%4.3%2026-08-31 20:05
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 94.01%EV -5.31%E -5.21%K -265.56%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.99%EV +14.68%E +0.918%K +0.979%G +0.144%4.3%2026-08-31 20:55
BoyleSports🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 93.57%EV -4.38%E -4.26%K -146.09%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.43%EV +7.52%E +0.501%K +0.537%G +0.040%3.8%2026-09-01 04:30
888sport🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -5.31%E -5.21%K -265.56%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV +7.52%E +0.501%K +0.537%G +0.040%4.7%2026-08-31 21:40
William Hill🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -5.31%E -5.21%K -265.56%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV +7.52%E +0.501%K +0.537%G +0.040%4.7%2026-09-01 04:29
Betway🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -5.31%E -5.21%K -265.56%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV +7.52%E +0.501%K +0.537%G +0.040%4.7%2026-09-01 02:55
FanDuel🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -5.31%E -5.21%K -265.56%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV +7.52%E +0.501%K +0.537%G +0.040%4.7%2026-08-31 20:39
888sport (SE)🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -5.31%E -5.21%K -265.56%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV +7.52%E +0.501%K +0.537%G +0.040%4.7%2026-08-31 23:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -5.31%E -5.21%K -265.56%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV +7.52%E +0.501%K +0.537%G +0.040%4.7%2026-08-31 23:05
GTbets🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 93.51%EV -5.31%E -5.21%K -265.56%G +0.000%14.70I 6.80%NM 6.49%EV +5.37%E +0.365%K +0.392%G +0.021%4.8%2026-08-31 21:45
Bet Right🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 93.21%EV -5.31%E -5.21%K -265.56%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.79%EV +0.349%E +0.025%K +0.027%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-01 02:55
Coral🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -4.38%E -4.26%K -146.09%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV -6.82%E -0.525%K -0.568%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-31 20:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -4.38%E -4.26%K -146.09%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV -6.82%E -0.525%K -0.568%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-31 20:40
Bovada🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -4.38%E -4.26%K -146.09%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV -6.82%E -0.525%K -0.568%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-31 22:30
betfred_uk🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -5.31%E -5.21%K -265.56%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -6.82%E -0.525%K -0.568%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-31 20:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -5.31%E -5.21%K -265.56%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -6.82%E -0.525%K -0.568%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-31 20:40
Neds🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -5.31%E -5.21%K -265.56%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -6.82%E -0.525%K -0.568%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-31 20:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -5.31%E -5.21%K -265.56%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -6.82%E -0.525%K -0.568%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-31 20:40
SportsBet🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 92.79%EV -6.24%E -6.18%K -623.94%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV -6.82%E -0.525%K -0.568%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-31 20:40
Betr (AU)🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 92.46%EV -5.31%E -5.21%K -265.56%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.54%EV -10.40%E -0.832%K -0.905%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-31 20:40
Winamax (DE)🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 92.46%EV -5.31%E -5.21%K -265.56%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.54%EV -10.40%E -0.832%K -0.905%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-31 20:40
PlayUp🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%EV -3.45%E -3.32%K -86.36%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV -13.99%E -1.17%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-31 20:15
Fanatics🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 92.17%EV -5.31%E -5.21%K -265.56%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -13.99%E -1.17%K -1.27%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-31 20:39
BetMGM🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 91.78%EV -4.38%E -4.26%K -146.09%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.22%EV -17.57%E -1.53%K -1.67%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-31 20:40
Marathon Bet🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -3.45%E -3.32%K -86.36%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -21.15%E -1.92%K -2.12%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-01 00:29
betano_uk🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -3.45%E -3.32%K -86.36%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -21.15%E -1.92%K -2.12%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-01 03:39
theScore Bet🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -4.38%E -4.26%K -146.09%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -21.15%E -1.92%K -2.12%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-31 20:40
Unibet (UK)🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 91.51%EV -5.31%E -5.21%K -265.56%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV -21.15%E -1.92%K -2.12%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-31 20:40
TAB🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 90.66%EV -4.38%E -4.26%K -146.09%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.34%EV -28.32%E -2.83%K -3.15%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-31 23:05
LeoVegas🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 90.74%EV -5.31%E -5.21%K -265.56%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.26%EV -28.32%E -2.83%K -3.15%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-31 20:40
ReBet🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 89.29%EV -5.31%E -5.21%K -265.56%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.71%EV -39.07%E -4.60%K -5.21%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-31 20:40
Unibet (FR)🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 88.57%EV -5.31%E -5.21%K -265.56%G +0.000%7.90I 12.66%NM 11.43%EV -43.37%E -5.49%K -6.29%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-31 20:40
Winamax (FR)🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 88.47%EV -6.24%E -6.18%K -623.94%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 11.53%EV -44.45%E -5.74%K -6.59%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-31 20:40
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (8)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Kalshi1.05I 95.24%NM 94.07%16.67I 6.00%NM 5.93%1.2%2026-09-01 04:36
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.03I 97.09%NM 95.32%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.68%1.8%2026-09-01 02:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.03I 97.09%NM 95.32%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.68%1.8%2026-09-01 02:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.03I 97.09%NM 95.32%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.68%1.8%2026-09-01 02:05
Matchbook1.03I 97.09%NM 95.32%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.68%1.8%2026-09-01 02:01
Smarkets1.02I 98.04%NM 94.63%17.99I 5.56%NM 5.37%3.6%2026-09-01 05:05
ProphetX1.02I 98.04%NM 94.34%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.66%3.9%2026-09-01 05:15
Novig1.02I 98.04%NM 92.89%13.33I 7.50%NM 7.11%5.5%2026-09-01 05:05